Elliott Wave
$SPY March 26, 2025AMEX:SPY March 26, 2025
15 Minutes.
Sideways consolidation on for moving averages to catch up.
For the moment upside is capped 576-579 levels which is also top of channel.
576 - 578 is a good sell for 571-573 levels target for today.
Since 3 moving averages are nearby 9, 21 and 50.
I expect a one-sided movement.
So far, no trade for me for the week.
Bitcoin’s Next Challenge – Can BTC Break the Heavy Resistance?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise from the Support zone($84,120_$81,500) as I expected in the previous post . The question is, can Bitcoin break the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) and Resistance lines ?
Please stay with me.
Bitcoin appears to have broken through the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) and is preparing for its first attack on the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) .
In terms of waves, Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 4 of microwave C of the main wave Y . The waves structure inside the Ascending Channel appears to be of the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to prepare for its first attack on the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200), the upper line of the ascending channel , the monthly pivot point , 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Resistance lines after completing the pullback to the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800 ) and fill first CME Gap($86,640_$86,520) . I think the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) could be the zone to start a new decline for Bitcoin.
I chose the label of this analysis ''SHORT'' because I think Bitcoin is in a bit of a risky zone for a LONG position, what do you think?
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $91,000, we can expect more pumps.
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $85,200 before hitting the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200), we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
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MATIC / USD [Polygon] EWP TC FIB ANALYSIS WEEKLY TFElliott Wave Analysis for MATIC/USD (Polygon) 1W Time Frame Chart
The chart presents a detailed Elliott Wave analysis with corrective patterns, Fibonacci levels, and a long-term price projection.
MATIC is currently in a final corrective phase (Wave C of an ABC correction) within a descending channel.
A potential bottom formation near the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement level (~$0.19 - $0.22) suggests a possible trend reversal. (Strong support zone)
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is in the oversold zone, indicating that selling pressure may be exhausting.
The previous bullish impulse (Wave (5)) ended around $2.75
This was followed by an WXY corrective multi zigzag, which appears to be reaching its final stage. The chart suggests that Wave (C) of the correction is nearing completion.
Bearish Scenario:
If the $0.19 - $0.22 support fails, further downside towards $0.10 - $0.05 is possible.
However, this scenario would likely require a broader crypto market downturn.
Conclusion: Potential Long-Term Trend Reversal
The current zone suggests a possible bottom formation, which could lead to a new bullish cycle.
A breakout above $0.42 - $0.50 with strong volume would confirm the trend reversal.
Traders might consider accumulation in this range with a stop-loss below $0.17.
Overall Outlook: Bullish mid-term outlook once the bottom is confirmed.
“Weak Demand Signals Potential for a Lower Low”Currently, the position of NCF1! or Newcastle Coal is within wave 5 of wave (C) of wave , indicating that Newcastle Coal remains vulnerable to further corrections toward the 86.55–96.15 range, as represented by the black labels.
A similar pattern is observed in the red labels, where Newcastle Coal is also nearing the completion of wave (5) of wave .
We observe continued pressure on coal demand due to weak consumption and oversupply, as many countries are increasingly investing in renewable energy sources amid slower global economic growth.
S&P500 Short: Expecting Price to Fall back below trendlineFor this idea, there are 2 things to take note:
1. I believe the breakout to the upside to be a false breakout. Thus price should fall back into the channel.
2. The "C" wave is slightly shorter than "A" wave, but it shouldn't matter since corrective wave does not conform to the "3rd wave cannot be the shortest" rule.
If you are an active trader, you can choose to place your stop where I indicated. But if you are really more swing trader and can take wider swings, then I recommend putting stop above where the Fibonacci shows 1.
Good luck!
Nasdaq Short: Top of channelThis is similar to the S&P500 short idea. In fact, they complement each other. While S&P500 has breached the top trendline, Nasdaq hits the trendline.
Also something different from S&P500 is that the Nasdaq correction unfolds is 5 waves instead of 3 in S&P500.
Place the stop loss where I indicated and you should be fine to take one a positional short.
Good luck!
AUDCAD | Reoccurring FractalsWe're looking at 3 complete fractals and the fourth one being the current one. Same phase as the last, a bit of sideways trading/consolidation then aggressive buying breaking out to the upside.
Price action has been trending upwards with HHs and HLs and we're currently at a Lower High bouncing off the lower trendline below.
Would be ideal to look for long positions only for this setup as bulls are looking stronger from this view.
~300pips going into the 3rd wave.
SOLUSDT Elliott Wave Analysis – Potential ScenariosMEXC:SOLUSDT
📌 Current Wave Structure:
We are currently in an impulsive upward move, which appears to be Wave (3).
The recent pullback can be interpreted as an ABC correction within Wave (4), reaching nearly the 88.7% retracement level.
📌 Potential Scenarios:
1️⃣ Short-Term: Further corrective movement downward (potential Fibonacci retracement of 38-50% for Wave (4)).
2️⃣ Mid-Term: A continuation of the upward move towards the $170-$175 target zone, marking the completion of Wave (5) and possibly the entire larger structure (C).
3️⃣ Long-Term: After Wave (5) concludes, a significant corrective move could follow.
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support: $140.30 / $133.45
🔹 Resistance: $146.49 / $170.41
📊 Conclusion:
If the correction plays out within the expected Fibonacci zones, this could present an attractive long setup for Wave (5). However, a larger corrective move might follow afterward.
What are your thoughts? Feel free to share your analysis and opinions! 📉📈
NIFTY50.....Bulls are exhausted?Hello Traders,
what to say? The NIFTY50 has fulfilled all my cited price-targets.It perfectly popped to to 23807.30, a possible wave x² of a triple correction.
I have switched the count from corrective to impulsive and label it 1-2-3 (achieved) with waves 4 and 5 to follow!
Keep in mind, that wave ((ii)), which started @ 16828 @ 2023-03-20 has corrected the 0.382 Fibonacci, measured from wave ((ii)) to wave ((iii))! It also has achieved into the former wave iv of ((iii)) area, what is also a price target for this wave.
Anyway!
The new level to watch is the area of 21964.40. As long as this area is valid, an impulse is underway and the next move could be a wave ((iv)) retracement. This probably has the potential to retrace to or around 23300 range.
That's it for tonight!
Have a great week.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
EURUSD 1H forecastlooking for potential buy opportunities if price breaks above the previous high; anything below that, the market could still go down.
If you note the EU has been making lower lows for a while now, trying to buy this long-term would be trying to catch a falling knife- maybe for short-term buys, yes. The market is still in a 4th wave correction, and it doesn't show any signs of completion anytime soon, so let's just watch for now.
Elliott Wave Pattern Suggests Higher EURUSD and Lower US YieldsSome nice retracement on 10-year US notes in the last three weeks looks corrective because of a clear three-wave drop with a triangle in wave (B). This suggests US yields could be trading at resistance, and if we consider the somewhat dovish stance from Powell and the FOMC last week, the market might be positioned for a lower USD. In this scenario, EURUSD could perform well—likely better than some commodity currencies, which remain trapped in sideways ranges due to weaker stock markets recently.
GH
GOLD → Tense fundamental environment and retest of 3025FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction within the descending channel. The situation is becoming complex and confusing. The focus is on the channel resistance and on the support at 3004.9. Further price movement depends on the fundamental data...
The problem is the uncertainty around the US tariff policy and the outcome of talks between Russia and the US on ceasefire in Ukraine.
The market is focused on US consumer confidence data and comments from Fed officials. The rise in the dollar, supported by Bostic's hawkish statements and strong PMIs, is pressuring gold, but the lack of clarity on tariffs and geopolitical tensions are limiting its further decline
Technically, the situation is simple in that it all depends on the resistance of the current channel. A break and consolidation above 3025 will trigger growth. A false break of the channel resistance will provoke a continuation of the decline both to 3004 and to 2980.
Resistance levels: 3024.6, 3038, 3056
Support levels: 3004.9, 2987, 2981
Based on the difficult fundamental environment, which is far from any positive decisions, the tensions in the Middle East, and the tariff war, I can conclude that gold will try to strengthen once again, as we have technical support: a strong bullish trend, a strong 3004 level, and a cascade of locally rising lows.
A failed breakdown will be false and in this case, a price consolidation under 3017 will trigger a fall to 3004.
Regards R. Linda!
NEAR WXY correction completeHi.
As per my previous post, if btc is in its wave 4 position holding the 0.382 fib as possible correction complete.
We could possibly/hopefully see btc.d start dropping, setups like this on a few alts might start taking of.
We already have the DXY which is nuking, but its yet to hit the broader crypto market.
EWTSU ES1! minuette ii downside to be confirmed
Elliott Wave Trade Set Up
minuette ii downside to be confirmed
price reached strong resistence area 5810/5890
ICHIMOKU shows a buy mood in H4 - BUT kijun sen daily - 5831
EW - pull back looks corrective - abc zigzag - subminuette ii possible extention
FIB levels - 5810/5890
Volume profile - POC still remains in the upper side of the graph
monitoring development