SPY nears pivotMarket drop will begin to form temporary bottom, to start final leg up to complete ending diagonal 5, Then back down for a larger Cycle wave 4, then up. So we are officially in 4-5. 4-5, ending diagonal land.
Elliott Wave
Nasdaq short: break of trendlineAs shown in the chart, there is a break of a trendline and it is a significant break.
#ORDI $ORDIThe chart caught my attention,
The coin is in a zone likely for consolidation and a bounce, but its price range is wide, so whoever is thinking of entering should manage their allocation well. Monitoring is crucial because if the bounce from the specified zone and time happens strongly, the target is 3 figures as shown, but if it’s weak, a reassessment will be needed.
Dax Monthly - hitting fib cluster levelDAX monthly chart hitting fibonacci extension cluster level
The Dax typically leads the Dow to some degree, and has a deeply overbought RSI now at a potential resistance zone
Likely to have a retracement in the short to medium term
Not trading this, but highlighting as it may indicate that other western indices may follow suit and struggle to increase in the next 2-6 months
Bitcoin: Wave 4 or Wave goodbye...to this variantIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bitcoin Wave 4?: Key Levels & Critical Juncture
Bitcoin’s recent price action has put traders on edge, as we continue to push into the deeper reaches of the Wave 4 territory. The market rejected 99-100K, aligning with expectations, but it took a deeper path than my bullish outlook preferred. While I caught the correct direction, this move is now at a critical juncture where bulls need to step up—this is their last chance to hold this count as a probability and regain momentum, IMO.
Losing Ground on This Count
A clean break above 99K never materialized, reinforcing bearish sentiment and increasing the likelihood of further downside. The bulls have struggled to gain control, and without a strong push, this count risks full invalidation. At this stage, I remain cautious, knowing that sticking to weak counts is a losing game.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 86.6K – Immediate obstacle for bulls to reclaim 📈
🔹 92K – The real test; a reclaim here would suggest bullish intent 🎯
🔹 75K – Next major support if bulls fail to hold structure ⚡
What Comes Next?
If this variant is going to stay on the probability list, it has to prove itself now. It was cautiously at the top of the list, but has broken the key levels and ideal price action I was looking for to keep it there.
Bitcoin is at a make-or-break moment—will it find strength, or are we heading for a deeper correction? Let me know your thoughts in the comments. 🚀
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
NEARUSD 28.5RBig liquidations in the crypto markets over the last 48hrs with sentiment turning very bearish.
But from a technical pov does this look bearish to you?
The Elliot Wave correctional waves couldn’t be any clearer with beautiful symmetry.
The market already tested deep into the demand zone and has shown some strength to suggest it’s a worth a go in my view for a long trade here.
Trade probability 5/10
Risk to reward 9/10
Overall rating 7/10
1:28.5 Risk to Reward ratio
VTI Long soon but not for longVTI is approaching a point to bounce ether starting Friday or Monday. Lets see what happens
Ferrari Wave Analysis – 27 February 2025
- Ferrari reversed from round resistance level 500.00
- Likely to fall support level 440.00
Ferrari recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the round resistance level 500.00 (previous yearly high from 2024) and the upper weekly Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone is likely to form the weekly Evening Star Doji – if the price closes this week near the current levels.
Given the strength of the resistance level 500.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Ferrari can be expected to fall to the next support level 440.00.
Gold Oversold - Bullish BiasAlthough macro-economic indicators are not confirming a sudden increment in gold value... But it's at a major support line that it shall increase the gold price for short-term accumulations today.
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About me: Gerald Mann is an specialist in financial operations, and served as policy adviser to Barack Obama.
AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 27 February 2025
- AUDUSD falling inside wave b
- Likely to fall support level 0.6200
AUDUSD currency pair continues to fall inside the b-wave which started earlier from the major resistance level 0.6400 (former strong support from April and August of 2024).
The resistance level 0.6400 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band and by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from last October.
Given the strongly bullish US dollar sentiment and strong daily downtrend, AUDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.6200, the target price for the completion of the active wave b.
AAPL Bear FlagDivergence on the high, no divergence on the low. Impulsive movement to the downside, correction to the upside inside a channel.
You don't get much more bearflagish than this.
But we're still inside the channel.. let's see how this plays out.
ADA D CorrectionI've updated my wave count, since this large downtrend grind since early December is correcting the whole move up from August lows.
We are currently in black C, and my primary count considers we still have one more leg down left before a recovery.
Alternatively, if we see a break above gray resistance, my bias may change.
HOOKUSDT Breakdown Incoming? Key Signals Point to Bearish Move!Yello, Paradisers! Is HOOKUSDT gearing up for a major drop? The current structure suggests a strong probability for further downside as the price follows a triple three-wave pattern within a descending channel.
💎HOOKUSDT recently faced strong resistance from multiple confluences: 50 EMA rejection, Key resistance zone, Descending channel’s trendline, Formation of an "M" pattern. These factors increase the likelihood of a wave Z move downward. However, for confirmation, we need a clear breakdown of the support level with a candle close below it and high volume.
💎The broader crypto market also leans bearish, but waiting for the actual breakdown will further strengthen our probability of a successful trade.
💎Invalidation? If the price bounces and closes candle above the resistance zone, the bearish outlook gets invalidated. In that case, it’s smarter to stay patient and wait for a stronger setup.
🎖 Discipline and patience are key, Paradisers! The market always rewards those who wait for the highest-probability trades. Stay sharp!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
LAI: A Big Scam or A Big Chance #LAI is at an all-time low, with the community accusing the team of scams and fraud. However, the chart shows some optimism.
If the next bounce is strong enough to reach and pass $0.0243, a bullish outlook will be confirmed.
Since the token is at ATL, strict risk management is essential.
#LayerAI
EURUSD Correcting – Another Fall Ahead?Today I want to analyze EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) for a 15-minute time frame and whether EURUSD is ready to fall or not.
EURUSD is moving in a Heavy Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) . It also moves in the descending channel in the 15-minute time frame.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has completed its 5 downward waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . I expect corrective waves to end either in a descending channel or eventually at a Resistance zone($1.0493-$1.0480) .
I expect EURUSD to attack the Support lines in the coming hours, and if the Support lines break , we should expect a decline to at least 100_SMA(4-hour) .
Note: If EURUSD breaks the Resistance line, we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD 1hr
The 5th Elliott wave has concluded. In the 1hr timeframe the 4hr ZLSMA (Length: 32) has broken the 200 EMA and 200 SMA and the chart has pulled itself back up to the EMA and SMA and then it's broken off the 4hr ascending channel. My opinion is that it will correct until the Fibonacci 0.5 mark ($2769).
Target 1: $2821 (Fibo 0.3618)
Target 2: $2769 (Fibo 0.5)
Stop Loss: $2921
This is not financial advice, I'm simply sharing my own analysis and opinions. Be cautious and conscious with your trades and don't take my word for it.
Bitcoin Update: Critical Support & Elliott Wave Levels To WatchBitcoin here is the thing...
1. For now drop is not impulsive, so can be correction
2. 4th wave pullbacks will ideally stabilize near 50/38.2%. Just testing the important zone 77k-85k
3. Old high and unfilled gap are crucial to cause a bounce, otherwise the major high is in
4. You don't want to see this fourth wave breaking the lowest base channel line, otherwise top is in.
5. Bullish resumption for wave 5 when/if 93700 overlaps
6. This market wont go up unless risk-on is back
GH
$SPY February 27, 2025AMEX:SPY February 27, 2025
60 Minutes.
The move to 598-599 and a retrace to 592-594 levels was completed yesterday.
Now for the fall 613.23 to 589.56 i expect a retracement around 598-600 levels being 38.2 and 50 percent retracement moves.
At the moment is trend is down.
Uptrend only above 608 levels.
601-604 levels should be a good level to short again.
In 60 minutes, we have 50,100,200 averages converging around 603-604 levels which is the next area of resistance.
Will STXUSDT recover from a failed fifth Elliott wave?
We start our Elliott wave count at the bear market lows (Nov 2022). The first wave tops in March 2023 starting the second wave that bottoms at the 0.618 Fib (typical second wave). The third wave tops along with most of the crypto market in end of March or early April 2024. Then the fourth wave corrects more than expected barely holding the 0.382 Fib, the first wave high and the pitchfork median line support. The fifth wave starts in August 2024 and tops in December 2024, below the third wave high and rejecting from a pitchfork resistance. From here STX tumbled down.
STX recently found support at the outer line of a macro modified Schiff pitchfork. We can see that the price action interacted with the median line of this pitchfork throughout the bull run. If we are to hit that median line again, we get a pretty ambitious target at around 5$ by the end of July 2025.
Below I examine other pitchforks for more realistic price targets.
Looking at the same pitchfork on linear scale we again see price action interacting with median, 0.5 and outer lines of the pitchfork. This chart gives us a target price of around 1.9 by the end of July 2025.
Changing the pitchfork type to Schiff and looking at the log chart again shows price action interacting with median and 0.5 lines of the pitchfork. This chart gives us a target price of around 2.44 by the end of July 2025.
Some smaller pitchforks on the log chart provide us with additional resistance levels to keep in mind.
Similarly on the linear chart. Here we also see a pitchfork median line that served as support.
In recent price action we can see bullish divergence in RSI and SRSI. In addition, at the daily close, one should watch for bullish crosses in RSI and SRSI.
Will this be the turning point for STX? Time will tell.
GOLD → Retest of risk zone 2880. A pullback is possibleFX:XAUUSD is breaking the local trend and is testing the panic and risk zone of 2880 as part of the correction. A retest of this area will increase the chances of a trend change
Gold is losing growth due to uncertainty of Trump's tariff plans and economic problems in the US. Contradictory statements from the president are supporting the dollar, while rising bond yields are holding back gold prices.
Markets are waiting for US GDP data: if the figures are lower than forecast (2.3%), gold may rise. Fed speeches are also important, but the key will be Trump's statement, which may change the market sentiment
Technically, locally we have a bearish market structure and in this case we expect the decline to continue after a small correction.
Support levels: 2878, 2888
Resistance levels: 2890, 2907
False breakdown of the above support, after such a strong fall, may form a correction. Initially, the price may head towards 0.5 Fibo, after a small pullback we may test 0.7 Fibo. But then we will have to watch the price reaction.
If the gold will go down, the focus will be on 2880.
If the movement will be difficult and the price will start to test the resistance, then in this case, against the background of high risks, we can return to the growth phase.
Regards R. Linda!
Elliott Waves SHows That Gold Is Turning South For Corrective ReGold started the year bullish with a strong extended leg to the upside close to 3k, but the move looks impulsive and may have found a temporary top near 2950. The reversal this week is coming from an ending diagonal, with the price now attempting to break the lower trendline support of the bullish channel. This suggests gold could be entering a corrective wave 4, likely unfolding in three waves. For those looking to join the trend, it’s better to wait for a deeper correction and a retest of lower support in this wave four pullback. Supports are at 2864 and 2789
At the same time, keep an eye on USD/CNH—if it pushes higher now for wave four, to retest its 2022 highs, gold could remain sideways for a while. In such case the new opportunities to rejoin the gold uptrend may come after USD/CNH completes its recovery from the 2024 lows, possibly around 7.40.
GH
OPUSDT → There's still a chance for an alt seasonBINANCE:OPUSDT is showing positive momentum relative to what bitcoin has put up this night. The coin is in consolidation and testing trend resistance
The main reason for the lack of an altcoin season is bitcoin's huge dominance of the cryptocurrency market. The fall of BTC (open channel to 75K) and further growth after the formation of an intermediate bottom in the 75-80K zone may reduce the dominance phase, which in general will give a chance to the altcoin market, which is going through bad times.
I like OP in the fact that it is not falling in the wake of the flagship, but stands in consolidation, where we have clear boundaries for strategy formation. Focus on resistance: 1.212.
Resistance levels: 1.212
Support levels: 1.044, 0.983
Thus, a break of the resistance at 1.212 could trigger a rally and an attempt to change the trend.
It may happen after correction to 0.5 fibo, or after formation of pre-breakdown consolidation on H1-H4.
The structure of the setup will be broken if the coin starts to break 1.044-0.983.
Regards R. Linda!
Adani enterprises.....More pain left?NSE:ADANIENT ....Bearish view
Current price structure doesn't look good.
Should be possible 1750 or more lower target in upcoming days.
