Elliott Wave
USDCAD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
In the previous analysis of the currency pair USDCAD, we expected the price to grow and also specified the profit-taking range.
Now, if you took your profit at the desired point and exited the trade, you can enter the buy trade again to reach a higher target.
The reason for this is the formation of microwaves 1 to 4 of the main wave 5, and currently it is appropriate to enter the buy trade to catch the price growth in the main wave 5 of 5.
The stop loss is at 1.3965. And the profit limit is at 1.4200.
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USDCAD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
We are witnessing a 5-wave impulse pattern in the USDCAD currency pair.
Waves 1 to 4 have been completed.
Wave 3 has 5 complete subwaves.
Wave 5 also has 4 complete subwaves and wave 5 of 5 has started to complete.
So, according to the above theory, we can enter a buy position with a stop loss of 1.39300.
The profit limit can also be considered 1.4200, which is also the density of Fibonacci levels.
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NAS100 morning technical analysisTechnical analysis for NAS100.
Very neat how this wedge defines price since 5 August low. Besides the proposed wave (5) up, it has framed and (therefore) provided both support and resistance for price.
The wedge will reach its apex soon, so one side or the other will have to prevail. Failure of price to tag median (red line) of pitchfork suggest return of price to 18297.4 at some point.
dxy drops to $88Gm.
It has taken us a while to get to where we are today, and I’m excited to share an update on the DXY this fine morning as I sip the tastiest coffee in all the lands.
Two years ago, around this time, I called the top on the DXY via:
We have yet to surpass that high, and today I bring you an exciting update. The DXY has officially confirmed the drop that is to come by rejecting a target we've been eyeing for the last quarter of the year.
While there’s always a chance it could go slightly higher, I’ve included one target above the recent rejection.
If my primary theory plays out, the DXY will see a sharp decline below $90 by the end of 2025. This will also coincide with the creation of a "top" in the global liquidity index.
BTC Dominance Topping Out, Going to All Time LowsBTC Dominance appears to be in a potential 7 year flat pattern. This coincides with the end of 7 year bear supercycle on alt/USD and alt/BTC pairs. The end of the flat pattern is evidenced by wave-c relating to wave-a by 61.8% in price and relating to waves (a+b)/2 in time (yellow boxes). The false break out from the orange trendline, as well as the wisemen on monthly, weekly, daily, etc charts, and the bearish momentum divergences, are all further evidence that dominance has topped.
From here, it looks like BTC dominance is going to retest the lows, and considering the likelihood of the end of a 7 year bear supercycle on alts, and the beginning of a new alt season, BTC's dominance could fall to as low as 12%.
Fundamentally, little has changed about BTC over the years. While some activity can be moved to layer 2s, the main BTC blockchain is still slow and inefficient, with only 7 TPS most people will not be able to afford to transact on Bitcoin. This will make retail traders and economic activity move to layer 2s and other chains.
One chain which will capture a large share of economic activity from Bitcoin is TRON. It has already captured the largest share of USDT, leading to high TRX burn rates. As Bitcoin's fees begin to skyrocket again following skyrocketing Bitcoin network activity, more of Bitcoin's activity will move to wrapped BTC on chains like TRON which are fast, extremely liquid, low fees, and accepted in most places.
While this will allow everybody to afford to transact with Bitcoin, it will also cannibalize Bitcoin's dominance. Chains that are similar to TRON which can capture a large share of Bitcoin's economic activity by acting as Bitcoin's layer 2, and in doing so are burning their native token for fees, are going to see their circulating supplies drop very quickly because of money earned and burned from fees, and their prices increase much faster than BTC.
It would not surprise me to one day see BTC completely lose it's dominance as the largest crypto to coins which have better fundamentals, especially where they have very high fee revenue and burn rates like TRX, and are significantly faster, more scalable, and turing complete. Either way, I don't think we will ever see BTC's dominance this high again, especially as regulations in the US and around the world begin to favor BTC less and create a fair playing field with other cryptocurrencies.
Technical Analysis of Bitcoin: Short-Term OutlookCurrent Market Situation
Bitcoin's technical analysis currently reveals intriguing signals that warrant investor attention. Price patterns and technical indicators suggest a potential consolidation phase following the recent bullish performance.
Key Technical Levels
Chart analysis highlights a crucial technical level for Bitcoin at approximately $66,203. This level, presently below the market price, could play a significant role in upcoming price movements, potentially serving as a support level in case of a correction.
Short-Term Projections
Advanced technical analysis tools, particularly the Zig Zag with Adaptive Projection indicator, forecast a possible 15% decline over the next three weeks. This projection is based on the identification of significant pivot points and analysis of historical trend patterns.
Market Interpretation
The current technical setup, combined with Bitcoin's elevated price levels, indicates that the market might be entering a rebalancing phase. A corrective movement or a period of consolidation appears likely in the coming weeks.
Conclusion
Technical analysis suggests that Bitcoin may undergo a period of readjustment following its recent performance. Traders and investors should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies according to evolving indicators and market movements.
It's crucial to note that while these projections are based on sophisticated technical models, they should be considered within the broader context of the cryptocurrency market, which remains subject to various external influences.
EurGbp Formed a Wedge Pattern.Looking for Impulse Down.
EurGbp moving down soon. EG formed a bearish wedge pattern to fall. It's important to have your own rules on RR and adhere to them. This trading idea is intended to assist you and enhance your knowledge. If you have any questions, please ask me in the comments.
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SKL 3-Day Chart
We finally have a solid candidate for gray wave 2 in the early September low, at 0.02821. Bullish RSI divergence is present, and new higher highs are being set.
Note there is a major resistance level in the 0.067-0.070 zone, which is holding price for now.
In my primary count, this resistance could set the limit for blue wave 3, and pullbacks for wave 4 are buying opportunities for a breakout to the upside.
Gold H1 (XAU/USD)The 1-hour XAU/USD chart reveals a potential corrective Elliott Wave (A-B-C) pattern following a completed (W-X-Y) structure.
Expected Corrective ABC Pattern:
Wave (A): The initial decline is anticipated to target the $2,605-$2,620 support zone.
Wave (B): A minor retracement is expected to occur, likely staying below the $2,662 resistance level.
Wave (C): The final wave may extend the decline towards the $2,560-$2,580 lower support zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $2,662
Support Zones:
Middle support: $2,605-$2,620
Lower support: $2,560-$2,580
Keep an eye on the evolving market conditions and adjust your trading strategy accordingly. Good luck!
Gold no more bullish? (XAU/USD)The daily XAU/USD chart reveals a completed Elliott Wave (1-5) structure, with wave (5) peaking near the $2,720 resistance level. This marks a potential reversal zone for gold prices.
Expected Corrective ABC Pattern:
Wave A: The initial decline is anticipated to target the $2,605-$2,620 support zone.
Wave B: A minor retracement is expected to occur, likely staying below the $2,720 resistance level.
Wave C: The final wave may extend the decline towards the $2,560-$2,580 lower support zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $2,720
Support Zones:
Middle support: $2,605-$2,620
Lower support: $2,560-$2,580
Trading Strategy:
Given the high sensitivity of gold prices to macroeconomic events, traders should exercise caution. Proper position sizing and setting appropriate stop-loss levels are crucial to mitigate potential risks. Monitoring upcoming economic releases and geopolitical developments is essential, as these factors can significantly impact market volatility.
Keep an eye on the evolving market conditions and adjust your trading strategy accordingly. Good luck!
EURUSD → Correction after false breakdown before further fallFX:EURUSD is taking a chance amid the local correction of the dollar. The currency pair can test the local highs. But! You need to be careful as there will be a lot of news today.
Fundamental background is generally negative. (Trump's victory, tariffs for European export goods, lower interest rates and so on).
This all accompanies the global and local downtrends. Accordingly, in our case, since a false support breakout is forming on the chart, we should wait for a retest of resistance and reversal patterns to further consider selling attempts with the purpose of further decline.
Resistance levels: 1.0606, 1.065, 1.076
Support levels: 1.0517, 1.044, 1.033
Accordingly, we follow the nearest resistance, if bears behave aggressively on the background of the news, the price will continue to fall from these areas
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS: 27 NOV, 2024 - BULLISH©Master of Elliott Wave: Hua (Shane) Cuong, CEWA-M.
The wave ((b))-navy itself is a Zigzag, labeled wave (a)-orange, and the most recent wave (b)-orange is probably also finished, now we could be moving up with wave (c)-orange. While price must remain above 2,605.085 to maintain this view.
Alternative scenario (ALT, less likely): Shows that wave (b)-orange is not finished yet, but has a leg to push lower.
Key point: 2,605.085
PYR - Two ScenariosPYR has been in a bearish trend since Dec 2021. It bounced twice recently in Aug and Nov 2024 from a historical Demand zone.
In the long term its bullish. But in the short term I expect 2 scenarios. The yellow is a bearish one that expects a further drop to the demand zone to mark a major bottom, breaking $2.1 confirms the yellow scenario. The white one is bullish and expects the price to continue going up to pass $6.9 which is the confirmation of the white scenario.
Hang Seng Index Primed for a 20% RallyThe Hang Seng Index is rebounding off its 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level following an ABC correction, a classic technical setup indicating a potential trend reversal. This bounce suggests the beginning of the next bullish wave, with the potential to climb by up to 20%.
SOLANA $SOLUSD should continue rally after pullback endsSolana COINBASE:SOLUSD already confirmed bullish sequence by confirming higher high above March-2024 high. Since August-2024 low, it ended 3 of (3) at last peak and expect pullback in 4, which soon will end before it should continue rally in 5 of (3).
XRP, 5 years long triangleWhile other coins building finals waves in their correction structures before going up, there is XRP, who had been in a relative consolidation for previous almost 5 years. And now it may soar as big triange completes its formation. Although, it may continue, there is a decent impulse (marked red) with unclear correction. At .44, I suppose, it will be good to stard accumulating long position with targets at 2.0+
And, as far as this is a triangle, which occurs on a position of wave 4, here I see one more evidence, that this growth will be the last on the whole crypto market for many years ahead.
GOLD → A break of 2600 will make buyers panicFX:XAUUSD is returning to the sell-off phase due to the change of fundamental background. Buyers are unwinding their positions and the price is entering the sell-off zone
The main reason for the fall is the ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah. The first rumors appeared early Monday morning and the market reacted accordingly. Everyone is still waiting for the actual confirmation of the rumors.
Also Trump is beginning to hint at increased tariffs on goods from Canada, Mexico and China. Active actions will start in January, after the inauguration of the new US president.
But, the risks are still high due to the escalated conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
Technically, gold is returning to the channel, marking a strong resistance at 2632 and 2620. (a retest of the zone is possible before a further fall).
Resistance levels: 2632, 2620
Support levels: 2605
A price consolidation below 2620 or below 2605 will strengthen the sell-off phase. The fundamental background is weak, which increases the pressure of bears. In the mid-term, I expect the decline to continue after the breakdown of 2605-2600
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDCHF_1Dhello
Analysis of US Dollar to Swiss Franc Daily and mid-term time frame Elliott wave analysis style The market is in an upward trend that we are currently correcting in wave 4 in terms of Elliott waves, and again after completing the correction, it can be used as a wave for the next rising wave. 5 take action. The bottom support of wave 4 is 0.87455 Wave 5 targets are 0.90190 and 0.90900