Hang Seng Index Long: Super Bull Case?I did a short video about how entire chart of Hang Seng Index can also be interpreted as a Super Bullish case for Hang Seng Index, and generally the entire Chinese and Hong Kong Market.
This was originally my primary count which I then replaced with a combination (W-X-Y-X-Z) when I thought the risk-reward favours the short side. Now, I've switched back and dare myself to put up this super bull case again.
Note how shallow I had placed the primary wave 2. If I am right, then wave 3 is going to literally rocket up.
Elliott Wave
SPY UpdateIt appears that intermediate (A) had OML to give us before it was finished. Price literally moved $0.08 cents below the larger 1.236 and then gave us a reaction. We also got better pos div completing the reqs for a healthier consolidation higher. If we have in fact bottomed, then I would expect the ensuing price action to resemble the dotted line I have drawn on the chart. This doesn't mean that price will follow this pattern to the T. It is just what a standard abc pattern would appear like. Don't forget that b waves are extremely complex more times than not, so that could alter the way this pattern gets carved out. Also, the dotted line may look straight, but the structure will be far from it. People often times forget that price doesn't move in one direction, and there will be choppy overlapping moves. Regardless on how the pattern turns out, if the (A) wave is in fact complete, then the target box is the standard place for intermediate (B) to terminate at.
I expect this next move to take 2-4 months if it is to compare to the time duration of the (A) wave. There are no rules governing duration, though. Technically speaking, (B) could be over by the end of the week. The odds of that happening are extremely low, but it is possible.
GOOGL - Elliott Wave Final ShowdownGOOGL has dropped over 27.28% , reaching a minor profit-booking zone. The $150 level serves as a key demand zone, where a potential price reversal could occur. The formation is either expanded flat or a running flat on the daily timeframe chart.
Confirmation is best observed near the lower trendline of the parallel channel. If bearish momentum persists, prices may decline further to the $142-$140 range before a strong rebound. Once the correction ends, the upside targets are $168, $180, and $195.
A new low will form if the previous low is breached. Further research will be uploaded soon.
To the moon? Hang on a second...I'm reluctant to jump to a conclusion on this count as yet, but it certainly looks like that centre line strike is as much as we get. I can't imagine there would be as big an announcement possible as American Bitcoin, with Eric T "all in ".
Well, seems like moon it is then, but nothing wrong with some skepticism nonetheless. I'm not convinced it can't still get down to that 41k ish level although it might be wishful thinking. Maybe more realistic is an accumulation around here plus or minus 5k or so, while it rolls around the converging daily moving averages, perhaps even with another spikey test of the 75k region. Losing that level would be great for a 41k superbuy, with 59 another potential barrier on the way to it.
If break outs to the upside happen, there will always be a back test to look for good buying opportunities.
41k though one time please thanks
Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Massive Breakout?Bitcoin's wave ((4)) has successfully completed a W-X-Y corrective formation. If Bitcoin manages to decisively break above the key resistance level of 88,826, it could trigger a powerful impulsive rally, potentially driving prices toward the next major targets at 95,250 - 99,508 - 109,176.
Additionally, the parallel channel's lower trendline is offering substantial support, preventing further downside movement. A strong breakout above this channel could significantly enhance bullish momentum, increasing the probability of Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs.
We will update you with further information.
CME Gap Target: Is Bitcoin Headed for $80K!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the important Support zone($84,120_$81,500) , and on the 1-hour time frame , Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($82,360_$82,000) and the lower line of the ascending channel (small) .
Overall, Bitcoin has started another downtrend after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel (big) .
Since trading volume is generally low on Saturdays and Sundays , it is unlikely that the important Support zone($84,120_$81,500) will be broken before the financial markets open .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed the main wave 3 at $81,644 and is currently completing microwave C of the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 will most likely have a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
In general, the financial markets and US indices such as TVC:DJI , SP:SPX CME_MINI:NQ1! were not in a good state last week , and this trend will most likely continue next week . The tariffs that Donald Trump is imposing on countries around the world, as well as the turbulent situation in the Middle East , will all lead to the possibility of a fall in Bitcoin and other financial markets in the coming days.
I expect Bitcoin to make at least a temporary increase to $83,200 and then next target the Resistance zone($84,380_$83,580) and the upper line of the ascending channel before starting to fall and attack the important Support zone($84,120_$81,500) and also fill the CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) .
Note: If Bitcoin breaks above the Resistance zone($84,380_$83,580), we can expect more pumping.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
A Closer Look at Bitcoin's Elliot Wave PatternHello friends, today we'll attempt to analyze the Bitcoin chart using Elliot Waves. Our approach will involve using Elliot Wave theory and structures, which involve multiple possibilities. The analysis we present here focuses on one potential scenario that seems possible to us.
Please note that this information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered trading advice or investment tips. There's a risk of being completely wrong, so never trade based solely on this post. We're not responsible for any profits or losses. Individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Now, let's discuss the Bitcoin chart. On the daily chart, we can see that a black primary degree wave has completed its ((4th)) wave, and the ((5th)) wave has started. Within the fifth wave, an intermediate degree wave is unfolding, which will have its own set of waves (1), (2), (3), (4), (5). The primary black degree wave five will be complete once the intermediate degree wave is finished.
We've drawn accounts on the chart, illustrating the entire structure, including the nearest invalidation level at around $76,666 and the real invalidation level below $50,000.
I hope this analysis based on Elliot Wave theory has helped you understand the chart better and learn something new. Please keep in mind that this is for educational purposes only.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Analysis – Elliott Wave Review
Current Wave Progression:
Wave (5) is in progress, with the sub-waves (i), (ii), (iii) already formed.
The market seems to be in wave (iv), a minor corrective pullback before another rally toward wave (v).
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,150 - $3,180 → Possible target for wave (v) if the uptrend continues.
Support:
$3,100 → Key level to maintain bullish momentum.
$3,040 - $3,060 → Deeper pullback zone if wave (iv) extends further.
Trading Outlook
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If wave (iv) holds above $3,100, a continuation to $3,150 - $3,180 is likely.
A breakout above $3,140 confirms wave (v) progression.
⚠️ Bearish Risk:
A break below $3,100 could indicate a deeper correction.
Below $3,060, bullish momentum weakens.
NIFTY50.....Box trading?Hello Traders,
the NIFTY50 has seen a massive sell-off during Monday's session. It declined from a high @ 23483.70 to a low @ 23221.15 in the first trading hour. That was a huge sell-off, off about 227.15 points.
It collapsed below my favored sell-off level @ 23462 and opened the door to more selling pressure, as it touched my price range from 23289 to 23196 by some points.
Chart analysis:
On March 24th the index achieved a 2.0 Fibo-extension @ 23869.60 points. This was a peak! Since the index is in a corrective mode, and possibly has shown a w-x-y correction, that has chances to morph into a triple correction.
Shorthand I expect a test off the lower boundary of the box, ranging @ 23038 points. N50 has the option to show a wave 4 of lower degree and decline than to a wave 5 low below today's low.
But step by step.
First, I'd like to check tomorrow's pattern and judge that.
The bulls need a massive buying pressure to achieve the range of 23414 to 23646.45 points.
Well Traders..... That's it for a short note.
Have a great week....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
DOTUSD dailyThe price action suggests that a corrective wave might have completed its lower leg, and we could be entering the impulsive wave phase of a bullish cycle. Look for the formation of a five-wave structure typical of Elliott Wave theory, where the upward waves push through resistance levels and the corrective waves provide buying opportunities.
Given the breakout above the descending trendline and the potential for a bullish wave structure, the current setup appears favorable for a buy, provided that support at $6 holds and volume confirms the upward move. However, maintain caution with appropriate risk management measures in place.
Gold Short: Completed wave 3Take note that this is a recounting of the waves again. I had not expected wave 3 to extend and thus even though I had previously called a short (and it worked for a super short while), that was obviously a failure.
This set up is cleaner for the waves and we can now CLEARLY see the 5-waves structure, as opposed to force-counting the last time. I'll link my last failed trade here so you can study my mistake.
Pepe - Elliot Wave UpdateTrying to keep this clean and not had much time to study the theory exactly!
What's drawing me to this pattern the most is the trend lines (brown/orange)
IF, 1,2,3,4,5 (Blue)and we've hit wave 5 already. We're very much in the corrective phase (Green).
B to C I've drawn the fib highest high to the lowest low (This is trading logic, not sure this is how waves are measured for correctve waves).
Just to provide an idea given so much uncertainty in the market. :) Need more time to check the technicals, for me this is a good start.
If I had to commit, and I will. Nothing to me at the moment looks bearish! That's my point of view. Just not spot on yet!
GOLD → Growing economic risks increase interest ↑FX:XAUUSD rallied aggressively due to high interest driven by rapidly rising economic risks, mainly related to Trump's tariffs. For selling, the risk is very high, with the stock and cryptocurrency market declines only adding to the interest in the metal
Markets are taking refuge in defensive assets amid WSJ reports of Trump's possible tariff hike of up to 20% for most US trading partners. This could trigger inflationary pressures and stagflation, weakening the dollar and bond yields, which supports the gold price.
This week all eyes are on Trump's speech on Wednesday, PMI, NonFarm Payrolls and Powell's speech
Technically, it is not worth selling now as it is high risk, and for buying we should wait for a correction to key support levels
Resistance levels: 3127
Support levels: 3103, 3091, 3085
We are not talking about any trend reversal now. It is worth waiting for a local correction or consolidation, the market will mark important levels, liquidity zones or imbalances against which you can build a trading strategy. Gold will continue to grow because of the strongly increasing risks.
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Key Level Retest. Attempt to change the trend FX:USDJPY in the correction phase is retesting the previously broken boundary of the downtrend. The market is trying to break the trend on the background of the dollar correction
The dollar is having a rather difficult life because of economic and geopolitical nuances regarding the USA, as well as high inflation. Against this background, the index may continue a deeper correction, as the rhetoric of interest rate cuts may be prolonged, which may put pressure on the markets.
The currency pair tried to overcome the downtrend resistance earlier and succeeded, but this is not enough for a trend change, it needs confirmation.
Support levels: 148.92, 148.21
Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95
If the bulls hold the defense above 148.92 - 149.5, we have a good chance to catch a trend change. It will be the readiness to go to the resistance of 150.16 range, and the breakout of this level and price fixation above it will be the confirmation of the trend change
Regards R. Linda!
BTCUSDTAccording to this analysis, if the price reaches around $70,000 in a corrective structure with a time-consuming and low momentum in the form of wave F, it may grow to around $120,000 and even higher in the form of wave G.
But it seems that the ideal buying point is around $60,000 and the origin of the breakout node. In this case, of course, we will have a strong wave F, which means that we must be a little flexible in the possible targets of wave G.
In terms of time, late June, July and early August are the ideal time areas for the end of wave F, and late 2025 and early 2026 are the time areas for the end of the two waves G.