KEYUSDT long Spot Trade / after the last correctionafter the last correction break the Base Channel and entered wave 2 territory, and as I see BTC and ETH not complete there correction wave yet, and the same case with most of the other Crypto, so that mean that the price will go deeper, which make our 5 impulse Wave Idea invalid.
KEYUSDT Elliott Wave Technical Analysis
Mode: Corrective
Position: Wave (c) from (X)
Direction: Wave (c) is still in play
Details: Wave (c) is still in play which I expected to be end around 0.0046-0.0035 which will be my entry point.
Next Direction: next higher Degrees Wave (Y)
Target :
T1: 0.010775 with 160% profits
T2: 0.0143 with 250% profits
Wave Cancel invalid level: Daily closing below 0.002348 with 40% loss.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Elliott Wave
Dollar Index - Nearing the end of a correctionThe latest update is that we are trading in an A-B-C flat correction, and more precisely in the C-wave, which should develop in 5-waves as well. It appears that 3-waves have completed and we are now in the corrective 4th wave that should be followed by one last run higher that could target 108.95/109.50. If we are right, this should hopefully be the end of the Dollar’s bull run and lead to another wave of selling
EURUSD: New Sellers Can Show Up From 1.06After a sharp drop at the end of last week, EURUSD is now attempting to stabilize. We can observe five waves up with a Sunday gap in the middle, which was eventually filled during Asian trading hours. In my opinion, this gap could act as a support level and lead to further upside, especially if the current move is a temporary wave "b" drop of a corrective rally.
Further gains are expected then in the short-term only. Keep in mind that the higher-degree trend remains bearish, and the upside could be limited once wave C unfolds. Strong resistance is seen at 1.0550–1.0610, where the whole fourth-wave rally could come to an end. Euro can turn bullish only if we see recovery above 1.0764.
GH
$SPY November 26, 2025AMEX:SPY November 26, 2025
Gap up was not sustained.
HL is still maintained.
For the rise 587.42 to 600.86 need to hold 594-596 levels for uptrend to continue in 15 minutes.
That retracement will also be 100 averages in 15 minutes.
Assuming 587.43 to 600.86 as wave 3, being a long one I expect wave to be small move from 601-603 levels.
Provided 594 is held.
Still for me not a chart to short. At the moment.
GOLD reminder "B ware wave B": bounce may be a trap for C drop Gold topped and dropped exactly to our mapped zones.
After the biggest drop in a while, we got a strong bounce.
But alas, the bounce may be a "wave B" that drops again.
$ 2695.15 - 2700.92 is MAJOR resistance that may hold the top.
$ 2643.58- 2650.09 is the KEY, if lost then wave C very likely.
$ 2506.11 - 2518.14 is the MINIMUM expected for wave C target.
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Previous Analysis calling for $2700 top:
Subsequent plot looking for $2500 bounce:
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Alphabet (GOOGL): Perfect wave reaction. This is our planWhat can we say except—just take a look at this. Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) has followed our analysis perfectly over the last two months, reacting strongly to the targeted area for wave B and selling off immediately after reaching the exact 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Fundamentally, pressure is mounting on Alphabet. Last Wednesday, U.S. prosecutors presented a case to the Department of Justice arguing that Google must sell its Chrome browser, share data and search results with rivals, and potentially sell Android to dismantle its monopoly on online search. This landmark case could reshape how users find information, creating uncertainty around Alphabet’s future operational structure.
From a technical perspective, we still anticipate more downside for $GOOGL. The level of $137.8 now appears even more significant. It aligns with the Fibonacci retracement of wave (2), the Point of Control (POC), and the wave C target—an extremely strong confluence zone. This makes $137.8 a likely magnet and a strong candidate for support, offering a potentially lucrative long setup if the price reaches this level.
We are monitoring closely to see how NASDAQ:GOOGL performs in the coming weeks and how these levels react to ongoing market conditions and DOJ pressures.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Could this be 2024’s comeback?Could we be witnessing one of the most remarkable comebacks of the year?
NASDAQ:SMCI surged an incredible 123% in just eight trading days, turning our position back into profit—a scenario that seemed unlikely not long ago. This highlights how patience in trading often pays off. The key reclaim of the Point of Control (POC) at $26.59 is a pivotal development. It’s crucial that NASDAQ:SMCI remains above this level as the week ends, which could also mark a significant monthly close.
On the technical side, NASDAQ:SMCI was oversold on the 3D timeframe for the first time since March 2020, which may partly explain the rapid recovery and increased buying pressure.
Fundamentally, last week marked the stock’s best five-day stretch on record following the appointment of BDO as its new independent auditor. This move, combined with a submitted compliance plan to Nasdaq, aims to address the delayed filing of its annual 10-K and quarterly 10-Q forms—previously threatening delisting.
If NASDAQ:SMCI successfully files these reports, investor confidence could soar, potentially driving the stock much higher. However, failure to meet these requirements could result in a sharp sell-off. While we could have added at the bottom, patience remains critical as the situation evolves. ✅
NASDAQ's bearish continuation pattern is on the move!Nasdaq make a strong spike movement to the upside early of this week..
From the technical perpective the upside movement does not seem like a strong uptrend, instead a correction / consolidation before another (maybe stronger) bearish move.
Upside movement tested the strong fibo level and forming a good potential bear flag pattern.
Watch out for breakout to the downside!
CHEEERRSS!!!
XAU/USD 24.11.2024OANDA:XAUUSD
Hello Traders,
Welcome to my chart update for the upcoming week!
Currently, we might be experiencing a small correction. I now interpret that we completed a 1-2-3 move on October 30. As a result, we could potentially be forming an ABC structure within wave 4.
Wave (A) might be seen as an ABC move, but it's too messy for me to draw it accurately. The upward movement to wave (B), however, could be counted as a 1-2-3-4-5 move.
The target for wave 5 is particularly interesting. It aligns closely with the Fibonacci entry levels from wave (B) and matches almost perfectly with my volume indicator.
So, folks, remember: don’t trade emotionally. Wait for the price to enter the target zone, and then look for signs of short volume at the specific levels. The take-profit (TP) level would be at the end of wave (C).
Wave (C) can be charted once wave (B) has been rejected. From there, we would expect a 1-2-3-4-5 setup downward, with the fifth wave marking the (C) target.
Good luck, and stay calm!
XAG/USD 20.11.2024FXOPEN:XAGUSD
Hello Traders,
Here are my thoughts for the coming days/weeks/months, based on the Elliott Wave method:
It’s clear that we’ve topped out at wave (3).I anticipate seeing an ABC correction forming within the overall wave A to B. Fibonacci target levels for the smaller wave C can be drawn once wave B is established.
My plan is to short at the 78% Fibonacci level where also a high volume area is, stopploss would be above the last high take profit would be all the way down to wave 4. Along the way, I’m looking for a clean 1-2-3-4-5 setup from the larger wave (B) to the larger wave (C).
If you have any questions, feel free to ask! ;)
GOLD → An unexpected shakeup. What's next? 2700 or 2600?FX:XAUUSD closed the session perfectly on Friday, hinting that it was preparing to move up to conquer the highs. But Monday morning's news shook up the market, eliminating buyers. What happened and what to expect?
Gold's decline in the Asian session was due to news from the Middle East, with Israel tentatively approving a ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah in Lebanon.
But, on the other hand - the escalation of the conflict in Eastern Europe, where the situation has become more complicated to some critical limits over the past few weeks. This is a two-edged sword.
The market will react to any news coming from the two regions. No economic news is expected on Monday.
Technically, the focus is on the sideways range of 2731 - 2660 and internal levels, among which the price may look for support....
Resistance levels: 2673, 2689, 2731
Support levels: 2660, 2643
If the price consolidates above 2673, then we should wait for a retest of 2689 (0.5 fibo). If the bulls continue to press the market, the gold may test 2721.
But if the bears hold 0.5-0.7 fibo and retest 2660, then we should wait for a correction to the zones of interest and liquidity before a possible pullback
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → False breakdown of uptrend supportFX:USDJPY is forming a false breakdown of the support of the ascending price channel. On the background of the dollar rally and strong sales of the Japanese national currency, it can be a good signal for the continuation of growth
On D1 we can clearly see the upward, bullish market structure. There are no deep corrections, strong fundamental background and aggressive support from the rallying dollar. This picture may have a medium-term character and the market has a chance to test the ATH, provided that Japan does not start to take any measures to strengthen the JPY.
Technically, the currency pair is consolidating above the strong support at 153.9 and intends to go even higher. There are two strong resistances ahead.
Support levels: 153.9, 153.5, 152.2
Resistance levels: 155.36, 155.8, 156.7
Accordingly, a price fixation above trend support or above 155.4 will be a good signal that we are ready to go up
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDJPY ;)
Regards R. Linda!
APE → Consolidation before a possible rally. Focus on 1.200BINANCE:APEUSDT is forging a consolidation within an ascending price channel after the dump, this is a hint that the coin is getting ready to go up.
Smoothly the global trend is changing to bullish. The alt season could start any minute and everything partly depends on bitcoin's dominance in the market, which is gradually decreasing as BTC approaches the psychological level of 100K.
Technically, APE is forming a consolidation with 1.200 as resistance and 0.90 as support, but within this range, an upward channel is forming, indicating that buyers are starting to intervene in the game, gathering potential for further upside.
A break of 1.200 could trigger a bull run towards 1.44 - 1.800.
Resistance levels: 1.200
Support levels: 1.032, 0.963, 0.9
Technically, we can say that an ascending triangle is forming against 1.200. I do not exclude the fact that the price may test the support before further growth, as altcoins react extremely aggressively to any weak corrections of bitcoin. But, I would prioritize trading on a break of 1.200 resistance with the aim of further growth
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:APEUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
BUY OPPORTUNITY COMINGPLTR has been slow to get off the ground, but treading below 30 has proven to be strong long term accumulation. That said, while the structure is a little unclear due to it’s recent parabolic nature, there is evidence in possible counts that a pullback is near, and will possibly create a buying opportunity. With the lack of weekly divergence, I would lean toward a wave three top being near, with a target in the 70 zone. The wave 4 pullback will like target the 50 zone, but could be as low as the 40 zone. If correct, I see value in buying the dip for long term growth.
USDCAD_1Dhello
US dollar to Canadian dollar analysis Daily and mid-term time frame Elliott wave analysis style The market is rising in 5 Elliott waves, which is currently correcting in wave 4, wave 4 can complete its abcde in wave 5 and continue to climb again to complete wave 5. The support of wave 4 is 1.38465 The target of wave 5 is 1.41767 and 1.42660.
GBPUSD_4H_Sellhello
English pound analysis In the medium term time frame Elliott wave analysis style
The market is falling in 5 Elliott waves, which is currently in correction wave 4, and after completing these five correction waves, abcde can complete its final decline as wave 5. Resistance 1.26666 The important number in the medium term is 1.25800 Wave 5 targets are 1.24333 and 1.23555
AVAX in a beast modePublished this idea earlier. I can assume an extension - we observe 3 1-2 fractals, so the take-off should be parabolic. Watch out for the dynamic moving averages to support this trend - SMA5 and EMA21.
As always, mind your risks and be humble. Volatility bring opportunities, as well as increased risks if you can not calculate your risks, especially for the highly-leveraged positions