IREDA (Indian Renewable Energy) - Elliott Wave AnalysisCurrent Market Structure:
The chart suggests that IREDA is undergoing a Wave (2) correction after completing a strong impulsive Wave (1).
The corrective phase is labeled as an A-B-C structure, indicating a possible end to the pullback in the coming weeks or months.
Wave Count & Key Levels:
Wave A initiated the downward correction, followed by Wave B retracement, and now Wave C is in progress, subdividing into a five-wave pattern.
The projected completion zone for Wave (2) is highlighted in the ₹50–₹80 range, aligning with Fibonacci extensions and previous structural support.
An additional 1.618 Fibonacci extension target is placed near ₹23.78, though this would be an extreme case.
Outlook & Strategy:
If the price reaches the projected support zone and shows a strong reversal, it could indicate the beginning of a Wave (3) uptrend.
A confirmed break above key resistance levels and trendlines would strengthen the bullish case.
However, if selling pressure continues, a deeper correction toward the extreme target cannot be ruled out.
🚨 Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading signals. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst or advisor. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any financial decisions. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. I may be completely wrong in my analysis. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Elliott Wave
Silver Wave Analysis – 21 March 2025
- Silver reversed from resistance level 34.00
- Likely to fall to support level 32.00
Silver recently reversed down from the key resistance level 34.00 (which stopped the previous intermediate impose wave (3) at the end of October) standing close to the upper weekly Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 34.00 stopped the previous impulse wave 3 of the higher order impulse wave (5) from the end of 2024.
Given the strength of the resistance level 34.00 and the overbought weekly Stochastic, USDCHF can be expected to fall to the next support level 32.00.
USDCHF Wave Analysis – 21 March 2025
- USDCHF reversed from support level 0,8750
- Likely to fall to support level 208.00
USDCHF currency pair recently reversed from the pivotal support level 0,8750 (former strong support from December and the start of March) standing close to the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from September.
The upward reversal from the support level 0,8750 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Morning Star.
USDCHF can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.8850 (top of the previous minor correction ii).
DKNG Update | Crash AheadOne of the best fractal overlays I've seen with some Elliott Waves to go with it.
Price is still in a uptrend but with growing sellers It'll come to an end similar to the last fractal.
During the 3rd wave in the last pattern price experienced its first pullback at (B), and its second at correction wave 4 and the third after the last wave before we witnessed the last push in buyers.
This current cycle price is in a similar stage with a swing low at (b) meaning that we could see another run-up towards major resistance ($63).
This would be the final blow-off-top in general markets. TVC:RUT is already showing signs of weakness which works well with this TA example.
When the time is right I'll do another TA for the downfall. For now I'm bullish but for the horizon I'm very bearish.
EURUSD | 4H | WAIT BREAKOUTHey there, Traders,
I’ve put together an analysis for EUR/USD. Right now, I’m watching it like a hunter, waiting for a breakout. As soon as it happens, I’ll drop updates right here under this analysis.
Big thanks to everyone who supports me with likes—you guys are awesome!
God bless you all
GOLD → Consolidation (correction) before growth to $3100FX:XAUUSD is going into consolidation after strong growth on the back of dollar correction. The metal may test deeper support areas before attempting a new high
Gold is correcting, but remains in an uptrend
The decline in quotations may be seen as a buying opportunity, given the economic uncertainty due to Trump's tariffs and expectations of Fed rate cuts.
The Fed reiterated its forecast of two rate cuts in 2025 despite Powell's cautious comments. Gold is further supported by rising inflation risks and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Resistance levels: 3045, 3057
Support levels: 3024, trending, 3004
Reaction to support is weakening, even amid the uptrend. Gold may stay in this consolidation until the middle of next week, or it may try to break out of the consolidation to retest deeper support zones, such as the rising trend line or the 3004 imbalance zone, from which the growth may resume.
Regards R. Linda!
World Index Shows 5Th Wave Is Still MissingWorld Index ETF with ticker TSX:XWD has extended its rally for 261,8% Fibonacci retracement, which is ideal zone for wave 3, so current slow down can be just a higher degree ABC correction in wave 4. It’s now testing interesting and important textbook support at the former wave 4 swing low and 38,2% Fibonacci support area, from where we may see a bullish resumption for wave 5 this year. Invalidation level is at 90.
Gold (XAU/USD) Short-Term Analysis – Elliott Wave & Fibonacci Technical Overview
Current Price Action: Gold is currently in a corrective phase after a strong impulsive move upward.
Elliott Wave Count: The structure indicates that Gold has completed Wave 3 and is now retracing into Wave 4, which is expected to find support before moving higher into Wave 5.
Bearish Divergence on AO (Awesome Oscillator): The AO indicator is forming a bearish divergence, indicating weakening bullish momentum, which supports the current correction.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels for Wave 4
23.6% Retracement: $2,918 (shallow pullback, less likely to hold)
38.2% Retracement: $2,876 (moderate correction, potential support zone)
50% Retracement: $2,857 (stronger support)
61.8% Retracement: $2,825 (deep correction, ideal for Wave 4 completion)
Potential Price Movement (Wave 4 & Wave 5 Projection)
Expecting Wave 4 to complete around the 38.2%–50% retracement zone ($2,876–$2,857).
If the price holds this level, Wave 5 target could be projected using Fibonacci extensions:
1.272 Extension: $3,037
1.618 Extension: $3,057
Key Confirmation for Next Move
A bounce from the $2,857–$2,825 zone with increasing bullish momentum on AO will confirm Wave 4 completion.
If Gold breaks below $2,825, it may indicate a deeper correction instead of Wave 4.
If the price moves back above $2,970, bullish momentum will strengthen towards Wave 5 targets.
Volume Consideration
The volume is currently decreasing, indicating a temporary pullback rather than a trend reversal.
A spike in volume near Fibonacci support zones will confirm buying interest and increase confidence in Wave 5.
Conclusion
Short-term bias: Bearish correction towards $2,857–$2,825, then bullish continuation in Wave 5.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $2,857, $2,825
Resistance: $2,970, $3,037, $3,057
Disclaimer -
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a certified financial professional before making any trading decisions.
EURJPY → False breakout of key resistance ...FX:EURJPY is forming a false breakdown of resistance and draws us a reversal pattern against the upper boundary of the descending price channel, as well as the pressure on the market creates the correction of the dollar...
On the daily chart the structure is bearish. After the false breakout of the global resistance a correction is formed, within which the price can test the imbalance zone or the previously broken resistance and continue its fall after the liquidity capture. The global trend is neutral and in this case it is worth considering local support levels as targets
Resistance levels: channel boundary, 162.3, 163.0
Support levels: 160.84, 158.9
A retest of the channel resistance or the area of 162.4 - 163 is possible. But any return of the price under the resistance of the descending channel and consolidation of the price in the selling zone may provoke further decline
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin at Key Resistance – Will Bears Take Control?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise as I expected in the previous posts .
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) , the upper line of the Ascending Channel , and the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave Y .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to start declining from the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) again, the first target could be $83,400 and the second target can be the CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) filling.
Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) we can expect more pumps.
This analysis is in line with the following analysis that I shared with you on the weekly timeframe. 👇
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Apple Wave Analysis – 20 March 2025
- Apple reversed from resistance level 220.00
- Likely to fall to support level 208.00
Apple recently reversed down from the pivotal resistance level 220.00 (former strong support from November and January, acting as the resistance level after it was broken previously).
The donwward reversal from this resistance level 220.00 stopped the previous short-term correction 4 – which belongs to wave (C) from February.
Apple can be expected to fall to the next support level 208.00 (which reversed the price earlier this month).
IBM Wave Analysis – 20 March 2025
- IBM reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 253.00
IBM recently reversed up from the support zone between the pivotal support level 240.00 (former multi-month high from December), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from November.
The upward reversal from this support zone will likely form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Long-legged Doji – strong buy signal for IBM.
Given the clear daily uptrend, IBM can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 253.00 (which reversed the price twice earlier this month).
EURUSD Bulls Eyeing FOMC–Will Powell’s Dovish Tone Fuel a Rally?As we approach the much-anticipated FOMC rate decision and Powell’s press conference , market sentiment is shifting, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) traders are closely watching for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next move . With recent economic data pointing to signs of slowing growth and cooling inflation, the Fed might adopt a more dovish tone , fueling further upside for EURUSD .
Key Factors Driving the Bullish Outlook :
Inflation & Economic Data : CPI and PPI data indicate a gradual cooling of inflation, which strengthens the case for a potential rate cut later this year. If Powell acknowledges this shift, it could weigh on the dollar.
Market Pricing of Rate Cuts : Investors are already pricing in multiple Fed rate cuts for 2024. A dovish Powell could accelerate these expectations, weakening USD and pushing the EURUSD higher.
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Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 2-hour time frame .
EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) and Yearly Resistance(1) .
Regarding Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has managed to complete the main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 is the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
The main wave 5 is likely to complete near the upper line of the ascending channel(possible) and Monthly Resistance(4) .
I expect EURUSD to rise in the coming hours to the targets I have indicated on the chart, although the Federal Reserve Conference could create long shadows , but I think the supply and demand zones will still work but still pay more attention to money management today .
Note: If EURUSD can break below the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , there is a possibility of further decline in EURUSD.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Nasdaq: Wave A Done – Now Lining Up for a Strong BounceThe Nasdaq is starting to look really interesting here. In my view, we've completed Wave ((a)) to the downside—a clean (abc) correction. Why do I think it's done? Because we've just tapped into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and saw a strong reaction, just above last year’s VWAP, which I always consider a key reference point on the higher time frame.
Ideally, I would have liked to see that 19,090 level get tagged—unfortunately, we didn’t quite reach it. But honestly, this reaction is solid enough to still keep the bullish scenario intact.
Adding to that, the RSI is now in oversold territory, and the last two times we’ve seen that, it was followed by strong upward moves. Based on all of this, I’m expecting a solid bounce over the coming weeks, likely lasting into Q1 or even Q2 2025 .
Where could this move take us? I see two key zones: the first between 22,000 and 22,425 and the second between 23,320 and 23,675. Could it land somewhere in between? Sure. But one of those zones is where I expect this corrective structure to wrap up. That would likely complete the larger ((abc)) correction, after which we’ll finally begin forming the macro Wave A—which will open the next big leg of structure.
So the bigger picture is in play here. In the meantime, I’ll be hunting for entries on the lower time frames, because I do think we’re setting up for a pretty solid push on this index in the coming weeks.
Navigating XRP Regulatory Winds and Technical TidesThe crypto sphere remains fixated on XRP, a digital asset perpetually caught between regulatory scrutiny and promising technological advancements. Recent developments, including the delayed decision on a potential XRP ETF, the nearing conclusion of the SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit, and the launch of CFTC-regulated XRP futures, have injected fresh volatility and speculation into XRP's price trajectory.
ETF Delay and SEC Lawsuit: A Tale of Two Catalysts
The anticipation surrounding a potential XRP Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) has been palpable. However, the recent delay in the SEC's decision has tempered immediate expectations. While a positive verdict would undoubtedly trigger a massive price surge, the postponement underscores the regulatory hurdles still facing the cryptocurrency market.
Conversely, the long-standing legal battle between Ripple and the SEC is seemingly approaching its denouement. Reports suggest the SEC is considering dropping the case against Ripple, a development that has already spurred significant price appreciation. The dismissal of the lawsuit, even if partial, would provide much-needed regulatory clarity, significantly boosting investor confidence. This potential resolution drove XRP up 12+% to $2.50, indicating the market's sensitivity to legal outcomes.
Technical Analysis: Charting a Course to New Highs
From a technical standpoint, XRP's price action displays a complex interplay of support and resistance levels. A critical resistance zone lies between $2.60 and $2.89. Overcoming this barrier is crucial for XRP to unlock its full potential and embark on a sustained upward trend. However, XRP has shown resilience, maintaining support above the $2.0 mark, which suggests underlying strength.
Analyzing the Elliott Wave theory, some analysts suggest XRP is currently in a corrective Wave 4. Within this framework, the $2.66 level emerges as a pivotal point. Breaking above this level would signal the completion of Wave 4 and the initiation of Wave 5, potentially leading to new all-time highs. This wave count, while speculative, provides a valuable framework for understanding potential price movements.
Conversely, trading below the 100-day moving average (MA) presents a significant setback for XRP buyers. This would signal a potential shift in momentum and could lead to further downward pressure. Investors should closely monitor this MA as a key indicator of short-term price direction.
Bitnomial's XRP Futures: Bridging Traditional and Crypto Markets
The launch of Bitnomial's CFTC-regulated XRP futures marks a significant milestone for the asset. This development provides institutional investors with a regulated avenue to gain exposure to XRP, potentially increasing liquidity and market depth. This regulated futures market may also provide more price stability, while also providing a tool for shorting XRP.
How High Can XRP Price Go After a Ripple Victory?
The question on everyone's mind is: how high can XRP soar if Ripple secures a decisive victory against the SEC? Predicting exact price targets is inherently challenging, but several factors suggest a bullish outlook.
Firstly, regulatory clarity would remove a major overhang that has suppressed XRP's price for years. This newfound certainty would attract a wave of institutional and retail investors who have previously been hesitant to invest due to legal uncertainties.
Secondly, Ripple's continued expansion and adoption of its technology, particularly in the cross-border payments sector, positions XRP for long-term growth. The increasing demand for efficient and cost-effective payment solutions could further fuel XRP's price appreciation.
Thirdly, the psychological impact of a legal victory should not be underestimated. It would validate XRP's legitimacy as a digital asset and potentially trigger a FOMO (fear of missing out) rally.
Based on these factors, some analysts speculate that XRP could potentially retest and surpass its previous all-time high, potentially reaching double-digit valuations. However, the timing and magnitude of such a surge remain subject to market dynamics and regulatory developments.
Why Is XRP Surging? The Convergence of Catalysts
The recent surge in XRP's price can be attributed to a convergence of positive catalysts. The nearing conclusion of the SEC lawsuit, coupled with the launch of CFTC-regulated XRP futures, has created a perfect storm of bullish sentiment.
Furthermore, general market sentiment towards cryptocurrencies has been improving, with increasing institutional adoption and growing awareness of the technology's potential.
Navigating the Volatility: A Word of Caution
While the outlook for XRP appears promising, investors should remain cognizant of the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. Regulatory developments, market sentiment, and technical factors can all significantly impact price movements.
Therefore, investors should conduct thorough research, manage their risk prudently, and avoid making impulsive decisions based on short-term price fluctuations.
In conclusion, XRP is navigating a complex landscape of regulatory headwinds and technological tailwinds. The nearing conclusion of the SEC lawsuit, coupled with the launch of regulated futures, presents a compelling case for a bullish outlook. However, investors should remain vigilant and exercise caution as they navigate the volatile crypto market. The interplay of legal outcomes, technical analysis, and market sentiment will ultimately determine XRP's future trajectory.
MSFT morning analysisI don't normally apply Elliott Wave Theory to individual stocks, but MSFT is about as clean as it gets.
Wave 2 is a zigzag of long duration, wave 4 is a triple-three of relatively short duration.
RSI with bearish divergence.
If this proves to be correct, the ultimate buy/long would be back towards the March 2020/COVID low (white rectangle).
$SPY March 20, 2025AMEX:SPY March 20, 2025
15 Minutes.
For the extension 559.07 to 566.3 to 562.05 100% move is done yesterday making a high 570.95.
For the last rise 562.05 to 570.95 holding 565 is important else i expect a side moving average consolidation around 562 563 levels so that 50, 100 and 200 gets sorted out in order.