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Elliott Wave

Solana Elliott Wave Analysis – Last Low Before Reversal?MEXC:SOLUSDT We are currently in a downtrend, looking for one final low before a counter-move takes place. In my chart, we are in a blue (4) to blue (5) wave. Within this wave count, I am now looking for an ABC structure, which will lead us to the blue (5) wave. At the moment, we are in the yellow A-B-C wave, approaching the end of yellow C, which is expected to top out around 148 USDT. After that, I anticipate a red A-B-C correction, bringing us first to 129 USDT, before a possible move up to red C at 170 USDT. 🚨 Key Levels & Indicators: If the price reverses at 170 USDT, I would consider the green wave count active. However, if we break above the white line at 180 USDT, the bearish trend is invalid, and bulls take control. A short-term pullback is expected between 147–148 USDT (max. 149 USDT) – there might be small overshoots, so don't set stop-loss too tight. RSI is currently overextended, sitting around 75, which indicates the market is heavily overbought. The MACD is also showing a potential reversal point, further supporting the idea of an upcoming correction. Overall, we are in a very overbought market, and signs of a reversal are building up. I'll be watching closely to see if the market is still acting bearish – stay sharp and trade safely! 🚀
Short
by ElliotXSolana
S&P 500 Setting Up for a Breakout – But Not Before One More TrapAs I’ve said before, the FOREXCOM:SPX500 is a key reference for my crypto trading . That’s why I sat down and took a closer look at the chart – and I’m now ready to place a limit order , based on what I’m seeing. I believe we’re still in a correction phase , and it’s far from over . However, I think it’s realistic that we’ll see a move toward $5,832 next week . Before that happens, I expect either today’s Monday Low or next week’s Previous Weekly Low to get swept, ideally triggering a dip into the 12-hour Fair Value Gap just below. That’s where I see my entry zone forming. It’s also the exact area where Wave B overshoots the starting point of Wave ABC, making it a clean Flat correction pattern, with Wave C completing to the downside before we get a solid move upward. I’m setting my stop-loss below the $5,500 low. If this setup plays out, I expect the S&P to push toward $5,832 , and after that, I’m anticipating a larger correction that could take the index back down to $5,500 or even $5,450 over the coming weeks. Timing remains unclear for that move after, but the structure is here , and I’m looking forward to seeing how it plays out.
FX:SPX500Long
by stromm
GOOGL: Bullish Bounce Before a Bigger Drop? Here's My RoadmapGoogle NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL is shaping up to look bullish in the short term, and I believe that in the next few weeks to months, we could see a solid upside move - before things could turn ugly again later on. Let me explain why. Big picture: we’re currently in a Wave (2) corrective structure, which is playing out as a complex WXY correction (marked in orange). This type of correction follows a 3-3-3 wave pattern, and everything we’ve seen so far fits that structure. Since the top in February, NASDAQ:GOOGL has dropped around 24% , which is significant - but also not unexpected within this context. What’s interesting now is that we’ve just printed a bullish divergence on the RSI for the first time in this move down. That’s the first green flag. The second? The lower wick, which I currently mark as sub-wave ((a)) has been very well respected so far. That’s the second sign that this could be the turning point - at least temporarily. I’m expecting a move up in the coming weeks toward the 2024 VAH, around $178, where we could see a first rejection. From there, the price should continue higher in a 3-wave structure toward Wave ((b)), likely reaching between $187.80 and $196.30 (the 61.8% to 78.6% retracement zone). But let’s be clear: this is not the start of a new bullish trend. After Wave ((b)), I expect a 5-wave move to the downside, completing Wave ((c)) - and that means lower prices ahead , potentially in Q3, Q4 2025 or even into 2026. Until then, I’m keeping a close eye on this structure. As long as the current Wave ((a)) low holds, this short-term bullish scenario remains valid. If we get a strong breakout in the coming days / weeks, I’ll be looking to enter on a retest, targeting that $187.80–$196.28 zone. Let’s see if the market plays it my way. Make sure to follow me for future updates on this scenario and other setups !
NASDAQ:GOOGLShort
by stromm
AMD UpdateThose of you that follow my AMD posts, you know that price came into my 1.382 target area @ $95.16 almost two weeks ago. Since then, I have been stating that I would prefer to see another low down to the $85-$87 area, but it is not required for the pattern to be complete. This move off of the 11 March bottom looks like a sloppy 5-wave move. If you know me, you know I instantly start to think of a corrective pattern as impulsive waves are normally decisive and leave little to the imagination. That being said, a corrective pattern could be pointing to the initial a wave of intermediate (B), or it could be the last wave 4 of c of C of (A). Wave (B) would be pointing to the $160-$190 area, whereas the latter would be pointing to another drop in the $85-$87 range. MACD looks like it needs to drop and RSI shows AMD is overbought. These technicals point lower, but you should be asking yourself: how low? I still plan on buying in if price can make it down to the 1.618. If it doesn't make it to this area, I will remain on the sidelines until I can get a better entry point. Hopefully we can get some more clarity this week.
NASDAQ:AMD
by TSuth
HSI Short: Break of TrendlineIn my 18th March 2025 idea on Hang Seng Index, I said that an ending diagonal has formed for HSI and to prepare to short (linked in this idea). I also reiterate that it will be a sharp move down because that's what proceeds from an ending diagonal. Hang Seng Index had falled almost 1400 points since then. So what now? I believe that it is still a short because technically, it has broken a trendline. If you still have short position, you can adjust your stop loss just above the trendline. But if you have no position and is waiting to enter, my recommendation is to scale in your shorts, but definitely short it if and when price moves up to the trendline because support should turn into resistance. Good luck!
OANDA:HK33HKDShort
by yuchaosng
Levels in LINK: Breakdown or Breakout?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! ### **Technical Overview** - **Current Price**: $14.35 (approx.) - **Trend Structure**: Elliott Wave count suggests Wave 3 has wrapped up. Wave 4 and 5 are likely next. --- ### **Key Observations** - **Impulse Invalidation Level**: $19.190 → A break above this invalidates the current bearish impulse. - **Bullish Barriers**: - *Minor Resistance*: $15.002 - *Major Resistance*: $17.677 These are the key spots bulls need to reclaim to regain control. - **Crucial Support**: $12.426 → If this breaks, expect more downside—likely toward the final Wave 5 zone. - **Bearish Target**: $9.283 → Probable landing spot for Wave 5 (of C). Could shape up as a longer-term accumulation zone. --- ### **Elliott Wave Context** - A possible running or expanded flat scenario is in play, with Wave (B) topping around the 1.382 extension. - Wave 3 appears to have completed near the 1.618 extension, a textbook zone for this kind of move. --- ### **Potential Scenarios** 1. **Bullish Reversal Case**: - Price reclaims $15.00 and ideally $17.677. - The bearish count falls apart. 2. **Bearish Continuation Case**: - Price stalls under resistance. - A break of $12.426 sets the stage for continuation down to $9.283. 3. **Neutral Scenario**: - Choppy consolidation between $12.5–$15 while the market sorts itself out. --- ### **Strategic Considerations** - **Short-term Bulls**: Watch $15–$17.6. Any strong reclaim could offer clean long setups. - **Bears & Shorts**: Prime fade zone if price gets rejected near resistance. - **Long-term Investors**: If we hit $9.283, that’s a potential loading zone for the next cycle. Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
COINBASE:LINKUSDLong
by CryptoKnee
2
Bitcoin’s Next Move – Another Attack on Resistance zone?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) fell to $83,400 as I expected in the previous analysis , the question is whether Bitcoin will continue to decline or not. Please stay with me. Bitcoin is moving in the Support zone($84,120_$81,500) and near the Support lines . The way Bitcoin has moved and decreased since yesterday until now has been such that it seems that Bitcoin can attack the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) at least once more. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , given Bitcoin’s movements over the past few hours, it appears that Bitcoin is completing a microwave B of the main wave Y . I expect Bitcoin to be able to attack the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) once again and if it breaks, I have marked the next targets on the chart . Do you think Bitcoin can touch $90,000 again? Note: If Bitcoin goes below $81,800, we can expect more dumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
45
Bitcoin - This bear flag will send BTC to 72,000! (sell now)The whole crypto market and Bitcoin are crashing, and it looks like 2025 will be a very red year! From a bitcoin cycle's perspective, bitcoin has entered a bear market. Let's look at the latest technical analysis on the 6H chart. Bitcoin hit a new all-time high on January 20, exactly the same day as Trump's first day in office. Thereafter, Bitcoin has been crashing. Currently, the price prints a bearish flag on the 1H chart and a descending channel on the 6H chart. As long as Bitcoin is inside this descending channel, we have to stay bearish and trade with the trend until the end. This bear flag is also a problem because you would rather not see such patterns in a bull market in general. My next target is 72k, from here we could expect a bounce. Why 72k? Because it's the Fibonacci retracement of the previous major wave from 49k to 110k. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Short
by Xanrox
110
Is altseason soon?Hi, traders 👋 I’d like to share my thoughts and observations regarding Bitcoin dominance and the timing of the long-awaited altseason. In general, I like to determine the phase altcoins are in by analyzing one of the oldest representatives of this group — Litecoin. Like other financial instruments, cryptocurrency tends to follow certain patterns. Although each cycle comes with its own unique characteristics, historical similarities are often present. Let’s take a look at the Litecoin chart. When reviewing the chart, we can see a number of similarities with the previous cycle. Based on this, and if we assume that markets are cyclical and certain chart patterns and behaviors tend to repeat, it appears we are currently either in the equivalent of March or September 2020. The case for March is supported by the fact that we haven’t yet seen a final liquidity sweep according to the Wyckoff model — the so-called “spring” phase. On the other hand, the case for September is supported by the timing following the end of the previous bear market phase. Now, let’s take a look at the Bitcoin dominance chart. In this cycle, the dominance chart has been showing clear and reliable chart patterns. The pattern that has been forming since November 21, 2024, could potentially be either a Wolfe wave or an ending diagonal triangle according to Elliott Wave theory. At the moment, waves 1, 2, and 3 are clearly visible, and wave 4 is currently in the process of forming. There is also a clear alternation between waves 2 and 4, which strengthens this observation. If the assumption about the Wolfe wave pattern is correct, we should still see one final push higher in Bitcoin dominance as part of wave 5. This would likely lead to a further decline in altcoins. In that case, referring back to the Litecoin chart analysis, it would confirm that we are currently in the equivalent of March 2020. I’m glad to share my observations with you.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by CapitalHustle
1
NIFTY50.....One more leg up?Hello Traders, the NIFTY50 has run into my cited price area I mentioned, ranging from 23038 to 23785. This is a wide range, but these are the facts! One open target is @ 23502 area. Here a decision will be made, whether it was it was the short coverage or just the end of wave v of ((iii)) of c!? On the daily chart to observe is the fact, that price has popped above the upper boundary of the trend-channel. Typically, a retest of the area is to wait for, but not sure. So, if price bounce back to 23000 zone, at least the trend has to be continued for 2–3 days. Keep in mind, that a bull-run for this length is typically followed by a longer lasting corrective move. So, a second probability for this scenario is a triple correction, that is developing in a w-x-y-x²-z pattern. Note the blue arrow at the chart. I have left this one unchanged to visualize the price area I have expected! I will observe the coming pattern on Monday – Tuesday and update the count for you. Have a great weekend..... Ruebennase Please ask or comment as appropriate. Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
NSE:NIFTY
by ruebennase
5
US100 – Elliott Wave Count & Expanding Flat ScenarioThis chart reflects my interpretation of the Elliott Wave principle, focusing on the rule of alternation. I've mapped a running flat in wave (II) and an expanding flat in wave (IV), which feels valid in this structure. Currently, I'm tracking the final stages of wave 5 in the weekly count – potentially setting up for a daily leg higher into wave (V). Key levels to watch: Weekly vector body: 5,928 Daily vector body: 6,110 Final target zone: around 6,200+ Human behavior doesn’t change — the cycle will always repeat. The carry trade could unwind at point X or at the end of daily wave 5. Let’s see how it plays out. This is not financial advice – purely my perspective for learning and discussion.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by The_Market_Architect
Will AAPL temporarily go below 205 this week?My overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I have been wrong many times before so I will just take this thing in stages and see if it plays out. After this massive decline, we should be in for a great market rally of many decades. While the market has seen a brief rally, the primary question is when will the rally end? Friday turned in mix answers to that question. The next step in my opinion will be a decline, possibly sharp with a quick bottom in some sectors AHEAD of the reciprocal tariff deadline on April 2. My wave 3 indicator tends to signal wave 3s and 3 of 3s with additional end of wave (overbought/sold) conditions. See my scripts for the specifics of the indicator. It currently signaled 3 of 3 based on the bottom in mid-March meaning another drop is likely soon. While the other stocks I have studied mainly topped at all-time highs in mid to late February, AAPL topped at the end of 2024. The movement of AAPL may be a leading indicator of future market movement as the market appears to be trading as a micro wave structure inside of AAPL's more macro movement. My market expectations are for their first semi-major wave 1s to end within the next few weeks. Each wave 1 will be followed by a multi week wave 2 up. AAPL may end its wave 3 structure (yellow 3) when the others finish their wave 1s. AAPL would then experience wave 4 up, when the other stocks and S&P 500 index experience their second wave. This chart applies select movement extensions based on wave 1's movement on the left and then another based on wave 3's movement on the right. I keep the values between 0%-100% on the chart for wave 2s and 4s retracements of the preceding wave's movement for reference even though the retracement values would be inverted. I will refer to the yellow waves a Minor waves and the green as Minute waves. The extension/retracement data on the left is based on Minor wave 1's movement and is applicable to Minor waves 2 and 3. It provides a rough location of levels for Minor wave 3 to end. The extension on the right attempts to determine Minute wave 5's end points based on Minute wave 3. An intersection of Minor wave 1 extension levels and Minute wave 3 extension levels are general targets for bottoms. One of these is between 203-204 for AAPL. Lastly, I apply similar levels to determine Minor wave 3's length based on Minor wave 1's length of 45 bars (on the 3 hour chart). Minor wave 3 is currently longer than 45 bars. The vertical dashed bars provide similar locations with the next vertical bar occurring on the morning of Monday March 31. I am therefore watching to see if the next bottom for AAPL occurs at this time. If this bottom truly comes into focus, I will then attempt to forecast Minor wave 4 for AAPL which could occur in late April.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by StockSignaler