AUDCHF → Hunting for liquidity. Fall from resistanceFX:AUDCHF is emerging from local consolidation and entering a distribution phase. Potentially, against the backdrop of a downtrend, the market may be interested in the liquidity zone at 0.5356
Globally, we have a strong downtrend and a countertrend correction that is facing pressure in the 0.545 zone. The decline is resuming, but at some point the market formed an EQH liquidity pool at 0.5356, which is most likely acting as a magnet pulling the price towards it...
Based on the technical situation, we can conclude that if the price continues to form a distribution towards the target, the market is quite capable of stopping the price and returning to the downtrend phase.
Resistance levels: 0.535, 0.5356
Support levels: 0.5327, 0.5314
Thus, a breakout of the resistance level of 0.5356 without the possibility of continuing growth and a return of the price below the resistance level with subsequent price consolidation in the sales zone (below 0.5356) may trigger a resumption of the downward trend.
Best regards, R. Lind
Elliott Wave
EWTSU XAUUSD H4 subminuette iv update
Elliott Wave Trade Set Up H4 subminuette iv update
to confirme the end of wxy corrective pattern
price must break out definitively in an impulsive mode the 3435 level
right now submicro wave (3) looks in progress - target 3367
invalidation: first level of alarm - price under 3227
USDJPYCurrently, the price seems to be forming corrective wave (b), with a potential upward move toward the 144.78 – 145.45 area as wave (c). After that, a new bearish wave (wave 3) may begin, with targets around 141.36 and 139.03 . This analysis is based on Elliott Wave structure and Fibonacci retracement levels.
Stronger U.S. JOLTS Data Pressures EURUSD!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) failed to break the Resistance zone($1.1487-$1.1424) and started to fall again , breaking the Support lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has managed to complete the main wave X of the Double Three Correction(WXY) structure .
Just moments ago, the U.S. JOLTS Job Openings data was released.
-------------------------------
Actual: 7.39M
Forecast: 7.11M
Previous: 7.19M
The stronger-than-expected JOLTS figure at 7.39 million signals a resilient labor market. This reduces recession fears and increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates elevated for longer.
Bullish for the U.S. Dollar( TVC:DXY )
Bearish pressure could hit EURUSD, especially if it's approaching the key resistance zone.
-------------------------------
I expect EURUSD to start to fall again after the pullback to the Support lines and to fall to the targets I have specified on the chart.
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.14580(Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect a failure of the Resistance zone($1.1487-$1.1424).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin - 97,665 soon! Big drop on altcoins... (Buy here)I hope you sold in May and went away, as I recommended in my previous posts! If not, you probably wonder why Bitcoin is going down.
From a technical point of view, Bitcoin is breaking down out of the ascending parallel channel of the main uptrend from 74k to 112k. This is huge! Altcoins are already bleeding hard, and Bitcoin will go to 97,665 in the immediate short term. Why is this level so important? First of all, it's the 0.382 FIB level of the previous uptrend, and there is also an unfilled FVG (Fair Value Gap). This is a great level to buy Bitcoin for the next major wave to the upside.
The next strong level would be the 0.618 FIB and FVG2. These 2 Fibonacci levels are the strongest of all of them because of the golden ratio pattern and 0.618 + 0.382 = 1.000.
What we can also see on the chart is a symmetrical triangle inside this ascending channel. Usually the price wants to take liquidity above and below triangles, so be careful. There is an extremely high chance of sweeping liquidity below this symmetrical triangle. From the Elliott Wave perspective, we have finished the impulse wave 12345, and we are starting a huge ABC corrective pattern. Usually we want to look for a buying opportunity at the 0.382, 0.500, or 0.618 FIB levels.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
EURCAD's Triangle Hints Drop AheadThe correction looks like a contracting triangle, which is a common pattern in Elliott Wave theory. This kind of triangle usually forms during wave B or wave 4. It includes five smaller waves labeled A, B, C, D, and E, which move within two sloping lines that get closer together. There is also a demand zone marked in red on the chart.
Triangles often show a pause in the market before the price continues in the same direction as before. In this case, the triangle suggests that once wave E is complete, the price may drop again to finish wave C. The expected target area is between 1.54900 and 1.54320. This outlook remains valid as long as the price stays within the correction channel.
Kotak Bank – Structure Speaks, Are You Listening?Kotak Bank appears to be in the final stages of a WXYXZ complex correction on the weekly timeframe, with a zigzag pattern unfolding in Wave Z . A rejection from the 2301.90 zone has initiated a clean 5-wave decline, setting the tone for the final leg of the corrective structure.
This analysis combines high-level structure from the weekly chart with internal confirmations from the daily timeframe.
Weekly Chart Highlights
Wave W completed at 1631.00.
A rally into Wave X followed, peaking around 2064.40.
Wave Y took the form of a contracting triangle, breaking down to 1543.85.
From there, a sharp rally into 2301.90 formed Wave X2, failing to extend impulsively — suggesting corrective nature.
The decline from X2 is forming a potential 5-3-5 zigzag, labeled as Wave Z.
Fibonacci projection for Wave C of Z lies between 0.618 (1863.65) and 1.0 (1592.75) of Wave A.
Invalidation level: A price move above 2301.90 invalidates the Z wave scenario.
Daily Chart Observations:
The internal structure from the 2301.90 top shows:
A 5-wave decline in Wave A, ending with a clear ending diagonal in the 5th wave.
This suggests exhaustion and a likely short-term bounce.
Wave B is anticipated as a 3-wave corrective rally, targeting:
0.5 retracement at 2168.05
0.618 retracement at 2199.65
A final 5-wave decline from there would complete Wave C and conclude the larger Wave Z.
Conclusion
Kotak Bank is potentially in the final zigzag leg (Wave Z) of a larger WXYXZ correction that has been unfolding for over two years. With multi-timeframe confluence and a clean internal structure, the path forward suggests a short-term bounce followed by one last leg down.
This setup offers high clarity for both short-term traders and long-term positional analysts awaiting the completion of a Wave 4 before a possible Wave 5 rally.
Price action will be updated as chart evolves.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,330 zone, Gold was trading an a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,330 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 143.200 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 143.200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY Short: Update to wave counts and stop lossThis is a follow-up to my USDJPY short earlier. In the previous video, I mentioned that USDJPY can retrace up to start of wave 1 (144.41) but propose a tighter stop. You would have been stopped out if you had used that stop. But right now, you will be able to enter the short at a better price and set a proper stop that will invalidate the EW count.
GOLD → Correction to liquidity before growthFX:XAUUSD is in the realization phase after exiting the “symmetrical triangle” consolidation. The price is supported by the trend and a complex fundamental background.
Gold is retreating from its peak, remaining below risk support. The price of gold is falling moderately from $3,392, awaiting data on JOLTS job openings in the US.
Gold is supported by trade and geopolitical risks: Trump doubled tariffs on metals, increasing pressure on the dollar. The conflict with China has escalated due to allegations of violations of agreements.
Focus on US employment: Strong data could support the dollar and limit gold's gains, but the technical picture remains bullish.
Resistance levels: 3365, 3391, 3409
Support levels: 3345, 3323
Against the backdrop of a rising dollar, gold may test deeper liquidity zones, such as 3345 and 3330. However, if trading forms between 3365 and 3345, followed by a retest of resistance and consolidation above 3365, this could trigger an early rise to 3391-3409.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AAVEUSDT → A false breakdown provokes a change of characterBINANCE:AAVEUSDT.P maintains a bullish market structure. The coin is consolidating, with bulls trying to hold their ground above the key support line.
Against the backdrop of a correction, the price is testing liquidity, with a false breakdown of support provoking a change in character to bullish within the local timeframe. Bulls are trying to maintain the bullish structure.
The price is breaking through the resistance of local consolidation, forming a change in character, but before growth, the market may close the gestalt in the form of an order block or liquidity located in the 249.5 zone.
Support levels: 249.11, 240.0
Resistance levels: 274.27, 280.47
Technically, the coin looks quite good and promising overall. If the bulls hold their ground in the 249-250 zone, then in the short to medium term, we could see good movement with the possibility of new highs...
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDollar Is Making An Intraday Pullback Within DowntrendGood morning traders! Stocks keep pushing higher along with yields, so it looks like 10Y US Notes could still see lower support levels, and that’s why USdollar is in a bigger intraday correction. What we want to say is that while the 10Y US Notes are still searching for support, the DXY can stay in recovery mode or at least sideways. In the meantime, stocks can easily see even higher levels after NVIDIA surpassed earnings.
Looking at the intraday USDollar Index – DXY chart, we see a leading diagonal formation, so we are tracking now an intraday abc correction before a bearish continuation, thus keep an eye on GAP from May 18 around 101 level that can be filled and may act as a resistance before a bearish continuation.
GBPJPY 1H Analysis – Bullish Breakout from Ending Diagonal + AO Pair: GBP/JPY
Timeframe: 1H
Structure: Wave 5 Ending Diagonal + Bullish Divergence on AO
Hi traders! Here’s an update on GBPJPY from the 1H chart.
After a strong bearish move, price formed a falling wedge (ending diagonal) pattern, indicating exhaustion in the downtrend. This pattern completed with a final Wave 5 that showed significant weakness — and here’s the key signal:
🔍 Bullish Divergence Spotted
While price made a new lower low (Wave 5), the Awesome Oscillator (AO) printed a higher low. This classic bullish divergence hints that bearish momentum is fading and a potential reversal is in play.
📈 Breakout Confirmation
Price has now broken above the wedge and the 1.0 Fibonacci level (~193.67), confirming the breakout and early bullish momentum. We’re currently seeing price pushing up with strong momentum candles.
🎯 Potential Targets Based on Fibonacci Extensions:
• 1.618 – 194.60 (first resistance / TP1)
• 2.618 – 195.35 (TP2)
• 4.236 – 196.45 (extended TP3 if trend continues)
🛑 Key Support:
• 193.00 zone – ideally price should stay above this level to maintain bullish bias.
🧠 Summary:
• Falling wedge (ending diagonal) completed as Wave 5
• AO bullish divergence signals weakening sell pressure
• Breakout confirmed above 193.70
• Watching for continuation toward 194.60 and 195.30+
📌 I’ll be watching for a potential pullback above 193.70 for a high-probability reentry opportunity. Always manage your risk and trade what you see.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below! 📥
#GBPJPY #ForexAnalysis #PriceAction #ElliottWave #AO #Breakout #Fibonacci #TechnicalAnalysis #Wave5
My Thoughts #013The pair is still quite bullish...
I would look for sells
if we get to the supply zone and get a choch I would sell then for now I just think it will push up to the supply zone before we get that drop.
As you can see it's the buy before the sell that Choch so that is why I think it will mitigate the Zone before dropping...
Yet I am not. Saying it might not sell from the point it's at but it's just my perspective
Use Proper risk management
Let's do the most
ADA is going to catch big targetsWe are currently experiencing a Wave 2 correction after completing an impulsive Wave 1. Once the ABC correction is complete, we can expect to enter an impulsive Wave 3. As time goes on, if it seems like we are entering Sub-Wave 1 of Wave 3, I will publish an idea to outline new targets. For now, we should anticipate new movements in the market.