Do you think I'm joking ???Now that Bitcoin is returning to the cup-and-handle support, one can expect a strong pump up to 130k . it might happen.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Elliotwaveanalysis
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to 38.2% Fibo lvl 3143.50.Dear colleagues, I expect a correction in the coming week. Wave “V” has started its development and now I think that wave ‘1’ of medium order is completing its development and I think that the correction in wave “2” will last until the area of 38.2% Fibonacci level 3143.50.
There are two possible ways to enter the position:
1) Market entry
2) Pending limit orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.16000.Good afternoon colleagues! In the coming week I expect the upward movement to continue in wave “3” of the higher order. I believe that a small correction to the support area of 1.2176 and then rise to the resistance level of 1.16000 is possible.
There are two possible ways to enter the position:
1) Market entry
2) Pending limit orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Elliott Wave Analysis 🔹 Wave Structure:
The chart shows a clear corrective structure unfolded, currently developing as a complex correction (likely WXY or an ABC):
Wave A: Strong impulsive move to the downside
Wave B: Ongoing corrective rally (possibly a flat or zigzag)
Wave C (anticipated): Final downward leg yet to unfold
🟩 A green target box marks the potential end zone of the correction, aligning with a horizontal support level around 85.35.
📊 Indicators:
🔸 MACD:
Currently showing a bullish crossover (MACD line above the signal line) → supports the idea of a temporary B-wave rally.
Momentum is not very strong → another hint that the move might be corrective, not impulsive.
Watch for a bearish crossover as a possible trigger for the start of Wave C.
🔸 RSI:
RSI is recovering from lower levels, signaling short-term strength.
No overbought condition yet → allows more room for the B-wave to extend.
Key Watch: If RSI enters overbought territory while MACD turns down, it could mark the start of the C-wave drop.
🎯 Summary & Outlook:
We are likely in the final phase of Wave B.
Expectation: One last downward move in Wave C towards the green zone.
That area could offer a strong long opportunity, but only after clear confirmation (e.g., divergence, impulsive reversal, rising volume).
📌 Potential Strategy:
❌ No long entries yet – risk of another drop in Wave C.
🔔 Set alerts around 85–60 – monitor for reversal signs.
📈 Upon confirmation: potential entry for the next larger impulsive wave.
SOL/USDT – Potential Final Leg Down Before Major RallyBINANCE:SOLUSDT 🚀📉🔁
We are likely approaching one of the final moves down before a significant push higher. But before that, I expect one last move up to the $142 area, forming what I believe is a Red ABC corrective structure.
🔴 Red Wave A-B-C
Red Wave A has likely already completed, confirmed by a clean White ABC move.
We are now inside Red Wave B.
✅ Ideal Long Entry Zone
The ideal entry would be near the 88.7% Fibonacci retracement, which aligns with Green Wave B around $119.4.
From that level, I expect a drop down toward $100, completing Red Wave B.
🔄 What Comes After?
From the $100 zone, two possible scenarios for Red Wave C (or Wave 1 of a new impulse):
A 1-2-3-4-5 impulsive wave structure to the upside
Or a corrective A-B-C structure
We’ll need to carefully watch the first move out of the $100 zone:
A 5-wave move would suggest a new bullish impulse has begun
A 3-wave move might just be a larger corrective rally
🎯 Upside Target: $142
Once we hit $142, I anticipate another corrective move downward.
This could take the form of:
A clean ABC
A complex correction (A-B + 1-2-3-4-5)
Or even a direct impulsive 5-wave drop
Again, the key is watching the first leg down from $142 – whether it's impulsive or corrective will define the entire next phase.
⚠️ Summary:
Current focus: Entry near $119.4 (88.7% Fib), targeting $142
Caution: Expect volatility – structure will only become clear wave by wave
Watch: Reactions at $100 and $142 for structure confirmation
Let me know what you think below!
Like & follow if you enjoy deep EW breakdowns!
BIG BIG weekI think 7 FED speakers,
A lot of tension in the markets, tops mean polarisation, considering reflexivity theory extreme volatility will ensue.
A lot of people might think the -0.786 ATH we got before the holidays is the top. I think they are mistaken as seen in the analysis below.
There is still legroom for higher, this is a big bet on my part.
I have a few contracts on the mag7 (GOOGL, TSLA and META) focusing on GOOGL since they seem to be in the same headwind as S&P
Let's see how this plays out
CFD Gold Chart Analysis: Wave 4 in FocusHello friends, let's analyze the Gold CFD chart from a technical perspective. As we can see, the higher degree Cycle Wave III (Red) has completed, and we're currently in Cycle degree Wave IV (Red). Within Wave IV, we expect a Primary Degree ((A)), ((B)), and ((C)) in Black. Wave ((A)) has completed, Wave ((B)) is almost complete, and Wave ((C)) is expected to follow.
Within Wave ((B)) in Black, we have Intermediate Degree Waves (A), (B), and (C) in Blue. Waves (A) and (B) are complete, and Wave (C) is nearing completion. Once Wave (C) in Blue completes, Wave ((B)) in Black will end, and Wave ((C)) in Black should begin.
According to theory, Wave ((A)) came down and then wave ((B)) retraced upwards so now Wave ((C)) should move downwards, forming a zigzag correction. The equality level is around $2858. However, we don't know if it will reach this level or extend/truncate.
The invalidation level for this view is 3169.23. If the price breaks above this level, our analysis will be invalidated.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not trading advice. There's a risk of being completely wrong. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trades.
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.11613.Colleagues, the price is in the correction of wave “2”. I believe that the upward five-wave impulse is not yet complete. In any case, I think that the price will still reach the maximum of wave “1” at 1.11613.
The question is how far will the correction of wave “2” go or is it over? There is no way to know for sure, so I don't recommend selling. I think we should stick to long positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Comprehensive Research - McDonald’s Stock Set to SoarQuick read:
McDonald's stock is poised for a bullish move, with Wave 3 likely starting and strong support near 290.50–295.00. Traders should long on dips within this range, for next resistance levels, 326.00 and 348.00 with a invalidation below 276.00. This setup offers a solid risk-to-reward in a long-term uptrend. Alternative safe entry is possible after the break of corrective channel breakout of wave (2).
Elliott Wave Forecast:
TF - Daily
The chart suggests that McDonald’s stock is in the middle of a larger upward move known as Wave C, which comes after completing a complex correction. Wave C is expected to unfold in five smaller waves, a pattern that usually points to a strong uptrend. It appears the correction is behind us, and a fresh bullish phase is underway.
Starting from the low at 276.53 , marked as Wave B, the price climbed to 326.32 , forming Wave one. After that, the stock pulled back to 290.50 , forming Wave two. This pullback followed a typical ABC pattern within a corrective channel, which often signals the end of a downturn and the beginning of an upward move.
Now, Wave three seems to be starting, and this is usually the strongest part of Wave C. The price is expected to move above 335 , take a small pause for Wave four, and then rise again to complete Wave five somewhere around 345 to 350 dollars. This positive outlook remains intact as long as the price stays above 290.50 . With the breakout from the corrective channel, the setup looks strong and clear for buyers.
Fibonacci levels:
Fibonacci Extension Targets:
1.000 extension: 326
1.618 extension: 348
Correction Retracement Levels:
Wave 2 retracement: 78.6%
A = C in A-B-C correction: 289.21
Price Action & shifting of value:
TF: Weekly
McDonald’s stock has been steadily climbing inside a rising channel since late 2020, showing a clear long term uptrend. The price has respected both the top and bottom edges of this channel very well, and interestingly, the middle line has acted like a pivot, providing support or resistance multiple times over the years.
Recently, the stock made a higher low at 276.53 and bounced back strongly, keeping the bullish structure intact. It then pulled back to 290.50 , right around the middle line of the channel, and held above an upward sloping trendline. This kind of price action shows strength and suggests buyers are stepping in.
The sharp move from 276.53 up to current levels looks like a strong bullish leg, possibly driven by accumulation. If the stock can break above its recent high of 326.32 , it could head toward the upper end of the channel. As long as the price stays above 290.50 and especially above 276.53 dollars, the bulls remain in control. Even if the price dips a bit, the long term trend stays positive unless the lower boundary of the channel breaks down.
I will update more Information here.
Elliott Wave Update – Clean Count DevelopmentBINANCE:SOLUSDT
We are currently tracking a developing (B) wave as part of a larger corrective structure.
The move up from the local low unfolds as a classic 5-wave impulse (yellow), where wave 3 is completed, wave 4 is forming as an A-B-C flat correction, and wave 5 is still expected to follow, completing wave (C) of (A).
After that, we anticipate a drop into wave (B) of the corrective sequence before a potential final push into the green target zone to complete wave (C) of (B).
Once this entire correction is done, the expectation remains for a larger 5-wave decline to complete the macro structure.
Wave count stays valid as long as internal rules of Elliott Wave Theory are respected.
EUR/NZD Wave Structure Shift: 4th Wave Correction in ProgressThe 3rd wave in EUR/NZD appears to have been completed, and the market seems to be entering the 4th wave. There is a possibility that the 4th wave could take support near the Fibonacci 0.5 level (1.19164). After that, the 5th wave of the impulse phase may move upward.
If the market falls below 1.98303, it would confirm the beginning of the 4th wave. In that scenario, the first target could be around 1.95907 .
Elliott Wave Analysis – Focus on Wave StructureBINANCE:SOLUSDT
The current setup shows a completed green (A) wave, followed by a corrective (B) wave unfolding as an A-B-C structure.
Within wave (C) of (B), we can clearly identify a 5-wave impulse:
Wave 1 is complete
Wave 2 formed as a correction
Wave 3 extended strongly
Wave 4 is currently developing
Wave 5 is expected to complete wave (C) of (B)
Once this move finalizes, a larger downward (C) wave is anticipated to complete the overall corrective pattern.
This setup remains valid as long as the internal structure respects the rules of Elliott Wave Theory.
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 5445.2.Explaining what is happening in terms of wave theory is quite difficult, but always possible. Of course, geopolitics has been affecting the price a lot lately, but even in this chaos there are regularities.
Let's take a look at the wave markup. I believe that there is a big correction going on at the moment. Most likely it is not finished yet and has just started to form wave “B”, which means that wave “C” is coming, but I still want to see an upward movement to the resistance area at 5445.2. The price has been in a downtrend for too long and I think a correction is very likely. Well, let's see.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Russell 2000 - 5th wave of Y leg may already be in progress... The rejection at 2100 price level also happens to be the 38.2% Fib of the decline from the 14th of February 2025. The decline from 6th of February 2025 counts beautifully as waves 1, 2, 3 & 4. If this wave count is correct, then the Russell is currently in wave 1 of 5 of Y of (ii).
This is my primary wave count as long as the 2100 resistance is not breached.
This changes my initial wave count from a complex WXYXZ to a simple WXY.
Click on the link to see the previous wave count which is still valid and is now an alternate wave count if the 2100 resistance is breached:
Only updating the wave count. My bias and direction remain the same.
Wave Y is possibly in progress. Looks like we are going to have a bearish April & possibly May as well. Selling corrective rally is still the way to trade for now. Take profit at 1905/1900, which is where technically, the Russell 2000 will possibly turn up for wave (iii).
Stop Loss can be placed above wave 4, well out of the way in case of any wild swing on this PCE Friday.
Dogecoin Daily Chart Analysis: A Fresh Start Ahead ?Hello friends, let's analyze Dogecoin, a cryptocurrency, from an Elliott Wave perspective. This study uses Elliott Wave theory and structures, involving multiple possibilities. The analysis focuses on one potential scenario and is for educational purposes only, not trading advice.
We're observing the daily chart, and it appears we're nearing the end of Wave II, a correction. The red cycle degree Wave I ended around 2024 December's peak. Currently, we're nearing the end of red Wave II, which consists of black ((W)), ((X)), and ((Y)) waves. Black ((W)) and ((X)) are complete, and black ((Y)) is nearing its end.
Within black ((Y)), we have Intermediate degree blue (W), (X), and (Y) waves. Blue (W) and (X) are complete, and blue (Y) is nearing its end. Inside blue (Y), red A and B are complete, and red C is nearing its end. Once red C completes, blue (Y) will end, Once blue (Y) completes, means black ((W)) will end that means higher degree cycle wave II in red will end.
If our view remains correct, the invalidation level for this Elliott Wave count is 0.04913. If this level holds and doesn't touch below it, we can expect a significant reversal to unfold wave III towards new highs. This is an educational analysis, and I hope you've learned something by observing the chart and its texture.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
S&P 500: Historic Crash or Just Another Chance?Let’s be real: What’s happening with the S&P 500 right now is rare. This is only the fourth time in history that the index has dropped more than 10% in two days (technically three, including today’s Monday session). The other times? October 1987, November 2008 during the financial crisis, and March 2020 during the pandemic crash.
And now? We’re seeing a similar drop, this time triggered by a global tariff war , stoked by the U.S. and other governments playing chicken to see who folds first.
Yeah, it sucks. It hurts. But it could also be a hell of an opportunity.
We just tagged the 4,800 level —a place many didn’t expect to see this quickly. Neither did I. But here we are. The untapped VWAP got hit, and this might very well be the start of Wave A. Could we go lower? Absolutely. There’s a monthly Fair Value Gap around $4,500, and a drop to $4,250 isn’t out of the question either.
But here’s the thing: it depends entirely on your perspective.
If you’re trading on the 30-minute chart, this is a full-blown crisis. But zoom out to the daily, weekly, or monthly chart—and it’s just market noise.
Pull up the log chart from 1953 to 2025 in the top left corner. We’ve seen this before. A handful of times. And on that scale? Nobody cares.
If you’re in the game to build long-term wealth, this moment is just another temporary shakeout. If you’re doing dollar-cost averaging, this is exactly where you want to be adding—not panicking.
The market doesn’t care about your plan. It forces you to adapt. You can’t fight it, only flow with it.
And if you’re in it for the long haul? This is just noise. Ignore it, zoom out – and stay the course.
NAKAUSDTAn analysis at the height of market fear..
A situation where all markets are experiencing sharp declines due to US tariffs and Middle East tensions..
It seems that around $0.25 is the ideal area for short-term buying for $0.75 targets and the ideal time to start this upward movement is early April..
Just an analysis that may be wrong..
Elliott Wave Analysis on $SOLUSDT – ElliotWave count🟢 Current Wave Structure
The chart shows a complex corrective structure that fits well within the Elliott Wave principle:
We are currently in a larger ABC correction, with the green-labeled wave (C) likely approaching completion.
The most recent move down in green (C) may have marked the end of a broader corrective cycle.
The current movement looks like a short-term ABC correction in red – typical for a corrective bounce after a strong sell-off.
🟥 Short-Term Movement (Red Wave A-B-C)
Within the lower timeframe, we can see a corrective recovery forming a red A-B-C structure:
Wave A (red) has already completed,
Wave B (red) is currently forming (sideways or slightly lower),
Wave C (red) could result in a final push upwards towards the green descending trendline – targeting around 138–142 USDT – unfolding as an internal orange A-B-C.
🟩 Key Trendline (Green)
The green descending trendline has been respected multiple times and acts as strong technical resistance.
⚠️ Scenario: A rejection from this level is highly likely and would mark the end of the current relief rally – completing the larger green wave (B).
🟧 Short Entry Zone
The orange Fibonacci zone around 142 USDT marks an ideal short setup area.
This level is confluence of Fibonacci extensions and previous resistance.
⚪ What’s Next?
After the orange wave C finishes (completing green wave (B)), I expect an impulsive move to the downside – likely unfolding as a classic 1-2-3-4-5 wave within the green wave (C).
Target zones:
First zone: ~108 USDT (highlighted by green/yellow/red Fibonacci extension),
Final bear target: Possible deep wick below due to the high volatility and liquidity in that zone.
✅ Key Support Zone (Green / Yellow / Red)
Around 108 USDT, we find a strong confluence support – labeled as End of Bears.
This zone may act as a potential reversal point, possibly kicking off a new bullish cycle with long-term targets reaching 200+ USDT.