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Elliotwaveanalysis

LINK, watch out the liquidity hunt!Hello everyone, if you haven't already on chart, load this fantastic indicator from Alien_Algorithmus. It shows you the liquidation levels of big positions in crypto assets, which is helpful to forecast the trend. Actually we have still some liquidity below left, but on the other hand, above is way more. Whenever you see that some many "clouds" are building in a general bull market it's very likely the chart will hunt this zones. Also we are at the golden ratio level between 0.5 and 0.618 and we have a good structural support. I believe we can see a bounce here, maybe even the start of the fifth wave towards 40 USD.
COINBASE:LINKUSDLong
by Kyrean
BTC, the wave count is not completedHello everyone, today I want to talk about Elliot Wave Theory. The big problem is, that waves can be interpreted in different ways and invalidation levels are often far away from trade setups. Therefore it's necessery to follow the wave count on different levels because usually the wave itself is made my a five wave move in the trend direction or a three wave move in the direction of the correction. Currently we have an incomplete wave count on Bitcoin and should in my opinion be in the fourth or fifth wave. It seems like the next move will be towards 120k. What is your opinion?
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Kyrean
ETH, the pathway to a new ATHHallo everyone, in the last weeks Ethereum was underperforming Bitcoin, but actually the chart looks quiet interesting again. The price broke out of a huge bull flag, but with the large correction in Bitcoin it fell under the breakout level again. Now it's approaching the breakout for the second attempt. The most important levels to watch is the 2021 yearly close at 3677 . Should we see a sustained move above, which aligns with the bull flag retest, ETH is set to reach new all time high prices within the new two month. Looking at the seasonality of cryptocurrencies the first quarter of the year is a good moment to be bullish.
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by Kyrean
Gold’s Bullish Surge Eyeing the $2,700 Breakout! The chart displays a bullish recovery following a significant downtrend, transitioning into an uptrend within a defined ascending channel. A symmetrical triangle breakout during the bearish phase marked the beginning of this upward movement. Key support is identified around $2,600, while resistance levels are at $2,697, aligned with the 100% Fibonacci projection, and $2,728, which corresponds to the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and acts as a potential exhaustion point. The psychological level of $2,700 plays a critical role as a resistance zone. The price is currently near the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting possible resistance and a chance for consolidation or retracement. If the price breaks above $2,700, it could target $2,728 or higher, while a rejection might lead to a pullback toward the midline or lower boundary of the channel. The bullish momentum remains intact, and traders could consider entering on a breakout above $2,700 or on a retracement near the channel’s lower boundary. Targets lie at $2,728 or higher, with stops placed below the last swing low or channel support. This chart signals a strong bullish trend with critical action expected around the $2,700 level.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by wolfchemist
#GOAT/USDT Short-Term Rally or Wave 5 Decline ?#GOAT/USDT is currently forming a descending channel with a 5-wave Elliott Wave structure. The price shows potential for a short-term upside move toward $0.69, which acts as a crucial resistance level at the upper boundary of the channel. If rejected at this level, the price may continue its downtrend toward $0.32, aligning with the lower channel boundary and Wave (5) target. Traders should watch for a breakout or rejection at $0.69, as it will determine the next significant move. A breakout could signal further bullish momentum, while rejection would confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. BYBIT:GOATUSDT.P
by wolfchemist
1
SP500: Watch This Key Support LevelStrong US jobs data was released today at 14:30 CET, showing 256K new jobs versus the expected 164K, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. This stronger-than-expected data could lead to more risk-off sentiment, as 97% of speculators now believe the Fed will hold rates steady at its next meeting. As a result, with stocks pulling back and the USD strengthening, even cryptocurrencies could face more weakness. Remember, Powell delivered a hawkish cut back in December, when they noted that there can be less cuts in 2025 due to strong economic projections for 2025 which can bring infaltion back up so they must be carefull with rate decision. And this data today is reason why FED may stay on old, rahter than cut and why then stocks can resume even low, which have been in corrective territory since the last Fed meeting in December.The key focus now is identifying the next major support level for stocks. I believe that once stocks turn back to the upside, it could open opportunities across other assets, including cryptocurrencies. Looking at the S&P 500 futures contract, there has been a slow but steady recovery since early November, following Trump’s win in the US elections. However, the market may attempt to liquidate latecomers who joined the stock rally after Trump’s victory. The 5,700 level on the SP500 futures stands out as a critical support zone, acting as a “stop-loss” level for many positioned in the well-known “Trump trade.” If the price reaches this area, more liquidations could occur, potentially clearing the way for a stronger bounce. Markets rarely move straight up that will profit everyone; liquidations often happen on the way higher. There is no easy money. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the sharp drop from all-time highs looks like an incomplete correction. The current sideways movement likely forms wave B, suggesting that wave C could lead to more liquidations toward the 5,800 level, which I see as a very important support zone.If this is indeed is a triangle in wave B, keep in mind that moves out of triangles are final in the sequence, meaning any drop could be limited before the market turns higher. So, I still believe risk-on sentiment will return, but this may not happen until Trump officially returns to office and market positioning settles for 2025. Regarding Bitcoin, I see the 85,000–87,000 area as a very interesting support zone, where more downside could be limited. Grega
CME_MINI:ESH2025
by ew-forecast
Wave C Correction, are we ready to reverse? Currently we are in Wave C correction, the last wave of correction in this 12345abc structure. We got support at a YELLOW support trend line that started since Nov. Currently Wave C is in between 0.5 to 0.618 FIB Extension of Wave A. Ideally I'd like to see Wave C correct to at least to 0.618 Extension of Wave A. So if the yellow support line fail, we will see if it hold the 0.618 extension of Wave A Level Or what's after that would be 0.786 extension of Wave A, or a 0.618 retracement of the previous 12345 Impulse wave patter. Fundamental can play into the Fib level I mentioned, we can have a slow chop down to those level until US president take office and announce his plan to improve the country's economic outlook. To simplify what I mentioned above, here is our support target for entry (trade at your own risk) $3110.96 (0.618 extension of Wave A). $3029.16 (0.618 retracement of the 12345 Impulse Wave Structure). $2942.10 (0.786 extension of Wave A). $2735.29 (0.786 retracement of the 12345 Impulse Wave Structure). $2727 (1.0 extension of Wave A) Happy trading, don't catch the falling knife.
by polarity
1
Gold Buy Setup: Bullish Price Action at Fibo 61.8#GOLD has completed a short-term pullback on the H4 chart and now shows bullish price action signals at the Fibonacci 61.8 retracement level. Two consecutive pin bars support this zone, indicating a strong rejection of lower prices. The structure aligns with a 5-3 wave setup, suggesting the potential for at least a three-wave upward movement. My initial targets are the key resistance levels at 2660 and 2700, where I anticipate significant price reactions. If these levels are cleared, it could lead to a breakout of the previous structural resistance, paving the way for a stronger bullish continuation. On the flip side, failure to break these levels may result in a bearish reversal. This setup provides a high-probability trade with an excellent risk-to-reward ratio for upside movement.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Insider
GOAT/USDT Elliott Wave Analysis Short-Term The chart highlights a descending channel pattern integrated with Elliott Wave analysis, indicating possible short-term price movements. Currently, the price is navigating through Wave 4 and nearing a key resistance zone. Key Observations The price action reflects an Elliott Wave corrective structure within a descending channel. The ongoing Wave 4 suggests an upward move towards $0.69, a significant resistance level. After testing this resistance, the price could retrace to $0.32, completing Wave 5. Strategic Implications Watch for potential rejection or breakout signals around the $0.69 resistance zone for short-term opportunities. The projected dip to $0.32 could be a better area to re-enter for short-term trades. Focus on confirmation of Wave 5 completion to reassess the trend and strategy. Short-term traders should remain cautious and agile as the pattern unfolds.
by wsaetos
My indicator Small SL big Target only BINANCE:BTCUSDT I use a indicator with leading indicator these can find trend reversal ,strong trend ,week trend , usefull small SL big Target , accuracy 60 to 70% but reward was minimum 1:8 maximum 1:25 to 1:35. It's pure price action with advance leading indicator find strong support and resistance also trend lagging lagging indicator given entry with price action of Elliot wave 2nd wave point entry 3 rd wave capture big Target 1:25 to 1:35 also capture c wave target 1:15 to 1:25 entry in b point and 5th wave also capture with point 4th entry for target 1:15
by pradipbhalerao8
Mr.Million | Long-term View on BTC, Trading Recap, KRW & SamsungI am Mr.Million🤵‍♂️⚡, and Welcome to my insights guys. I'm the most winning trader in trading competitions worldwide (5 wins) and hold the record for the highest ROI at 12,300% . I've made more than enough money, so now I'm here to share my analysis with you. ⚡My Long-term View on BTC Technically, we are near the end of Wave 1 (in white) of Intermediate Wave (3) (in blue), barring an ending diagonal that could extend Wave 1 slightly further. Personally, I have liquidated 75-80% of all my long-term positions (including altcoins) and am holding a significant portion of my assets in cash, anticipating a possible correction down to $60-70k. In the meantime, I may take short positions - very cautiously, though - when the wave count gives a clear signal. ⚡Why I Remain Bullish on BTC In my earlier post, I outlined four (4) reasons why I am still bullish on BTC, even at $100k. One main reason is the continuous buying at the institutional level and the FOMO among various governments to acquire BTC as a reserve asset. With these favorable tailwinds, the current chart behavior for BTC, which may appear weak, is likely a healthy, short-term correction. I believe a potential dip down to $60-70k could be a once-in-a-lifetime buying opportunity, and if it does happen, I’ll be backing up the truck (and the first in line to buy heavily)! $60 - 70k = Very Strong Buy 🚛🚛🚛 ⚡Trading Recap since Dec. 13, 2024 Total P&L since Dec. 13, 2024: + $263,091 For the proof of my P&L, feel free to check out my YouTube live stream from Jan. 3, 2024. (P&L verification begins at the 19:08 mark and my YouTube channel link is in my profile.) Below is a summary of the trades I took between Dec. 18, 2024 and Jan. 2, 2025. A short position (Dec. 18, 2024): Reason for trading: Bearish RSI divergence on both the 4-hour and 15-minute chart. Took half profits at ~103k and liquidated the entire position ~99k near the trend line (drawn in white) anticipating a potential ending diagonal play (which did not materialize, as the price continued to fall). A short position (Dec. 26, 2024): Reasons for trading: 1) ABC correction (in red) with C as an impulse (1-2-3-4-5 wave in white) 2) RSI divergence on the 30-min chart Took half profits at ~$95.7k and exited fully ~$93.6k (as I did not expect it to reach the low of Wave (B)). A long position (Dec 30, 2024): Reasons for trading: 1) Failed breakout below the red horizontal line (previous support level) 2) Bullish RSI divergence on the 30-minute timeframe. Initiated the long at ~$93k but exited almost instantly ~$92.5k - just below the low of the entry bar - with a small loss, as the price broke below the support line again (the red line) and continued to fall. Re-entered another long ~$93.2k as the price action showed signs of strength, along with a bullish divergence on the 4-hour chart (not shown here). Took partial profits at ~$94.4k and liquidated the entire position ~$95.2k, falling short of my profit target to attend to other business. ⚡The Korean Won and Samsung Interplay The South Korean Won is nearing 1,500 against the USD, approaching the levels last seen during the 2008 financial crisis! I do not believe Korea’s current economic and political conditions are as dire as they were in 2008, suggesting that the Korean Won (against the USD) may be due for a correction - barring any catastrophic black swan events. Over time, I expect it to revert to the mean and move toward the trendline (drawn in white) around 1,200. See also the chart above for the RSI divergence on the weekly timeframe. When/if signs of recovery in the Korean Won begin to show , I anticipate that foreign investors will step in to capitalize on a twofold opportunity - leveraging the recovering Korean Won and the rising Korean stock market valuations. What could be their strategy? Going long on liquid, large-cap Korean stocks - most notably, Samsung. So, keep an eye on the 1,500 level in the Korean Won for a potential reversal. If this happens, consider adopting a contrarian approach and going long Samsung at around 45,000 Korean Won as a long-term investment opportunity (see chart below). ⚡OKX Competition for December 2024 results Guys, as an official ambassador for OKX, I host trading competitions every month. The OKX competition for December 2024 has concluded. Out of 1,457 participants, 616 ended up green for the month - that’s 42.3% of you making money trading futures, such a remarkable feat by any statistical measure! 🎉 If you're interested, check out my YouTube channel for competition details and join in to make some serious money! 💸🎯 Trade smart, aim high, and remember: risk management is your greatest ally. Stay tuned and follow me for more game-changing insights. Yours truly, Mr.Million🤵‍♂️⚡
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MrMillion_official
3