Elliotwaveanalysis
Downtrand is broakenDowntrand is broaken, but the probability that capitalization will grow is not high.
1) On the lower timeframes oscillators are ready to go down.
2) The tendency to decrease volumes is stable.
S&P 500 hits new high a day after Fed rate cut - stock index trades above 5,700 for first time ever. When the price takes a new high, and on the RSI oscillator we see a decline that failed to beat the previous high - this is called a bearish divergence. One of the most powerful indicators in financial indicators. The previous time we touched this level were in 1999, 1956 and1929. There hasn't been an opportunity like this to go short in 25 years. A simple wave count shows that this is the beginning of wave C.
3) I see only one case in favor of BTC going to 80-100k - if the structure from November 2022 is an impulse, the formation from March 2024 to present is a triangle, so the last action wave could throw the price up for a month, after that a bear market will start.
My base case scenario is that we are in a primary ABC correction. Wave C is underway now, which is a running flat.
Nevertheless, my base scenario is this we in a primary ABC correction. Now is C wave, which is a Running flat.
Sui's correction completed & breakout from a reverse H&S SUI’s been on quite the ride, and right now, it’s looking like we might be wrapping up this ABC correction. Here’s what I’m seeing:
5-Wave Downer (1-5): The market took a hit – we all saw it coming. Classic 5-wave impulse down. And now? We’re watching the recovery take shape in this ABC correction:
(A): The first bounce after hitting rock bottom. You knew that was coming.
(B): A bit of a fake-out, price dips again just to keep us on our toes.
(C): And now we’re pushing up toward the $1.65-$1.70 zone – the magic number that everyone’s watching.
Resistance Area: This $1.65-$1.70 level is like a wall. It’s been there before and could be again, so pay attention. If we smash through, we might be talking a move toward $2.00.
Upward Channel: Look at that beautiful rising channel we’re in. Price is climbing, but it’s at the top now. This is the part where things get interesting.
What Could Happen Next:
1. Breakout City: If SUI powers through $1.70, this thing’s got some legs. $2.00 and beyond is totally on the table.
2. Hard Pass: But if it gets rejected, brace yourself – we could see a dip back down to $1.20, testing that channel’s lower edge.
In a nutshell: SUI’s about to make a move. Keep your eyes peeled on the resistance zone. If it goes through, we’re in for a ride. If not, it’s time to buckle up for another drop.
SOLUSDT – Potential ABC Correction into ResistanceIn this analysis, we’re tracking an Elliott Wave structure on Solana’s daily chart.
Here’s what we’re seeing:
Resistance Zone ($150-$160): This zone has been tested multiple times and remains a critical level to break for further bullish continuation. A break above this area could lead to a much stronger move towards $170+ levels.
Elliott Wave Count:
We have just completed a 5-wave impulse down, marking a significant local bottom around $129-$130.
Now, we’re possibly in the midst of an ABC corrective wave:
(A): First push upwards off the $129-$130 zone.
(B): Expected pullback after testing the resistance.
(C): Potential rally back to $150-$160 resistance to complete the ABC structure.
Support Trendline: The ascending yellow trendline connects key lows and is guiding the price upward. This line will act as dynamic support, and any break below it could invalidate the bullish scenario.
Key Levels:
Watch the resistance zone at $150-$160 closely; breaking this with strong volume would confirm a bullish breakout.
Failure to break above could push SOL back to retest support around $130-$135.
Conclusion: SOL is entering a critical phase. The ABC correction points to a potential test of the resistance zone at $150-$160, but traders should be cautious of rejection here. If the bullish scenario plays out, we could see a move toward $170+. However, invalidation below the ascending support trendline could lead to more downside.
SP500 Futures Chart Now in Final Stages of 100 year RallyCycles are a normal part of life. The stock market is no different. In my long term analysis we appear to be headed up to an area that can complete a rally that started almost 100 years ago.
For context, this long-term consolidation will be similar to Japan's Nikkei index in which made no new high's for 34 years.
Don't miss out on bearish move!From a daily point of view, we can see that 3 bearish candles formed August 28,29 and 30th. Afterwards, on the 4 hour chart, the pair made a lower low and began to retrace into fair value gap yesterday afternoon, but immediately rejected from that level. This morning, price rejected that area again, indicating the bearish continuation may go on.
Elliott Wave: USDJPY Moving Into 139-137 SupportUSDJPY slightly stabilized yesterday due to higher US yields following Powell's rate announcement and press conference. However, note that the rise from the most recent lows occurred in three waves and stalled at the previous swing high at 143.80 resistance. This suggests there could be new sellers attempting to push prices back to the lows. But keep in mind, this could be the final leg within the diagonal formation, which could lead to a bottom forming in the next few days. On higher time frame chart, the 137-139 zone remains a very important support area; 2023 swing lows.
GH
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to the resistance area 1.11587.Dear colleagues, in the last forecast I counted on the fact that wave “2” is completed, but now it is clear that it is not.
I think that the price will complete wave “2” in the area of 100% - 161.8% Fibonacci extension levels. This is the range of 1.09788 - 1.08690.
But from here I hope to see the beginning of the upward movement in wave “3”, because I still want to see an update of the highs and the nearest target is the resistance area at 1.11587.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
BLUR: The prospect of increasing?As you can see, BLUR has created an ascending head and shoulders and is also located in the megaphone, which means that if it breaks, we expect the price to reach the target (AB=CD).
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!
Bitcoin Analysis==>> Pump to $59,000==> Short termBitcoin is currently moving in the Support zone($55,780-$54,550) near the Support lines and 100_SMA(4H-TF) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin is completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $59,000 after breaking the Resistance line .
Note: We can expect more dumps if Bitcoin breaks the Support zone($55,780-$54,550).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute frame⏰.
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POPCAT : Why POPCAT Remains Bullish and Its Next Potential Movethe POPCAT is in a ascending triangle now which means the price will increase and also It is expected that the price would at least grow as good as the measured price movement(AB=CD).
According to Elliott's theory, the triple combo waves have ended and it means that the price can increase.
Note: we should wait for the breaking of the triangle and than make a move!
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Honestly, I don't feel like explaining, the chart says it all !!FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
The GOLD is in a ascending triangle now which means the price will increase and also It is expected that the price would at least grow as good as the measured price movement(AB=CD)
Note: we should wait for the breaking of the triangle and than make a move!
From a different point of view!!!
✨Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad.
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin FULL Analysis PART 2In a previous analysis, I discussed the relationship between Bitcoin, the Altcoin market and Bitcoin Dominance.
An important rotation exists between these three; and by using TOTAL3 together with BTC.D, you can get a clearer picture of where BTC is trading in the current cycle.
In this video, I make an important suggestion based off Elliot Wave Theory. This theory is backed up by the points mentioned but also by the Logarithmic view:
From the log scale, we can see BTC is still trading relatively low compared to previous cycle top-outs. So the question remains - the end... or just the beginning?
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COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
TESLA is looking to make a run for $345 during the 5th wave.Tesla looks like it might make a run to $345 in the 5th and final Elliott Wave over the next 2 to 3 months. This identical pattern appears to have already played out in an earlier instance, which makes it slightly more likely that the pattern will repeat itself.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss.
GOLD: Pullback in Short Term?Hi Traders!
Gold prices rose early on Thursday as the dollar weakened ahead of next week's expected Federal Reserve interest-rate cut.
Gold for December delivery was last seen up US$19.70 to US$2,562.10 per ounce. Hopes among gold bulls that the Federal Reserve's policy committee would offer 50 basis point rate cut at the end of its two-day meeting next Wednesday were dashed when data released yesterday showed the August U.S. Consumer Price Index rose by 2.5% down from 2.9% in July.
"Gold dropped back on Wednesday after US inflation data dimmed the prospects for a 50-basis-point cut next week, but underlying strength prevails, with daily higher lows signaling continued appetite from investors," Saxo Bank noted.
The dollar eased early, with the ICE dollar index last seen down 0.08 points to 101.61. Treasury yields were flat, with the yield on the U.S. two-year not unchanged at 3.648%, while the 10-year note was paying 3.658%, also steady.
From a technical point of view, on the daily chart the trend is bullish (but has not yet reached our Target at the moment). That said, once the harmonic structure is completed, we do not exclude an interesting mid-term pullback. What do you think? Please support our idea for future updates.
Thanks for watching
NVIDIA- Be patient, Correction Not CompletedNvidia has pulled back and touched the $100 level, which aligns with the 78.6% retracement of the rise from August. This could be an important support level, especially considering that a triangle pattern is one potential scenario here. We also believe that the overall stock market, along with major indices, could remain range-bound for another week until the Fed rate decision, after which markets may finally break out of this summer range.
For now, the ABCDE triangle remains a valid scenario if the $100 level holds. However, if this level is breached, be prepared for a further dip, possibly down toward $80, where the market may stabilize with a deeper and slightly different ABC correction, reaching the previous wave four level from April of this year. In either case, I believe Nvidia is still trapped in consolidation and may not resume its uptrend just yet.
GH
From Correction to Impulse: Elliott Waves in Jindal Steel power Technical Analysis of JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. based on Elliott Wave Principles
This analysis uses Elliott Wave Theory and structures, offering one potential market scenario among multiple possibilities. The information is for Educational purposes only and should not be taken as trading advice . There is always a risk of being incorrect, and users should not make trading or investment decisions based solely on this analysis. The content does not guarantee profits, and we are not responsible for any financial outcomes. It is recommended to consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Introduction to Elliott Wave Theory:
Elliott Wave Theory, developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, identifies repetitive price patterns in financial markets, driven by investor psychology and crowd behavior. Here are some key Elliott Wave rules:
1. Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
2. Wave 3 is often the most powerful and cannot be the shortest of the impulse waves.
3. Wave 4 should not overlap with the price territory of Wave 1 (except in diagonal patterns).
4. Impulse waves move in five smaller waves (1-2-3-4-5), while corrective waves move in three waves (A-B-C).
Wave Counts and Analysis:
On the 2-hour chart of JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD., the completion of Wave (4) in blue is likely at the 896 low. This corrective phase may have concluded, signaling the start of a new bullish impulse wave.
Current Structure: Wave (5) in Blue Unfolding
We may now be at the start of Wave (5) in blue, which suggests further upward momentum. Within this wave, the internal structure shows:
- Wave 1 in red of Wave (5) has been completed.
- Wave 2 in red of Wave (5) also seems to have finished, a typical pullback phase.
- Wave 3 in red of Wave (5) appears to be starting, signaling a potential strong upward move.
Characteristics of Wave 3:
Wave 3 is typically the most extended and powerful part of an impulse wave. It often accelerates rapidly, fueled by market sentiment, and can deliver outsized price gains. This wave is expected to push the stock price higher with more conviction.
Based on Fibonacci levels, potential targets for Wave 3 are:
- The first target could be 1020 (100% Fibonacci extension).
- A further target lies at 1076, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, a common level for extended third waves.
- An extended target is 1111 at the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Moving Averages Confirmation:
Adding to the bullish outlook, JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. is currently trading above both the 200-period EMA and the 50-period EMA on the 2-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes, which signals strong strength to show upward momentum across multiple timeframes. The alignment of these exponential moving averages (EMAs) indicates that the stock is maintaining long-term support, which provides additional strength to the current bullish wave count.
Critical Level to Watch: 988
Once the price closes above the 988 level, we can expect further confirmation of strength. This price level is crucial as it would signal a breakout, paving the way for additional bullish momentum and targeting higher Fibonacci levels, such as 1020, 1076, and 1111.
Invalidation Level:
The wave count remains valid as long as the price stays above 896, the low of Wave (4) in blue. A break below this level would invalidate the current wave structure, implying that the bullish trend may be in jeopardy.
Summary:
In conclusion, JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. appears to have completed its corrective Wave (4) in blue, with the price now starting to unfold into Wave (5) in blue. With Wave 1 and Wave 2 in red complete, the stock is likely entering Wave 3 in red, which typically exhibits strong price advances. The stock’s upward trajectory is supported by its position above the 200-period EMA and 50-period EMA across multiple timeframes (2-hour, daily, weekly), further strengthening the bullish case. Key levels to watch include 1020, 1076, and 1111, while 988 acts as a near-term breakout level. The invalidation point for this wave count remains at 896.
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My studies are for educational purpose only.
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RK💕
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The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
USDCAD - More downside look likelyFrom an Elliott Wave perspective, it looks like more downside is probable on the USDCAD. We have two have count possibilities (white and red numbering) and both point to another leg lower that should take prices below the previous low of 1.3436. We could go short at the market with a stop above 1.3630 for a great R:R.
SPX500USD 2024/09/11one of the benefits of using Elliot Wave is that it can help traders to understand the psychology and emotions behind market movements. if can halp traders to avoid being influenced by fear and greed and trade with logic and objectivity.
-You can't control the market! But you can control how you respond it
# Planning is the key element of trading! Plan it - Follow it! Trade it!