Elliotwaveanalysis
GOLD Analysis | Intraday Chart ForecastHi Traders!
Gold prices rose to a record early on Friday as the dollar and yields fell on firming expectations the Federal Reserve is ready to begin lowering interest rates as U.S. inflation eases.
Gold for December delivery was last seen up US$27.40 to US$2,519.80 per ounce, topping the record high of US$2,507.80 set on Tuesday. The rise follows on economic data this week showing inflation slowed last month while retail sales surged, easing recession worries while strengthening expectations the Federal Reserve can begin cutting interest rates, which are at a 23-year high, when its policy committee meets next month.
"Gold's data dependency remains paramount, as jobs, inflation, and economic data all have the potential to clarify the Fed's path and future monetary policy," Christopher Louney, a commodities strategist at RBC Capital Markets, said in a note.
The dollar moved lower, with the ICE dollar index last seen down 0.27 points to 102.71. Treasury yields also fell, with the U.S. two-year note last seen paying 4.056%, down 4.5 basis points, while the yield on the 10-year note was down 2.4 basis points to 3.891%.
From technical point of view, Trend is bullish and if we look at 1H chart, Gold is forming impulsive structure 12345. If this analysis is correct, in the short term GOLD should trigger a corrective structure (Wave 4) before another bullish leg.
Thank you for watching.
Spotting the Trend: The Birth of Wave 3Technical Analysis Using Elliott Wave Principles on exampled chart of SBI Cards (Daily Time Frame)
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not intended as financial or trading advice. Market movements are inherently uncertain, and the analysis is based on one possible interpretation of the Elliott Wave structure. Please consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Introduction to Elliott Wave Principles:
Elliott Wave Theory is an analytical framework that helps traders and investors understand market psychology through price movement patterns. The theory suggests that market prices unfold in waves, which are driven by collective investor behavior. The patterns consist of five waves in the direction of the main trend, followed by three corrective waves. Understanding these wave patterns allows us to anticipate future price movements with greater accuracy.
Key Elliott Wave Principles:
1. Five-Wave Impulse Pattern: The primary trend unfolds in five waves (1-2-3-4-5). Waves 1, 3, and 5 move in the direction of the trend, while waves 2 and 4 are corrective.
2. Three-Wave Corrective Pattern: After a five-wave sequence, a correction typically follows, consisting of three waves (A-B-C) that move against the primary trend.
3. Wave Relationships: Fibonacci ratios play a crucial role in Elliott Wave analysis, often governing the length of the waves.
4. Wave Characteristics: Each wave has its own set of characteristics. For example, Wave 3 is usually the most powerful, showing the strongest price movement, while Wave 5 may signal the final push before a significant correction.
Current Elliott Wave Analysis on SBI Cards
Wave Structure Overview:
- The analysis focuses on the daily time frame of SBI Cards, where we can identify a completed corrective pattern and the beginning of a new impulsive wave structure.
Wave Count Details:
1. Primary Count:
- The chart indicates the possible completion of Wave ((2)) in black, marked by a complex corrective structure, ending near the 493.30 level.
- The price has likely begun unfolding Wave ((i)) of Wave 1 in red of the larger Wave ((3)) in black.
2. Current Daily Structure:
- Wave ((2)) seems to have completed with a three-wave corrective move, labeled as A-B-C. The final wave C (marked in red) appears to have ended at 493.30, representing the termination point of Wave ((2)).
- Following this, the initial sub-waves of Wave 1 (red) have begun forming, with Wave ((i)) currently unfolding.
- The nearest Invalidation Level for this wave count is 647.95. A break below this level would invalidate the current count, requiring a re-evaluation.
Wave ((3)) Characteristics and Projections:
- Wave ((3)) Characteristics: As per Elliott Wave Theory, Wave ((3)) is often the most dynamic and extended wave, reflecting strong momentum in the direction of the main trend. It’s typically the longest and most powerful of the impulsive waves, often reaching or surpassing the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave ((1)).
- Target Levels: For Wave ((3)) in black, potential targets could be calculated using Fibonacci extensions from Wave ((1)) & ((2)), projecting prices towards 161.80%, hear possibility for short to medium term could be 960.00 and beyond if Invalidation level is not Triggered, depending on the strength of the momentum.
- Invalidation Level: If the price drops below 647.95, it would invalidate the current wave count, indicating that Wave ((2)) may still be in progress or that an alternative structure is developing.
Conclusion:
The analysis suggests that SBI Cards may have completed a major corrective wave and is now in the early stages of a new impulsive sequence. The focus should be on the development of Wave ((3)) in black, which has the potential to drive prices significantly higher if the wave count holds true. As always, this educational analysis is not intended as trading advice, and one should consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Decoding the Final Wave: An Elliott Wave PerspectiveTechnical Analysis Using Elliott Wave Principles on example of Larsen & Toubro Ltd. (Hourly Time Frame)
The analysis presented is purely for educational purposes, demonstrating the application of Elliott Wave Theory. It is not intended as trading or investment advice. Markets are unpredictable, and all analyses have a degree of uncertainty.
Introduction to Elliott Wave Principles:
Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool used by traders and analysts to decipher the underlying structure of market price movements. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, this theory is based on the idea that market prices unfold in specific patterns known as "waves." These waves are driven by collective investor psychology, moving in predictable cycles of optimism and pessimism. The theory is broken down into two main phases: the impulsive phase, which moves in the direction of the main trend, and the corrective phase, which moves against it.
Key principles to remember:
1. Wave Structure: An impulsive wave (motive wave) consists of five waves (1-2-3-4-5) in the direction of the trend. A corrective wave is composed of three waves (A-B-C) that move against the trend.
2. Wave Personality: Each wave within the Elliott Wave structure has distinct characteristics. For example, Wave 3 is often the strongest and longest, while Wave 5 tends to be a final push before a trend reversal.
3. Wave Relationships: Fibonacci ratios are frequently observed in wave relationships, providing potential price targets and retracement levels.
4. Validation and Invalidation Levels: These levels help in determining the accuracy of wave counts and projections. If price breaches the invalidation level, the wave count is reassessed.
Current Elliott Wave Analysis on Larsen & Toubro Ltd.
Upon analyzing the hourly chart of Larsen & Toubro Ltd., we can observe the following wave counts and structures:
Wave Structure Overview:
- The chart shows a complex corrective structure following a significant impulsive move. The price action seems to be in the final stages of a larger wave pattern.
Wave Count Details:
1. Primary Count:
- We are potentially in the 5th Wave (red) of the final (5)th Wave (blue) on the daily time frame.
- The 5th wave, according to Elliott Wave Theory, often exhibits certain characteristics such as declining momentum, signaling the end of the trend.
2. Current Hourly Structure:
- Wave (4) in Blue has been completed at the price level near 3175.05, marking it as the last corrective wave before the final impulsive wave.
- The chart illustrates a five-wave sequence emerging from this level, indicative of the development of the 5th wave.
- Within this structure, we can identify sub-waves:
- Wave 1 peaked around 3720.
- Wave 2 retraced back near 3460.
- Wave 3 is anticipated to push towards higher levels, with Wave 4 and 5 completing the sequence.
Wave 5 Characteristics and Projections:
- Wave 5 Characteristics: [/i ] Typically, Wave 5 in a motive wave structure can be either strong and extended or show signs of divergence, where momentum indicators such as RSI or MACD might not confirm new highs.
- Projection Target Levels: Based on Fibonacci extensions, potential targets for Wave 5 lie around 4141.30, 4352.60, and even possibly towards 4400.00.
- Invalidation Level: If the price breaks below 3175.05, the wave count would be invalidated, necessitating a reassessment of the entire structure.
Conclusion:
The analysis indicates that Larsen & Toubro Ltd. is in the final stages of a larger wave pattern, specifically the 5th wave of an impulsive sequence. As this wave unfolds, it’s crucial to monitor the target and invalidation levels closely. This educational analysis serves to illustrate the application of Elliott Wave Theory, with no intention of providing trading advice. Always consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Bitcoin eyes 44 000 $ - Death cross signals larger correctionBitcoin is currently targeting the $44,000 level, a key area where multiple former support lines converge and where the 1.618 fibonacci retracement target is. This level also aligns with the potential completion of Elliott Wave 4, setting the stage for a possible upward push.
The recent Death Cross—where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average—signals a larger correction may be underway. Historically, this pattern has often preceded significant market downturns. However, the $44,000 zone could serve as a critical support level, possibly marking the end of the correction.
If BTC holds this level and completes Elliott Wave 4, we could see the beginning of a new bullish wave, potentially pushing the price toward the $100,000 mark. While the current outlook is cautious, the long-term potential for Bitcoin remains strong in my opinion.
Here are three reasons why the scenario of Bitcoin reaching $44,000 before a push toward $100,000 might unfold:
Macro-Economic Uncertainty: Bitcoin's short-term outlook is influenced by macroeconomic factors like rising interest rates, a stronger U.S. dollar, and global recession fears. These elements could reduce demand for riskier assets, potentially leading to a price decline despite Bitcoin's long-term potential.
Strong Support at $44,000: This level is significant due to the convergence of several former support lines, making it a likely area for buyers to step in and stabilize the price, potentially marking the end of Elliott Wave 4.
Fundamental Drivers: Despite short-term bearish signals, the long-term fundamentals for Bitcoin—such as increasing institutional adoption, limited supply, and inflation concerns—remain strong. These factors could fuel a rapid recovery and push BTC to new all-time highs after the correction.
Thanks for reading and make sure to follow as I post more charts weekly!
X:@PuppyNakamoto
BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD KRAKEN:BTCUSD BITFINEX:BTCUSD
XRPUSDT D Bullish Setup:50% fill of the FVG,POC,liquidity poolsTechnical indicators suggest growth. There is a possibility of a growth reaction from the 50% fill of the imbalance, POC, liquidity pool with a liquidity sweep below the previous low and the completion of a truncated fifth wave of Elliott. Liquidity pools have formed above, which will act as a magnet for the price. This scenario will be invalidated if the price consolidates below the POC. Then, expectations for the price are in the order block (OB) zone.
Gold is set to rise - Bullish Momentum Ahead!Welcome to another analysis, where we dive into the latest market trend and chart the potential path ahead for GOLD !
So is gold a good long-term investment? In my view, the short answer is YES .
Gold is likely to continue rising in the coming years due to several fundamental factors. Firstly, ongoing global economic uncertainty, including inflation concerns and geopolitical tensions, often drives investors toward gold as a safe-haven asset. Central banks around the world are also increasing their gold reserves, reflecting confidence in its long-term value.
If we examine the consolidation period between 2016 and 2019, we can see that the breakout from this consolidation initiated Elliott Wave 3.
What's particularly noteworthy is how well the technical indicators have aligned throughout this process.
The Fibonacci extension tool accurately predicted where gold would peak in 2020. After reaching that peak, gold entered a new period of consolidation and sideways movement as we moved into the new years.
Once again, it appears we've entered another phase of Elliott Wave 3 and will probably soon have a minor correction or sideways time period before going into wave 5.
Looking ahead, my long-term projection for gold suggests a potential peak between $3,200 and $3,500, likely around 2026.
Only time will tell!
Thanks for reading, and make sure to follow me here on tradingview and on X for more updates as we progress: @PuppyNakamoto
CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:GOLD MCX:GOLD1!
Gold is set to rise - Bullish Momentum Ahead!Welcome to another analysis, where we dive into the latest market trend and chart the potential path ahead for GOLD !
So is gold a good long-term investment? In my view, the short answer is YES .
Gold is likely to continue rising in the coming years due to several fundamental factors. Firstly, ongoing global economic uncertainty, including inflation concerns and geopolitical tensions, often drives investors toward gold as a safe-haven asset. Central banks around the world are also increasing their gold reserves, reflecting confidence in its long-term value.
If we examine the consolidation period between 2016 and 2019, we can see that the breakout from this consolidation initiated Elliott Wave 3.
What's particularly noteworthy is how well the technical indicators have aligned throughout this process.
The Fibonacci extension tool accurately predicted where gold would peak in 2020. After reaching that peak, gold entered a new period of consolidation and sideways movement as we moved into the new years.
Once again, it appears we've entered another phase of Elliott Wave 3 and will probably soon have a minor correction or sideways time period before going into wave 5.
Looking ahead, my long-term projection for gold suggests a potential peak between $3,200 and $3,500, likely around 2026.
Only time will tell!
Thanks for reading, and make sure to follow me here on tradingview and on X for more updates as we progress: @PuppyNakamoto
CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:GOLD MCX:GOLD1!
Bitcoin - It's THIS SIMPLE ! (⊙ˍ⊙)Bitcoin from the monthly view gives us a very clear indication o where we are in this cycle, specifically compared to the previous cycle.
A few points that are noteworthy from this perspective:
❗ Perfect Elliot Wave Theory playing out
❗ Currently in Corrective wave 3-4
❗ Still making HIGHER lows, still bullish
I've said this last year, and I'll say it again now - BTC loves Decembers. This month is notoriously bullish for Bitcoin. It's likely that we spend another few weeks before starting to move in that direction. Also remember that a consolidation under resistance is always a BULLISH sign.
Don't miss yesterdays update on SEI, where a good buying zone is approaching:
________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
ULTRACEMCO: Wave ((iv)) Correction and Future ProjectionsTechnical Analysis on Exampled chart of Ultracemco Using Elliott Wave Theory
As always, this analysis is provided for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Proper risk management and consultation with a financial advisor are recommended before making any trading decisions.
Understanding Elliott Wave Principles
Elliott Wave Theory is a robust tool used by traders to analyze market cycles and forecast future price movements by identifying repetitive wave patterns. One of the core principles of Elliott Wave Theory is that markets move in five waves in the direction of the main trend (Impulse Waves) followed by three corrective waves (Corrective Waves). These waves are labeled numerically as 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 for impulse waves and alphabetically as A, B, C for corrective waves.
A few key rules and guidelines include:
Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
Wave 3 is usually the longest and never the shortest among waves 1, 3, and 5.
Wave 4 should not enter the price territory of Wave 1 (in a standard impulse wave).
Additionally, corrective waves come in various forms like Zigzags, Flats, and Triangles, and these patterns provide insight into the market’s corrective phases.
Current Wave Count and Analysis
On the daily time frame of Ultracemco, the price action has been unfolding within an Elliott Wave structure, and as of the latest data, the market appears to be in the process of completing wave ((iv)) in black.
The chart shows that the recent price action likely represents a corrective wave ((iv)), unfolding as an (a)-(b)-(c) structure, where wave (a) has been completed, wave (b) has bounced as a corrective upward swing, and wave (c) is currently progressing downward.
Key Observations for Wave ((iv)):
Depth of Correction: The retracement level of wave ((iv)) typically spans between 38.2% to 50% of wave ((iii)). The current retracement indicates that wave ((iv)) could find support around these levels, aligning with typical Elliott Wave corrective behavior.
Equality of Waves (a) & (c): One common characteristic within a Zigzag pattern is that wave (c) often equals wave (a) in terms of length. This potential equality provides a target zone for the completion of wave ((iv)).
Retracement of Wave ((iii)): The analysis of wave ((iv)) should also consider the Fibonacci retracement levels of wave ((iii)). A significant support area is found near the 50% retracement level of the prior wave ((iii)), which could act as a pivot point for the next upward move.
Potential Outlook for Wave ((v))
Once wave ((iv)) finds its completion, the next expected move is an upward swing as wave ((v)), which should unfold in an impulsive manner. Wave ((v)) often represents the final thrust in the direction of the trend and is typically characterized by strong momentum and breadth.
Characteristics of Wave ((v)):
Extension: Wave ((v)) may extend, particularly if wave ((iii)) was relatively short. In such cases, wave ((v)) could push the price higher than expected, sometimes exceeding the previous high established by wave ((iii)).
Fibonacci Projections: A common target for wave ((v)) can be projected using Fibonacci extension levels of waves ((i)) through ((iii)). The 61.8%, 100%, and 161.8% extension levels serve as potential price targets.
Volume and Momentum: Increased volume and momentum usually accompany wave ((v)) as it represents the final push in the direction of the prevailing trend. Traders should watch for any divergences in momentum indicators, as they often signal the end of the impulse wave and the start of a corrective phase.
Conclusion
In summary, the analysis suggests that Exampled chart of Ultracemco is likely completing wave ((iv)), with potential support zones emerging as the market corrects. Following the completion of wave ((iv)), the price is expected to rise in an impulsive wave ((v)), targeting new highs. However, it's crucial to remember that Elliott Wave analysis involves multiple possibilities, and traders should consider these insights as part of a broader trading strategy rather than standalone advice.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
SCGP - TFW Wave Target Reversal Projection - Bull Trap A potential bull trap scenario with one more wave downtrend.
1. First correction - Extended flat ABC
Wave B retraced 78.6% / w.a and w.C: extended 161.8% of w.A
2. Complex triangle ABCDE pattern
3. The current downtrend wave doubled zigzag ABC pattern with wave 4 in c leg targeting 38.2-50 % retracement at ma50w, creating a false breakout signal before final wave 5 downtrend.
RSI at the lowest position - no bullish divergence trend reversal signal support
#GER30 bearish continuation moveAfter an impulsive bearish move in the GER30 last week, the price is now forming a bullish corrective move and a rising wedge pattern, which typically has a bearish bias.
Additionally, the price has reached the 1-hour 200 EMA, which could act as dynamic resistance. There's also a bearish divergence between the price and the momentum oscillator on this timeframe.
These factors together suggest a bearish outlook.
#AUDNZD bearish continuation scenarioAfter a bearish impulsive move, the price appears to be completing a bullish corrective ABC pattern. So far, it has completed waves A and B and is currently in the midst of the bullish wave C.
This bullish move could take the price back to the previous lower high, as highlighted in the chart. From there, we could anticipate the start of another bearish move.