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Elliotwaveanalysis

Look for Wyckoff in the right places.Since my partner @Mayfair_Ventures started talking bearish about BTC in March 2021, and also talking about Wyckoff theory, a lot of commentators picked up on it and made Wyckoff more widely known. Most likely they read up on it quickly and got some kind of understanding, but unless you have been using it for a while in anger, as in, making real trading decisions based on it, it's not that easy to use. There is ALWAYS a bigger picture to look at. Also, you rarely get a perfect Wyckoff. One person's spring is another's confirmation that this is a distribution. Like all trading, there is a combination of signs. Take this accumulation from Summer 2021. It only proved it was accumulation when it exited the ranger to the upside. You had to wait for the retest to get a sensible trade. Even then, the overall risk reward was at best mediocre, and no one in the crypto space had the patience to wait almost 7 weeks for it, instead getting rinsed at $50k and likely stopped out. And also remember the narrative was around the Elliott Wave that we'd outlined, because you can't just rely on Wyckoff, or any one thing , if you want a sensible trading strategy. Right now, for a number of sensible logical reasons outlined in the attached posts and videos, I am looking for Wyckoff Distribution. My bias is downward. If you want to know why, look at the other posts, I'm not re-hashing it all again here. The important thing is the pattern I expect to see, involving a significant break of the consolidation structure to the downside and then a retest of the zone. Hmmm.... I spoke in earlier posts about there being a chance of a final upthrust above the ATH, just to sucker the last few in. I think he chances of this are reduced to about 5-10% now, given recent price action. The middle of the consolidation ($66K) seems like the top for now. If it retests and fails, then it may be time to pull the trigger. Please bear in mind that BTC is now a mature instrument, and the days of exponential prices are gone. Good luck, because it's better to be lucky than good, most of the time!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Paul_Varcoe
Etherum eyes $7,300 After Wave 4 Rebound! Long-Term Analysis of ETH/USD We are back with another in-depth look at the ETH/USD pair. It appears that Elliott Wave 4 has completed, and we may see one more wave to the upside before a larger correction occurs. Wave 4 was particularly intense, with a sharp and rapid decline that brought the price down to the 200-week moving average (MA). This level also coincided with the lower support line of the current channel. Fortunately, we experienced a strong rebound from this area, and the market is now poised for a potential upward movement. My target for this next leg is at the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, which is around $7,300 per coi The wolf pack are hunting for profits, one block at a time..🐺 Make sure to follow my new profile on X for more weekly updates! :@PuppyNakamoto Happy trading! COINBASE:ETHUSD BITSTAMP:ETHUSD BINANCE:ETHUSD BINANCE:ETHUSDT
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by WOLFofBlockStreet
2
Wave Theory in Motion: Understanding Key PatternsElliott Wave Analysis: Example used chart of Eicher Motors (NSE: EICHERMOTORS) This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading or investment advice. All wave counts are subject to change as the market evolves. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Overview: In this analysis, we will delve into the current market structure of Eicher Motors through the lens of Elliott Wave Theory. The focus will be on identifying the wave count, potential price targets, and critical invalidation levels. Wave Count: Starting from the low at 4253, we have a clear impulsive structure labeled as wave (i). This wave consists of five smaller sub-waves, denoted by i, ii, iii, iv, v. The subsequent correction, wave (ii), retraced part of this impulsive move, unfolding in a typical corrective pattern, which then led to wave (iii). This wave extended higher, reflecting strong bullish momentum, followed by waves (iv) and (v) completing the impulsive sequence near 4976 where we had labelled as wave 3 completed. From there, an Expanded Flat corrective structure began, identified as a ((a))-((b))-((c)) pattern, which seems to have completed near ₹4,548. This marks the end of wave 4, a corrective wave within a larger impulsive sequence. Currently, the stock appears to be in the early stages of a new impulsive wave, labeled as wave (i) of a higher-degree wave ((i)) of one more higher degree wave 5. Elliott waves Theory based Target Assumptions: Given that wave 3 of the previous impulsive move ended around 4976, we anticipate that wave 5 should extend beyond this level. The first target for wave 5 would be around 5000, If momentum is strong, we could see further extensions. Invalidation Levels: Critical to any Elliott Wave analysis is understanding where the wave count might be invalidated: Nearest Invalidation Level: A break below 4548 would invalidate the assumption that wave (v) of wave C has completed. This would suggest that the corrective wave 4 is still ongoing or that a different corrective structure is forming. Main Invalidation Level: Should the price fall below 4253.85, it would invalidate the entire bullish wave count, implying that a much larger corrective pattern is unfolding, or a change in the trend direction is occurring. Conclusion: Eicher Motors is showing signs of a potential new impulsive move to the upside, However, traders should keep a close eye on the invalidation levels at 4548 and 4253.85. Breaching these levels would require a reevaluation of the current wave structure and could signal a deeper correction. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:EICHERMOTEducation
by RK_Chaarts
Understanding Complex Structures: Elliott Wave Theory in ActionTechnical Analysis on Exampled chart of RBL Bank Ltd. using Elliott Wave Theory Understanding Complex Structures: Elliott Wave Theory in Action This analysis uses Elliott Wave Theory & Structures, which involve multiple possibilities. The analysis presented focuses on one potential scenario. The provided information is for educational purposes only, not trading advice. There is a risk of being completely wrong, and users are warned not to trade or invest solely based on this study. The content is not advisory and does not guarantee profits. We are not responsible for any kind of profits and losses; individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Elliott Wave Principles Elliott Wave Theory, developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, is a widely used method of technical analysis. It helps traders analyze financial market cycles and forecast market trends by identifying patterns of investor psychology, reflected in price movements. According to Elliott, market prices unfold in specific patterns, termed as "waves". These waves are categorized into: Impulse Waves: Move in the direction of the overall trend and consist of five sub-waves. Corrective Waves: Move against the trend and consist of three sub-waves. Impulse waves are labeled as 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, and corrective waves are labeled as A, B, and C. Complex corrections are labeled as W, X, Y, and sometimes Z. Chart Analysis Exampled of RBL Bank Ltd. Here's a breakdown of the wave counts as illustrated in the chart: Impulse Wave 1 - 5 as a bigger degree wave (3) - Starting from the bottom left, the stock initiates an upward movement labeled as waves (i), (ii), (iii), (iv), and (v), culminating in a larger degree Wave (3). This indicates a bullish impulse wave consisting of five sub-waves. Corrective Wave W-X-Y Correction as a bigger degree Wave (4) - The chart shows a complex correction starting from top of Wave (3) with set of double correction as wave W-X-Y Current Market Scenario - Currently, the stock appears to be completing another corrective wave (Y), marked with sub-waves (a), (b), and potentially completing (c). of wave ((y)) of larger degree wave Y to finish one more larger degree wave (4). Can show some Dips to complete wave (4) along with Bullish Divergences. Future Projection Based on the Elliott Wave count, the stock seems to be in the final stages of completing Wave (c) of ((y)) of Y of (4). After this correction, it is anticipated that a new impulsive wave cycle might begin, potentially forming Wave (5) of a larger degree. The projected target for this next upward wave, post-correction, could reach above the previous high near the 300 level or more. By understanding these principles and analyzing the provided chart, traders can gain insights into potential market movements and make more informed trading decisions. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:RBLBANKEducation
by RK_Chaarts
10
#OIL Elliot wave analysisAfter the bearish move that oil prices experienced until the fifth of August, it seems like the price has initiated another bullish move, which currently appears to be an impulsive wave. However, it should be noted that even if this bullish move is an ABC corrective wave, it makes no difference since the price could still go higher to complete wave C. Therefore, this bullish move seems probable for now, and we could look for buying opportunities near support levels.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDELong
by mohemati
bitcoin IN A cool positionHi guys. this thing has made a nice textbook channel, today we have non farm payroll and unemployment data in the US , it can make the buttom of this wave 4 looking thing that we all suspect. but it can also chop a litle more s that it would have at least the same amount of time as of its wave 2. if bitcoin goes above 66600, you got to be bullish. but so far SPX also has shown toppy , jeff bezos sold billions of his stock. so... don't do more crazy decisions, we have all been tricked enough this year.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by trollist
Interesting graph of USD/UAHOf course, I have not traded the currency market much and I have no experience as such, but I can predict something purely based on the structures and how it happened, my analysis cannot be taken into account! 1) I can see a 5 wave structure and now the last wave of growth 2) There is so much negativity that the chart begins to slow down, a sign of trend weakness 3) As strange as this US election is, it looks like something is about to happen In my opinion, there are 2 scenarios. First, we really form the 5th final wave and go through a correction to 20-25, which will give a positive result for 4-10 years, after which the upward movement will begin again. Second, the negative will become more and more and the rate will start to break above 50-54, which in my opinion is very critical and will stretch the uncertainty for years. In my opinion, the probability is as follows, the first - 70-75%, the second - 30-25%
Short
by MyTechNAz
#GBPNZD more bearish move to comeThis is my prediction for GBPNZD for the next couple of days. As you can see in the chart, the price seems to be completing a 5-wave bearish impulsive move, which could end by tomorrow. Following this bearish move, we could assume a bullish corrective ABC formation, which could take us all the way back to the level indicated by the arrow. From there, we could expect another impulsive bearish move, which could be either wave 3 or wave C. We do not know this for sure at this point, so we should wait and analyze the price action once the time is relevant. Let me know if you would like me to publish an analysis in a lower timeframe on this chart to take advantage of this rally.
by mohemati
8
#GBPCAD bearish scenarioBearish divergence in the 4H timeframe, as well as price failing to create a new high, shows potential weakness in the uptrend. Furthermore, from an Elliott wave perspective, it seems like we are at wave 5 of 5, with a high potential for a bearish move from here. In the 1H timeframe, we can see that the price managed to break below the previous higher low, successfully changing the structure towards bearish in the 1H timeframe. Let me know if you would like me to publish an analysis in a lower timeframe on this chart to take advantage of this rally.
Short
by mohemati
6