Bitcoin eyes 44 000 $ - Death cross signals larger correctionBitcoin is currently targeting the $44,000 level, a key area where multiple former support lines converge and where the 1.618 fibonacci retracement target is. This level also aligns with the potential completion of Elliott Wave 4, setting the stage for a possible upward push.
The recent Death Cross—where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average—signals a larger correction may be underway. Historically, this pattern has often preceded significant market downturns. However, the $44,000 zone could serve as a critical support level, possibly marking the end of the correction.
If BTC holds this level and completes Elliott Wave 4, we could see the beginning of a new bullish wave, potentially pushing the price toward the $100,000 mark. While the current outlook is cautious, the long-term potential for Bitcoin remains strong in my opinion.
Here are three reasons why the scenario of Bitcoin reaching $44,000 before a push toward $100,000 might unfold:
Macro-Economic Uncertainty: Bitcoin's short-term outlook is influenced by macroeconomic factors like rising interest rates, a stronger U.S. dollar, and global recession fears. These elements could reduce demand for riskier assets, potentially leading to a price decline despite Bitcoin's long-term potential.
Strong Support at $44,000: This level is significant due to the convergence of several former support lines, making it a likely area for buyers to step in and stabilize the price, potentially marking the end of Elliott Wave 4.
Fundamental Drivers: Despite short-term bearish signals, the long-term fundamentals for Bitcoin—such as increasing institutional adoption, limited supply, and inflation concerns—remain strong. These factors could fuel a rapid recovery and push BTC to new all-time highs after the correction.
Thanks for reading and make sure to follow as I post more charts weekly!
X:@PuppyNakamoto
BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD KRAKEN:BTCUSD BITFINEX:BTCUSD
Elliotwaveanalysis
XRPUSDT D Bullish Setup:50% fill of the FVG,POC,liquidity poolsTechnical indicators suggest growth. There is a possibility of a growth reaction from the 50% fill of the imbalance, POC, liquidity pool with a liquidity sweep below the previous low and the completion of a truncated fifth wave of Elliott. Liquidity pools have formed above, which will act as a magnet for the price. This scenario will be invalidated if the price consolidates below the POC. Then, expectations for the price are in the order block (OB) zone.
Gold is set to rise - Bullish Momentum Ahead!Welcome to another analysis, where we dive into the latest market trend and chart the potential path ahead for GOLD !
So is gold a good long-term investment? In my view, the short answer is YES .
Gold is likely to continue rising in the coming years due to several fundamental factors. Firstly, ongoing global economic uncertainty, including inflation concerns and geopolitical tensions, often drives investors toward gold as a safe-haven asset. Central banks around the world are also increasing their gold reserves, reflecting confidence in its long-term value.
If we examine the consolidation period between 2016 and 2019, we can see that the breakout from this consolidation initiated Elliott Wave 3.
What's particularly noteworthy is how well the technical indicators have aligned throughout this process.
The Fibonacci extension tool accurately predicted where gold would peak in 2020. After reaching that peak, gold entered a new period of consolidation and sideways movement as we moved into the new years.
Once again, it appears we've entered another phase of Elliott Wave 3 and will probably soon have a minor correction or sideways time period before going into wave 5.
Looking ahead, my long-term projection for gold suggests a potential peak between $3,200 and $3,500, likely around 2026.
Only time will tell!
Thanks for reading, and make sure to follow me here on tradingview and on X for more updates as we progress: @PuppyNakamoto
CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:GOLD MCX:GOLD1!
Gold is set to rise - Bullish Momentum Ahead!Welcome to another analysis, where we dive into the latest market trend and chart the potential path ahead for GOLD !
So is gold a good long-term investment? In my view, the short answer is YES .
Gold is likely to continue rising in the coming years due to several fundamental factors. Firstly, ongoing global economic uncertainty, including inflation concerns and geopolitical tensions, often drives investors toward gold as a safe-haven asset. Central banks around the world are also increasing their gold reserves, reflecting confidence in its long-term value.
If we examine the consolidation period between 2016 and 2019, we can see that the breakout from this consolidation initiated Elliott Wave 3.
What's particularly noteworthy is how well the technical indicators have aligned throughout this process.
The Fibonacci extension tool accurately predicted where gold would peak in 2020. After reaching that peak, gold entered a new period of consolidation and sideways movement as we moved into the new years.
Once again, it appears we've entered another phase of Elliott Wave 3 and will probably soon have a minor correction or sideways time period before going into wave 5.
Looking ahead, my long-term projection for gold suggests a potential peak between $3,200 and $3,500, likely around 2026.
Only time will tell!
Thanks for reading, and make sure to follow me here on tradingview and on X for more updates as we progress: @PuppyNakamoto
CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:GOLD MCX:GOLD1!
Bitcoin - It's THIS SIMPLE ! (⊙ˍ⊙)Bitcoin from the monthly view gives us a very clear indication o where we are in this cycle, specifically compared to the previous cycle.
A few points that are noteworthy from this perspective:
❗ Perfect Elliot Wave Theory playing out
❗ Currently in Corrective wave 3-4
❗ Still making HIGHER lows, still bullish
I've said this last year, and I'll say it again now - BTC loves Decembers. This month is notoriously bullish for Bitcoin. It's likely that we spend another few weeks before starting to move in that direction. Also remember that a consolidation under resistance is always a BULLISH sign.
Don't miss yesterdays update on SEI, where a good buying zone is approaching:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
ULTRACEMCO: Wave ((iv)) Correction and Future ProjectionsTechnical Analysis on Exampled chart of Ultracemco Using Elliott Wave Theory
As always, this analysis is provided for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Proper risk management and consultation with a financial advisor are recommended before making any trading decisions.
Understanding Elliott Wave Principles
Elliott Wave Theory is a robust tool used by traders to analyze market cycles and forecast future price movements by identifying repetitive wave patterns. One of the core principles of Elliott Wave Theory is that markets move in five waves in the direction of the main trend (Impulse Waves) followed by three corrective waves (Corrective Waves). These waves are labeled numerically as 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 for impulse waves and alphabetically as A, B, C for corrective waves.
A few key rules and guidelines include:
Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
Wave 3 is usually the longest and never the shortest among waves 1, 3, and 5.
Wave 4 should not enter the price territory of Wave 1 (in a standard impulse wave).
Additionally, corrective waves come in various forms like Zigzags, Flats, and Triangles, and these patterns provide insight into the market’s corrective phases.
Current Wave Count and Analysis
On the daily time frame of Ultracemco, the price action has been unfolding within an Elliott Wave structure, and as of the latest data, the market appears to be in the process of completing wave ((iv)) in black.
The chart shows that the recent price action likely represents a corrective wave ((iv)), unfolding as an (a)-(b)-(c) structure, where wave (a) has been completed, wave (b) has bounced as a corrective upward swing, and wave (c) is currently progressing downward.
Key Observations for Wave ((iv)):
Depth of Correction: The retracement level of wave ((iv)) typically spans between 38.2% to 50% of wave ((iii)). The current retracement indicates that wave ((iv)) could find support around these levels, aligning with typical Elliott Wave corrective behavior.
Equality of Waves (a) & (c): One common characteristic within a Zigzag pattern is that wave (c) often equals wave (a) in terms of length. This potential equality provides a target zone for the completion of wave ((iv)).
Retracement of Wave ((iii)): The analysis of wave ((iv)) should also consider the Fibonacci retracement levels of wave ((iii)). A significant support area is found near the 50% retracement level of the prior wave ((iii)), which could act as a pivot point for the next upward move.
Potential Outlook for Wave ((v))
Once wave ((iv)) finds its completion, the next expected move is an upward swing as wave ((v)), which should unfold in an impulsive manner. Wave ((v)) often represents the final thrust in the direction of the trend and is typically characterized by strong momentum and breadth.
Characteristics of Wave ((v)):
Extension: Wave ((v)) may extend, particularly if wave ((iii)) was relatively short. In such cases, wave ((v)) could push the price higher than expected, sometimes exceeding the previous high established by wave ((iii)).
Fibonacci Projections: A common target for wave ((v)) can be projected using Fibonacci extension levels of waves ((i)) through ((iii)). The 61.8%, 100%, and 161.8% extension levels serve as potential price targets.
Volume and Momentum: Increased volume and momentum usually accompany wave ((v)) as it represents the final push in the direction of the prevailing trend. Traders should watch for any divergences in momentum indicators, as they often signal the end of the impulse wave and the start of a corrective phase.
Conclusion
In summary, the analysis suggests that Exampled chart of Ultracemco is likely completing wave ((iv)), with potential support zones emerging as the market corrects. Following the completion of wave ((iv)), the price is expected to rise in an impulsive wave ((v)), targeting new highs. However, it's crucial to remember that Elliott Wave analysis involves multiple possibilities, and traders should consider these insights as part of a broader trading strategy rather than standalone advice.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
SCGP - TFW Wave Target Reversal Projection - Bull Trap A potential bull trap scenario with one more wave downtrend.
1. First correction - Extended flat ABC
Wave B retraced 78.6% / w.a and w.C: extended 161.8% of w.A
2. Complex triangle ABCDE pattern
3. The current downtrend wave doubled zigzag ABC pattern with wave 4 in c leg targeting 38.2-50 % retracement at ma50w, creating a false breakout signal before final wave 5 downtrend.
RSI at the lowest position - no bullish divergence trend reversal signal support
#GER30 bearish continuation moveAfter an impulsive bearish move in the GER30 last week, the price is now forming a bullish corrective move and a rising wedge pattern, which typically has a bearish bias.
Additionally, the price has reached the 1-hour 200 EMA, which could act as dynamic resistance. There's also a bearish divergence between the price and the momentum oscillator on this timeframe.
These factors together suggest a bearish outlook.
#AUDNZD bearish continuation scenarioAfter a bearish impulsive move, the price appears to be completing a bullish corrective ABC pattern. So far, it has completed waves A and B and is currently in the midst of the bullish wave C.
This bullish move could take the price back to the previous lower high, as highlighted in the chart. From there, we could anticipate the start of another bearish move.
$CELH | Buy Potential D1 | Market Exec | Technical Confluences:
- Elliot wave may have completed Wave 4 and begin the Wave 5 move
- Price action is close to the 78% Fibo levels and a Demand zone (Yellow Zone) area.
- Stochastics are at Oversold levels on both Weekly & Daily timeframes (TF)
Fundamental Confluences:
- Earnings was positive with both domestic & international revenue increasing, EPS beat, EBITDA also up
- Slowly gaining market share in the Energy drinks segment
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I see these levels as good for me to being some allocation of my Portfolio into $CELH.
Blue Zones & Fibo Extension levels (in Blue) will be the starting point of some my TP levels.
Remember, DYOR.
________________________________
Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
Look for Wyckoff in the right places.Since my partner @Mayfair_Ventures started talking bearish about BTC in March 2021, and also talking about Wyckoff theory, a lot of commentators picked up on it and made Wyckoff more widely known.
Most likely they read up on it quickly and got some kind of understanding, but unless you have been using it for a while in anger, as in, making real trading decisions based on it, it's not that easy to use.
There is ALWAYS a bigger picture to look at. Also, you rarely get a perfect Wyckoff.
One person's spring is another's confirmation that this is a distribution. Like all trading, there is a combination of signs.
Take this accumulation from Summer 2021. It only proved it was accumulation when it exited the ranger to the upside. You had to wait for the retest to get a sensible trade. Even then, the overall risk reward was at best mediocre, and no one in the crypto space had the patience to wait almost 7 weeks for it, instead getting rinsed at $50k and likely stopped out.
And also remember the narrative was around the Elliott Wave that we'd outlined, because you can't just rely on Wyckoff, or any one thing , if you want a sensible trading strategy.
Right now, for a number of sensible logical reasons outlined in the attached posts and videos, I am looking for Wyckoff Distribution. My bias is downward. If you want to know why, look at the other posts, I'm not re-hashing it all again here. The important thing is the pattern I expect to see, involving a significant break of the consolidation structure to the downside and then a retest of the zone.
Hmmm....
I spoke in earlier posts about there being a chance of a final upthrust above the ATH, just to sucker the last few in. I think he chances of this are reduced to about 5-10% now, given recent price action. The middle of the consolidation ($66K) seems like the top for now. If it retests and fails, then it may be time to pull the trigger.
Please bear in mind that BTC is now a mature instrument, and the days of exponential prices are gone.
Good luck, because it's better to be lucky than good, most of the time!
Etherum eyes $7,300 After Wave 4 Rebound! Long-Term Analysis of ETH/USD
We are back with another in-depth look at the ETH/USD pair. It appears that Elliott Wave 4 has completed, and we may see one more wave to the upside before a larger correction occurs.
Wave 4 was particularly intense, with a sharp and rapid decline that brought the price down to the 200-week moving average (MA). This level also coincided with the lower support line of the current channel. Fortunately, we experienced a strong rebound from this area, and the market is now poised for a potential upward movement.
My target for this next leg is at the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, which is around $7,300 per coi
The wolf pack are hunting for profits, one block at a time..🐺
Make sure to follow my new profile on X for more weekly updates! :@PuppyNakamoto
Happy trading!
COINBASE:ETHUSD BITSTAMP:ETHUSD BINANCE:ETHUSD BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Wave Theory in Motion: Understanding Key PatternsElliott Wave Analysis:
Example used chart of Eicher Motors (NSE: EICHERMOTORS)
This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading or investment advice. All wave counts are subject to change as the market evolves. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Overview:
In this analysis, we will delve into the current market structure of Eicher Motors through the lens of Elliott Wave Theory. The focus will be on identifying the wave count, potential price targets, and critical invalidation levels.
Wave Count:
Starting from the low at 4253, we have a clear impulsive structure labeled as wave (i). This wave consists of five smaller sub-waves, denoted by i, ii, iii, iv, v. The subsequent correction, wave (ii), retraced part of this impulsive move, unfolding in a typical corrective pattern, which then led to wave (iii). This wave extended higher, reflecting strong bullish momentum, followed by waves (iv) and (v) completing the impulsive sequence near 4976 where we had labelled as wave 3 completed.
From there, an Expanded Flat corrective structure began, identified as a ((a))-((b))-((c)) pattern, which seems to have completed near ₹4,548. This marks the end of wave 4, a corrective wave within a larger impulsive sequence. Currently, the stock appears to be in the early stages of a new impulsive wave, labeled as wave (i) of a higher-degree wave ((i)) of one more higher degree wave 5.
Elliott waves Theory based Target Assumptions:
Given that wave 3 of the previous impulsive move ended around 4976, we anticipate that wave 5 should extend beyond this level. The first target for wave 5 would be around 5000, If momentum is strong, we could see further extensions.
Invalidation Levels:
Critical to any Elliott Wave analysis is understanding where the wave count might be invalidated:
Nearest Invalidation Level: A break below 4548 would invalidate the assumption that wave (v) of wave C has completed. This would suggest that the corrective wave 4 is still ongoing or that a different corrective structure is forming.
Main Invalidation Level: Should the price fall below 4253.85, it would invalidate the entire bullish wave count, implying that a much larger corrective pattern is unfolding, or a change in the trend direction is occurring.
Conclusion:
Eicher Motors is showing signs of a potential new impulsive move to the upside, However, traders should keep a close eye on the invalidation levels at 4548 and 4253.85. Breaching these levels would require a reevaluation of the current wave structure and could signal a deeper correction.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Uptrend Resumes - Standard wave 4 correctionIf this is an actual impulse with 5 total waves, then the recent pullback to a 38% retrace of wave(3) to complete wave(4) on the lower end of the channel was nothing unusual.
If price falls out of the channel and under (4) it's very likely the move up from the lows was an ABC move.
Upside of 100k for wave(5)? Stay within the channel and let's see.
Understanding Complex Structures: Elliott Wave Theory in ActionTechnical Analysis on Exampled chart of RBL Bank Ltd. using Elliott Wave Theory
Understanding Complex Structures: Elliott Wave Theory in Action
This analysis uses Elliott Wave Theory & Structures, which involve multiple possibilities. The analysis presented focuses on one potential scenario. The provided information is for educational purposes only, not trading advice. There is a risk of being completely wrong, and users are warned not to trade or invest solely based on this study. The content is not advisory and does not guarantee profits. We are not responsible for any kind of profits and losses; individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Elliott Wave Principles
Elliott Wave Theory, developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, is a widely used method of technical analysis. It helps traders analyze financial market cycles and forecast market trends by identifying patterns of investor psychology, reflected in price movements. According to Elliott, market prices unfold in specific patterns, termed as "waves". These waves are categorized into:
Impulse Waves: Move in the direction of the overall trend and consist of five sub-waves.
Corrective Waves: Move against the trend and consist of three sub-waves.
Impulse waves are labeled as 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, and corrective waves are labeled as A, B, and C. Complex corrections are labeled as W, X, Y, and sometimes Z.
Chart Analysis Exampled of RBL Bank Ltd.
Here's a breakdown of the wave counts as illustrated in the chart:
Impulse Wave 1 - 5 as a bigger degree wave (3)
- Starting from the bottom left, the stock initiates an upward movement labeled as waves (i), (ii), (iii), (iv), and (v), culminating in a larger degree Wave (3). This indicates a bullish impulse wave consisting of five sub-waves.
Corrective Wave W-X-Y Correction as a bigger degree Wave (4)
- The chart shows a complex correction starting from top of Wave (3) with set of double correction as wave W-X-Y
Current Market Scenario
- Currently, the stock appears to be completing another corrective wave (Y), marked with sub-waves (a), (b), and potentially completing (c). of wave ((y)) of larger degree wave Y to finish one more larger degree wave (4). Can show some Dips to complete wave (4) along with Bullish Divergences.
Future Projection
Based on the Elliott Wave count, the stock seems to be in the final stages of completing Wave (c) of ((y)) of Y of (4). After this correction, it is anticipated that a new impulsive wave cycle might begin, potentially forming Wave (5) of a larger degree. The projected target for this next upward wave, post-correction, could reach above the previous high near the 300 level or more.
By understanding these principles and analyzing the provided chart, traders can gain insights into potential market movements and make more informed trading decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.