ADAUSDT|Triangle Setup WXYX2Z (1-2) +180% - Revisit $1.82 TargetPrimary Pattern: A contracting triangle within a larger corrective structure, likely wave 4.
Wave Count: A diagonal 5-wave impulse (i–v), followed by a WXY (X2) Z complex correction, suggesting wave 4 is still unfolding, possibly nearing completion.
Current Price: $0.83 with volume and SMA ribbon golden crosses showing bullish signal and near completion of accumulation phase.
Fibonacci Extension:
Targeting diagonal wave 5 at 261.8% extension from the base of wave 1 aligns with the projected target of $1.82, which matches the height of the triangle target. This also coincides with a +180% move from the possible upcoming wave Z or wave 2 —technically ambitious, but plausible if wave 5 kicks off with momentum.
Wave 4 Triangle Context:
The WXY(X2)Z structure implies a complex sideways correction which is typical of wave 4 behavior 1.6x - 2x wave 2 time extension
Key Support:
Entry: If X or 1 is nearing completion, and triangle support holds at key support MA20W Fibonacci 61.8%, the breakout into wave 5 could be explosive—especially with diagonal structure suggesting a leading diagonal pattern.
SL: Triangle Support is the last liquidity / smart money entry
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss!
Elliotwaveanalysis
$BTC Wave 4 correction completed -- alternate count.This is not financial advice.
In my previous post, I suggested that Minor Wave 4 could go all the way down to 0.618 fib:
However, after doing a deeper dive into the long squeeze in the last day and looking at its recovery, I think CRYPTOCAP:BTC has completed its corrective Minor Wave 4.
This means that we're looking up towards an impulsive Minor Wave 5.
If Minor Wave 5 completes, in my bullish main Elliot Wave count, we would get a full picture for Intermediate Wave 1.
We would then be able to expect an Intermediate Wave 2 correction.
However, while Wave 2 usually corrects 0.618 fib, this time round, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has shown inclination and strength to correct between 0.236 and 0.328 levels.
And then we will be making that Impulsive Wave 3 up.
That will be bonkers.
$BTC breaks $115k invalidates Wave 5 -- still Wave 4 correction.So it was a long squeeze after all, and one that was coming.
The initial thoughts were that we're on a Wave 5 up and counting:
But we're brought back down to earth as CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks below $115k, invalidating a Wave 5 count.
So, it's official: we're still on a Wave 4 correction, which can go as low as 0.618 fib towards $112k.
Now painting a likely scenario given that Wave 2 correction only moved 0.236 fib ~ 0.328 fib (Wave 2 & Wave 4 often contrast):
This could play out till end July or even all the way into early August, which if comes to fruition, could signal for a bullish August.
And August has historically almost always been a bearish month (8 red historical months out of 12).
Pinch me.
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 63.000.Colleagues, I believe that wave “B” has formed at the level of 69.938, and now we expect the downward movement to continue with the aim of completing wave ‘C’ of the middle order and wave “2” of the higher order in the support area of 63,000.
It is quite possible that the price could reach the 60,000 level, but I think that for now it is worth focusing on the nearest targets.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSD - Bullish Direction BiasThe Gold USD market on the 15-minute timeframe shows a notable downtrend followed by a retracement phase. The price is currently moving in a potential reversal structure with key areas marked as possible retracement or continuation points.
The chart highlights multiple potential support and resistance zones, indicated with small orange boxes, which mark anticipated areas for price reactions during the expected short-term moves.
The trading plan anticipates price to move upward towards these intermediate zones sequentially, with each zone acting as a minor resistance before price attempts to continue its bullish retracement. After reaching the higher target zone near 3424, a reversal or new wave is expected to unfold, potentially resuming the downtrend.
This plan emphasizes careful monitoring of price action at these key zones to confirm reversal or continuation signals. Traders should look for confirmation signals like pin bars, candle patterns, or volume clues at each zone before entering the trade.
Risk management involves setting appropriate stops beyond these resistance zones to protect against false breakouts or sudden trend changes.
This approach uses a combination of technical levels, price action confirmation, and careful zone analysis to guide trading decisions in a fast-moving market.
Visa: Waiting in the Wings Visa has entered a phase of sideways consolidation — but this does not affect our primary scenario. We continue to see the stock moving within magenta wave , which is expected to complete the larger turquoise wave 4 inside our turquoise Target Zone between $308.09 and $292.19. After that, we anticipate a renewed upward impulse. Turquoise wave 5 should then push the stock beyond the resistance levels at $375.51 and $394.49. Meanwhile, we are keeping two alternatives on our radar. The first has a 35% probability and assumes the correction is already over, meaning turquoise wave alt.4 is complete. The second is a more bearish scenario (32% probability) visible on the daily chart. It suggests that the high of green wave alt. may already be in, which would imply that the ongoing alt. wave is headed toward a lower low below the $234.30 support level.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do (for more: look to the right).
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3498 (Wave 3).The price continues to move in a bullish direction, and I believe that now is the time to pay attention to the medium-term wave “3.” It is actively developing, and I believe that the target should be set at the maximum area of the higher-order wave “3” — the resistance area of 3498.
This is the nearest target, which carries significant weight.
Overall, the upward five-wave movement is developing according to the old scenario.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
ETH: Eyes Resistance, But Correction Still LoomsEthereum has also seen a modest pullback since yesterday morning, but here too, it’s too soon to confirm a high for turquoise wave B. Accordingly, we anticipate further gains in this corrective rally—potentially up to resistance at $4,107—before the subsequent turquoise wave C takes over and drives the price down into the green long Target Zone ($935.82–$494.15). Within this range, we primarily expect the low of the wave- correction, which has now lasted more than four years, setting the stage for a long-term trend reversal to the upside. According to to our alternative scneario, magenta wave alt.(1) would complete with the next high. The following pullback, attributed to wave alt.(2), would then only extend into the slightly adjusted magenta Target Zone ($2,622–$1,914) before a move to new all-time highs (probability: 35%).
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do (for more: look to the right).
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3397 (Wave 3).Dear colleagues, my previous forecast remains valid, but I have decided to update it.
At the moment, I still think that wave “3” of the medium order continues its upward movement.
At the moment, I think that the small correction in wave “2” is ending and we will see a continuation of the trend. I see the resistance area of 3397.94 as the target. The main thing is to overcome the local level of the small wave “1” at 3366.37.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
ETH/USD Breaking Higher, Can Fill The Gap? Hey traders,
Some of the altcoins are recovering very nicely today, with Ethereum being no exception. In fact, we’ve seen a pretty nice consolidation on ETH over the last three weeks, and it looks like it’s breaking to the upside right now. I wouldn’t be surprised to see more gains unfolding into wave five of a five-wave advance away from the April lows.
Targets around 3000 and even 3300 could be quite interesting, especially if we consider the big gap that dates back to February.
GH
XAU/USD Elliott Wave Setup : Triangle Ends, Impulse BeginsThe 8-hour XAU/USD chart presents an Elliott Wave structure, currently in the final stages of Wave 4 within a larger impulsive cycle. The complex correction in Wave 4 has unfolded as a WXYXZ (triple-three pattern), forming a contracting triangle (ABCDE) — a classic consolidation phase that typically precedes a sharp impulsive breakout.
Wave E has recently completed near the lower boundary of the triangle, supported by the ascending trendline drawn from the April low. This suggests the correction is mature and Wave 5 is ready to ignite.
Target 1 (T1) : 3434.845
Target 2 (T2) : 3500.535
Stop Loss (SL) : 3309.729
The triangle (Wave 4) breakout structure suggests bullish continuation.
Multiple internal WXY corrective waves have completed, signaling exhaustion.
Volume and candle structure support the possibility of impulsive buying in Wave 5.
Drop Your Token – I’ll Do The AnalysisHey everyone! Hope you’re having an amazing weekend !
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Starbucks: Sideways Trend Continues Starbucks shares have remained in a sideways range over the past two weeks. This does not alter our primary outlook: We continue to see the stock in the dark green wave , which is expected to peak near the resistance level at $117.46. After reaching this high, we anticipate a move lower, with the stock dropping below the support at $71.53. However, since the intermediate high has not yet been established, an alternative scenario remains on the table: With a 31% probability, the dark green wave alt. could take hold first, driving the price below the $71.53 mark ahead of schedule.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do (for more: look to the right).
Apple: Consolidation Before Potential Breakout Toward $260Apple shares have recently pulled back into a consolidation phase. We see further upside potential in magenta wave (B) before a pullback occurs as part of the same-colored wave (C), which is expected to target the low of green wave . After that, we anticipate a new upward move: Green wave should take over—remaining above support at $168—and drive the stock toward the next major resistance at $260.10. However, if the price drops back below the $168 support level, our alternative scenario comes into play: in that case, we would expect a lower low for blue wave alt.(IV), with a probability of 32%.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do (for more: look to the right).
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.18280.The previous idea was aimed at updating the maximum of 1.18280, but the correction turned out to be too deep.
Therefore, I am proposing a new idea. I believe that wave “3” has formed, and now we should see the completion of the correction in wave “4,” after which I expect to see an upward movement in wave “5.” My target is at least the high of wave “3” — the resistance area of 1.18280.
As for the correction, I think it could reach the 1.15459 area, but I recommend working with pending orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FDAX Today 1. Wave (3) likely near completion:
Price hit the 1.618 extension of Wave 1, which is textbook for a Wave 3 target.
There’s also confluence with the 23.6% retracement from the previous swing high (24,703), and we're near a Bearish FVG + Order Block zone.
High-probability zone for a short-term rejection or distribution top.
2. Wave (4) could start today
If Wave 3 is topping into OpEx, dealers might unwind long gamma hedges, contributing to volatility + pullback.
Cable looking for a new high with Ending DiagonalCable found some support in the last 24 hours and it looks like we may still see a retest of the high, so apparently this 5th wave is still in progress but unfolding with an ending diagonal with subwave five on the way up to 1.37–1.38, which could be the key resistance for this reversal pattern. So despite some recovery that is happening right now, we still think that the impulse from January is in late stages, which is also confirmed by divergence on the RSI and overlapping price action that clearly suggests that bulls are losing strength up here.
GH
Elliott Wave Analysis of Kirloskar Brothers KIRLOSBROSThe script is currently in 4th wave of hourly chart. The 4th wave seems to be ending, which means a 5th wave will start from here. The wave patters and patterns, retracements and analysis have been highlighted on the chart. Will update this as it progresses.
Are we on Super Bullish Express Highway ? Elliott Waves RoadmapHello friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts
Today we're attempting to analyze Bitcoin's chart, specifically the BTCUSD chart, from an Elliott Wave perspective. Looking at the monthly timeframe chart, which spans the entire lifetime of Bitcoin's data since 2011, we can see the overall structure. According to Elliott Wave theory, it appears that a large Super Cycle degree Wave (I) has completed, followed by a correction in the form of Super Cycle degree Wave (II), marked in blue.
Now, friends, it's possible that we're unfolding Super Cycle degree Wave (III), which should have five sub-divisions - in red I, II, III, IV, & V. We can see that we've completed red I & II, and red III has just started. If the low we marked in red II doesn't get breached on the lower side, it can be considered our invalidation level.
Next, within red III, we should see five primary degree sub-divisions in black - ((1)), ((2)), ((3)), ((4)) & ((5)). We can see that we've completed black ((1)) & ((2)) and black ((3)) has just started. Within black ((3)), we should see five intermediate degree sub-divisions in blue - (1) to (5). Blue (1) has just started, and within blue one, we've already seen red 1 & 2 completed, and red 3 is in progress.
So, we're currently in a super bullish scenario, a third of a third of a third. Yes, the chart looks extremely bullish. We won't commit to any targets here as this is for educational purposes only. The analysis suggests potential targets could be very high, above $150,000 or $200,000, if the invalidation level of $98,240 isn't breached. But again, friends, this video is shared for educational purposes only.
Many people think that the market doesn't move according to Elliott Waves. But friends, here we've tried to analyze from the monthly time frame to the overly time frame. We've definitely aligned the multi-time frame and also aligned it with the principal rules of Elliott Waves, without violating any of its rules.
I agree that the Elliott Wave theory can be a bit difficult, and for those who don't practice it deeply, it can be challenging. But yes, the market moves according to this methodology, following this pattern. This is a significant achievement.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Core DAO Bullish Impulse, Elliott WaveI am giving two targets for the end of the fifth wave, the first wave is already in.
Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
Here we have a classic chart setup, COREUSDT bearish since April 2024. The drop from April 2024 through March 2025 can be considered a big ABC. Once the correction ends, we can look for signs of a newly developing bullish wave. The signs are in.
Between March & May 2025 we have wave 1, ending clearly in a higher low. The first wave lasted 70 days, the third wave can easily last 90 days. Can be more or less, this is only a projection but we know the market is set to move higher.
Wave 2 was really short, it only lasted 28 days. So wave 4, the second correction within a bullish impulse, can last between 40 and 60 days. After wave 4 we get the fifth and final wave and this is the speculative wave.
These are very conservative projections on the chart, the market can move much higher. For example, wave 3 can end up going as high as wave 5. Then wave 4 would correct into what is now the wave 3 high. Then the final fifth wave would go off the chart and peak at $18. This is another version and it wouldn't surprise me, Crypto tend to go beyond all expectations when the bulls are on.
Regardless of how high the market goes, right now we have great entry timing and prices while at the same time knowing Crypto is going up.
Namaste.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently in wave 3 of a 5 (Elliott Wave)BTC/USD experienced a halving last year on April 20, 2024. We have been seeing the typical post-halving cycle with exponential upside, followed by deep pullbacks. The price action we've seen to date follow Elliott Wave Cycle quite nicely. I believe we are in wave 3 of a bull cycle that has really been in place since Sep 2024.
- Wave 1: Sep 2024 - Jan 2025 - parabolic upside from $54K to $109K - absolutely explosive!
- Wave 2: Jan 2025 - Apr 2025 - we saw price peak and pull back all the way to the 61.8% Fibonacci level right around $75K. Remember, that in wave 2, a healthy pullback is 50% - 61.8% of the first wave.
- Wave 3: Apr 2025 - we have since rallied to around $109K as of this analysis. We are likely in subwave 3. Subwave 1 was from the low in April to the high in May (around $112K). Subwave 2 was a very nice 3-wave zig zag (reaching low of $98.3K in June). I believe we are currently in the middle of wave 3.
My next price target based on Fibonacci extension is $118K-$120K with the $78.6% level right at $119K. Note current resistance that we need to turn into support ($109.7K level) is the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level. I do expect a meaningful pullback after the peak of wave 3, which would be wave 4. The rest is TBD and I will continue to update this idea.
Remember, Elliott Wave theory is one tool in the toolbox. I do believe there is a larger post-halving cycle narrative that is dominant and most reliable, especially since BTC has largely followed this blueprint that we see every four years, but as of now EWT fits in quite nicely. I also look at the pi cycle top indicator and believe we need to use multiple indicators to understand where we are in the cycle.