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Elliotwaveanalysis

MACD says a little higher for a little longerAs per the individual stocks I cover that have not yet reached their ideal retracement areas I am looking for the SPX to get higher into my target box. In any event it's reasonable for me to say we're in a B wave and therefore our pattern can develop into something more complex. Nonetheless, I am mainly looking for MACD to reach the zero line at the very minimum. The take-a-way from this update is I am looking slightly higher in the markets for slightly longer...before our minor C wave takes hold of the market. Best to all. Chris
CBOE:SPX
by maikisch
SPY Green Light to All Time Highs?As VIX is sitting around 25, this is the first Monday in I can't remember how long we aren't gapping down at open! I'll take it! There is a ton on the calendar this week: jobs, first print for Q1 GDP, PCE, ISM mfg, and a ton of consequential earnings! Not to mention will we get a couple deals announced this week. Feels like India, UK and Japan are close. This could spur a market rally to continue! Did a ton of work on Elliott this weekend, but didn't create a video. Essentially, since we closed in the wave 1 of the red C leg (on daily and weekly basis), we have invalidated a chance of a fifth leg lower (thank God!). This means we are in first impulsive intermediate 5 wave that should go to all time highs (next Apr)! Since we already have two minute impulsive waves that were similar in size, we likely will finish the minor wave 3 as pictured and then since 1 & 3 of minor waves will be similar in size the impulsive 5 wave target will be as pictured as well. Remember it is simply the net of waves 1 through 3 times 0.618 and add that to the finish of wave 4 in either case. After wave 3, we will get a pullback, but this will be a buy the dip opportunity finishing the 5th wave around 580ish. After this we will get a deeper corrective wave but if sentiment is positive it may be shallow, only 38% to 50%, so will want to re-evaluate at that point! This is why it is important if you are investing not to FOMO, as there will be many opportunities to buy the dip!
AMEX:SPYLong
by KingTrading999
GOLD Analysis (April 26, 2025) - 2 hours, weekly & MonthlyChart 1: 2-Hour Chart (Short-Term View) Pattern Observed: Clear Elliott Wave structure identified. Wave ①, ②, ③, and ④ are completed. Currently in Wave ⑤ (ongoing impulsive up move). Current Setup: Wave ⑤ has started and appears to be very impulsive. The target for Wave ⑤ is near $3600 zone. Expect a sharp upside move toward $3600 in coming sessions (possibly within next 1–2 weeks). Important Note: Since Wave ⑤ is impulsive, price may move very fast with little retracements. Strategy: Short-term bullish until $3600 is reached. After completing ⑤, expect a strong and sharp correction downward. Chart 2: Weekly Chart (Medium-Term View) Pattern Observed: Weekly candle has formed a long-legged inverted hammer, almost like a high wave spinning top. This is a warning sign indicating strong indecision and possible trend exhaustion. Interpretation: Weekly structure is signaling that GOLD is losing strength at higher levels. There is hesitation for further continuation of the uptrend. After a small last push (likely completing the final Wave ⑤), there are high chances of a bigger retracement. Strategy: Watch closely how next week’s candle forms. If next week closes weakly or forms a bearish pattern (like bearish engulfing), expect bigger fall. Chart 3: Monthly Chart (Long-Term View) Pattern Observed: Monthly chart shows momentum loss at top. AO (Awesome Oscillator) indicator is flattening after a massive upmove. Momentum divergence starting to appear (price made higher high, AO showing flattening/slightly diverging). Interpretation: GOLD is still strong, but momentum is clearly reducing at the top. If GOLD touches $3600 next month and fails to sustain, a big red monthly candle can form. This could mark the start of a medium-term bearish phase (several months correction). Strategy: Next month (May 2025) is extremely critical for GOLD’s major trend decision. If a red candle forms in May after touching $3600, it could trigger a multi-month downward correction. Conclusion: In the short term (next few days), GOLD likely continues to rally towards $3600. Next 2–3 weeks are critical — observe if reversal signs appear near $3600. May 2025 is very important: A monthly red candle after touching $3600 can confirm a bigger downward correction. If correction starts, it will likely be sharp and deep, matching the intensity of the 5th wave up. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not a financial advice. Trading involves risk. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by shiva560060
Bearish WXY Model Forming at Key Resistance – Caution at the TopSP:SPX just crossed the Monthly High, but the structure resembles a bearish WXY correction, and we’re now approaching critical levels. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: 5481–5572: Weekly FVG resistance + 61.8% Fib Extension – potential top of the rally. 5293: The 50% retracement from the Apr 20 low – a break below confirms the bearish WXY and opens the door to new lows. 📌 Scenario Outlook: ✅ Bullish case: Room for upside toward 5685–5750, but only if we close above 5572 Weekly to invalidate the FVG. ⚠️ Bearish case: Current price action aligns with divergence (as seen with DJI) + WXY model. Caution advised — rallies may be fading. 💬 Chart attached shows the WXY structure forming with key divergences.
SP:SPX
by SmartSignalss
GBPJPY Trapped In A Triangle RangeGBPJPY made a very strong reversal in the second half of 2024, following a sharp drop of more than 10%, with an aggressive bearish impulse and also broke the lower trendline of the impulsive channel back in August. Since then, the first recovery unfolded in three waves, suggesting this move could be part of a complex correction—currently still unfolding as a wave B pause. Ideally, this structure is forming a triangle, especially as the drop back to the recent April lows also looks corrective. So, I believe the triangle scenario is the most likely scenario here, and price could now be heading toward the upper side of the range if risk-on sentiment continues. Still, upside may be limited, as this range could stay in play until all A-B-C-D-E legs are completed. If correct, wave C for a deeper move lower is still missing and could develop later this year. Grega
by ew-forecast
Elliot wave corrective ABC Triangle pattern Wave A is an impulsive wave that 5 subdivisions. Wave B is an abcde triangle and each wave has 3 subdivisios. a-b of the triangle is connected by wxy (also has 3 subdivisions each). Look at smaller time frame to see (and confirm structure). Currently looking out for wave d of the triangle (wave 1 of 3) to complete then followed wave e 3 waves in the opposite direction, before there can be any break-out. This is only an idea not financial advice
CRYPTO:MATICUSDLong
by faizel19
5
Solana (SOL/USD) Elliott Wave Update – Countertrend Rally in ProBINANCE:SOLUSDT 🟠 Current Elliott Wave Outlook After completing Wave ③, Solana began a sharp correction. This is how the current structure unfolds: The initial leg down unfolded as a clear (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5) structure in black – forming the white Wave A of a larger A-B-C corrective pattern. We are now in the corrective counter-move, forming Wave B. 🔄 Zooming into Wave B: Internal Progression The early part of Wave B is unfolding as a small impulse: → Wave 1, 2, 3, 4 have already played out. → We are currently moving from Wave 4 into Wave 5, which is expected to complete the black (A) of white B. The top of Wave (A) is already marked on the chart, coinciding with key Fibonacci Extension levels, which reinforce the probability of local exhaustion. 🟨 Next Structure – Building Wave (B) of B After the black (A) completes, we expect a retracement wave (B). This would then be followed by a yellow 1-2-3-4-5 impulse to the upside – forming the full structure of white Wave B. 📉 What Comes After B? Once Wave B (in white) is complete (built from the black (A)-(B)-(C)), we anticipate another larger leg to the downside – white Wave C. This would complete the full A-B-C correction from the macro top of Wave ③. 🎯 Key Zones to Watch: Black Wave (A) Top = short-term resistance Fibonacci Extension Area = likely exhaustion zone for the current rally Wave B (white) = potential bearish trap before the real drop (Wave C) ✅ Summary Solana is currently in a countertrend corrective phase after finishing a macro Wave ③ top. We are in the midst of building Wave B, starting with a local impulse that forms black (A). After a minor pullback (black (B)), a 5-wave push (yellow) could complete Wave B before another major leg down kicks off in Wave C.
Long
by ElliotXSolana
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Macro Update – Wave (5) 🟢 Macro Structure Since November 2022 Since the bottom in November 2022 (~15.5K), Bitcoin has been unfolding a clean impulsive structure, counted as: (1) – strong breakout from the bear market lows (2) – corrective pullback as a base (3) – major impulsive rally with clear volume expansion (4) – textbook correction right into the white Fibonacci zone, perfectly respected Now, we are in Wave (5) – the final leg of this larger impulse! 🔄 Internal Structure of (4) → (5) From the low of wave (4), the price action is developing in a classic 1-2-3-4-5 formation, where: Wave 1 initiated the breakout Wave 2 formed a shallow pullback Wave 3 surged with momentum and volume Wave 4 seems to have completed (or is finalizing now) COINBASE:BTCUSD Wave 5 is upcoming, potentially unfolding as an ABC structure (rather than a straight-line spike), showing a more measured grind toward the top 🔁 Cycle-Level Perspective This entire impulse from (1) to (5) forms a macro Wave ③ in the larger Elliott Wave cycle. Given the structure of Wave (5) so far, we may not see a vertical blow-off top but rather a controlled ABC move into the top zone. 🎯 Target Zone for Wave ③ $127,000 – $136,000 Based on Fibonacci projections of waves (1)–(3) Strong psychological levels Likely confluence with macro channel resistance and long-term projections ✅ Conclusion Bitcoin is currently progressing through Wave (5) of the macro impulse that started in late 2022. The structure from Wave (4) suggests a well-organized path forward – possibly forming an ABC structure into the final high of macro Wave ③, with targets in the $127K–$136K zone. This level could mark a major turning point before a deeper corrective phase begins.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ElliotXSolana
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.16000.Good afternoon colleagues! In the coming week I expect the upward movement to continue in wave “3” of the higher order. I believe that a small correction to the support area of 1.2176 and then rise to the resistance level of 1.16000 is possible. There are two possible ways to enter the position: 1) Market entry 2) Pending limit orders. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
6
Silver: Elliott Wave Shows Room For More UpsideSilver made a very strong drop after breaking out of the upward channel at the end of March. This caused a sharp and fast move below 29 dollars where metal is showing some first evidence of a bottom as price recovers back above 32.00. In fact, this can be the beginning of a new impulse, especially if we consider that on a daily chart market might complete an A-B-C drop back in wave IV. As such, we think there is room for more gains, after retracements which can give an opportunity to join the trend. Can gold finally cacth silver? What you think? GH
SAXO:XAGUSD
by ew-forecast
BTC short term Wave countAnalyzing a Bitcoin (BTC) form Wyckoff schema in a 4H chart. We can’t determine if it’s an accumulation or distribution yet. Based on MACD and Elliott Wave Theory, I believe the chart will follow a similar pattern. However, time will determine the outcome. If BTC declines and accumulates within a shorter time frame of Elliot support levels, it could be a long trade opportunity. (This analysis is not financial advice. Your actions are solely your responsibility.)
Long
by maayan_tiran
Global Supply Chains being Undone could be the cause of a (IV)I have been discussing the potential for a Super-Cycle wave (III) top in the US markets for the last couple years. To experience a wave (IV) of SUPERCYCLE PREPORTION, would be a consolidation of price action back to the 1929 stock market crash. The byproduct of this type of price action would be a decline of 50% or more (likely more) in the value of global stock markets. This type of asset price deflation would make anyone who watches the markets be inquisitive as to what would or even COULD cause such an event. Would the dismantling of global supply chains, that have been in place since the early 1990’s, be the culprit? I am starting to think the answer to that question is yes. This is not an indictment of the policy, but more an acknowledgement of the disruption and the possible aftermath. The obvious concern is how do businesses plan? I would venture a guess business leaders will be challenged, and many may not survive. The cost equation becomes so skewed…how does one make money without passing the costs on to the consumer? That means higher inflation. If this is the case, it’s possible digital assets become more of a safe haven which would be counter intuitive to hard asset value. This would mean that we will have endure a cycle of higher inflation, higher interest rates, and higher unemployment, coupled with lower economic growth. I cannot say this is how the forecasted price action is justified in the future. What I can say is the resulting price action will look very similar to the below.
CBOE:SPX
by maikisch
Elliott Wave Principles: A Study on US Dollar IndexHello friends, today we'll attempt to analyze the (DXY) US Dollar Index chart using Elliott Wave theory. Let's explore the possible Elliott Wave counts with wave Principles (Rules). We've used the daily time frame chart here, which suggests that the primary cycle degree in Black weekly wave ((A)) and ((B)) waves have already occurred. Currently, wave ((C)) is in progress. Within wave ((C)) in Black which are Weekly counts, Subdivisions are on daily time frame, showing Intermediate degree in blue wave (1) & (2) are finished and (3) is near to completion. Post wave (3), we can expect wave (4) up in Blue and then wave (5) down in Blue, marking the end of wave ((C)) in Black. Additionally, within blue wave (3) Intermediate degree, we should see 5 subdivisions in red of Minor degree, which is clearly showing that waves 1 & 2 are done and now we are near to completion of wave 3 in Red. followed by waves 4 and 5, which will complete blue wave (3). Key Points to Learn: When applying Elliott Wave theory, it's essential to follow specific rules and principles. Here are three crucial ones: 1. Wave 2 Retracement Rule: Wave two will never retrace more than 100% of wave one. 2. Wave 3 Length Rule: Wave three will never be the shortest among waves 1, 3, and 5. It may be the largest most of the time, but never the shortest. 3. Wave 4 Overlap Rule: Wave four will never enter into the territory of wave one, meaning wave four will not overlap wave one, except in cases of diagonals or triangles. Invalidation level is a level which is decided based on these Elliott wave Principles only, Once its triggered, then counts are Invalidated so we have to reassess the chart study and other possible counts are to be plotted The entire wave count is clearly visible on the chart, and this is just one possible scenario. Please note that Elliott Wave theory involves multiple possibilities and uncertainties. The analysis we've presented focuses on one particular scenario that seems potentially possible. However, it's essential to keep in mind that Elliott Wave counts can have multiple possibilities. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
TVC:DXYEducation
by RK_Chaarts
[BTC/USDT] Wave (4) Completed? Road to $140K Begins HereBitcoin is consolidating just above key support after a textbook correction. The first chart shows a completed Falling Wedge breakout from Wave ④, while the second chart lays out macro Fibonacci targets for Wave (5). Chart 1 (Daily): Local Breakout Setup • Falling wedge breakout above 83.9K–84.3K • Completed structure: Wave ③ → ④ → Potential Wave ⑤ • Invalidation: Below 73.8K or worst-case 69.5K • Bullish continuation requires break & close above 86K Chart 2 (Weekly): Macro Target Projections Using Fibonacci extension from Wave (3), BTC shows: • 0.618 Target = $114,983 • 1.000 Target = $140,033 • 1.618 Target = $180,560 If current support holds, Bitcoin could be entering a massive Wave (5) cycle with upside potential towards $140K–$180K. Reclaiming levels like $92.5K, $101K, and $106K will confirm the bullish structure. What’s your Wave 5 target? #Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #CryptoTA
Long
by forexcryptoelliottwave
1
Elliott Wave Update – Structure OverviewBINANCE:SOLUSDT We may have found a potential local bottom at yellow Wave A, and are now tracking a move towards yellow Wave B. This yellow Wave B appears to be unfolding as a 1-2-3-4-5 structure: Waves 1-2-3 are likely completed. Waves 4 and 5 could still be ahead. This full impulse may form part of a larger A-B-C correction, completing the final yellow Wave B. In the black wave count, the 1-2-3 move is finished. Within Wave 3, we saw a clean internal 1-2-3-4-5, confirming the completion of that wave. Currently, I’m tracking the move from black Wave 3 to black Wave 4 as a developing A-B-C correction: Wave A is potentially in. We are now in the resistance zone of Wave B, which could lead to the final drop into Wave C. After completing Wave 4, I expect an upward move into black Wave 5, starting with an initial A-wave. This should then form another A-B-C structure, leading to the completion of the final yellow Wave B.
Short
by ElliotXSolana
2