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Elliotwaveanalysis

Gold analysis for 13/05/24 & 14/05/24According to my analysis and according to what you taught me, Tamas : Scenario 1 : If CPI comes negative on Wednesday, it could lead to deflation concerns, which might prompt the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates to stimulate economic activity and prevent deflationary pressures. A negative CPI could indicate a decrease in the general price level of goods and services, potentially signaling weak demand or economic contraction A decision by the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates could weaken the dollar, as lower interest rates typically make a currency less attractive to investors seeking higher yields. This could lead to a depreciation of the dollar index, which measures the value of the dollar against a basket of other currencies Gold prices may rise in response to a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Lower interest rates typically decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets like gold, making it more attractive to investors. Additionally, concerns about inflation and currency depreciation amid monetary easing measures could further support gold prices , Gold may Target 2394-2400 Scenario 2: A positive CPI indicates an increase in the general price level of goods and services, suggesting inflationary pressures. This could lead to concerns about the purchasing power of the currency and potential future interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to curb inflation If the PPI also shows an increase on Tuesday, it could reinforce inflationary expectations, indicating rising costs for producers. This might further support the case for potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to address inflationary pressures Technical Analysis : We're currently in Correction Wave , and Expecting Price to Pump for Gold target 2394-2401 Advice : please always use a propre risk management this is my analyse and good luck Make sure if you like my Analysis to boost up my post and Comment
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TraderFa9ir
XAU/USD - Forecast & Roadmap (26-APR-24)Could we reach 2450-2460 by the end of this year? Keep an eye on this possibility, especially within the 2230-2240 zone . Hello Everyone ! I hope you all are doing great today. In my view, currently we are in a Bigger Corrective Structure now. . To avoid guessing and confusion, I suggest that you only take trades within this highlighted zone . . I hope my forecast can provide easy understanding. Remember, the trend is your friend, so keep it simple . Trade With Care, WAVE HUB FX ---------- Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management. Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WaveHubFX
Mode(MODE)===>>🚀➕10%-➕15%🚀📊The MODE token has been listed on some exchanges for less than 24 hours. 📚 What Is Mode (MODE)? 🔸 Mode is a Modular DeFi L2, built using the OP Stack and part of the Optimism Superchain. Mode launched their mainnet in January 2024. 🔸 MODE is the native utility token that is used for governance 🌐 Mode Network Initiates 550 Million Crypto Airdrop on Optimism . 💡 MODE was able to break the Downtrend line by breakout candle . 🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , MODE completed Zigzag(ABC) correction on 🟢 Support zone 🟢. 🔔I expect MODE to start rising again( ➕10%-➕15% ). ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed. Mode Analyze (MODEUSDT), 15-minute time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
8
GBPJPY starting the wave 5 ?www.tradingview.com Elliott Wave Analysis: GBP/JPY on 8H Chart Wave 1: Initiated at 188.661, marking the start of an impulsive bullish wave. Wave 2: A correction to 178.480, representing a natural retracement after the initial surge. Wave 3: Ascended to 200.398, typically the longest and most robust wave in an Elliott Wave sequence. Wave 4: A minor correction to 191.433, setting the stage for the final leg up. Wave 5: Currently underway, with potential targets at 200.013 or the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at 208.595. The completion of Wave 5 would mark the end of the current bullish cycle, after which a larger degree correction could be anticipated
Long
by joestar95
Gold analyse 08/05/2024 OANDA:XAUUSD 1/ US Fed's Interest Rate Stance: Neal Kashkari's remarks on maintaining a high interest rate amidst rising inflation could bolster the US dollar 2/ Middle East Tensions: Israel's limited operation in Rafah has stalled the upward momentum of gold prices, indicating a temporary halt in geopolitical concerns 3/ Impact of Interest Rate Uncertainty: Gold prices decline amid uncertainty about central banks' plans to reduce interest rates, with the rise of the dollar further contributing to gold's fall 4/ Global Debt Levels: Record-high global debt levels reaching $315 trillion could potentially raise concerns about economic stability, prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold 5/ Central Banks' Gold Purchases: The substantial increase in gold purchases by global central banks, exceeding 1,000 tons in a year, suggests a hedging strategy amid economic uncertainties, potentially reflecting concerns about currency stability 6/ Perception of Central Banks' Confidence: The significant gold acquisitions by central banks could indicate a loss of confidence in traditional currencies, prompting investors to reevaluate their portfolios
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TraderFa9ir
Honestly, I don't feel like explaining, the chart says it all !Hi. BINANCE:BTCUSDT ✅Today, I want to analyze BTC for you in a 9h time frame so that we can have a short-term view of BTC regarding the technical analysis. (Please ✌️respectfully✌️share if you have a different opinion from me or other analysts). ✨After the fifth bullish wave, BITCOIN has completed his corrective waves (ABC) and now he has reached the Bottom of the wedge, now it is time to start the five bullish waves, and BTC is in the Megaphone,and now finished first wave. ✅ Due to the Ascending structure of the chart... 🟢 High potential areas are clear in the chart. 🟢 Bullish Wedge. 🟢 Ascending Triangle 🟢 Starting 5th waves.and now finished first wave. ❗ Note that if the WEDGE is broken down with the power of descending candles, our analysis will fail. Stay awesome my friends. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
2
🚧Bitcoin Needs Correction🚧✅ Bitcoin moved as I expected in the previous post . 💡Currently, Bitcoin has reacted well to the 🔴 Resistance zone($65,650-$64,200) 🔴. 🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in completing 5 impulse waves and now we have to wait for corrective waves . 💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks . 📈According to Classical Technical Analysis , Bitcoin can also form the Head and Shoulders Pattern . 🔔I expect Bitcoin to fall after breaking the Uptrend line , at least to the first 🎯 Target 🎯 I specified on the chart. ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: If Bitcoin can break the 🔴 Resistance zone($65,650-$64,200) 🔴, the scenario will be changed. ❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed. Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
11
Nvidia Elliot Wave AnalysisNvidia on hourly candles respecting elliot impulse wave pattern for year 2024. Wave 2 was a classic 3 wave elliot correction wave pattern. This then breaks into wave 3 and is respecting a very tight channel upwards. Expecting 1000+, back to 900s, then price target of 1100+ post July. Heavy chop in wave 3 due to broader market uncertainties and pressures. This stock trades with higher volatilities than others with its market cap. Trade weeklies with caution. Good long if you're 1yr+ long or 6M+ long option calls. My personal take: Nvidia will be the world's first 10T dollar company by 2027 and will be the world's most powerful and sought after company. Their technologies will ensure continued world peace (including in taiwan) and will be an industry leader for the next quarter century. Only invest money you can afford to lose, not investment advice. Goodluck everyone. *disclaimer: I have a May 17 955C position.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by JKOMOR
1
Long term NIFTY wave counts - potential downside ahead!I was reviewing long term EW counts of NSE:NIFTY and here is what I think. Overall, I can see potential 2 alternatives and have highlighted them in blue and red respectively. This is a monthly chart. Blue Alternative Let's start with blue counts first. Larger degree wave 1 (marked by square blue box) which started from Covid lows of March 2020, ended in October 2021. Wave 1 is the same for both blue and red alternatives since there is no confusion till that point. But from that point onward, things change. I have marked the correction in larger degree wave 2 (marked by square blue box) as a W-X-Y correction which ended in March 2023. From there, I am assuming a larger degree wave 3 started. Within the larger degree wave 3, we seem to be near completion of the minor degree wave (i) of larger degree wave 3. This is marked in black since wave (i) of 3 in the red alternative also ends at the same point even though counts for the red alternative are different. We can see the red bar forming for this month but this is too early to say if we'll get a negative close for this month. However, wave v of (i) has an ending diagonal look (more clearly visible in lower timeframes). Plus, we can see massive negative divergences in RSI and momentum oscillator which suggests that a correction is due. Make no mistake - correction will occur soon. If not this month, then maybe next month. For the uninitiated, ending diagonal (ED) is typically the last leg of a move. In this case, it should be signaling the ending of wave (i) of 3. Now, before we come to the size of the correction, let's take a look at the red alternative. Red Alternative Larger degree wave 1 remains the same in red alternative as mentioned earlier. However, in this alternative, larger degree wave 2 (marked by square red box) ended in June 2023 followed by immediate start of larger degree wave 3. In this alternative, we are taking all follow-up moves as i-ii-i-ii-iii-iv-iii-iv-v. Don't worry about this count, just understand that this move (first leg (i) of larger degree wave 3 ) also seems to be ending exactly where blue wave count suggests, i.e. possibly this month end or next. I can't confirm now since this month's candle is still forming. Conclusion Both wave counts suggest that minor degree wave " (ii) of 3 " (marked in black on the right most part of the chart) should begin soon, if not already started. Finally, coming to the size of this move, if we go by blue alternative, 38.2% retracement level is around 20500 and 50% is around 19800. And if we go by the red alternative then 50% retracement is around 19000, 61.8% is around 18100. At the minimum, I would expect 19200-19500 levels (38.2% retracement) if the red alternative is in play. So which one is going to happen? To be honest, I have no idea but we can go with the least of both alternatives at a tentative level and refine as the move evolves. That gives us 19800 which is still more than 2000 points correction from current levels. 20 month moving average is currently at 19675, and rising. This potentially makes 19800 a viable target in a month or two. Happy (wave) counting ;-)
NSE:NIFTYShort
by YetAnotherTA
📍Part #1, Elliott Waves: "Introduction. Classification".Hello! Dear colleagues, because I am constantly analyzing the markets with the help of wave analysis. Many colleagues ask me about it and I decided to make some tutorial posts to help you in this difficult task. I want to present this information to you in a simple and straightforward manner. Well, enough unnecessary text, let's get started! A bit of history from Wikipedia. Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871-1948), an American accountant, developed a model for the underlying social principles of financial markets by studying their price movements, and developed a set of analytical tools in the 1930s. He proposed that market prices unfold in specific patterns, which practitioners today call Elliott waves, or simply waves. Elliott stated that "because man is subject to rhythmical procedure, calculations having to do with his activities can be projected far into the future with a justification and certainty heretofore unattainable." In simple words, human behavior is quite predictable. And since it is mostly people who trade on the markets, we can predict its movement with some probability. Well. Let's explore what these waves are. Let's start by categorizing them. The movements are mostly carried out by a five-wave structure. 📍 Modes: Motive & Corrective Waves unfold in two distinct forms: motive and corrective. Motive waves exhibit a five-wave structure, featuring both a five-wave model and its co-directional components—waves 1, 3, and 5. The term "motive" is attributed to this structure due to its inherent ability to energize and set the market in motion. On the other hand, corrective waves, prevalent in countertrend movements, follow a three-wave structure or its variations. The name "corrective" stems from their nature as responses to preceding motive waves, executing partial retracements or "corrections" of the prior progress. Hence, these two wave types stand apart not only in their roles but also in their fundamental construction. Motive 📍 Styles: Impulse & Diagonal. There are two types of motive waves: impulse and diagonal. As a rule, they alternate in the position of waves 1-5 impulses and waves A-C of the zigzag. 📍 Patterns: Impulse, Leading Diagonal & Ending Diagonal Five-wave action model. Creates forward progress.Motive waves are limited to three patterns: Impulse, Leading and Ending Diagonals. Corrective 📍 Groups: Simple & Combined The corrective mode has two groups, simple and combined. Combined corrections are subdivided into simple corrective structures. The group of simple corrections includes: flat, triangle and single zigzag. Combined group — multiple zigzag and combination. 📍 Styles: Sharp & Sideways There are two styles of corrective processes: sharp and sideways. If wave two of an impulse is a sharp correction, expect wave four to be a sideways correction, and vice versa. 📍 Patterns: Flat, Triangle, Single Zigzag, Multiple Zigzag and Combination 📍 Three-wave or five-wave (which have characteristics of both fives and threes) or their combination model of counteraction. Always produces a net retracement from the previous wave. Corrective patterns include: single and multiple zigzags, triangle, flat, combination. Variations 📍Divergences in Elliott Wave patterns manifest in two conditional categories: variations in form and variations in the quantity of simple structures. Impulses, diagonals, flats, triangles, and single zigzags are distinguished by the proportional length of their sub-waves, shaping the model uniquely. On the other hand, combined corrections, incorporating multiple zigzags and combinations, maintain a consistent shape, and their identification is based on the count of simple corrective structures they encompass. This was an introductory lesson on Elliott waves. Further we will examine each type and subspecies of waves in detail in a separate lesson! 🔔 Click on the links below this lesson! 🔔
Education
by Hellena_Trade
22
📍Part # 8, Combination - Corrective Waves.👩🏻‍💻 Hello ! This time we're going to look at combinations. It may seem too complicated, but don't worry. In fact, any combination simply consists of two corrective patterns that you and I already know, only between these two patterns there is a connecting wave. Let's go straight to the rules and everything will become clear to you at once! ✅ Rules ✅ 📍A “double three” combination comprises two corrective patterns separated by one corrective pattern in the opposite direction, labeled 'X'. The first corrective pattern is labeled 'W', the second 'Y'. 📍A "double three" combination comprises (in order) a zigzag and a flat, a flat and a zigzag, a flat and a flat, a zigzag and a triangle or a flat and a triangle. 📍Wave 'X' appears as a zigzag or flat. 📍Wave 'X' always retraces at least 90 percent of wave 'W'. 📍Combinations have a sideways look. With respect to waves 'W' and 'Y' in a double three, only one of those waves in each type of combination appears as a single zigzag. 📍Combinations can occur in the same wave positions as flats and triangles (except for the triangle subwave) but cannot occur in waves 'W' and 'Y'. ✅ Guidelines ✅ 📍Wave 'X' is often 123.6-138.2% the 'W' wavelength, less often wave 'X' retraces 161.8% or more. Don't expect wave 'X' to be more than 261.8% of wave 'W'. 📍Wave 'X' is usually a single or multiple zigzag. 📍When a zigzag or flat appears too small to be the entire wave with respect to the preceding wave (or, if it is to be wave '4', the preceding wave '2'), a combination is likely. Thank you for your attention! There will be another lecture next week! Don't miss it! 🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
Education
by Hellena_Trade
3
BTC minor reaction to Intermediate degree correctionBitcoin is oversold on time-frames below 6W and overbought on 1D. This means the current move up is a minor reaction on Intermediate correction. I think the price will spike the ATH once again, but the probability price go significantly higher ATH is lower than vice-versa. Maybe around 85k. The price action usually is moving in a channel boundaries. You can see the Primary trend lines on the chart. If to use Fib extension tool & apply it from 4 of April 2021 till the 12 of March 2024 top, the Intermediary correction target is matching with the channel boundaries it is between - 42075 - 29435. (0.382-0.618) I guess the bottom might be near 34k. Plus, we could use TVC, as an additional indicator: on a lower time frames - it was overbought and is not oversold on a higher TF. So in a short term, the probability TVC will continue decline, whiting a couple of next weeks is high. Good luck in your trading and have a massive profit !
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by dogecoin_chain
BTC simple trading strategy for scalpers using H4Finished bullish Elliot Wave. Sideways should take half of bullishtrend, top of recent bearishtrend, create weak bullish candles or pass resistance and crash down. Can form a triangle pattern. If not, it can do a cup pattern. tip: use a to e waves to know sideways structure end. You can start it from lowest peak and set two more for structure understanding. sideways should take around 25 candles but can reach lower if waves are small and shadows are big. Nothing changes if reaches more.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Ftradorex