FTT UPDATE 18jan24well hi there my greedy friendz!
just quick update and idea
in general, I watched the cartoon Gintama (I love anime, yeah) and glanced at the FTT chart and, as in Japanese animation, saw an interesting twist:
FIRSTLY,
adhering to the old plan, we are in the Wave B of ABC correction and its a Mr.T, az I can see at MACD and RSI indicatosz behavior. Now Mr.T. is being formed with an exit upwards, after which we will go down to buy zone (preferably)
SECONDLY
as a backup plan, the correction could have already been completed and we are growing upwards through the Zigzags of the Leadin' diagonal (no matter ZZ or DZZ) - and its BAAAD COZ I WAS THE GREEDIEST PERSON I ADMIT AAAGGGHHH - my entry iz about 3.5 damn it!!! breathing heavily
THERE IZ A THIRD OPTION actually - look clearly and boost if u find it
so, well, as Elliot bequeathed, don't wishful thinking, analyze the structure- that's what I'm going to do. Orange color - ALT count.
Ideaz are clear, will see what will be next, untill then
TAP DA BUTTON if u UNDERSTAND what I mean
or
spare some coin in signature if u don't :) - I will eat at least
Elliotwaveanalysis
IOT: Next true market leader? Company possess good internal qualities to qualify for TML (true market leader) characteristics and to be among performing stocks in new bull market (if we see one in coming year(s)).
Among these qualities are:
1. Increasing triple digit earnings growth last two quarters in a row;
2. Consistent double digit sales growth 4 qrt in a row;
3. Analyst covering the coming are expecting it to become profitable from 2024, thus good rising eps targets;
4. Number of institutional sponsorship is increasing 4 qrt in a row;
5. Management owns 5% of the company;
6. Company is in top group and sector (IBD ranking).
Chart is also showing signs of institutional accumulation is under the hood with strong weekly closes on volume pick up.
Structurally speaking, we may see first impulsive wave structure - waves (1)-(5) - with double bottom corrective structure - wave (2) - are in place.
In this structure holds true, price needs to stay above local Jan low and move confidently to next mid-term resistance zone of 41-48. Clearing 48 border will open the door for the path of least resistance towards next macro targets: 78-108, 130-176 and 213-290 areas.
Wishing you profitable 2024 and thank you for your attention!
USDJPY : Trend is bullish above 129.60As we can see from the chart above, the previously shared analysis hasn't changed (see chart below). From a technical point of view, we have considered the idea of a potential bullish swing developed with at least 3 legs, such as ABC for example )without excluding an impulsive structure 12345 with Target above the previous Top).
Now, instead of following the pair on the weekly chart as we did previously, let's try to show the first 2 potential Target Areas:
- 140.00 (Target 1)
- 143.00 (Target 2)
Having said that, the support still remains at 129.67 and as long as Price Action remains above, trend on daily chart is bullish. Having said that, the support still remains at 129.67 and as long as Price Action remains above, trend on daily chart is bullish. At the same time, we can follow the pair on intraday chart too, looking for closer supports that could anticipate the potential Bullish Pattern failure.
ANALYSIS ON WEEKLY CHART:
(Click & Play on Chart below)
Trade with care!
Like if my analysis is useful.
Cheers!
IDBI can give a good run from here.The stock was seen rising in an impulsive 'wave I' structure between March-Sep 2023.
Wave II happened between Sep-Nov and wave II managed to retrace 38.2% of wave I.
The stock since completing the wave II correction in Nov has displayed two impulsive waves making the labelling as I-II-i-ii-i-ii and hence creating room for many legs to unfold going down the months in 2024.
The bigger Wave III target is projected to be around INR 100 mark providing an upside potential of around 50% from CMP.
On the downside, INR 64 can be used as a 'SL'.
Good Setup spotted in Burger King India!"Restaurant Brands Asia Limited" earlier known as "Burger King India" is currently showing a good setup and an upside potential of 45% from CMP.
The stock had rallied nearly 60% between March-Sep 2023. This very rise was impulsive in nature and therefore labeled as wave 1 on the chart. Between Sep-Dec the stock went through a triple three correction(WXYXZ) and retraced nearly 50% of the impulse. This retracement was in fact was the wave 2.
The stock currently is in Wave 3 structure and could rally towards INR 190 mark.
On the downside the swing low of 118.1 becomes a crucial structural support for the stock and could be used as a "SL".
S&P 500: The Straightforward Path to the Red BoxBulls can keep pushing S&P higher in a subwave ( c ) of wave ( iii ) up targeting the next resistance at 5,209.
However, I prefer a more complex and tricky Scenario 2 that first shakes off weak hands and only then starts a rally to 5,200
see the Scenario II:
S&P: Scenario 2: the Running FlatThis push higher off the Oct'23 low lacked a micro i up, ii down at the start and therefore I think that most likely its a false start of the accelerated part of the subwave ( c ) of wave ( iii ) up. Then we should be dealing with the subwave -b- up to be followed by a subwave -c- down (unfolding very bullish the Running Flat corrective a-b-c down structure)
I prefer this scenario more than the straightforward very bullish direct path leading to the Red Target box.
NEAR ($NEAR): Technical rebound in mid-termTrend is still bearish on daily and weekly chart, but at the same time we do not exclude an interesting technical rebound in mid-term. In this analysis we just wanted to share our view and how it could develop (Impulsive Structure), for more details on support and resistance levels, visit our Blog. With this in mind, from a technical point of view, AMEX:NEAR still remains under pressure, so we do not rule out a bearish consolidation before a price recovery.
🔴 TRADING STRATEGY
The best strategy may be to accumulate long positions on weakness (by the dip) with small sizes.
🔴 RISK MANAGEMENT
Use only the portion of assets willing to lose (1%/2%)
Analysis by
Anonymous Banker Team
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LINKUSD, EW - Completion of complex wave 4 - $11 targetJust a thought/idea re. chainlink near term.
The higher timeframe 5 wave impulse is not complete, nor does it appear that wave 4 is complete.
I think a move down to $11 is possible in the short term. That said, the A/D indicator (accumulation/distribution) is printing a divergence on time frames lower than 12h. Longer term, I think link is headed to $27.
DIXON TECH Wave AnalysisIntroduction :
Dixon Technologies, a notable player in the stock market, has recently exhibited signs of a bearish trend, breaching its bullish trendline and closing below it. A comprehensive analysis, based on wave counts, suggests the completion of internal degree 5 waves, raising concerns about the potential impact of Q3 results. While the stock is generally considered a promising investment, current circumstances warrant a cautious approach.
Technical Analysis:
Breach of Bullish Trendline: Dixon Technologies has recently breached its bullish trendline, indicating a shift in market sentiment. Technical traders often interpret such breaches as potential signals of a change in trend direction.
Wave Count Analysis: The wave count analysis reveals the completion of internal degree 5 waves. This information is crucial in understanding the stock's current position within the market cycle and anticipating future movements.
Intermediate Degree Waves (1) and (2):
Intermediate degree wave (1) concluded at 6236.50 in October 2021.
Intermediate degree wave (2) completed at 2551.4 in January 2023.
Current Status - Intermediate Degree Wave (3):
The stock is currently in the midst of intermediate degree wave (3).
Wave 1 of intermediate degree wave (3) has been accomplished.
Q3 Concerns:
The anticipation of potential bad news in the Q3 results adds a layer of uncertainty to Dixon Technologies' current standing. This concern, coupled with the completion of internal degree 5 waves, may contribute to increased market volatility in the short term.
Investment Implications:
While Dixon Technologies is generally considered a solid investment, the current technical indicators and potential negative Q3 developments suggest a need for caution. Investors should closely monitor the situation and consider adjusting their positions based on the evolving market conditions.
Disclaimer:
This research is based on technical analysis and prices available on @tradingview. It is important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst. The content provided should not be construed as financial advice, and individuals are encouraged to conduct their own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author does not take any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, and trading decisions based on this research are at the sole discretion of the individual investor.
Down during some years and then megarocket or rock bottomWith the help of the Elliot wave theory and use of fibbonacci levels there is a potentiall downside for some years. It will potentially play out in a doubble zigzag hitting the same pricelevel. If this plays out there is a chance for the price finding support att the 0.7 fib and creating a double bottom, leading to a big reversal and increase of value for BTC/USD.
US 10Y : "FED vs MARKETS" (...who will win?)Hello Traders!
The FED's monetary policy is not convincing the markets, but Powell seems very determined to meet his inflation targets. In near term, market seems to want to counter this hawkish monetary policy, but that could change going forward. In short term, yields remain at high levels and I don't exclude that this rally could continue for the last bullish impulse with wave 5 formation.
Does this bullish pattern meet economic fundamentals over the medium term? ...What is your opinion?
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If you think that my analysis is useful, please...
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Cheers!
$AFRM COMPLETE ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS Observing the price action of NASDAQ:AFRM , it is evident that it has been navigating through a corrective wave since its inception. Recently, it has culminated the larger corrective Wave B, under which it has also completed the primary Wave C. The completion of Wave C was marked by the termination of Wave 5. This progression implies that NASDAQ:AFRM is now embarking on the larger Wave C, which is anticipated to descend below the trough of Wave A. Based on my analysis, I project the termination of Wave C near the $4 mark. However, it's important to note that the exact timing and price level remain uncertain while the bearish POI stands firm
🅱️ Elliot Wave 2023, The Correct Count & Wave 3, 4 & 5 Targets After a major correction is over, a new impulse move develops.
The next 5-up wave pattern is already taking place and we have the 1st and 2nd waves already in.
The third wave is usually the longest and this one has already started.
How the wave will look like is impossible to predict, it can be steep it, can be flat, it can be easy or hard to read... This varies wildly.
We can look for certain levels though where the probability is highest for a wave to end, we can use Elliots rules.
The peak of Wave 1 happened at $24,240, if we extract the 0.618 from this value and add it up to the peak price we get around $39,220 and that can be the top of Wave 3 .
Wave 4 is the hard part for me, I don't know if the correction will be long or short in duration.
Wave 2 lasted 37 days and this can be considered long based on the fact that it took 2 months to complete wave 1.
If we take into consideration the law of alternation then Wave 4 should be short in duration, specially since Wave 3 is also likely to happen fast as the first week is really strong.
So Wave 4 based on these calculations should go for 1-3 weeks and hit as low as $27,000, it can go lower and hit $25,000 but never below $23,000.
On a strong bullish bias the main target range is between $27,000 and $29,000 (Wave 4 correction target).
Wave 5 is the speculative wave and the last wave of the impulse before a correction in proportion with the previous move takes place, meaning a strong correction.
Now, I have several projections for Wave 5.
$54,000 $60,000 and $63,000.
Your guess is as good as mine.
I am taking in consideration all of Elliots rule, literally when making these projections.
These are just projections and are not meant to predict the future.
As the waves develop, we have to adjust our count to match what actually happens.
What this system can do is help us build a map to navigate these markets but it can't tell us what is happening next, that's not how it works.
This is my analysis based on Elliot Wave Theory, this is not the method that I use for trading nor chart reading in general but it is always a great addition to our toolkit.
Just as we look at the indicators, the candlesticks, renko, price action, chart patterns and fundamentals, this is a tool that should be combined with others to give it further strength.
If my target matches using multiple different systems, it becomes more relevant to me than in the case that it doesn't show up anywhere else.
My targets are more conservative on my Bitcoin long trade but this looks good as the financial markets are crashing and we tend to underestimate the markets when coming out of a bearish wave.
All comments are welcome, positive or negative, in favor or against.
Feel free to share, open yourself... All questions are welcomed, I'll do my best to give an honest reply to what you have to say.
Thank you for reading.
Welcome to the Spring.
Namaste.
USDJPY: Riding the conclusion of Wave 5Greetings fellow traders,
I extend my best wishes for a prosperous New Year to you all.
Allow me to share my analysis of the USDJPY market. As we can all observe, the pair is currently in a bullish trend, having exhibited the attributes of an impulsive 5-wave pattern. It seems we may be witnessing the conclusion of the last impulsive wave, assuming it is not truncated.
The market appears to be in sub-wave 4 within the final wave 5. As such, I anticipate an impulsive upward movement, taking out the previous high at 145.977. My optimal entry point is at the 145.157 price level, where I anticipate market to find support.
The projected targets for this analysis are 146.883, 147.554, and the extreme upper border of the channel at 148.184. This outlook would be invalidated if the price were to dip below 144.315.
There is CPI report today. Market may whipsaw in both directions, trade with caution.
Thanks, and cheers to a more profitable 2024.
NIFTY short term trend remains downNSE:NIFTY view based on Elliott waves.
From the ATH, NIFTY has made a 5 waves down impulse which could be first leg of correction (A/W) and seem to be retracing the down move. Retracement should be at least 38.2% which gives 21606 and 50% is at 21705. After that it should head down!
I'm Bullish. Here's WhyHi Traders,
PLTR is oversold on the 2HR, 4HR, and daily charts and has nearly completed a corrective wave. This corrective wave is denoted by the yellow ABC pattern (also known as a Zig Zag pattern) in Elliot Wave analysis. The Wave Trend indicator is extremely oversold since the signal is far below the green boundary as shown on the chart. I anticipate PLTR will close the small gap around the $14.96-$15.94 area, which is also a BULLISH demand zone and a trend support zone. I've decided to use this area as an entry zone. Once price is in this area, consider a bullish position targeting $17. If PLTR closes above $17, target $18.64 based on harmonic pattern analysis, which currently indicates a bullish Gartley. Here's my bullish case, strictly using Technical Analysis:
Harmonics
PLTR is showing three bullish harmonic patterns (Gartley, Black Swan, and Anti-Nen Star). I'd like to focus on the gartley pattern, which statistically has a 75% likelihood in reaching T1 ($18.66). In the chart below, you can also see the oversold RSI at a value of 28.74
Price Action
There is a bearish order block around the $14.75 as denoted in the chart below. Bearish traders sold PLTR back in NOV 23, but PLTR didn't decline further in price. Instead, it gapped up, which indicates Bearish traders exhausted their selling power and will likely be eager to close their positions by buying PLTR at this price point, thereby constituting a bullish demand zone.
Trends
Trend resistance is $16.98 with trend support at $14.40 as denoted by the trend lines on the chart below. The 200 period moving average (yellow line) is $14.80, which coincides with trend line support, gap analysis, and price action order blocks. I consider this strong support for now. The 9 period (purple line) 21 period (blue line) moving averages act as resistance (for now) and are $16.74 and $17.31 respectively. Both coincide with trend resistance at $16.98. The chart also shows positive divergence on the VMMACD and MACD indicators.
Trading Plan
I trade options, and while I do own several hundred shares of PLTR, I generate income by selling CALL and PUT options based on the volatility (i.e. price swings) of PLTR. Since I anticipate PLTR is nearing a LOW, I will likely sell several $14 or $15 PUTs option with a 45 DTE (Date Till Expiration) to collect premium. When PLTR reaches my upside targets, I will sell COVERED CALL options (maybe $18 or $19 strikes) to collect premium, because I know that these upside targets act as supply zones (i.e resistance) and price may decline from these areas.
Happy Trading!
XPEV Elliot Wave WXY CorrectionXPEV, at $23.62 in July 2023, may be in the Y wave of the Ellliot WXY Double Correction. Accordingly, it may end wave A, the first correction of the Y wave, around $11.5-12.3, which is the Anchored VWAP line, perform wave B, go up to around $15, and end the Elliot Double Correction wave with wave C between $8.5-10.