Elliotwaveanalysis
ARUSDTThis is a long-term analysis.
To buy spot and medium term..
We may experience strong negative fluctuations, but it is worth the risk.
The numbers 11.5 to 12.5 dollars and 8.5 to 10 dollars are attractive prices to buy..
It is better to look at this purchase as a short-term investment.
Important trading times and nodes for the end of wave B and the beginning of wave C were determined..
Is BTC ready to explode or should we brace for a deeper drop?The pressure is mounting! Are we about to witness a massive breakout, or should we prepare for a deeper correction? The BTCUSDT chart is coiling into a elliott pattern, a classic bullish setup—but remember, trading is never guaranteed, and the market loves to test us! Here’s the full breakdown of what we’re seeing right now:
💎#BTC previously enjoyed a strong rally and made new ATH but due to #TRUMP not mentioning any words for crypto we have seen a massive sell pressure.
💎But according to elliott wave count, we are heading towards 3rd impulsive wave targeting 120-125k .
💎After that we can see a slight pullback making a 4th corrective wave
💎And then we can see #Bitcoin to final All-Time-High making at 130k level most probably
Stay patient, and always wait for confirmation before taking any action. Discipline is the key to long-term success!
Corrective Wave and Chart Pattern Analysis - RSI TFW DivergenceCorrective Wave Structure a ABC Analysis pattern in TFW timeframe
Observations:
A bullish divergence is evident in the momentum near the support zone indicating weakening bearish momentum, the end of wave C, and a potential reversal to the upside.
Analysis:
- Wave A: completed descending channel retraced 61.8% of previous uptrend with 5 wave diagonal pattern - wave A.1 the shortest and wave A.3 is the longest.
- Wave B: retraced 61.8% of Wave A with an extended flat 3 wave abc pattern - wave B.c extended 261.8% of B.a
- Wave C: A descending triangle /ending diagonal pattern is visible within Wave C current extending 61.8% of Wave A.
Support:
- The Green zone (liquidity support) around 4.50 THB is significant, acted as a strong support level multiple times in the past.
- A breakdown below this zone could lead to further downside (red arrow scenario) while holding above it might trigger a reversal (green arrow scenario).
Breakout:
- Resistance levels marked by Wave B’s high 6.4+ THB and intermediate levels around 4.9+ THB are critical breakout moving average 20 week dynamic resistance zone.
- An upward breakout past these levels would confirm the end of the corrective phase and the start of a new bullish impulse wave.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case (Green Arrows):
TP1: Price holds the liquidity support zone and breaks above 5.50 THB (near-term resistance).
TP2: A successful retest of 6.50 THB Wave B zone could lead to a new bullish wave formation.
RRR: 3:1
Bearish Case (Red Arrow):
A break below the liquidity support zone 4.50 THB would confirm continued bearish pressure.
Price could target lower levels, possibly extending toward 3.50 THB or beyond.
Action:
+ Look for bullish confirmation with a breakout above descending triangle (ending diagonal) resistance 4.80 THB zone
+ Watch for volume surge volume profile indicator to validate the reversal trigger.
+ Monitor price action near the liquidity support zone 4.50 THB.
+ Accumulate only if the support holds and momentum confirms a bullish reversal.
Always trade with affordable risk, respect your stop.
GBPUSD Week 4 Swing Zone & LevelDynamic Take profit, dtp allows trade to catch big moves. These are set based on price momentum. Last week provided a humble 40pips.
Initial Swing Zone/Level are calculated at
Zone: 21599-21549
Level set as shown. Either a or b could play out, as determined by Price action.
As price breaks or bounces off these areas, new zones/levels will be recalculated.
Happy trading week
Price Analytics: $TRUMP's Potential Correction and Future RallyPossible Rebranding of an Existing Token: A Strategic Collaboration with the President
The recent announcement of the MEXC:TRUMPUSDT cryptocurrency has ignited discussions about its origin and its sudden rise to fame. Market data suggests that $TRUMP might not be entirely new but a rebranded version of an existing token. Historical price charts from exchanges like Gate.io and MEXC reveal trading activity for a $TRUMP-named token as far back as March 2024, long before the President’s public endorsement.
Rebranding an existing token in collaboration with a high-profile figure like the President offers several advantages:
Instant Market Hype: Association with a well-known personality generates massive publicity, attracting retail and institutional investors.
Enhanced Trust and Legitimacy: A presidential collaboration can shift market perception, making the token appear more credible.
Reviving Dormant Projects: Tokens with limited traction can leverage rebranding to reignite interest and trading activity.
If the MEXC:TRUMPUSDT token is indeed a rebranded project, its association with the President has proven successful, as evidenced by its meteoric rise in value to $72 shortly after the announcement.
Current Analysis:
The MEXC:TRUMPUSDT token is currently trading at $72, experiencing a surge due to its high-profile launch. However, considering historical data and market patterns, a price correction to the $37–$40 range is likely. This range aligns with the previous all-time high (ATH) of $37–$38 recorded on March 5, 2024.
Short-Term Projection:
If the token revisits its previous ATH, this retesting could act as a strong support level. Historically, price corrections to significant levels often precede larger upward movements, as they confirm market confidence in these levels.
Long-Term Projection:
Assuming the token completes the #5 Wave of the Elliott Wave cycle, it could potentially surpass the $100 mark. The Elliott Wave theory suggests that the fifth wave is often driven by strong market sentiment and euphoria, fueled by both technical and fundamental catalysts.
Conclusion:
While the MEXC:TRUMPUSDT token's current momentum is undeniable, investors should anticipate a near-term correction to $37–$40 before a rally beyond $100. This projection combines historical data, technical analysis, and the hype surrounding its rebranding and presidential collaboration. However, as with any volatile asset, investors should exercise caution and conduct thorough due diligence.
XRP, stronger than any other crypto!Hello everyone,
it seems like XRP is currently stronger than any other cryptocurrency including BTC.
Meanwhile the whole sector corrected today and seems to bottom out now, XRP broke out of the bull flag and now retested it. It is a good spot to enter a trade here, some traders might wait for a close above the retest candle.
Anyways the price should reach at least 3,4 dollars soon.
LINK, watch out the liquidity hunt!Hello everyone,
if you haven't already on chart, load this fantastic indicator from Alien_Algorithmus. It shows you the liquidation levels of big positions in crypto assets, which is helpful to forecast the trend. Actually we have still some liquidity below left, but on the other hand, above is way more. Whenever you see that some many "clouds" are building in a general bull market it's very likely the chart will hunt this zones.
Also we are at the golden ratio level between 0.5 and 0.618 and we have a good structural support. I believe we can see a bounce here, maybe even the start of the fifth wave towards 40 USD.
BTC, the wave count is not completedHello everyone,
today I want to talk about Elliot Wave Theory.
The big problem is, that waves can be interpreted in different ways and invalidation levels are often far away from trade setups. Therefore it's necessery to follow the wave count on different levels because usually the wave itself is made my a five wave move in the trend direction or a three wave move in the direction of the correction.
Currently we have an incomplete wave count on Bitcoin and should in my opinion be in the fourth or fifth wave. It seems like the next move will be towards 120k.
What is your opinion?
ETH, the pathway to a new ATHHallo everyone,
in the last weeks Ethereum was underperforming Bitcoin, but actually the chart looks quiet interesting again. The price broke out of a huge bull flag, but with the large correction in Bitcoin it fell under the breakout level again. Now it's approaching the breakout for the second attempt. The most important levels to watch is the 2021 yearly close at 3677 . Should we see a sustained move above, which aligns with the bull flag retest, ETH is set to reach new all time high prices within the new two month.
Looking at the seasonality of cryptocurrencies the first quarter of the year is a good moment to be bullish.
Bitcoin gets bouncy from the right place - Let's goooo!This is just an update and a notification of the results since the analysis:
Bitcoin has reversed nicely from the support/target area. If things don't changes, then I'm looking for a good boost to the next target, as annotated in the chart.
If you want to be notified, then go ahead and subscribe to my channel.
best of luck in your trading and investment.
NOT C Wave Hey hey hey
Lets start to do posting here, not jut on X (BTW Follow me there)
The idea for NOTCOIN is next:
-Wave A of correction is completed in a shape of leading diagonal
-B Wave is currently developing
a and b are ready. I expect C wave wull be sharp and will reach FIBO level 50% + Imbalance
#GOAT/USDT Short-Term Rally or Wave 5 Decline ?#GOAT/USDT is currently forming a descending channel with a 5-wave Elliott Wave structure. The price shows potential for a short-term upside move toward $0.69, which acts as a crucial resistance level at the upper boundary of the channel. If rejected at this level, the price may continue its downtrend toward $0.32, aligning with the lower channel boundary and Wave (5) target. Traders should watch for a breakout or rejection at $0.69, as it will determine the next significant move. A breakout could signal further bullish momentum, while rejection would confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. BYBIT:GOATUSDT.P
SP500: Watch This Key Support LevelStrong US jobs data was released today at 14:30 CET, showing 256K new jobs versus the expected 164K, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. This stronger-than-expected data could lead to more risk-off sentiment, as 97% of speculators now believe the Fed will hold rates steady at its next meeting. As a result, with stocks pulling back and the USD strengthening, even cryptocurrencies could face more weakness.
Remember, Powell delivered a hawkish cut back in December, when they noted that there can be less cuts in 2025 due to strong economic projections for 2025 which can bring infaltion back up so they must be carefull with rate decision. And this data today is reason why FED may stay on old, rahter than cut and why then stocks can resume even low, which have been in corrective territory since the last Fed meeting in December.The key focus now is identifying the next major support level for stocks. I believe that once stocks turn back to the upside, it could open opportunities across other assets, including cryptocurrencies.
Looking at the S&P 500 futures contract, there has been a slow but steady recovery since early November, following Trump’s win in the US elections. However, the market may attempt to liquidate latecomers who joined the stock rally after Trump’s victory. The 5,700 level on the SP500 futures stands out as a critical support zone, acting as a “stop-loss” level for many positioned in the well-known “Trump trade.” If the price reaches this area, more liquidations could occur, potentially clearing the way for a stronger bounce. Markets rarely move straight up that will profit everyone; liquidations often happen on the way higher. There is no easy money.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the sharp drop from all-time highs looks like an incomplete correction. The current sideways movement likely forms wave B, suggesting that wave C could lead to more liquidations toward the 5,800 level, which I see as a very important support zone.If this is indeed is a triangle in wave B, keep in mind that moves out of triangles are final in the sequence, meaning any drop could be limited before the market turns higher. So, I still believe risk-on sentiment will return, but this may not happen until Trump officially returns to office and market positioning settles for 2025.
Regarding Bitcoin, I see the 85,000–87,000 area as a very interesting support zone, where more downside could be limited.
Grega
Wave C Correction, are we ready to reverse? Currently we are in Wave C correction, the last wave of correction in this 12345abc structure.
We got support at a YELLOW support trend line that started since Nov.
Currently Wave C is in between 0.5 to 0.618 FIB Extension of Wave A.
Ideally I'd like to see Wave C correct to at least to 0.618 Extension of Wave A.
So if the yellow support line fail, we will see if it hold the 0.618 extension of Wave A Level
Or what's after that would be 0.786 extension of Wave A, or a 0.618 retracement of the previous 12345 Impulse wave patter.
Fundamental can play into the Fib level I mentioned, we can have a slow chop down to those level until US president take office and announce his plan to improve the country's economic outlook.
To simplify what I mentioned above, here is our support target for entry (trade at your own risk)
$3110.96 (0.618 extension of Wave A).
$3029.16 (0.618 retracement of the 12345 Impulse Wave Structure).
$2942.10 (0.786 extension of Wave A).
$2735.29 (0.786 retracement of the 12345 Impulse Wave Structure).
$2727 (1.0 extension of Wave A)
Happy trading, don't catch the falling knife.
Gold Buy Setup: Bullish Price Action at Fibo 61.8#GOLD has completed a short-term pullback on the H4 chart and now shows bullish price action signals at the Fibonacci 61.8 retracement level. Two consecutive pin bars support this zone, indicating a strong rejection of lower prices. The structure aligns with a 5-3 wave setup, suggesting the potential for at least a three-wave upward movement.
My initial targets are the key resistance levels at 2660 and 2700, where I anticipate significant price reactions. If these levels are cleared, it could lead to a breakout of the previous structural resistance, paving the way for a stronger bullish continuation. On the flip side, failure to break these levels may result in a bearish reversal.
This setup provides a high-probability trade with an excellent risk-to-reward ratio for upside movement.