EUR/NZD 1.65358 / 1.65830 VS 1.69674 / 1.69966.Hello Traders, EUR/NZD 1.65358 / 1.65830 VS 1.69674 / 1.69966.
4H TrendLine Break or Bounce Looking for a possible 5th Wave down ( Yellow )
We need a setup / impulse correction for a move
Towards 1.65358 / 1.65830 VS 1.63863 / 1.62049.
Second possibility a continuation / consolidation / corrective pattern
to continue the upside movement
breaking the 4H Trend towards 1.69674 / 1.69966.
Elliotwavecount
EURNZD Is Drawing a Pattern That Should Scare the BullsThe Daily chart reveals something that should make the bulls feel uncomfortable. It shows that EURNZD’s massive decline from October 2018 high at 1.79337 to December 2018 low at 1.63279 took the shape of a textbook five-wave impulse. The pattern is labeled 1-2-3-4-5.
EURNZD Bears Remain in Control
According to the theory, the impulses point in the direction of the larger sequence, and a three-wave recovery in the opposite direction follows every impulse pattern. This means that once the corresponding A-B-C expanding flat correction in wave (B) is over, another decline in wave (C) can be expected.
The resistance area around 61.8% Fibonacci level and the blue box zone is where a bearish reversal is likely to occur. However, even if the bulls manage to lift the price of EURNZD higher, the bearish outlook remains valid as long as the high/starting point of wave (A) at 1.79337 is intact.
If this count is correct, traders should not put too much trust in EURNZD bulls right now and start to take profit in the blue box, especially given that wave (C)’s targets lie below wave (A) low at 1.63279.
Did you like this analysis? Kindly let me know in the comment.
US Dollar Huge Sell Off Wave AnalysisYes I am still Bearish on the US Dollar! The bullish corrective structure that started on June 19th have turned out to be a deep zig zag corrective pattern that could be finding resistance at the 88.6% fibonacci level of the initial bearish decline. I am expecting the highs that the Dollar created on May 18th of 98.37 to hold strong. I am looking for a big move to the downside to start the bearish wave 3 as the Dollar weakens
AUD/USD 0.070754 VS 0.69282 / 0.69202.Hello Traders, AUD/USD 0.070754 VS 0.69282 / 0.69202.
We are breaking the 4H Trend looking for Possible Larger Running Flat completion
we would need to see a rejection ( Yellow impulse & correction ) to continue the upside ( Green ) VS 0.71064 / 0.71805.
Second possibility ( Blue ) looking for continuation / consolidation / corrective patterns
to continue the downside movement breaking 0.69202 / 0.69282 VS 0.68530 / 0.68389.
USD/SEK 9.49245 / 9.47372 VS 9.30490. Trade SetupsHello Traders, USD/SEK 9.49245 / 9.47372 VS 9.30490. looking for a small continuation/ consolidation / corrective pattern ( Yellow )
to continue the upside movement breaking 9.49245 / 9.47372 VS 9.53482 / 9.54526.
Or signs of reversal ( Impulse Correction / Blue ) back towards the previous Low's to retest 9.30490 for a bigger corrective pattern.
WTICO/USD West Texas Oil 55.639 / 55.229 VS 60.707 / 60.339.Hello Traders, WTICO/USD West Texas Oil 55.639 / 55.229 VS 60.707 / 60.339.
Expecting another impulse down after finishing the corrective pattern ( Blue ) To Break 55.639 / 55.229 VS 53.072 / 50.935.
Second possibility ( Fuchsia ) we continue up to retest the 60.707 / 60.339. for a bigger corrective structure on the previous impulse up.
EUR/USD Range: 1.11988 / 1.12078 VS 1.12706 / 1.2758Hello Traders, EUR/USD Range: 1.11988 / 1.12078 VS 1.12706 / 1.2758
Looks like we have a complete 3 wave Corrective pattern Looking to break 1.11988 / 1.12078 VS 1.11338 / 1.10583.
Possibly ( Yellow ) one more Move to the upside 1.12706 / 1.2758 before we get the Break.
EURO (EURUSD) STRONG LONG Wave 3 nextSometimes it is best not to overthink things.
The descending wedge on the EURO ( FX:EURUSD ) has been clearly broken to the upside.
A new uptrend has begun.
Rises are in 5 waves and drops are in 3 waves. This is a classic Elliot wave definition of a new trend direction.
Keep it simple.
Primary wave 2 and secondary wave 2 of wave 3 UP have now tested the long-term descending wedge's upper trend line and twice it has held and drops below it have been rejected. See two red circles on the chart.
Wave 3 of 3 will likely be triggered by anticipation of the Fed lowering interest rates at the end of this month.
Cheers!
Cyrus
USD/JPY 108.967 / 108.856 VS 107.821 / 107.706. Trade SetupsHello Traders, USD/JPY 108.967 / 108.856 VS 107.821 / 107.706.
Possible Short Term Buy looking for a Setup / Flag for a move towards 108.286 / 108.240
at which point we will look for the continuation / corrective / consolidation pattern VS 108.967 / 108.856
Or the possibility that it's still a part of the corrective structure for one more down move Retesting / Breaking 107.821 / 107.706.
EUR/USD 1.12758 / 1.2706 VS 1.12078 / 1.11988. Trade SetupsHello Traders, EUR/USD 1.12758 / 1.2706 VS 1.12078 / 1.11988.
Expecting Short Term Upside towards 1.12758 / 1.2706
to complete a 3 wave Consolidation / Continuation / Corrective Pattern for the downside
To Break 1.12078 / 1.11988 VS 1.11333 / 1.11283 / 1.11160.
USD/CHF 0.98418 / 0.98287 VS 0.99468 / 0.99388.Hello Traders, USD/CHF 0.98418 / 0.98287 VS 0.99468 / 0.99388.
Correcting the Impulse Up possible short term buy setup / flag forming Break 0.98528
To retest previous High's ( Blue ) 0.99035 / 0.99022 VS 0.99468 / 0.99388.
Second Possibility ( Fuchsia ) Devoloping A running flat for one more move Breaking 0.98418 / 0.98287
within the current smaller down trend
BTC/USD Bitcoin 10736.0 / 9889.7 VS 13728.0 / 12876.0Hello Traders, BTC/USD Bitcoin 10736.0 / 9889.7 VS 13728.0 / 12876.0
Possible Completed 3 wave corrective pattern Looking for buy setup break 10841.7 to retest 13728.0 / 12876.0
at which point we will look for Reversal ( Blue / Orange )
or Continuation pattern to Break 13728.0 / 12876.0 VS 15487.5 / 17661.0
CAD/CHF 0.76174 / 0.76336 VS 0.73740 / 0.73542. Buy SetupHello Traders, CAD/CHF 0.76174 / 0.76336 VS 0.73740 / 0.73542.
Looking for Continuation / Consolidation / Corrective Pattern and break 0.75987 / 0.75890
To Continue the upside movement VS 0.77713 / 0.79329.
Second Possibility ( Yellow / Blue ) the larger corrective pattern is not finished yet
and we get another move down to retest the low's at 0.73740 / 0.73542.
AUD/JPY 75.880 / 75.877 VS 75.415 / 75.253 Looking for Buy'sHello Traders, AUD/JPY 75.880 / 75.877 VS 75.415 / 75.253
Looking for ( Orange ) Continuation / Correction / Consolidation To Break 75.970 and start the upside VS 76.932 / 77.733.
Second possibility ( Blue ) the correction hasn't finished yet and we have another Pattern ( Yellow )
for another wave down ( Blue ) to retest 75.415 / 75.253 once more before the upside movement.
NZD/JPY 72.653 / 72.465 VS 71.892 / 71.826 Looking for Buy'sHello Traders, NZD/JPY 72.653 / 72.465 VS 71.892 / 71.826
Looking for Continuation on the upmove to Break 72.653 / 72.465 VS 73.662 / 74.586.
Second possibility ( Blue ) we get a rejection 72.653 / 72.465
to retest the Low's 71.892 / 71.826
one more time to complete a bigger corrective pattern.
Gold Bulls Are Aiming at $1460 Per Ounce Gold bulls have been unstoppable in the last few weeks. The price of gold has gained 13% to $1439.31 an ounce after a bearish correction that lasts through February and May 2019. The precious metal still has the potential to move substantially higher from the long-term perspective.
However, in this post, we will look at the recent rally in Gold and what the next few weeks has in store for the commodity through the Elliot Wave perspective.
The H4 chart above allows us to put XAUUSD “Gold” entire progress since May 2019 into Elliott Wave context.
It looks like a textbook five-wave impulse pattern is forming, labeled i-ii-iii-iv-v. Wave “iii” is the longest wave, and its sub-waves are also clearly visible. The present and the recent pullback, which seems to be unfolding as a triangle pattern fits in the position of wave iv. The missing piece of the puzzle is wave v. Considering that it’s not a truncation, the fifth wave is supposed to exceed the top of wave iii. In terms of price, wave v’s initial targets lie near $1460/Oz, but $1500 per ounce is quite reasonable as well.
Gold Bears Are Not Back Off Yet
On the other hand, gold traders should tread very carefully. According to Elliot Wave theory, a three-wave retracement in the opposite direction follows every impulse. Therefore, we can prepare for a notable correction in wave (b) once wave iv and v complete the recent uptrend in wave (a).
If this count is correct, XAUUSD is still in an uptrend and aiming at a new high above wave iii’s top. However, a bearish reversal within the blue box is highly probable and can open the door for a ~50% sell-off towards the support near $1350 an ounce.
What's your view on Gold?
USD/JPY 107.824 / 107.630 VS 108.967 / 108.856.Hello Traders, USD/JPY 107.824 / 107.630 VS 108.967 / 108.856.
Possible Running Flat Completed looking for sign of reversal to the upside ( Blue )
Impulse / correction vs 108.967 / 108.856 and 109.706 / 109.881.
The second Possibility the upmove has finished and we are getting a corrective / consolidation / continuation pattern
for the downside ( Red ) to Break 107.824 / 107.630 VS 106.824 / 107.173.