Sentiment Sunday - GoldSentiment Sunday:
- Eyes are on gold this week, gold bugs are buzzing about a possible explosive breakout.
- Rising material costs signaling consumer inflation, yet Fed's monetary inflation model has not indicated inflation yet.
- Mixed sentiment, as Fed is likely to maintain dovish monetary policies.
- Energy, Industrials, and Industrial/Capital Goods-related materials showing strength, supporting a 'Reflation' macro quadrant situation.
- Poor employment data signaling a possible move toward stagflation. I speculate that the economic data from now will begin to reflect the effects of the pandemic.
- Lumber, copper, cryptocurrencies seeing massive gains, speculators expecting the precious metals to finally trail.
- Elon Musk stated that DOGE was a 'hustle' in his anticipated Saturday Night Live hosting, causing a correction in the cryptocurrency market. Investors are likely exiting and preparing to move into lagging inflationary assets.
- Trend is still not defined, but the bullish case for gold is rather strong.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
Elliotwaveprojection
Technical Tuesday - Canadian REITsTechnical Tuesday:
Technical reasons to be short Canadian REITs (XRE):
Mid Term (Trend):
- Median Line with 80% chance to return to median line, once re-enters channel (Andrews)
- Rising Wedge
Short Term (Trade):
- Exhaustion Gap (x2)
- Double Top
- Dark Cloud Cover
Speculated movement within John Hill-Gann.
Elliot Wave Projection forecasted.
GLHF
- DPT
Stocks/Technical - NOKIdea for Nokia:
- LLR Elliot Wave determined for a speculated bullish rally.
- Double Bottom/Wyckoff Spring setup.
- ADX and trend showing strength, almost enough to confirm non-noise relevance:
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
Volatility Asset - GME To The Moon 🚀Idea for Gamestop Corporation:
- Gamestop earnings are approaching!
Speculation: Gamestop will rise to $2000+ USD, causing liquidation crisis fears in the 1.5 quadrillion USD derivatives overhang, and Congress will announce that foreign investors such as the CIC have purchased Gamestop shares as an act of economic warfare through BlackRock to engineer a liquidity crisis, and will freeze BlackRock to prevent foreign sovereign investors from withdrawing their funds. This will trigger a global financial lockdown, and likely the loss of the dollar's global reserve currency status, enabling a new global digital currency.
BlackRock is the Strait of Hormuz of global markets. Gamestop for the markets and the American Multi-Cinema. Crucifixion.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
MICROCAPS - DPLSAlgorithm has given entry signals for Darkpulse
- Darkpulse is an under the radar, future potential tech disruptor and monopoly.
- We believe that Darkpulse shares many similarities with Palantir, and will see similar outsized moves.
- Darkpulse will see incredible benefits from the coming infrastructure, tech, energy, defensives boom cycles.
- Potential technical breakout after consolidation and accumulation.
- Invalidated if the rally turns to a sign of weakness and turns to further accumulation.
- Attached Fundamental Analysis.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
Stocks - FordIdea for Ford Motor Company:
- We believe that a macro turn is here.
- As the global economy moves toward Stagflation, and perhaps Deflation, investors will decrease their risk appetite appropriate for a Goldilocks economy, and will rotate from Momentum and Consumer Discretionary stocks to Quality, Consumer Staples, Utilities, Dividend Yields, and Defensives stocks.
- We believe that Ford is an excellent defensive stock, traditionally being a dividend yielding stock and having being in operation for over 100 years.
- Ford is a good pick even before moving into a Stagflation economy, because they have exposure to the Tech and Industrials sector, with their introduction of EVs, and their 13.9% US market share of the automobile industry, coming second only to GM.
- Ford transitioned away from sedans, and announced that almost 90% of its North American model selection will consist of trucks and commercial vehicles. We believe that this is a most excellent choice, and are impressed by this decision making.
- We foresee a ravenous appetite in the supply chain sector, due to (a) COVID shipping backlog, which will only increase should COVID mutate and cause further lockdowns, (b) nations moving toward domestic production, which will increase intranational logistics and infrastructure demands, and (c) a shift from a software-oriented tech boom to a boom in the industrials and capital goods sector, from what we perceive is being attempted with the US stimulus packages.
- The price is technically in what appears to be a Wyckoff Accumulation Cycle, and is showing signs of strength.
- We believe that a better entry is possible, as it tests support levels during market volatility which we expect, but still it is a good entry point for a longer time-frame.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
Gold E Wave CountingChart says it all
Got some nice impulse waves forming on gold since the 1677 low, they are lining up incredibly well with Fibonacci levels also.
Check white line for smaller cycle waves. 1-5 impulse - ABC corrective
Wave 5 seems guaranteed from here imo target minor resistance shown by yellow top line
my ideas are not gospel, don't trade them
universal patterns are universal
Crypto - ETH EW ForecastModel EW Forecast for Ethereum:
- We expect a macro turn in the nearest future, if it has not already begun.
- We expect risk appetite to decrease substantially for cryptocurrencies.
- Bitcoin has begun a clear downtrend, with a high volatility sell-off.
- Technically at the top of a head and shoulders pattern at the end of wave 5.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
METALS - GXYModel Forecast for Galaxy Resources Ltd:
- Model has produced Line of Least Resistance Elliot Wave for GXY.
- Cup and Handle breakout.
- Galaxy Resources is a leading producer and developer of lithium.
- We are bullish on commodities, especially metals.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
Metals - VONEModel has given entry signals for Vanadium One Iron Corp.:
- Vanadium One Iron Corp. explores for base and precious metals in Canada. It holds a 100% interest in the Mont Sorcier iron ore and vanadium project located in Quebec, Canada.
- Iron and Vanadium are key metals for industrials.
- We are very excited about opportunities in the commodities sector, as we believe a macro turn is approaching in the nearest future.
- Technically in a cup and handle, with a Wyckoff accumulation structure on the handle, possible breakout.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
CRYPTO/STOCKS - $MARA - EW ForecastModel Forecast for Marathon Digital Holdings:
- Bearish LLR.
- Bearish to PT: 37.
- With tight stop-loss, Good RRR trade possible. 7+ RRR.
- Highly volatile, yet range-bound due to leading instruments. Risk Defined.
- High IV, good candidate for net Credit.
- Likely will continue decline... To update.
GLHF
- DPT
XRP Elliot Wave Long: From 39c to $4.20This analysis shows that we are currently in wave 3 of 5 of the Macro wave 3 (of Hyperwave 3).
The Macro wave 3 should take us to about $2.16, as this lines up with the both the fib extension at the 2.0 fibonacci and the previous wave's extension at 8.236. However, this it may only reach as far as $1.91 or $2.56.
If $2.16 is reached as wave 5 of 3, we can expect a corrective wave (macro wave 4) down to between the 0.5 ($1.30) and 0.618 ($1.11) lines. Given that 1.30 is a support here, this is where I suspect we could retrace to.
For wave 5 of 5, if we end Macro wave 4 at $1.30 and bounce back off this support, a rise to the 1.618 fib extension at $4.20 is not out of the question. This would mark the end of the macro wave structure and we would likely see a decent retrace of the entire move, which may take us back down to $1.85 or perhaps $1.56. This would be the hyperwave 4 correction.
After that we have Hyperwave 5 which will take us even further. My guess is $13. See my Hyperwave Analysis for details on this (linked).
STOCKS - Palantir $PLTR - Wave 3Algorithm has given entry signals for Palantir Technologies
- Palantir Technologies is ready for the triple digits, to join its peers in FAANG.
- Potential technical breakout.
- Invalidated if the rally turns to a sign of weakness.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
MACRO - DXYModel Forecast for DXY:
- We expect that DXY will hit 103-104 this impulse wave, likely between Q2-Q4 this year.
- Our model has produced bullish technical signals.
- Fundamentally, the market appears to be transitioning to a new macro quadrant, as growth slows, and inflation rises.
- Investors appear to be complacent, and unprepared for less dovish Monetary Policies. Consensus investors appear to be forward pricing dovish Monetary Policies, and poorly positioned for hawkish or even neutral policy biases.
- We expect that the market will transition to a contraction phase, as inflation rises and growth declines.
- We believe that it is possible that a rapid transition to a stagnation/stagflation, or even a deflation phase is possible, with poor judgement by the Fed.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
STOCKS - Hexagon CompositesModel Forecast for HEX.OL:
- Model had produced entry signals for PLATINUM previously.
- Model has produced bullish signals for HEX.OL.
- The Hydrogen Strategies market and Platinum are highly correlated.
- Technically bullish, with Automatic Rally + Wyckoff Spring off of Demand Zone, which has been tested 3 times.
- 52.40% potential gain in underlying to top of the channel.
- Excess to higher channels are highly likely, as we expect a Hydrogen Boom due to global Clean Energy initiatives. We believe this is an excellent entry point for companies that would benefit from such a boom cycle.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
PMs - PLATINUM - Model ForecastModel Forecast for Platinum:
- Line of Least Resistance determined for PLATINUM.
- Initially, inverse correlation with stock market, but Platinum reaps the benefits of industrial use in clean energy strategies, we foresee a decline in the stock markets until EOY, and recovering early 2021. PMs' technicals seem to support this sentiment.
- Interestingly, there was a consolidation and accumulation period from 2015-2019, and the automatic rally from the last sell-off in March 2020 was used as a spring to achieve new local highs, but this type of pattern typically results in a decline, once distribution has ended. See the fractal from 2008 below.
- However, we are in a greater trend, and while it seems that we have entered a higher channel, volatile sell-offs can be seen as bearish, and we believe the decline will continue once the short squeezing wash-out is over and retail excess diminishes, and support will be tested before further decision.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
CRYPTO - BITCOIN BTCUSD $BTC.X - EW ForecastModel Forecast:
- Line of Least Resistance for this Impulse.
- 20k bottom at the least, possibly lower depending on underlying conditions.
- Expecting sub 10k levels before trend reversal.
- Global economic recession & bear market beginning... BTC is no exception... in fact it will be hit the hardest.
- COVID-19 Wave 5.
- Learn from the mistakes of 2017... Trade another day!
GLHF
- DPT
MACRO - Lumber LBS - EW ForecastModel Forecast
PT: 475 EOY
This ties into my other macroeconomic forecasts... Just a piece of the puzzle.
Lumber is the starting thread of 2 of next campaigns.
A sneak peak:
- Housing market will crash.
- Canada is in big, big trouble.
GLHF
- DPT