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Gold Market Update: Stuck in summer time range / SeasonalityGold is stuck so far last 4-6 weeks in tight range trading conditions due to summer time seasonality also strong gains previously expecting range locked conditions in July as well here's an overview of 5 years and 10 years of seasonality data by month until at least August expecting dead market conditions it's best to focus on trading the range or trading with automated algo instead. Here are the two tables showing month-over-month percent changes in gold prices (London PM fix USD/oz) for June, July, and August: | Year | June Close | July Close | August Close | June % | July % | August % | | ---- | ---------: | ---------: | -----------: | -----: | ------: | -------: | | 2023 | 1,942.90 | 1,951.02 | 1,918.70 | –0.04% | +0.42% | –1.68% | | 2022 | 1,836.57 | 1,732.74 | 1,764.56 | –5.65% | +1.80% | +1.80% | | 2021 | 1,834.57 | 1,807.84 | 1,785.28 | –1.47% | –1.48% | –1.22% | | 2020 | 1,761.04\* | 1,771.65\* | 1,968.16\* | +8.66% | +11.19% | +10.99% | | 2019 | 1,342.66\* | 1,413.39\* | 1,523.00\* | +5.29% | +7.95% | +7.74% | | Year | June Close | July Close | August Close | June % | July % | August % | | ---- | ---------: | ---------: | -----------: | -----: | ------: | -------: | | 2023 | 1,942.90 | 1,951.02 | 1,918.70 | –0.04% | +0.42% | –1.68% | | 2022 | 1,836.57 | 1,732.74 | 1,764.56 | –5.65% | +1.80% | +1.80% | | 2021 | 1,834.57 | 1,807.84 | 1,785.28 | –1.47% | –1.48% | –1.22% | | 2020 | 1,761.04\* | 1,771.65\* | 1,968.16\* | +8.66% | +11.19% | +10.99% | | 2019 | 1,342.66\* | 1,413.39\* | 1,523.00\* | +5.29% | +7.95% | +7.74% | | 2018 | 1,270.00\* | 1,230.00\* | 1,194.00\* | –1.09% | –3.15% | –3.02% | | 2017 | 1,257.00\* | 1,243.00\* | 1,280.00\* | +0.72% | –1.10% | +2.93% | | 2016 | 1,255.00\* | 1,364.00\* | 1,322.00\* | +3.24% | +8.67% | –3.11% | | 2015 | 1,180.00\* | 1,172.00\* | 1,116.00\* | –2.06% | –0.68% | –4.69% | | 2014 | 1,320.00\* | 1,311.00\* | 1,312.00\* | –0.65% | –0.68% | +0.08% | 🔍 Summary Highlights June has been weak more often than not—negative in 6 of the past 10 years. July shows modest gains overall—positive in 7 of the last 10. August is the strongest summer month—positive 6 times out of the past 10, with several double-digit y/y gains (like +10.99% in 2020).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
27
TSLA bearish: Musk vs Trump! Subsidy Spotlight & Sentiment RisksIf you haven`t bought TSLA before the recent breakout: Now you need to know that Tesla (TSLA) is sitting around $315, but the vibe is getting shakier. Elon Musk’s feud with Donald Trump — complete with jokes about “putting the DOGE on him” if deported — might feel like another meme moment, but it spotlights Tesla’s huge dependency on federal and state support. Estimates show Tesla could face up to $48 billion in lost government contracts and incentives over the next decade if the political tide turns. With Trump’s base calling out “green subsidies” as wasteful, Tesla’s funding pipeline could get squeezed — just as competition ramps up and margins get tighter. Key Bearish Points 1) Political Risk Is Real Musk’s public fight with Trump is a double-edged sword: he risks losing goodwill on both sides of the aisle. If the next administration decides to gut EV credits, Tesla could take a huge hit — far more than its rivals who rely less on U.S. incentives. 2) Subsidy Dependence Tesla’s success is partly built on a foundation of tax credits, carbon credits, and favorable policies. $48B in potential lost value is nothing to shrug off — especially when competitors like BYD are gaining ground. 3) Bearish Technical Setup TSLA’s chart is rolling over inside a bearish channel. It recently failed to hold the $330 level and now sits around $315. A clean breakdown below $300 could open the door to your target zone at $262 — a major support area from earlier this year. Catalysts: Any new comments from Trump’s camp about EV subsidies Weak delivery/margin numbers from Tesla Broader tech/equity pullback Musk’s crypto distractions no longer propping up sentiment Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:TSLAShort
by TopgOptions
TLSA Catalyst Ranking and Market Update: June 2025Here's an updated/revised outlook for TSLA including all the primary catalyst ranking and analyst ratings and overview of latest developments 🔋 1. EV Demand Growth Strength: 9/10 → 9/10 Global electric vehicle adoption remains the dominant pillar. Tesla faces softer comp in Europe (–40.5% drop in May) wsj.com, but overall trend remains firmly upward. 🌍 🚗 2. Affordable Entry Level Model Strength: 8.5/10 → 8.5/10 Tesla still on track to launch a < $25K EV in first half of 2025. Any delays or execution issues could pressure sentiment. ⚡ 3. Battery Cost & Margin Improvement Strength: 8/10 → 8/10 Margins saw slight relief Q1, driven by cost cuts f, but macro headwinds persist. 🤖 4. Autonomy & Robotaxi Rollout Strength: 7.5/10 → 8.5/10 Robotaxi debuted in Austin in June, sparking a ~10% one-day stock surge. Benchmark raised its target to $475/buy on the rollout—strong tailwind. 🚩 5. Competition Strength: 7/10 → 6.5/10 Rivals like Xiaomi’s new YU7 are gaining ground. Tesla must maintain differentiation. 📉 6. Trade Policies & Tariffs Strength: 6.5/10 → 6.5/10 Still relevant due to Tesla’s global footprint, though less front-page than before. 💰 7. Incentives & Subsidies Strength: 6/10 → 6/10 U.S. IRA tax credit policies remain supportive; evolving eligibility remains a swing factor. 🛢️ 8. Commodity Costs Strength: 5.5/10 → 5.5/10 Raw-material swings affect margins. Inventory hedges help but not wholly mitigate. 📈 9. Fed & Interest Rates Strength: 5/10 → 5/10 A higher-rate environment still limits valuation multiples for growth-tier companies. 🎭 10. Musk Profile & Governance Strength: 4/10 → 5/10 Analysts (e.g., Bradley Tusk) warn of being “massively overvalued” tied to Musk’s persona. Musk’s renewed focus on Tesla vs. other ventures (DOGE, SpaceX) will be watched. ________________________________________ 🚀 Refreshed Catalyst Rankings Rank Driver Score 1 EV demand growth 9 2 Affordable model 8.5 3 Battery costs/margins 8 4 Autonomy/robotaxi execution 8.5 5 Competition 6.5 6 Trade & tariffs 6.5 7 Regulatory incentives 6 8 Commodities 5.5 9 Fed Rates 5 10 Musk reputation/governance 5 ________________________________________ 📊 Latest Analyst Ratings & Targets • Benchmark / Mickey Legg: Buy, target $475 (from $350) — cites robotaxi safety-first rollout, automation upside • Wedbush / Dan Ives: Outperform, target $500 — labels TSLA as an “embodied AI compounder” • Morgan Stanley / Adam Jonas: Buy, target $410 — bullish on AI/self driving positioning • Cantor Fitzgerald / Andres Sheppard: Overweight, target $355 — optimism rooted in robotaxi and FSD rollout • UBS / multiple: Sell, target $215–225 — skeptical on demand and valuations Consensus snapshot (FactSet): • Mean price target ≈ $311–$312 • Mean rating between Hold–Buy (~2.7/5) ________________________________________ 🗞️ Recent Headlines • “Tesla completes first fully autonomous Model Y delivery ahead of schedule” • “Tesla robotaxis launch in Austin” boosting momentum • “EU Tesla sales slump” May registrations down 40.5% • “Tesla fires longtime insider as Europe slump deepens” ________________________________________ 🔍 Summary Outlook Tesla shares are navigating a volatile interplay of strong tech promise and unfolding execution risks: • Overweight view (Legg, Ives): Robotaxi rollout and AI thrust fuel upside. Automation transition seen as transformative. • Bullish base (Jonas, Sheppard): AI, FSD rollout, affordable model support core thesis. • Skeptical view (UBS, Tusk): Slumping deliveries in Europe/China, heavy valuation, Musk's external focus seen as emotional dampener. Upcoming triggers to watch: 1. Q2 delivery and production results (mid July). 2. Robotaxi rollout execution/regulatory clearance. 3. Margin trajectory as costs evolve. 4. FSD reliability and expansion in new markets. ________________________________________ ✅ What This Means for You • Bull case: Robotaxi + AI momentum may drive TSLA back toward targets in the $475–500 range. • Bear case: Weak deliveries, macro and competition pressures could cap shares or trigger pullback toward prior support ($330–350). • Neutral: Watch near-term delivery and autonomy news to shape next move.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
38
TESLA: Can double its price ($640) by the end of the year.Tesla is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.064, MACD = 4.910, ADX = 24.971), consolidating for the past week, but remains over its 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 nonetheless. Since the major market bottom on January 6th 2023, it's been trading inside a Channel Up and this is its 3rd bullish wave. The 2 prior rose by +196.67% from the bottom of the pattern (despite the 2nd breaking marginally under it). Consequently, this suggests that Tesla can rise by +100% from the current $320 level, before the Channel Up tops (HH) again. We are bullish, TP = 640. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by InvestingScope
The Trump & Musk Friends Again - Tesla RippingAnalysts attribute the recovery to cooling tensions between Elon Musk and President Donald Trump, which had previously weighed on investor sentiment. Additionally, Tesla's upcoming robo-taxi launch on June 12 is generating excitement, with some analysts predicting it could be a major revenue driver. However, concerns remain about Tesla's valuation, as it trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 192, significantly higher than traditional automakers.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Trading-Capital
09/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $106,812.33 Last weeks low: $100,372.93 Midpoint: $103,592.63 Billionaire spats and V-shaped recoveries, the beginning of June starts off in an interesting way. As President Trump goes forward with "The big beautiful bill" Elon Musk lets his feelings be known publicly sending shockwaves throughout markets, but what does this mean for Bitcoin? The bill could add $3-5T in US government spending which is great for risk-on assets as there is more money able to flow into markets. I believe this exact thought process is visible on the chart in the V-shaped recovery we can see on Thursday. A clear sell-off as Elon Musk's anti government spending views clash with the bill, the uncertainty causes a sell the news moment, just as BTC comes into $100,000 the dip is bought up on the realization this means greater inflows are on the way, dips are truly for buying at this stage in the cycle and to me, this proves it. In a more bearish view of the chart I would say the clear resistance is now weekly high at ~$106,000. Anything above that meets huge selling pressure with price discovery on the other side the market just doesn't seem to have the fuel as of yet to make the next step. However I believe it is just a matter of time and as M2 global money supply grows we get closer and closer to seeing new significant highs. For this week CPI & PPI take place on Wednesday and Friday respectively. With CPI set to grow from 2.3% to 2.5% according to forecasts it will be interesting to see how markets react, expect short term volatility. Key battlegrounds for me are weekly high and midpoint. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
1
Elon Musk vs Trump: Who you betting on?Elon Musk and Donald Trump have recently had a public falling-out, with their feud playing out on social media and in political circles. The dispute seems to have started over Trump's new budget bill, which Musk has criticized for increasing the national debt. Trump, in turn, accused Musk of being upset because the bill removes electric vehicle subsidies that benefit Tesla. The tension escalated when Trump suggested that Musk had known about the bill beforehand and had no issue with it until after leaving his government role. Musk denied this, claiming he was never shown the bill and that it was passed too quickly for proper review. Trump then took things further by threatening to cut Musk’s government contracts and subsidies, which amount to billions of dollars. Musk responded defiantly on social media, calling Trump "ungrateful" and claiming that without his financial support, Trump would have lost the election. TSLA violated key levels and will be looking for a sharp technical bounce off the $260-$257 zone
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Trading-Capital
34
Everything we know about the Trump - Musk divorce (so far) Elon Musk publicly criticised Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill” as a “disgusting abomination” that would explode the U.S. deficit and “bankrupt America.” The bill is projected to add $2.5 trillion to the U.S. deficit over 10 years. Musk claimed Trump wouldn’t have won the 2024 election without his support, calling the backlash “such ingratitude.” Musk then alleged on X that Trump appears in the Epstein files. This marks a serious escalation (but we all thought this before Musk confirmed it right?) Trump followed up on Truth Social by calling Musk “crazy” and hinting at cancelling federal contracts with his companies. Trump wrote that cancelling subsidies for Musk’s companies “could save billions,”. Tesla has wiped out ~$100 billion in market value. Tesla now politically exposed? Musk floated the idea of creating a new centrist political party, criticising both Democrats and MAGA Republicans. “We need a party that actually represents the interests of the people. Not lobbyists. Not legacy donors. Not extremists.”
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BlackBull_Markets
9
Gold H2 Market Update Ongoing Accumulation BUY LOW SELL HIGH📊 Technical Outlook Update H4 🏆 Bull Market Overview Gold is currently trading around $3,352.69 per ounce, up 1.9% today, reaching its highest level since May 23, driven by renewed safe-haven demand amid escalating U.S.-China trade tensions and a weaker dollar. The market remains range-bound, with key resistance levels at $3,410 and $3,460, and support levels at $3,160 and $3,240. Volatility is expected to remain moderate, with potential catalysts including upcoming U.S. employment data and central bank policy decisions. ⭐️ Recommended Strategy Continue to buy on dips near support levels and sell near resistance levels, capitalizing on the current range-bound market conditions. Monitor for potential breakouts above resistance or breakdowns below support, which could signal a shift in market dynamics. Latest Gold Market Updates: 📈 Gold prices have surged due to renewed tariff threats from the U.S. and escalating geopolitical tensions, prompting investors to seek safety in gold. 💰 Gold miners are largely avoiding hedging strategies to fully benefit from the current market, reflecting strong bullish sentiment in the industry. 🔮 Citibank projects gold prices could rally to $3,500 over the next three months, citing strong demand and macroeconomic factors. 📊 JP Morgan anticipates gold prices exceeding $4,000 per ounce by Q2 2026, with an average of $3,675 in Q4 2025, driven by continued investor and central bank demand. ⭐️ Goldman Sachs has raised its year-end 2025 forecast to $3,700, with a potential upside scenario reaching $4,500, based on strong Asian buying and central bank purchases. 💍 Record gold prices are prompting jewelry designers to shift toward 14-karat gold and alternative materials to control costs, while consumer demand remains robust. 🔮 Outlook Summary Gold remains in a bullish trend, supported by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties. The market is currently range-bound, with key levels to watch at $3,160–$3,240 for support and $3,410–$3,460 for resistance. Upcoming economic data releases and central bank policy decisions could act as catalysts for a breakout from the current range. Analysts maintain a positive outlook, with forecasts suggesting potential for further price increases in the medium to long term.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
21
Your are not Bullish enough on ETHExperts foresee Ethereum’s future mirroring that of early Amazon and Microsoft, predicting significant growth. Analysts draw parallels between Ethereum (ETH) and major tech companies such as Amazon and Tesla, indicating that it could be a high-growth asset moving forward. Even though ETH has experienced a recent decline, several analysts point out the increasing interest from institutional investors, with substantial holders actively accumulating. The long-term prospects of Ethereum are linked to its innovative capabilities and established reputation, with its security-oriented strategy echoing Amazon’s approach to growth. The analyst pointed out that this is a pivotal moment to "front-run" Ethereum's potential supremacy in the blockchain arena. He emphasized that Ethereum is set apart by its ongoing innovation; however, instead of focusing on immediate user expansion, the network has prioritized security. This dedication to dependability has established Ethereum as the most reliable settlement layer in the sector. Please refrain from analyzing ETH as if it were Procter & Gamble. Acquiring ETH is more akin to investing in a high-growth stock like AMZN, MSFT, or TSLA from decades past. Ethereum's approach to enhancing the dominance of the EVM could be compared to Amazon. This chart comparing ETH prices to Tesla's stock price indicates a parallel trend of growth and dominance. Make no mistake, I am quite optimistic about Tesla's prospects through 2030. But this ongoing head and shoulders pattern implies that as we move into the Crypto Banana zone, ETH will accelerate and potentially surpass Tesla's market cap.
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by BallaJi
7
Is EURUSD getting ready for another 600 pips bull run?🏆 EURUSD Market Update 📊 Technical Outlook 🔸Short-term: mixed/range 🔸Mid-term: BULLS 2000 🔸Status: accumulation in range 🔸previously x2 waves +600 pips 🔸clearly strong uptrend in progress 🔸Price Target Bears: range 🔸Price Target BULLS: 2000 🔸strategy: accumulate in range 🔸TP1 +200 TP2 +400 pips 🔸SL 60 pips / below accum range 📈 EUR/USD Bullish Drivers 🏦 ECB staying cautious on rate cuts while Fed signals easing 📉 Weak U.S. job and manufacturing data pressuring the dollar 🌍 U.S. trade policy uncertainty pushing investors toward euro 📊 Technicals show strong support, RSI confirms bullish momentum 🔮 Outlook ⏳ Short-term: Targeting 1.1500 if U.S. data stays soft 📆 Medium-term: 1.20 possible on policy divergence and EU fiscal boost
Long
by ProjectSyndicate
29
Did Redditors make any money on TSLA?I thought I read that NASDAQ:TSLA was going down and Elon was going broke. Earnings were going to assure it. Looks like it came and went and instead went bullish. Oh well, you can't rely on narratives: Only Technicals! The 218.65 Volume Profile Level has been holding TSLA up for weeks now. Great long by the way. And as long as it holds the next major VP level would be 183.63. Now though TSLA is caught in a range and this does seem to be the top. If haters had just waited for a signal instead of trading on emotions they could have played this short from a higher price and with Earnings IV crush already over.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by norok
7
Dogelon: Your Altcoin Choice (S2)Dogelon (ELONUSDT) looks good from a technical analysis perspective. This pair grew more than 6,000% in 2021. Currently, we have a long-term triple bottom and a super long-term higher low. The highest buy volume recently came in January 2025. This is the highest volume since November 2021. A strong signal. The triple bottom is quite good here as a support confirmed signal. The August 2024 low was pierced but the action moved back above this level. The August 2023 low remains unchallenged and this produces another long-term higher low. In short, this is triple bullish. A bullish cycle as is starting now can lead to a new All-Time High, but we are not looking at ATH potential on this chart. The chart looks good. The pair looks good. Everything looks good. This is a good Altcoin Choice. The chart is saying that Dogelon is set to experience massive growth in the coming months. Full confirmation will be in within a few weeks. In May 2025, it will be undeniable that everything Crypto is set to grow. I understand that now many people are still on the fence, doubtful, because the bottom was just hit. But a month from now, everything will be green and then we can all agree. » A nice 1,200% profits target can be seen on the chart. But this pair will grow more, likely much more... Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
4
TSLA Best Level to BUY/HOLD 100% bounce🔸Hello traders, today let's review daily chart for TSLA. we are looking at a 67% correction, almost complete now, another 67% recent correction presented on the right. 🔸Most of the bad news already price in and we are getting oversold, expecting a bottom in weeks now not months. 🔸Recommended strategy bulls: BUY/HOLD once 67% correction completes at/near strong horizontal S/R 140/150 USD, TP bulls is 280/300 USD, which is 100% unleveraged gain. **Tesla (TSLA) Market Update – April 9, 2025** 📉 **Stock Decline:** TSLA closed at $221.86, down 4.9%, amid new tariffs and CEO Elon Musk's political involvement **Analyst Downgrades:* Wedbush's Dan Ives cut the price target by 43% to $315, citing a "brand crisis" Wells Fargo's Colin Langan set a target at $130, anticipating a potential 50% drop 📊 **Delivery Shortfall:** Q1 deliveries fell 13% year-over-year to 336,000 vehicles, missing expectations by about 40,000 unis. 🌍 **Tariff Impact:** President Trump's new tariffs are expected to increase costs and disrupt Tesla's supply chain, especially concerning Chinese operatins. 💡 **Investor Sentiment:** Analysts express concern over Musk's political ties affecting Tesla's brand and sales, particularly in China.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
27
HOLY MOLY! ARE WE IN A RECESSION? $TSLA $120 BEAR FLAG PATTERNA bear flag trading pattern is a technical analysis formation that features a downward-sloping flagpole, followed by a consolidation phase forming a parallel channel. This pattern suggests a potential sharp decline or continuation of the downward trend I also notice a head and shoulders pattern, as well as an inverse cup and handle. Everything points to $120. Sell/Short NASDAQ:TSLA right now with fact check: +brand reputation risk, high competition, loss of EV market leadership, cyber truck/ product recalls, declining sales with lower margin, stock volatility concern, insider selling, investors buy it based on expected future earnings rather than its current profitability. + potential stagflation, tariff war, slow economic growth, inflation, rising public debt, geopolitical tensions, ai bubble, and more
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by sej4974
3
INVERSE CUP AND HANDLE $TSLA TO $120 The inverted cup and handle, also known as the upside-down cup and handle pattern, is a bearish chart formation that can occur in both uptrends and downtrends. Unlike the traditional bullish cup and handle pattern, this inverse pattern features two key components: the "cup," which forms an inverted U-shape, and the "handle," a brief upward retracement following the cup. Sell NASDAQ:TSLA right now with fact check: brand reputation risk, high competition, loss of EV market leadership, cyber truck/ product recalls, declining sales with lower margin, stock volatility concern, insider selling, investors buy it based on expected future earnings rather than its current profitability. + Head and shoulder/ inverse cup and handle, P/E ratio 79.8-161.23 (overpriced), falling knife, dead cat bounce, the lowest target estimate stands at $120.00, below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, MACD indicator is -19.8, bearish signals. + potential stagflation, tariff war, slow economic growth, inflation, rising public debt, geopolitical tensions, ai bubble, and more
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by sej4974
OH NO GUESS WHAT I FOUND $TSLA HEAD AND SHOULDERThe head and shoulders pattern is a chart formation in technical analysis that signals possible trend reversals, often suggesting a change from a bullish to a bearish trend. It features three peaks: a central "head" that is the highest, flanked by two "shoulders," with a neckline connecting the troughs between these peaks. Tesla's stock is often viewed as a risky investment for several reasons: High Valuation: NASDAQ:TSLA stock price is considered very high compared to traditional car manufacturers, with a much higher price-to-earnings ratio. Market Volatility: The NASDAQ:TLSA price is highly volatile, influenced by factors like CEO Elon Musk's public comments, regulatory changes, and overall market sentiment. Intense Competition: The electric vehicle market is becoming more competitive, with many established and new companies investing heavily in EV technology. Production Issues: Tesla has experienced production and supply chain challenges, which can affect its ability to meet demand and maintain profitability. Regulatory Risks: Changes in government policies and regulations, especially those related to environmental standards and EV incentives, can significantly impact Tesla's business. While these points highlight potential risks, Tesla also has strengths such as strong brand recognition, technological innovation, and leadership in the EV market. It's important to consider both the risks and potential rewards when evaluating Tesla as an investment. SELLL NOW!!!!!
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by sej4974
2