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The Tesla Beasrs are really getting desperate. It's hard not to see Tesla's recent dip in price as a classic example of the market following a short term narrative that is a measure of our feelings and reactions instead of a measure of a companies true long term value potential. So Tesla hit the 5000 units per week that everyone said they wouldn't so the bears/shorts/fossil fuel proponents and general haters response was to go on a negative media blitz with all kinds of comical criticism, like Elon was yelling a lot on the factory floor. Or they had to pull works off the S and X lines (even though those line still hit their goal) or they say that production might drop to 4500 in July. Or they don't like that there was an innovative tent assembly line, or lot's of people were working over time. The argument that they can't make any more is about viability, they can't deny Teslas ability to mass produce these vehicles. Even if it does drop to 4000/units in July, what do you think August and September will be? hmmm, probably at least 5000/units. Now is it profitable? well Tesla reports a gross 20% margin, do you think they are lying to the SEC? that's quite the claim to make, any evidence?? Third party firms also agree the model 3 vehicle probably has a 20% gross margin. But there are still a lot of overhead costs eating up capital like building one of the largest structures known to man kind, that costs a little bit to do, but as they start producing more and more vehicles the 20% margin will start to create a larger and larger pool of cash to offset diminishing investments costs. The math here seems quite strong. Revenue goes up, expenses goes down, profit emerges. All though I am still pessimistic they they will report a net profit this year. What if they run out of money??? well share holders won't like it but they will be able to raise more money, production will increase, revenue will increase. Even if the debt is restructured, investors won't have the Giga factory chopped up and auctioned off. I think we've hit escape velocity.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by alexr451
5
TESLA ANALYSIS LOOK OUT FOR END OF JUNE PRODUCTION REPORT!!! PVTThe graph seems to be following the previous prediction. The date to look out for is the end of June when Musk announces whether Tesla is producing 5000 model 3's a year! Depending on that the graph will be bearish or bullish, PVT seems to be neutral despite the decrease in price and hence the price movement downward is most likely weak showing that a breakout is on the way, this re-affirms my assumption of the end of June being a date to look out for!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by rylest370
TESLA STOCK ANALYSISJust straight up looking at the chart, we can tell that the trend is clearly upwards. As the ADX and PVT are positive (even after the recent dip), it might be a smart idea to invest. However, at the same time, the fall in ADX could lead to a gigantic drop as traders sell in order to prevent a loss, especially after the recent news Currently, Tesla stocks are trading and the stock could go either way. Mostly, I believe that the fame behind Elon's name will drive the stock upwards. Heck, the stock jumped after he predicted that shorts are going to lose billions. It might be a smart idea to wait for a bit but this stock should be one to keep an eye on. In my amateur analysis, I believe that the recent drop in stock was due to the 'sensitive information' stolen and the recent fire in the supply lines. Elon delivering on his Model 3 promises will drive the stock upwards if he succeeds and downwards if he fails. It might be smart to watch for news on Tesla. They have to hit a quota of 5000 cars a week to drive up the stocks and well you guys can decide if you all believe he'll reach it or not. Do decide to short or buy stocks of Tesla respectively. For me, however, I'll be buying stocks of Tesla mostly cause I love the idea of clean energy and actually hope it works! Thanks for reading!
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by rylest370
Tesla Shortdon't mind my gibberish, is 4 personal follow up on trade strategy. too many fundamentals screaming for musk-pocalypse seekingalpha.com Problems Model 3 (production, model itself) Strongly shorted % of free float, shortvolume.com Order book only half full, reservations aren’t orders. Executive departures Cash burn rate & profitability, www.ft.com High level of corporate debt, ftalphaville.ft.com Raising equity: www.bloomberg.com Massive market cap vs EV new entrants 2018-2019: TSLA 50bn market cap vs Toyota 25bn, vw 84bn, bmw 57bn, audi 34bn, ford 45bn)
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by BC-Polar-Capital
Is Tesla a Cult Stock? Big Longs, Big Shorts, and New Money. . .Tesla as a company inspires controversy today just as its namesake scientist did many years ago. Is TSLA price supported by a cult-like following rallying around its futuristic visions and outspoken genius-billionaire Elon Musk? More importantly, what stock price makes sense for Tesla? There's no good answer; but based on fundamental factors alone (missed earnings, hazy forecasting, uncertain production and sales, dispute over what sectors the company operates in and what exactly the company "is" and "does," and the conundrum that poses for risk and profitability assessment), Tesla should be trading at much lower prices. The shorts seem to think so, with short interest in the stock weighing in at almost one-third of the tradable float. It's clear many believe Tesla price will fall as the company's visions don't come to fruition. A plummeting stock price would lead to a funding debacle for Tesla's varied projects. The scientist Nikola Tesla was driven to madness and ruin as big money left his projects to wither. Without the nutrition of capital for funding his innovations, Nikola's breakthrough ideas fell by the wayside and his business endeavors crumbled. Big money and big players conspired against Tesla the scientist and his gregarious futuristic ideals. Will Tesla the company suffer the same fate as Tesla the scientist? A lot of money is betting against the company and the fundamentals don't make sense. Is Tesla price being propped by investors who believe in Musk's vision and the revolutionary implications of his technologies, who will HODL no matter what the company's stock does? The top handful of holders of Tesla stock own about 50% of the value of the company, including Musk himself. Musk recently agreed to a desirable pay package, so F.U.D. speculation that Elon was heading for the exits seems to be just that - F.U.D. So we have a handful of believers HODL-ing half of Tesla stock, and big short interest - a third of the float - believing Tesla stock is headed down. Some analysts believe the stock will head higher, trigger a short squeeze, and catapult the stock price hundreds of dollars higher than it is now. Others believe Tesla's efforts span too much breadth across too many industries and the company will collapse, unable to raise money for its endeavors. Will Tesla the company persevere with its groundbreaking innovations in technologies spanning several industries and areas of life, squeezing the shorts and bringing value to shareholders and consumers alike? Or will Tesla the company go the way of Tesla the scientist, ostracized as the big money clears out, leaving big ideas to wither? Only time will tell. Initiative\activist investing can only go so far, but if things go right, they might go very right, not only in a business sense, but in a futuristic sense as well. Please like, follow, and share, and maybe we can have fun and do great things together. Thanks again! See it on the site: holsturr.com/category/markets/charts/ ** For speculative and research purposes only - good luck! **
NASDAQ:TSLA
by holsturr
TSLA Cup and Handle 2.0In the end of August of 2014, Tesla completed the formation of a cup with a short handle, and within a few trading sessions, catalysts such as the China Unicom charger deal and Stifel's upgrade of TSLA with a price target of $400 caused the stock to break out and confirm the pattern. A similar cup and short handle has formed today ahead of the Model X reveal. TSLA CEO Elon Musk said in the last quarterly call that Model X configurations will be done in "Early July", which by Tesla time, is actually "Late July".
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by 32no
4
Tesla is going to have to supercharge after this driveTesla, aka the "stock of 2014" looks like its wild drive might be coming to a temporary end. As much as I love this company, I see us at a temporary top, and I am looking for a shorting opportunity in the 265-275 zone. Wave properties since March suggest we are in a corrective ABC flat, and are close to the B "top". Other indicators such as RSI and declining volume are supporting this theory. Since the B wave is (and should a little more) higher then the top of wave 5, this suggests we will have an "irregular flat", meaning wave C should drop lower then wave A. But since this is a powerful company, a safe target to close short would be anywhere near the 190 zone. Even teslas don't run forever. Let this puppy charge up for a while. Good luck
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Nathanael
2