Copper Rises to 2+ Year Highs on Improving Supply-Demand OutlookCopper prices have rallied more than 20% this year as the market is tightening, moving above 4.800 for the first time in more than two years. Improving supply-demand dynamics can drive further gains, with the March 2022 record peak now in the spotlight (5.041).
Concerns around output are high, as key miners expect lower production this year. At the same time, demand optimism is on the rise, with the AI-driven recovery of the chip industry and the clean energy transition to support usage of the non-ferrous metal.
On the other hand, production is still likely to grow this year and there are uncertainties around demand. A key source is China, due to its uneven post-pandemic recovery and the ailing real estate sector.
Furthermore, the RSI points to overbought conditions and has not followed the price higher today, creating scope for a pullback. However, a strong catalyst would be needed to challenge the EMA200 (black line) and the bullish momentum.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
RSI on the Chart?If you like RSI, you probably dislike that it takes up so much space on your screen - especially if your mobile. This solution provides the RSI in an authentic manner without sacrificing screen space. You might even be able to spot additional confluence types using this indicator. Soon enough I will have it spitting out all of my divergence signals. (I have 18 different divergences (9 buy, 9 sell) that I can spot and profit from)
Just search the indicators for EMARSI on Chart! Let me know what you think.
CRYPTOHOPPER WEBHOOK PEPEUSDT 45MIN RSI WITH CONDITIONS STRATEGYRSI Strategy with EMA and VWMA Conditions
Objective
This trading strategy leverages the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in combination with the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) to identify potential buy and sell signals for trading cryptocurrencies on the Cryptohopper platform.
How it works:
Buy Signal: A buy signal is generated when the RSI crosses above the user-defined lower threshold and the EMA (9) is above the VWMA (20).
Sell Signal: A sell signal is generated when the RSI crosses below the user-defined upper threshold.
Indicators Used:
RSI: A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements.
EMA (9 period): A moving average that places a greater weight and significance on the most recent data points.
VWMA (20 period): An average that also accounts for volume, giving more weight to periods with higher volume.
How to Set Up Alerts for Webhooks:
To create alerts that can be sent as webhooks to Cryptohopper, follow these steps:
Apply the script to your TradingView chart.
Click on the 'Alerts' icon on the right-hand side toolbar.
Choose the script from the dropdown in the 'Condition' field.
You will see two options: "Buy Alert for Webhooks" and "Sell Alert for Webhooks".
Select the desired alert condition.
In the 'Options' section, set the alert action to 'Webhook URL'.
Enter your Cryptohopper webhook URL into the 'Webhook URL' field.
Configure the alert message according to the format required by Cryptohopper.
Save the alert.
How Alerts Are Generated:
The script will continuously monitor the chart based on the conditions you've set.
When a condition for either a buy or sell signal is met, TradingView will trigger the alert.
If set up for a webhook, TradingView will send an HTTP request to the specified webhook URL with the message payload.
Disclaimer:
This script is for educational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies carries a high level of risk, and you should do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AXS Analysis: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout and Market IndicatorThis analysis examines the recent price action of BINANCE:AXSUSDT AXS, focusing on the symmetrical triangle pattern and its potential breakout scenarios.
📉🔺Parabolic Move and Symmetrical Triangle:
AXS experienced a parabolic price surge and subsequently entered a symmetrical triangle pattern.
This pattern indicates a period of consolidation and uncertainty before a potential breakout.
🔽Breakout Scenarios:
A breakout from the triangle could lead to two main scenarios:
1. Upward Breakout: A breakout above the triangle's upper resistance could signal a continuation of the upward trend.
2. Downward Breakout: A breakout below the triangle's lower support could indicate a bearish reversal and a downward movement.
📊🔺Market Indicators and Considerations:
The direction of Bitcoin dominance and the Total Crypto Market Cap (TMC) index can influence AXS's price action.
In the 4-hour timeframe, the 50 EMA is acting as a support level, potentially affecting price movement.
⛔Additional Considerations:
False breakouts are possible, and traders should exercise caution and rely on confirmation indicators.
Analyzing other technical indicators and market sentiment can help refine trade entry and exit strategies.
🚫This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and employ sound risk management practices before trading.
XVS Cryptocurrency Analysis: Uptrend Continuation or Correction This analysis examines the current state of the XVS cryptocurrency and assesses its potential future direction.
Technical Analysis:
Battling Weekly Resistance: XVS is facing a significant hurdle at the weekly resistance level, which could determine the course of its future trend.
Escaping the Accumulation Box: The recent breakout from the daily accumulation box marked a notable 80% surge.
Insufficient Rest Calls for Correction: The current uptrend lacks sufficient retracement, which is typically necessary for sustained upward momentum.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: The blue trendline support acts as a critical barrier, with a breach potentially leading to a retracement towards the previous weekly resistance.
Resistance: The next weekly resistance level presents a significant obstacle for further upward movement.
RSI Indicator:
Overbought Territory: The RSI indicator is approaching the overbought zone, suggesting a potential correction.
Momentum Confirmation: A break above the overbought threshold could signal strong upward momentum.
Lower Timeframe Analysis:
4-Hour Timeframe: A more detailed analysis on the 4-hour timeframe provides a clearer picture of the current price action and potential support and resistance levels.
Conclusion:
The XVS cryptocurrency is at a critical juncture, with the outcome of the battle at the weekly resistance level determining its future direction. A correction is likely before further upward movement can occur. but considering decreasing the volume the out come might be different.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and employ sound risk management practices before trading.
Shiba Inu Technical Analysis: Consolidation or Breakout?Current Situation:
Shiba Inu has entered an accumulation zone, indicating a period of consolidation where buyers and sellers are reaching an equilibrium.
Despite facing resistance just above this zone, Shiba has managed to regain some of its strength.
The price is currently hovering around its 10-day moving average, a key technical indicator.
Potential Moves:
Breaking above the Trendline (TT Line): This could lead to a downward channel breakout, potentially lowering the price range. ⬇️
Breaking above the MACD Signal Line (Green Line): This could signal a bullish breakout, leading to a potential price increase. ⬆️
Breaking below the RSI Support Line (Blue Line): This could indicate a loss of momentum, potentially leading to a price decline. ⬇️
Additional Observations:
Rising Trading Volume: The recent increase in trading volume suggests heightened volatility in the near future.
Potential for Uptrend: Based on the rising volume, there's a chance for Shiba to climb toward the next weekly resistance level if it moves.
Overall:
From a technical analysis standpoint, Shiba Inu is currently in a consolidation phase. The direction of the price will depend on whether it breaks above or below key technical levels like the TT Line, MACD Signal Line, and RSI Support Line. The increased trading volume suggests a potential for significant price movement in the coming days.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions
Beating the S&P500 (SPX) Buy&Hold strategy by 16 timesS&P500 (SPX) strategy using Stochastic RSI Min-Max, normalized Volatility and Trailing Stop signals, beats the Buy&Hold strategy by 16 times
Embarking on the quest to time the market accurately, the 'Holy Grail' of strategies, led me to create a script to approach this goal. Unlike other strategies that I tested, this one not only surpasses the long-term S&P500 Buy&Hold approach but does so by a remarkable 16.38 times!
Initially, I employed an A.I. program based on an LSTM Neural Network using TensorFlow. Despite achieving a 55% next-day prediction accuracy for short/long positions, I sought improvement using a heuristic pine-scripting approach, incorporating stochastic RSI oscillators, moving averages, and volatility signals.
With default parameters, this strategy, freely available as "XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy v2" delivered a staggering 2,663,001% profit since February 1871. In the same period, the Buy&Hold strategy "only" generated 162,599% profit. Picture this: a $1,000 investment in 1871 would now be worth $26,630,014 by February 2024. Check it out for yourself loading this strategy.
The script operates as a Stochastic RSI Min-Max script, automatically generating buy and sell alerts on the S&P500 SPX. What sets it apart? The strategy detects "corrections," minimizes losses using Trailing Stop and Moving Average parameters, and strategically re-enters the market after detecting bottoms using tuned Stochastic RSI signals and normalized Volatility thresholds.
Tailor its parameters to your preference, use it for strategic exits and entries, or stick to the Buy&Hold strategy and start new buy trades at regular intervals using buy signals only. In the pursuit of minimizing losses, the script has learned the effectiveness of a 9% trailing stop on trades. As you can clearly see on the upper graph (revolving around 100), the average overall green surfaces (profits) of all trades are much bigger than the average red surfaces (losses). This follows Warren Buffets first rule of trading to "Never lose money" and thus minimizing losses.
Update: Advanced S&P500 Stochastic RSI Min-Max Buy/Sell Alert Generator
I have also created an Alerter script based on the same engine as this script, which auto-generates buy and sell alert signals (via e-mail, in-app push-notifications, pop-ups etc.).
The script is currently fine-tuned for the S&P500 SPX tracker, but parameters can be fine-tuned upon request for other trackers or stocks.
If you are interested in this alerter-version script or fine-tuning other trackers, please drop me a message or mail xplorr at live dot com.
How to use this Strategy?
Select the SPX (S&P500) graph and set the value to "Day" values (top) and set "Auto Fit Data To Screen" (bottom-right).
Select in the Indicators the "XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy v2" script and set "Auto Fit Data To Screen" (bottom-right)
Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values "Percent Profitable" and "Net Profit" (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters).
How to interpret the graphical information?
In the SPX graph, you will see the Buy(Blue) and Sell(Purple) labels created by the strategy.
The green/red graph below shows the accumulated profit/loss in % of to the initial buy value of the trade (it revolves around 100%, 110 means 10% profit, 95 means 5% loss)
The small purple blocks indicate out-of-trade periods
The green graph below the zero line is the stochastic RSI buy signal. You can set a threshold (green horizontal line). The vertical green lines show minima below that threshold and indicate possible buy signals.
The blue graph above the zero line is the normalized volatility signal. You can set a threshold (blue horizontal line) affecting buy signals.
The red graph above the zero line is the slower stochastic RSI sell signal. You can set a threshold (red horizontal line). The red areas indicate values above that threshold.
However real exits are triggered if close values are crossing below the trailing stop value or optionally when the fast moving average crosses under the slow one. The red areas above the threshold are rather indicative to show that the SPX is expensive and not ideal to enter. Please note that in bullish periods the red line and areas can stay at a permanent high value, so it is not ideal to use as a strict sell signal. However, when it drops below zero and the green vertical lines appear, these are strong buy signals together with a high volatility.
These Parameters can be changed
Buy Stochastic Lookback
Buy Stochastic Smoother
Buy Threshold
Buy Only After Fall
Minimum % Fall
Sell Stochastic Lookback
Sell Stochastic Smoother
Sell Threshold
Sell Only With Profit
Minimum % Profit
Use Sell MA
Fast MA Sell
Slow MA Sell
MA Sell Threshold
Use Buy Volatility
Volatility Smoother
Volatility Threshold
Use Trailing Stop
Use ATR (iso of a fixed percentage for the trailing stop)
ATR Lookback
Trailing Stop Factor(or fixed percentage if "use ATR" is false)
Trailing Stop Smoother
Important : optimizing and using these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades!
EURUSD, AB=CD at 61% Fib, at 4H chart 200EMA & at 20 Daily EMA A potential area for a low-risk high-reward trade.
The area marked is an AB=CD move that will happen above a prior high which means stops might be taken which will provide ample liquidity for a move down.
Additional confluence - this happens at the 61% Fib retracement level, and also the 200EMA of the 4-Hour Chart. Overall the price is at the 20 Daily EMA area so hope for a bounce from there.
One option is to enter at the level with a Stop Loss based on the ATR. I am mindful that the 78% retracement is also great for a short, but we might miss the move. Another option is to wait for some price action confirmation in the form of a good entry bar, but it will require a bigger stop loss.
Algorand(ALGO): Good Time To Buy?Algorand seems to be having a pretty decent bounce from the daily 200EMA, which can be a start to a good potential upward movement here.
We are looking for those upper target zones as long as we are above 200 EMA; upon breaking the 200 EMA, we will most likely see a sharp movement to the lower zones!
Swallow Team
VeChain(VET): Waiting For A Breakdown!Another coin that is looking promising is VeChain, where we are looking for a potential breakdown that would result in a nice downward fall in the market price.
We are going to look for a breakdown as long as we are below that 200EMA, so keep an eye sharp for this one!!
Swallow Team
Dogecoin(DOGE): 2 Potential Scenarios To TradeAs Dogecoin is in a "calm before the storm" situation, we are looking here for two potential trades that can be taken: bullish and bearish scenarios.
For Bullish scenario we need to break at least that 100EMA which would activate two potential long positions where for Bearish sceanrio we need to close price below 200EMA and secure it fully for a potential 22% of marketprice movement!
Swallow Team
CMG - it might be expensive but the value is there LONGCMG on the weekly chart has been uptrending for a year after being rangebound sideways for a
year. It has seen a volume spike and corresponding price action with the current earnings beat
Price rose 60% in the past year and 16% YTD. This is not linear and nor is it parabolic.
The MACD supports the bullish momentum observation in the price action while the RS indicator
shows good strength in both shorter and longer time frames. This is a blue chip megacap for
sure. While it is not technology like the MAg7, the food business is lucrative. the CEO in the
earnings call announced plans to expand to 7000 stores nationally. This is ambitious. Those who
are ambitious investors or traders and are well funded could consider adding some shares
or even a few options of CMG. I am going with a few options OTM at $3000 six months out.
I believe that I will be well rewarded for the risk taken especially given the expansion plans
and the historical track record here.
ONEUSDT.PIn the 1-hour time frame, the 1-hour order block (OB) hasn't been confirmed yet. Its confirmation depends on the 1-hour break of structure (BOS), which hasn't validly broken the recent low. If a short position is taken with a target set at the 4-hour order block, there might be fluctuations before bouncing from that zone.
On the flip side of this analysis, the 1-hour order block is not confirmed as a take-profit point for a long position.
Chainlink(LINK): Getting Ready For Another Rejection?LINK coin is another one that caught our attention with a great possibility of downward movement here!
We see that upon reaching that upper line of BB, we are getting rejected multiple times and now we are seeing that last time we had reaction, we had a really nice attempt to move further but we got stopped by 100EMA
We are looking here for a good rejection to happen (another one), and once we get it, we will be looking for a short here!
Swallow Team
Decentraland(MANA): Should We Buy or Sell?MANA has been pushed to the end of a tight gap where the price is nearing a breakout or breakdown soon.
We are looking here more for that downward movement to happen but we might as well see a quick liquidity breakout, which would result in a price movement towards EMAs
Swallow Team
Bitcoin(BTC): Get Ready, We Might See A Fall Soon!As Bitcoin is hunting those upper liquidity zones, we are looking for the price to hover for some time there and eventually move and test that $40K zone.
Currently, after a significant breakout from the $40K zone, we are seeing that volume is slowly fading away, which indicates a potential re-test to happen soon!
Swallow Team
Aave(AAVE): 200 EMA Broken!!!! Now Where? Coin has broken so compliantly that 200EMA is currently re-testing this same EMA.
As long as this re-test holds its zone, we might see some further movement to the lower zones, but if the re-test fails and moves slightly to the upper zone, we might move towards our upper, smaller resistance that we displayed as "orange" zones!
Swallow Team
Hooked Protocol(HOOK): 200EMA Holding Strong!!200EMA has been tested multiple times and has been holding strong! With the bullish movement it has been having, it shows good strength for potential growth here, for sure, but we need to keep an eye on that EMA!
As long as we are above the 200EMA, we are going to go further to the upper zones! Once the 200EMA is broken and secured by sellers, we can see some major corrections for HOOK to come!
Swallow Team