BTCUSD | Bump & Run / 50 Week MA / EMA Ribbon BreakoutBtc looks to be having a bump and run pattern playing out. It also just had its first weekly candle close above the EMA ribbon which has signalled the end of the bear market in the last two crashes. On top of both of those, the 50 week MA line could be becoming support.
Although there are some very bullish indications, there are also bearish divergences on the RSI and the NVT and stoch RSI seem to indicate a pullback.
There is strong evidence to go either way.
I think we will carry out the bump and run to test the resistance zone around 6200ish and then pull back without breaking the zone. Hopefully, the RSI and NVT are able to get themselves in position to allow for a break of the zone on the next test to solidify the case that we have actually begun the bull market.
I am no financial advisor and don't like to post publicly, but would love to hear some opinions to get a feel of what the sentiment is like in the market. Thoughts?
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
AUDJPY Channel Continuation! Price Likely To HIT 74.500 Level Have a look at the main chart of the weekly TF! Here we can see that the price has been confined in a downward channel. The nearby green horizontal lines represent the concrete support and resistance levels drawn from the Monthly charts. Shall the current ascending trendline inside the channel break, we could see the selling pressure build up towards the crucial support level at 74.500!
For the current consolidation ascending trendline inside the channel to break, it would be favorable for the weekly candle to break convincingly after which a slight retracement is required before going SHORT on this pair!
There is one more catch to this trade. have a look at the attached image above which shows the monthly TF picture of this pair confined in a long term triangle which has been respected on numerous occasions. So therefore we not only await for the weekly candle to close below the trendline but most importantly we must see the monthly candle close outside this triangle. If this all criteria are met, its an excellent chance to go SHORT on this pair!
This just represents my analysis and outlook of this pair at the moment. shall the trade criteria be met i will post the details in a new post. Cheers
NZDJPY Likely To Drop Towards 69.000 IF the Support Breaks Looking at the chart, the monthly TF gives an overall technical perspective to where this pair might be headed. the three green lines are concrete support and resistance levels traced from the monthly charts. Shall the current or future candle (Monthly candle) close below the 73.000 level (green line support) we can confirm that the triangle has been breached and the price would likely fall towards 69.000 level thereafter.
Fundamentally, the NZD is expected to loose most of its value this year as the economy is not doing too well plus the currency is highly overvalued against the USD too.
This just represents my outlook on this pair and its not a trade signal. shall the criteria meet i will post the trade details in a new post. Cheers
USDCAD SELL!USDCAD is looking like it can fall down in price or form a new area of consolidation!
We have to wait until Monday to see what price wants to decide what to do.
I believe that the price will go down where it will break through support, retest, and then sell where we will place our sell orders!
Apple Long/BUY-Hi all, I thought I was marking up a currency pair but didn't realize this whole time I was marking up Apple . .
-Anyways, might as well post up my thoughts on the stock.
- We have a great aggressive uptrend going on!
-EMA also indicating an uptrend on the 50 and 200 EMA but downtrend on the 15 EMA but that may bounce as we are reaching a resistance that is now a support where I believe price will bounce from and continue to push up to a higher high! We are also approaching an area where price has rejected before in the past so that is something we can probably put a short duration of a sell position!
-Let's get some pip$ on Monday!
XRPUSD BUYHi all, hope you are all having a wonderful Sunday if you are reading this.
XRPUSD is currently respecting a support trend and we also do see a HH and HL.
15 EMA is indicating that price is moving up and I believe the price should continue in an uptrend.
We can set SL at previous HL currently.
Good luck all!
EURCHF Needs to Break WEEKLY 50 EMA To Target 1.11500 !With the H&S Pattern completed sometime ago, this pair Hit the support that lied in the region of 1.11500, from there onwards it started a rally that went back and tested the neckline of the H&S pattern. With the eurozone economy slowing down, we can expect the price to drop again towards the lower end of the range.
To do this, the weekly candle must breach the weekly 50 EMA and close below it. After that we have enough confirmation that the price is likely headed back southwards.
EURJPY (CROSS) Awaits Channel Or Trendline Breakout On Weekly TFThe CROSS (EURJPY) is currently confined in a descending channel on weekly timeframe that has been respected on numerous occasions and there also happens to be an ascending trendline that seems to be holding this pair. Have a look at the main chart of weekly timeframe to observe these two scenarios!
Now thats the technical picture which is suggesting the price could breakout anywhere be it upwards by breaking the channel or downwards by breaking the trendline. The fundamental picture is a tricky one to predict where this pair might trend but odds are slightly with the break to the downside, as the slowdown in EUROPE continues and the SAFEHAVEN yen demand will be there against the EUR!
So to trade this pair, its advisable to wait for the weekly candle to convincingly close outside the descending channel or beneath the trendline to confirm a breakout. The red line drawn on the main chart represent the nearby target levels if the price breakouts from either side!
This is just the current outlook on this pair and shall the trade criteria meet i will post the details in a new post. Hope you find this analysis useful, if you do please leave a LIKE and FOLLOW me if you want more future SWING trade analysis and alerts. cheers
EURAUD Confined In Triangle. Awaits Breakout Momentum!The main chart shows the price is confined inside a triangle and a breakout to either side might occur. The red lines are concrete support and resistance levels drawn from the Monthly charts. Should the breakout occur, we can expect the price to test either side of the red lines.
Fundamentally the AUD would appreciate against the EUR due to trade deal almost being sorted out and EURZONE growth deteriorating further. But it remains to be seen what happens. Currently i am already LONG on AUDUSD (have a look at the attached link below)
Therefore i can not take this pair SHORT OR LONG as the active trade of AUDUSD has slight strong correlation with EURAUD. Always manage your risks well. If you prefer to trade this pair please do so at your own risk but its suggested to trade once the triangle has been breached.
Hope you found the analysis useful, if so please leave a LIKE and FOLLOW me for future updates and posts. cheers
OIL Rally Could Break USDCAD Channel & Target 1.29000!With broad USD strength evident as the US-SINO Trade deal nears, we might see OIL prices gain strength as well as global slowdown fears slowly subside. Moreover, OPEC and The US controlling the production of OIL by imposing sanctions and other measures we could see the demand for OIL increase soon.
Here in the main chart, we could see the price on the weekly chart confined in an ascending channel supported by the weekly 50 EMA as dynamic support. Should the weekly candle close below the weekly 50 EMA and breach the lower end of the channel we could see the price head for the next support that lies in the region of 1.29000 supported by another ascending trendline!
Should the criteria meet, i will post the trade details in a new post. This just represents my outlook on this pair. If you find the analysis useful please drop a LIKE and FOLLOW me for future posts. cheers
YELLOW METAL Might Break The Neckline Of H&S Amid RISK ON MarketMarkets are in the RISK ON mood which usually puts pressure on safe assets and currencies including the yellow metal. Here we see a HEAD AND SHOULDER pattern on the verge of completion!
The neckline will likely be broken soon enough as the risk ON markets dominates the appetite of the investors. Once the neckline gets broken we should see the selling pressure building up towards the next ascending trendline support that lies in the region of 1260.00 level.
I am already short on this pair with my entry being at 1295.000 level , TP at 1267 & SL at 1321.00
My trade that is short has been active since one month and once the neckline breaks we can expect the TP levels to be reaching soon enough.
This is just an outlook behind the current yellow metal state and where its heading, if you want to enter i suggest you do that at your own risk as the price has drifted away from our entry level and the RISK TO REWARD RATIO will NOT be 1:1 in this case. Nonetheless its a very high probability setup both technically and fundamentally. If you like my analysis please drop me a LIKE and FOLLOW me if you would like to receive more future analysis. cheers and thanks
EURUSD H & S Pattern to Continue after recovery towards 1.14500!HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERN WAS ALREADY COMPLETED SOME MONTHS AGO ON THE WEEKLY CHARTS! Since then the price has been dropping towards the target and the next support that lies in the region of 1.1000. At the moment the EUR Is too oversold which is also evident on the RSI of daily charts (bullish divergence), The SPOT would likely recover some of its losses until the weekly 50 EMA where the price has been rejected on more than two occasions!
It will be more beneficial for the bears to wait until the price hits 1.14500 level where the weekly 50 EMA lies. Once the price HITS it will a good level to execute a SHORT trade with target being 1.09000 level and STOP LOSS set at 1:1 risk to reward ratio.
For the BULLS the short term trade setup should target the 1.14500 after where its suggested to close the trade as the selling pressure would resume massively towards the 1.09000 target!
Fundamentals are also on bears side as the EU (italy) is on the verge of recession and amid slowing eurozone economy might not help the EUR at all. As for the USD, the trade deal is nearly complete which would initiate the risk ON appetite in the market making the demand for the greenback high.
THIS JUST REPRESENTS MY ANALYSIS AND ITS NOT A TRADE SIGNAL FROM ME. ANY DECISION IS SOLELY BASED ON YOUR FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL JUDGEMENT OF THE MARKET. I AM A BEAR ON THIS TRADE AND ONCE THE WEEKLY 50 EMA IS REACHED I WILL PLACE A SHORT TRADE. I WILL UPDATE THE CRITERIA FOR TRADE ENTRY IN A NEW POST. PLEASE LEAVE A LIKE FOR YOUR SUPPORT AND FOLLOW ME IF YOU ARE INTERESTED IN MY IDEAS. THANK YOU
Bitcoin Weekly 50 EMA Rejectionbitcoin is facing a strong resistance level on 50 EMA Weekly chart, correction to 4k-ish is more likely.
for my personal opinion im waiting for lower price to rebuy bitcoin. also trade safely on alts, alt season is probably gone, just trade alt after bitcoin finish the (last) dip. still looking bullish on longterm. we will make a double bottom before officially enter a long bull market.
aprovechar impulso alcistala tendencia del par es bajista , ha encontrado soporte momentáneo en soportes relevantes presentados, se espera un movimiento alcista hasta ema20, fuerte resistencia en tendencias bajistas, sugiero vender posiciones de litecoin en este punto con el objetivo de recomprar en soportes presentados generando así un aumento de posiciones en el portafolio, sugiero uso de stop limit por encima de ema20.
atentos posible movimiento alcistaen este caso, el par xrpusdt muestra una tendencia alcista en la temporalidad determinada, sin embargo se han detectado divergencia alcistas, lo que podría indicar un impulso alcista, hasta zona objetivo de ema20 & ema200 fuertes resistencias + resistencias relevantes presentadas, stop limit se considera al romper con gran volumen de negociación el soporte presentado.
WCG Possible Long Position- Momentum TradeStrength based on RSI.
Could set SL at 276.68, then TRAIL SL to try and take full advantage of potential upside .
Peace & Love