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Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

EURJPY 30m chart potential Falling wedgeThe the 30m chart the EURJPY is forming a potential falling wedge. On the chart infront, you can discover a bullish market structure Additional confluences: - Price has dropped to the support range created from the previous major high - The price is testing the 0.382 Fib. Have in mind that the 0.5 and the 0.618 levels are also in the support range so it is possible for the price to drop lower. If it does, monitor if it's still in the ranges of the falling wedge. If it goes out of them, then the pattern will be invalidated. - Price is close to the 200 EMA, Might drop a bit lower to test it before providing a potential breakout of the pattern to the up side
Long
by RTED_Investing
Gold at a crossroad, 200 USD+ move, massive symmetrical triangleThis is a Daily chart for Gold. On it we can notice that the price has formed a massive symmetrical triangle. As per the deffinition of the pattern, after the price produces a breakout up or down, the potential movement can be equivalent to the distance between the highest and the lowest points in the pattern. This is about 215 USD movement If the price breaks to the up side, according to the pattern, it can reach levels of about 2250 - 2270. If it breaks down then it can drop close to the 1800 level Additional confluence: - On the daily chart, the price has been showing a lot of respect towards the 50 EMA. On the latest drop it hit it and bounced straight up from it. On the 4H chart, the situation is similar with the 200 EMA
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by RTED_Investing
Sandbox(SAND): Bounce To Upper Resistance?Sand had a nice breakout from EMAs, securing this zone perfectly! We are looking here for a potential bullish bounce to the upper zones, which should be a sweet spot for a potential short position! We are not going to enter currently with a position as it is still a little early (just recently we secured EMAs but still showing a weakness near that zone) Waiting out for perfect setup and a potential bounce to upper zones here! Swallow Team
Long
by SwallowAcademy
AI's EUR/USD Pattern & Scalping Range, Local European SentimentAI's EUR/USD Falling Channel & Breakout Odds with Scalping Range D ear Valued Investors, Introduction I would like to provide you with an update on the trading bots' activity. They have been diligently following a short position initiated at 1.101, see the idea above the chart, and I am pleased to inform you that the trade has been successful, as indicated by the success of the forecast on the left side of the chart. News Trading - Natural Language Processing Results - The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to raise interest rates in July, which could strengthen the euro. The ECB has been signaling for months that it will need to raise rates to combat inflation, and the latest data suggests that inflation is still running high in the eurozone. A rate hike would make the euro more attractive to investors compared to the dollar, which is currently yielding very little. - The eurozone economy is showing signs of resilience. The eurozone economy grew by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2023, and the latest data suggests that growth is continuing in the second quarter. This suggests that the eurozone economy is more robust than many economists had expected, which could support the euro in the near term. - The risk of a recession in the United States is increasing. The US economy is facing a number of headwinds, including high inflation, rising interest rates, and the war in Ukraine. These factors could lead to a recession in the US, which would likely weaken the dollar and strengthen the euro. Personal Comment I live in the EU, and as a consumer, I don't see any sign of recession here. To me, it seems that the US economy bears the bigger weight in the news of the war are about. Objectively, the US economy might be stronger, but the prices don't necessarily reflect the current power. Investors try to speculate which economy will suffer harder and pool value into those that seem resilience. I believe in the resilience of the EU economy, and I experience the local sentiment. While prices are rising, people don't FUD yet. Many seek opportunities to make a profit that can cover the inflation costs. EUR has seemed more resilient so far to the difficulties than the other European currencies. If you live in the EU, you know that many countries still have their national currencies (not EUR), but you can pay with EUR everywhere here. So, it makes sense that many sell their national currencies to EUR. EUR is more resilient, and they can pay with it as smoothly as with their national currencies. Pattern Recognition AI's Results Through my pattern recognition algorithms, I have identified a falling channel pattern on the chart. This pattern is characterized by purple trendlines. Despite its bearish implications, the price broke above this pattern on December 11th, suggesting potential bullish momentum. Scalping Possibilities Currently, the EUR/USD is in a consolidation phase, trading between the support level at 1.072 and the resistance level at 1.082. These levels align with the EMA 100, and the support line is denoted by the color green, while the resistance line is represented by red. Shorting opportunities may arise from resistance to support. Neural Network's Prediction Based on the current technical indicators, I anticipate a scenario in which the EUR/USD gains momentum from the support level and breaks out above the channel. This potential trajectory is depicted by the white lines. In the event of a successful breakout, my neural networks suggest target prices of 1.095 or even 1.100. Technical Indicators The fluctuating volume below the channel indicates increasing volatility. Noteworthy bullish indications include the price consolidating above EMA 20, the RSI crossover below on the RSI indicator, and the strong uptrend of MACD since December 7th. Disclaimer: I would like to emphasize that this communication does not constitute investment advice. I strongly urge you to conduct thorough research before making any trading decisions. It is essential to recognize that your funds are your responsibility, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Sincerely, Ely
Long
by Elysian_Mind
2
FRANCE40 forecastRSI few days ago was record high 82 on daily chart, which means the market heavily overbought. No market is going up constantly. Correction is expected to happen anytime, with two potential targets at 20EMA or 50EMA. I don't believe the approach of soft landing on recession. In my opinion the recession will come and when it comes, it will hit hard. It's normal for markets to rally at the end of the year, statistically beginning of January is a little cooling off period. *This is not a trading advice. Trading is risky. Always do your own analysis before entering the market.*
OANDA:FR40EURShort
by Trinnisia_Trades
ETH/USD - Ascending Triangle and a Double TopETH/USD is in an Ascending Triangle Pattern. We also have what could be a Double Top as well. Ascending Triangle Pattern = Potentially Bullish Double Top = Potentially Bearish Here is a closer look at this 1day chart. Note the Liquidity Void being filled up at the moment. Here is a closer look at the RSI. Momentum is downwards at the moment but note the over extension of the RSI on the attached Bollinger Bands. There could be interesting times ahead.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
1
Litecoin(LTC): Below 200 EMA / Drop to Come? The LTC/USDT trading pair on the daily chart is hinting at a bearish outlook following a rejection from the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Currently, the price is under the 200 EMA—a bearish sign. We are watching this level closely, as maintaining below it could lead to further downward movement. The presence of long wicks on recent candlesticks suggests that while buyers are attempting to push the price up, sellers are ultimately overpowering them, leading to a close near the low of the day (and showing strength by doing it multiple times). If this bearish pressure continues, we may expect to see the price decline further, potentially testing the next levels of support. As always, we should monitor for any bullish signs or a potential reversal, but as of now, the momentum is favouring the bears.
Short
by SwallowAcademy
8
MASK/USDT: Re-Test Might Fail and Show Further Dump! We've been tracking the MASK coin closely and have noticed some interesting movements. The coin attempted a breakout which didn't hold, leading to a sharp decline towards a re-test zone. If this re-test fails to push through, we're likely to witness a further slide into the lower price regions, with the 200 EMA as our primary target. This area will be crucial to watch, as a solid close below could intensify the bearish trend. We're on the lookout for potential short opportunities upon confirmation of these bearish signals."
Short
by SwallowAcademy
QQQ Simple uncovered Call Option Example Here QQQ is shown on a 15-minute NASDAQ:QQQ chart. I have set up and executed a call option on QQQ. This is a recap. The first thing is to plan for the entry area. To do this I set a fixed range for the volume profile for a couple of days before the trade. Since the trade was on Friday, December 1st, the volume profile began on Wednesday the 29th of November. While the volume profile may seem complex to look at, I only paid attention to three values- the POC line representing the price value of the highest amount of trades ( black line) the lower value of the high volume area ( green line) and the highest value of the high volume area ( red line). The thesis is that if a trade is taken at the green line with other confirmatory indications such as the fast hull moving average reversing from a downtrend and the RSI testing the oversold area, that bullish momentum will push the price to the POC line and perhaps higher if selling pressure from bear trades do not grow to meet that challenge. The target is the upper line of the boundary of the volume area while the strike price is the value closest to the POC line. In this example, the strike price was 390 and the trade was for 10 call options for $ 0.49 each for a total trade cost of $490. Although the calls expire on Monday December 4th, the trade was closed when stock price hit the target. The total trade duration was about 2 hours and 10 minutes. The close had an option price of $1.86 yielding $1860 from the inital $490 placed in the trade. The net profit of $ 1370 represents about $ 450 per hour for the time expended. The risk with a 20% stop loss is about $100 which is 1% of a $10,000 account. This is a very simple strategy that can be rinsed and repeated. It can be done with same day approach or a longer expiration like 5-10 days depending on a trader's appetite for reward relative to risk, time decay and uncertainties in the market relative to time.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by AwesomeAvani
Uniswap Coin (UNI): Might Drop Towards FVG Zones - (18% DROP)The middle line of the Bollinger Bands and recent lows serve as markers for the support zone, which puts traders on edge. A decisive break below this area, confirmed by a sustained move below the middle Bollinger Band, could lead to a test of the lower FVG zones. We should watch for a retest of the support level; a failure to reclaim this zone may intensify selling pressure, propelling the price towards the lower FVG around $5.28. A break and retest scenario will be critical for confirming a bearish outlook and potentially offering a strategic entry for short positions. Conversely, a bounce from current levels could delay the bearish forecast, but the resistance zone overhead remains a significant barrier to any upward movements.
Short
by SwallowAcademy
2
Litecoin (LTC): Multiple Selloffs = Potential Downward MovementRecent price movement that has not been able to break above the downward-sloping resistance (upper side of triangle formation) line or fall below the local support area (lower side of triangle formation) shows that markets are getting weaker! Recent trading sessions have been characterized by multiple sell-offs, suggesting that bears may be gaining strength. However, the lack of a clear break below support keeps the door open for potential reversals. We are looking for a possible break below the support zone around $68.71, which could confirm a bearish movement and initiate a move towards lower support levels, potentially around the $60.50 area. Conversely, if bulls manage to push the price above the resistance line, it could overturn the bearish scenario and potentially lead to a test of higher resistance levels.
Short
by SwallowAcademy
5
BTC/USD 1 Week ChartOn Monday, BTC had finally crossed above and broke through its major resistance area located on this 1 week charts at $32,415 - $27,785. Note: BTC is still in a Rising Wedge Pattern as well as an Upwards Channel Pattern. BTC is still in a massive Megaphone/Broadening Wedge Pattern otherwise known as an Ichimoku Y-Wave Pattern. Take Note of the Liquidity Voids. Note that the 50MA is moving upwards so if we continue having positive momentum, we will eventually see a Golden Cross on this BTC/USD 1 Week Chart when the 50MA (Yellow Line) crosses back above the 200MA (Red Line). Here is a closer look at this BTC/USD 1 Week Chart. RSI: Note that the RSI has crossed into the Overbought Zone. Don't panic! The RSI Line can continue continue going further upwards as well as range sideways in this zone. Up/Down Volume:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
3
Dont Bet Against Tesla while Bullish Strength ExistsHi guys. This is a Technical Analysis on Tesla (TSLA) on the 3 Day chart. BRUH.......I was aspecting prices to be around the FIB retracement levels i pointed out in my previous ideas (200-220 range) a little longer. Though its still possible we can retrace back down from this current area. BUT Some bullish signs exist, therefore in my opinion we are Bullish until Proven Otherwise. Jumping in, our current move is fueled by our Major bounce from a Critical Confluence of Supports. We have the RED ZONE We have the Black trendline We have the 50 SMA We are also ABOVE the 21 EMA, which when support is Confirmed it indicated UPTRENDS. As long as we respect the 21 EMA and stay above it. Volume is picking up as well. WHich is also indicative of the current move. To break ABOVE resistance lines, we need to continue to see VOLUME increase. MACD is also showing signs of waning Bearish Momentum, with Light Red histobar prints and flattening of the Blue line. We need to avoid printing a Dark Red Bar. Instead see print of Green bars with a Bullish Cross. RSI is also getting close to testing the Black moving average i have added. The way i use this is: Usually if RSI is ABOVE the Moving AVerage, it signifies UPtrends. But do note: This current candle closes on the 8th of September. And note that we are hitting some Major Resistance Area. There is always a risk of sell off. BUt as long as we continue the current trends in volume, stay above the moving averages, and maintain patterns in indicators Uptrend will continue. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on TSLA in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by SafofAllTrades
10
MACD-Divergences: Assessing Present Varying Exemplifications!_____ Hello Traders Investors And Community, _____ Welcome to this tutorial in which I will analyze the MACD-Divergence and its various types that can come up in the market movements. The MACD is an indicator developed in 1986 and since then established as a primary indicator in the oscillator types besides the RSI or stochastic. The indicator mainly has the function of spotting reversals and potential entry points into the market to catch the appropriate values and upcoming reversal developments. Although the indicator can be used as a single signal for market action only it is best combined with other technical analysis aspects such as candlesticks or volume. The main timeframe to apply the indicator should be the daily timeframe, it can be also applied to higher timeframes such as the weekly to assess broader trends. The indicator can also be applied on lower timeframes such as the 4-hour or hourly however in this case the fake signals getting higher. The MACD consists of 3 main elements, the first is the MACD-Line marked in my chart in orange which is calculated by the 12-day EMA (Exponential-Moving-Average) minus the 26-day EMA. The second element is the signal-line which is a 9-day EMA. Further comes the histogram which measures the distance from the MACD-Line to the signal line and the histogram is positive when the MACD-Line is above the signal-line as well as negative when it is below. The main signal happens when the MACD-Line crosses the signal-line when it crosses from the downside to the upside this is typically seen before a bullish reversal takes place and the same in reverse with the MACD-Line crossing the signal-line down when a bearish reversal takes place, in both cases also the histogram changes from positive to negative or negative to positive. In any case, it is always necessary to combine the MACD with the current price-action happening as in this case comes the interesting part with the divergences happening that can lead to dedicated signals. These divergences happen when there is a discrepancy between MACD and the actual price-action happening indicating a potential change in direction of actual price-action as the MACD shows up with these signs. In any case, it is unavoidable to consider the price-action together with the MACD as otherwise, it can lead to catching a fake-out and getting stopped out of the position what should be avoided in trading. The MACD also does not typically spot overbought or oversold conditions as it is an indicator consisting of EMAs it represents the previously developed price-actions in relation to the ongoing and upcoming price-actions. _____ Regular MACD Divergences: __ Classical MACD Crossover - The Classical MACD Crossover comes up when the MACD-line crosses the signal-line either from the upside to the downside or from the downside to the upside. Both versions can indicate a reversal into the direction the MACD-line crossed the signal-line however the timeframe and structure is important here. When this crossover happens on the lower timeframes below 6-hours it can happen that there are many fake signals with several crossovers behind each other while the price-action is actually trending into one direction. The higher timeframes such as the daily are therefore the best to apply this regular classical MACD crossover. Classical MACD Histogram Divergence - This divergence occurs when the histogram has formed a new high together with the price-action, for example, the histogram forms the new high at 0.3 in the MACD-histogram then the price-action moves further and forms a higher high exceeding the previous one however the MACD-histogram does not do a higher high also while staying below the 0.3 level. This indicates that the market is likely to reverse into the other direction because the histogram does not correspond with the actual price-action and therefore forms a divergence. This can be applied in the reverse direction as well and a good combination would be to look also at the volume or overbought and oversold conditions. Histogram Divergence Fakeout - In this case, it is the crucial part of the histogram divergence. The price-action and MACD fulfilled the initial requirements for a classical MACD histogram divergence and the price-action should markdown after forming the final high and the divergence, however in this case it does not happen instead the price-action moves lower a little bit signaling the possible normal development after this signal and then moves up again exceeding the previous high and stopping out traders who may have entered the market because of the divergence, after that the price-action can markdown finally and move lower, therefore it is necessary to look at the price-action also and see if the market is really ready to markdown after the signal. __ Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅰ - The Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅰ is a divergence in the price-action that marks two important confirmations including this a technical confirmation in the MACD normally seen in price-action. In this divergence, the price-action marks consecutive higher highs while the MACD forms a double-top with the rejection at the upper baseline confirming the double-top. This divergence is likely to reverse the previously established bullish trend to the downside and continue with bearish determinations. It is important to watch out for fakeouts before potentially entering and when this possibility is low it can be a good entry. Bullish Regular Divergence Ⅰ - This is the counterpart to the Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅰ. In this case the price-action marks lower lows in the structure in the best case also with falling volume and momentum while the MACD makes a double-bottom which is a good sign when both form that the price will likely reverse into the bullish direction. A trendline breakout of the previous established lower highs in the downtrend can also add additional confirmation to the final bullish reversal. __ Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅱ - This is a very interesting divergence as it combines the classical price-action formation double-top with the lower highs forming in the MACD. A confirmed double top alone can also be a strong signal for a reversal nevertheless with the additional MACD making lower lows this can add to the main bearish reversal coming in and accelerating it. A valid confirmation will take place when the price-action regularly confirms the double-top with the neckline breakout to the downside. Bullish Regular Divergence Ⅱ - Here is another divergence in which the price-action forms a reliable reversal-formation, in this case, a double-bottom which also can alone be the decisive factor for the final reversal, together then with the higher lows forming in the MACD it is a strong signal to reversing the trend into the bullish direction and similarly to the Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅱ it finally confirms with the neckline breakout by the established double-bottom with proper volume to the upside. __ Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅲ - This divergence has a good and appropriate application in the market formations to form. In this divergence, the price-actions form higher highs while the MACD forms lower lows signaling a bearish reversal to take place. A good confirmation occurs when the price-action closes below the lastly established lows and after that continues also further to form further bearish continuations, it can be a good point to spot the final reversal when the MACD looks like it develops the next lower high. Bullish Regular Divergence Ⅲ - This is the exact counterpart of the Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅲ while the price-action forms lower lows in the structure the MACD develops higher highs showing this given divergence and likely to indicate the bullish reversal to take place sooner or later. Additionally, a falling volume and momentum in the actual price-action will lead to more increased validations followed by an upcoming rise in volatility above previously lower highs, these structures and developments are always also important. _____ Hidden MACD Divergences: __ Bearish Hidden Divergence Ⅰ - This divergence is actually the counterpart to the Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅰ and in this case, the MACD also forms a double top in the structure however unlikely as in the Bearish Regular Divergence Ⅰ in this case the price-action forms lower highs in the structure showing the exceptional weakness of the bulls as the price-action does not manages to maintain further higher highs, this is why the formation is finally likely to confirm bearishly to the downside and the reversal took place. Bearish Hidden Divergence Ⅰ - In this divergence the MACD forms a double-bottom with both lows forming a lower baseline in the MACD-histogram structure while the price-action forms higher lows which is very important here as such a constellation is normally defined as bullish with the possibility to reverse, the double-bottom in the MACD then confirms the further bullishness to establish and likely bullish volatility to show up in the structure, the requirement is that the established uptrend-line does not invalidate to the downside. __ Bearish Hidden Divergence Ⅱ - The next divergence is forming a classical reversal-development with the formation of a double-top in the price-action as the two highs form a horizontal baseline where the price-action rejects while the MACD is developing higher highs in the structure. In this case, the final confirmation sets place when the price-action breaks out below the neckline of the double-top in the structure which is the set-up for the further continuations bearishly to the downside, the best is to wait on the final confirmation before considering moving into. Bullish Hidden Divergence Ⅱ - This classical bullish reversal-formation marks out the potential stopping of the downtrend with two lows building the baseline of a potential double-bottom while the MACD is establishing this lower low structure it is the proper further confirmational part to develop a sufficient bullish reversal which will finally take place when the price-action breaks out above the upper neckline of the double-bottom to complete it and show up with further continuations to the upside. __ Bearish Hidden Divergence Ⅲ - When the price-action forms lower highs that do not maintain new higher highs in an uptrend it is always a sign that the uptrend is struggling and that it is likely to reverse together then with the higher highs divergence in the MACD to form the final bearish reversal has a high possibility to emerge which will validate when price-action moves below the previous lows in the uptrend and continues to the south. Bullish Hidden Divergence Ⅲ - With this form the uptrend and the higher highs structure that developed in the price-action have a tendency to reverse as the MACD forms the lower lows in the structure signaling that the MACD is already doing the markdown that follows also in the price-action. In this case the final confirmation will take place with a breakout below the established ascending trend-line after which a bearish continuation will likely follow up. _____ Therefore moving through all these important different forms the MACD can be a substantial indicator for spotting reversals in the structure when done right. It is always necessary to maintain the objection to the current situation and further technical factors to apply the MACD-divergences rightly. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching, support the idea with a like and follow or comment, have a good day as well as weekend, and all the best to you! Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets. _____
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PEducation
by VincePrince
20