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Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

AUDUSD might aim towards 0.700 support shall the trendline breakThe path of least resistance towards 0.7000 psychological support is open for AUDUSD to test, provided that the trendline breaks. Shall the trendline break, the daily candle also needs to pierce and close below S1 monthly support. Once this happens the price will likely target S2 support that lies just below 0.70000 support. Shall the criteria take place, it would be good to exit the trade at 0.7000 psychological support rather than S2 support. Await updates in the comment section
Short
by FX618Analysis
TRICKY USDJPY SHORT MIGHT BE A TRAP! TRADE WITH CONFIRMATION! Take a look at the above image of USDJPY daily TF chart. Its clearly visible that there many hurdles that USDJPY needs to clear before aiming low. In this case, the main chart that shows USDJPY 4H, shows that once the trendline breaks it will likely aim low. Due to this many traders might get trapped should they SHORT USDJPY once this trendline breaks. As a probable consequence, the price might likely start to reverse against their trade and head back up. A CONSERVATIVE AND PATIENT approach would be to look at the bigger picture and scan for any hurdles that might cause the price to limit its downmove. in this case, scanning the daily chart (have a look at the attached image up). On this chart there lies a Monthly pivot and just below it lies the daily EMA. these two factors have been proven to be a strong support. To trade this setup with confirmation would be to wait for the DAILY candle to pierce and close below D EMA and Monthly pivot. Once this happens a short trade can be taken on 4H charts depending on the weekly pivots. The target which would likely be tested would the area near 110.000 region. Shall there be any updates, i will post the entry requirements below
Short
by FX618Analysis
Retracement to 1.16500 required before SHORT entry! Target: 1.15EURUSD is currently in downtrend! However 1.15000 acts as a strong monthly support. So based on the monthly pivot points its best to wait for slight retracement to 1.165000 area for better risk to reward ratio. Monthly EMA was also pierced and candle closed below it, this further eliminates the hurdle of monthly support and opens the path to 1.15000 area. i shall update the trade criteria once and if the price retarces for a better 1:1 RR.
Short
by FX618Analysis
VeChain - 1 week chartYes…….. VET is still in its massive Symmetrical Triangle pattern. VET is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1w timeframe. A very good sign will be if VET closes this weekly candle above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band. Note that the Upper Bollinger Band is moving sideways and the Lower Bollinger Bands still moving upwards with a slight sideways slope indicating we may see sideways consolidation and a potential BB Squeeze or Pinch on this 1w timeframe. VET is still safely above its 50EMA on this 1w timeframe. VET is still safely above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1w timeframe. VET has found some resistance fromm its ascending dotted resistance line. VET is just below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 12 weekly candles that i have selected. Volume is still relatively low on this weekly timeframe and note that the Volume Bar is still below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing that the MACD Line is still under the Signal Line but note that the Red Histograms are decreasing in size slighting. Note that the MACD Line is still above the 0.0 Base Line in the positive zone. The On Balance Volume (OBV) is indicating a nice rise since the 20th Sept, note that the OBV Line is very close to crossing back over the 9 Period EMA Line. It's not set in stone but we should not be surprised if we have a big move up on this 1w timeframe if the OBV Line Crosses back above the 9 Period EMA line. For your viewing pleasure i have also added adjusted Support and Resistance areas of interest, shown as black parallel lines with yellow shading. Note that VET is still in a LONGTERM UPTREND. This will NOT change unless VET crosses under and fails to make it back above its Dashed Ascending Trend-line. All in all VET is still looking great and still within its Symmetrical Triangle. If VET stays above the Bollinger Bands Middle Band on this 1w timeframe then this could be a good spot to accumulate more for the longterm before a potential breakout to the upside. I still wouldn't get excited until VET crosses and successfully closes above its Symmetrical Triangle Descending Trend-line. I hope this is helpful with your trading & hold-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by entertheroach
1
Quick BTC 1d chart updateBTC has broken out upwards from its Descending Triangle and made a successful re-test as support. BTC is above its Bollinger Bands Upper Band and note that the Upper and Lower Bands are expanding away from each other indicating increased volatility. Note that the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA is also pointing upwards. Using the Ichimoku Cloud 20,60,120,30 settings: The Ichinoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the mid-point of the short-term momentum is upwards. The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid-point of the mid-term momentum is upwards. The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating momentum at the moment is upwards. Note that the Ichimoku Cloud Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) is pointing upwards. Also note that upwards momentum has been strong enough to make the Ichimoku Cloud Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) point upwards. This is a VERY GOOD THING as its raises future support levels for this 1d timeframe. Note that BTC is way above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 4 daily candle that i have selected. Note that Volume has increased and note that todays Volume Bar is above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. The On Balance Volume (OBV) is looking really great with strong upwards momentum and note that the OBV line is above its 9 Period EMA. Note how using a 9 Period EMA on the OBV indicator is very useful. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is looking really good with 6 increasing Green Histograms, note that the MACD Line and the Signal Line are both back above the 0.0 Base Line and back in the Positive Zone. A couple of scenarios to ponder now that BTC is way above its Bollinger Band Upper Band on this 1d chart: 1: BTC may continue walking upwards on the outside of the Upper BB for a few more days before an inevitable retrace back under the Upper BB, consolidate for a bit, and then continue upwards. 2: BTC retraces back to the previous Descending Triangle Trend-line, BTC test it as Support and then continues upwards. 3: BTC Drops to either its Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen), Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) or to the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis as its lowest support. At the moment of typing this, BTC is showing no real sign of stopping yet, but In any case, if there is a retrace, it shouldn’t come as a surprise. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
2
TRXUSDT "H1" TriangleAs you can see, the price was fluctuating in a triangle. Now, the triangle broke from above and we had a retest candle on broken trend line which I displayed with an arrow. Also we have a EMA50 that price could broke that too. Now, we have a resistance in EMA200. STOCHRSI gave us buy signal. We may wait for a pullback and then we can enter a long position. Please check the H4 time frame too with EMA 50 and 200 too. We can hope for a change in the trend (to a upward trend) after the two EMAs 50 and 200 had a bullish cross. **"Do not base this analysis for your trades. Analysis is purely educational."**
Long
by sahandm99
We talk about Moving Averages. 🖌Origin of moving averages: They are used to filter out market noise and clarify the direction of the trend, as they eliminate minor movements that could be hiding what the market is actually doing. The average price of a given period in the past is calculated, the result is plotted on a line chart next to the price chart. They are more suitable for detecting trends but are also useful for analyzing the evolution of the price in different periods of time. How are they calculated? The moving averages are the moving average and to calculate them the last periods that are parameterized for their calculation are taken. For instance; For a 10-period moving average, the last 10 price closing candles are taken and their average is taken. Remember that a moving average is always lagging because it is the result of making a calculation on the prices of the past, they do not predict the price, they only summarize more clearly what has happened in the price. Its usefulness, therefore, helps us to detect or see trends more clearly. And in technical analysis, it is considered that when there is a trend it is more likely to continue. The shorter the moving average calculation period, the less lag it will have, but it will include more volatility than longer period moving averages. The longer the moving average calculation average, the longer it will take to react to recent market changes. What is the best moving average? Surely you were waiting for me to tell you which is the best moving average because there is no better moving average than another, they are all worth it, they are all good, you just have to understand them well. Some are true that they are more used as 20, 50, 100 and 200. All the moving averages are showing you the line chart with the longest temporality (Except 1). So, a 5-period moving average is equivalent to the linear graph of multiplying that timeframe by 5. For example; If we were in 1-minute time frames it would be equivalent to the 5-minute line chart and if it were the 60 moving average it would be the 1-hour line chart. Moving averages and temporalities. If we take into account the moving average of 160 periods, it would be exactly equal to the moving average of 80 periods in 1 hour and of 20 periods in 4 hours. Types of moving averages. Since it is understood how the moving average works, we are going to talk about the 3 most used types of moving average. a) Simple moving average (MA): All the data of the period are weighted equally, all the candles have the same importance from the first to the last candle that is periodized, of which an average is taken. It is the most typical and the easiest to calculate, but also the slowest to adapt to the most recent price changes. b) Media móvil ponderada ( WMA ): Con este tipo de media móvil se le da diferente importancia a cada una de las velas, dando más prioridad a las primeras velas y dando menos importancia a las últimas velas a calcular, en su fórmula se asigna un coeficiente a cada uno de los valores. Esta media móvil reacciona más rápidamente a los últimos cambios de precios. c) Exponential moving average (EMA): Its calculation is more complicated but basically, an additional value is carried to the selected period, that is; for a 10-period exponential moving average, the last 11 candles are considered. These are done to minimize the sudden effect that occurs when eliminating the first data in the series, the most recent candle or price is weighted in greater percentages, while the rest of the candles all weigh equally. Arguably the "EMA" is equivalent to a simple moving average to which an additional period is added and the recent price is weighted much more. How to use them? Moving averages are considered to act as dynamic support and resistance, when the price is trending they act as a trend line that sets the guideline, but they also have the quality of "Attracting" the price, as they remain an average of the price. and by the statistical principle that everything returns to its average at some point. Another utility is that it also helps us to detect price highs, since all the data of distribution tend to group around its average, if a strong impulse moves the price away from the moving average, at some point the price will return to its average. half. and this will help us to detect extremes of the market For example; when the price is too far from its midpoint and you may be ready to make a correction. This is the beginning for which indicators like the MACD are created. If the price is far from its moving average it is very easy to detect it visually.
Education
by Ed_Ale
VeChain - still in its Symmetrical TriangleVeChain is still within its massive Symmetrical Triangle on this 1d timeframe. Note that VET is still ABOVE its Longterm Upwards trend-line. Note that VET is back ABOVE its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1d timeframe. VET is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that the Lower Band is moving upwards indicating weakening volatility and a possible Bollinger Bands Squeeze/Pinch. Volume on Binance has decreased and note that the last 4 Volume Bars have been below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. VET is back above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 4 daily candles that i have selected. VET is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. If we look at the On Balance Volume (OBV) the OBV (Blue Line) has increased but note that it is still under its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line). If you are waiting for confirmation of renewed upwards momentum STRENGTH then you need the OBV (Blue Line) to cross back above the 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) and stay above it. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend strength has increased with the ADX (Orange Line) at 32.49 and ABOVE its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 30.46. The -DI (Red Line) has increased to 26.70 and the +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 10.52. This tells me that Negative Momentum has increased and Positive Momentum has decreased on this 1d timeframe. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating VET still has a very long way to go on this 1d timeframe before we see the MACD Line (Blue Line) cross back over the Signal Line (Orange Line). Note that we do have lessoning Histograms but note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still under the 0.0 Base Line and it is still in the Negative Zone. The ascending trend-Line of the Symmetrical Triangle is a major support level. If VET ends up dropping more, a good spot to buy extra VET would be around $0.076 - $0.069. I wouldn’t get excited until VET crosses and closes a daily candle back ABOVE the Descending trend-line of the Symmetrical Triangle and turns it into strong support. Also, be on the lookout for when the OBV (Blue Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) as well as a CLOSE back ABOVE the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis on this 1d timeframe. Here is a closer look at this 1d chart. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing. Notes: Symmetrical Triangle = Black Lines on Chart Longterm Upwards Trend-line = Dashed Line on chart LSMA = Black Squiggly Line on Chart Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on Chart VPVR POC = Long Horizontal Red Line on Chart VPFR POC = Short Horizontal red Line on Chart Volume = Red and Green Bars bottom of Chart. Volume MA = Orange Line going through Volume Bars bottom of Chart.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by entertheroach
5
ADA - 1d chart updateADA is still in a Descending Triangle on the Daily Chart. Note that a descending triangle is a bearish pattern. ADA needs to break back above the descending trend-line for renewed upwards momentum. ADA is fighing to stay above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. ADA is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1d timeframe. A candle above the LSMA is considered a buy signal for traders who use this indicator. Today’s Binance Volume is lower than yesterday’s and note that the Volume Bar is back under its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. ADA is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range. ADA is back above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 5 daily candles i have selected. If we look at the On Balance Volume (OBV) the OBV (Blue Line) has increased but note that it is still under its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line). If you are waiting for confirmation of renewed upwards momentum then you need the OBV (Blue Line) to cross back above the 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) and stay above. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend strength has dropped with the ADX (Orange Line) at 29.83 still below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 32.67. The -DI (Red Line) has dropped to 17.92 and the +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 13.18. This tells me that both Negative Momentum and Positive Momentum has dropped and that the trend strength is still uncertain until the ADX (Orange Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (Black Line) on the id timeframe. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating ADA still has a while to go on this 1d timeframe before we see the MACD Line (Blue Line) cross back over the Signal Line (Orange Line). Note that we do have lessoning Histograms but note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still under the 0.0 Base Line in the Negative Zone. The Descending Trend-Line of the Descending Triangle is a major resistance level. I wouldn’t get excited until ADA crosses and CLOSESs a daily candle ABOVE this level, and unless the OBV (Blue Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) on this 1d timeframe, then ADA will continue to create Lower Highs. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing. Notes: Descending Triangle = Dashed Lines on Chart LSMA = Black Squiggly Line on Chart Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on Chart VPVR POC = Long Horizontal Red Line on Chart VPFR POC = Short Horizontal red Line on Chart Volume = Red and Green Bars bottom of Chart. Volume MA = Orange Line going through Volume Bars bottom of Chart.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by entertheroach
6