$BTC | We are going lowerThe dead cat bounce was retraced last week along with all other markets and hit the trend line nicely. If we break the support zone highlighted (which is a major leve) the next stop is around the $16,000 area (which isn't a strong level at all) and then $11,000. We haven't cleared any trend line and have respected the 50 EMA for over 5 months now.
For investors, this is fantastic news. For traders and who are shorting, this is fantastic news.
EMAS
STAR HEALTH giving BULLISH signshey guys
STAR HEALTH stock was moving in a pattern called
TRIANGLE PATTERN
this stock has tried to cross this pattern
but it has failed everytime ,
But now I think that this stock will break this pattern
BECAUSE
1. A TWEEZERS FORMATION
2. 20 DAY EMA IS ABOVE THE 50 DAY EMA
3. A BIG GREEN CANDLE IS MADE
due to these reasons ,
this stock is good for trade
and can give you high rewards
😀
$MATIC | History Repeating ItselfMATICUSD has hit this support zone multiple times with a bounce to the upside but never making it above the 200EMA. And here we are again with the same story. We have oversold on the RSI levels and still significantly in a downstrend, BUT a good opportunity for a decent quick move and profit. I think it can clear 13 and 50 EMAs easily as those have not been respected in recent history. Not expecting anything monumental with all things considering around the crypto market but see a chance.
SBUX: Have Bears Been Needing More Espressos?Primary Chart: Two Anchored VWAPS from Important Highs and Lows and Fibonacci Levels
Have bears been needing more espressos? Looking solely at SBUX's chart and ignoring most other equities and equity indices, one might suspect the indices had been doing well since May 12, 2022. SBUX put in a trading low on that date and has made higher lows ever since then.
Equity indices tell a much different story, however, with significant declines in mid-June 2022 that made lower lows in this bear market. Equity indices also experienced a significant decline in August and early September 2022.
Supplementary Chart A: Upper Bollinger Band Snap on SBUX's Daily Chart and SBUX's Relative Performance Compared to the S&P 500 AMEX:SPY
On Supplementary Chart A, notice the following technical features:
SBUX made a new multi-month high on September 14, 2022, whereas SP:SPX did not.
SBUX's low in May 2022 was not undercut by a June 2022 low, whereas SP:SPX 's low in May 2022 was in fact undercut by lower lows in June 2022.
SBUX has been making higher highs and higher lows since May 9, 2022, whereas SPX's price action has been more choppy. SPX made a lower low in June 2022 unlike SBUX. SPX made a lower high September 12, 2022, while SBUX did not. SPX did not snap its upper Bollinger Band today, September 14, 2022.
SBUX's 8-day EMA has held above its 21-day EMA for much of the time since the May 2022 low.
SBUX's decline in late August and early September 2022 occurred without breaking the structure of the intermediate-term uptrend that has been in existence since SBUX's May 2022 low.
Overall, SBUX has outperformed SPX substantially since SBUX's May 9, 2022, low. The outperformance of SBUX has been especially notable today, September 14, 2022. Ironically, this outperformance follows weeks of frustrating and choppy price action in the equity indices, as exemplified by the US index OANDA:SPX500USD . SPX rallied powerfully into August 16, 2022, then it fell sharply about -10% into early September 2022. This steep decline was followed by a 4-day rally of about +6%, which was followed by a 2-day decline of about -5%. So one might be forgiven for wondering whether traders and investors have needed more espressos, which of course could in theory cause a boost to demand for SBUX's beverages despite an ever inflating cost.
SBUX began struggling before the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100. Perhaps traders were enjoying their profits so much that they just started foregoing those pricey espressos more often. SPX made its all-time high on January 4, 2022. NDX made its all time high several weeks earlier. SBUX started struggling in July 2021, much earlier than broader markets did.
Supplementary Chart B: SBUX's Weakness Began Earlier than Broader Equity Indices
All humor aside, a longer-term view shows just how wide of a moat SBUX had built for itself worldwide regardless of where its beverages are deemed to rank amongst espresso makers. Consider SBUX's long-term logarithmic trendline shown in the chart below. Supplementary Chart C (below) shows how this line has been respected for decades. This longer logarithmic line goes back to 1992.
Supplementary Chart C.1: Long-Term Logarithmic Trendlines
Two more long-term trendlines are worth considering below. These are also drawn on Supplementary Chart C.2 (also logarithmic), and they are shorter in duration than the 1992-present trendline in Supplementary Chart C.1.
Supplementary Chart C.2: Two More Long-Term Logarithmic Trendlines
On Supplementary Chart C.2, notice that what appeared to be a decisive break in the longer-term logarithmic trendline in March 2022 was a failed breakdown, also known as a whipsaw. Price recovered back above the trendline as people realized the pandemic would not ultimately win in separating them from their beloved hand-crafted lattes.
But the longer logarithmic trendline was broken again this year in the broader bear market. Yet price recovered above this longer-term trendline this week. Was that due to all the market participants deciding it was more fun to have a drink with a friend at SBUX than to trade? Probably not, but it's an interesting coincidence that SBUX's outperformance starts to shine when equity indices have chopped and frustrated bears and bulls alike for the past several weeks and months.
The shorter logarithmic line (also a long-term line going back to March 2020) shown on Supplementary Chart C shows price holding above this line since the lows on May 2022.
What comes next? Equity indices have been in an ongoing bear market. The macroeconomic environment, hawkish central-bank policies, and tightening financial conditions would seem to suggest price cannot continue an unobstructed rise. But since May 2022, price has managed to carve out an intermediate-term uptrend structure in the midst of an ongoing bear market.
A significant anchored VWAP, shown in dark blue on the Primary Chart at the start of this article, lies directly overhead. This must be recovered along with the .50 (green) and .618 (gold) retracement levels at $97.35 and $104.19 before getting excessively optimistic.
But as everyone knows, a security's price can do anything it wants. And consumers can increase or decrease SBUX beverage consumption in the midst of a challenging financial environment where everything costs more, and less cash is available to pay for fancy drinks. But one might reasonably conclude that less consumption could be in store unless inflation can be brought down by hawkish central banks without causing a recession.
_____________________________________
Please note that this technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success.
Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed.
DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
$USDJPY | Finally A CeilingI think we finally can mark this top area as a massive resistance point for USDJPY as this is it's 2nd go around of a peak and seems to be a free fall. Massive areas of volume have been respected as long as possible but seems like a potential breakdown can occur with little to no air coverage. Could see the gas leaving the rocket ship as soon as it entered the resistance zone. Took a short trade based on RSI and the previous resistance point being respected. Target 100 PIPS with 1:1
My numbers:
Entry: 144.404
Take Profit: 143.457
Stop Loss: 145.417
Currently in profit so moved my STOP LOSS to HALF of current profit. Sitting at 144.170
A clear bullish view on SAILhey guys ,
SAIL stock was moving in a fixed downtrend
and now it has crossed it's resistance,
and shown a great bullish candle
also 20 day ema is above 50 day ema
fundamentals of this stock are also good ,
therefore, it's showing bullish signals
you can bet on this stock and earn great returns
but be careful about global situation
i.e rising interest rate due to INFLATION
$BTC | Cleared for takeoff 🚀Playing off the momentum train here with BTCUSD. Saw some consolidation around $21450 and short term support, decided to go long here also reaffirming from the daily chart and looks like nice space in between major levels. Arrows represent the present levels of rejection BUT something to note and the main reason I took a BUY for this on the hourly, all of those previous levels were below 200 EMA considerable and also RESPECTED it. Different story here with massive separation between. I honestly think the 23K area is within reach but dont want to be greedy here.
Stop loss set below the 13EMA which has been respected in this run so far. Giddy up! 🐎
Entry: $21450
Profit: $22165
Stop Loss: $21021
$ETH | Crucial Point Before the MergeIf ETHUSD can clear this resistance zone, it will be smooth sailing potentially to the 2K area. Took this trade earlier in the afternoon and capitalized on the short term on the uptrend here. I saw an opportunity to catch this and expected a bounce off the 13 EMA as its uptrend trail has done this multiple times. on the hourly and didn't see any signs of slowing down. Great separation between the 50 EMA as well. Placed my take profit nearing top of my zone and stop below the 50 EMA area for good measure. I did ADJUST my take profit when I saw the initial rejection at the long wick moved closer to the body of the swing high.
Simple 1:1 and I am continuously bullish on ETHUSD
$LINK | Short Ride UpLINKUSD has broken the down trend on the DAILY and looks to repeat similar patterns in June and August, with a major difference being that it has also cleared the 50EMA as well as the beginning of a 13/48 EMA cross happening. I think a good ride to the next resistance area will take and a possibility of break through. I placed a LONG BUY for LINKUSD and placed the stop loss below the 50EMA as it has respected this since the 13/48 cross.
Here's my numbers:
Entry: $8.13
Take Profit: $8.55
Stop Loss: $7.72
$LINK | Short Term Long With LINKUSD touching the 200EMA on the hourly, this could be a good spot for a push back to previous area of around $7.12 in the short term especially at extreme oversold levels. This isn't a long term BUY as $LINK has to make it past the downtrend line for me to consider a massive move but in the meantime might as well make a little gain. Good opportunity and based on previous movement, place stop loss below the swing low.
Bear, begins.hi, i see gold price will continue to fall from 1745 area to complete its primary wave C.
trade well,
Alex
Bitcoin long-term view - reducing distances to EMA100Bitcoin long-term view - reducing distances to EMA100
Interesting to see the past BTC All Time Highs and the corresponding distances to the weekly EMA100
From 2013 >> 2017 >> 2021 - the distances decreased each time
Does that mean the next ATH peak will only be less parabolic?
Not necessarily since EVERY trend line can be broken - but maybe a possible fact to consider IMO
What are your thoughts on that dear Crypto Nation?
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
NASDAQ - 1D - The 3 converging signals. This tutorial looks at the Daily chart main technology index in the World, NASDAQ.
When evaluating its prices, NASDAQ has been down-trending in the past 8 months, in a steep decline. It started from its All-Time-High (ATH), when it held the 16700s level on the 21st of November 2021, sinking over 34% towards the 11300 level on the 16th of June 2022.
However, since its recent low, the NASDAQ kept increasing in price. In the last trading week (8th - 12th of August 2022), prices formed an interesting technical pattern that could give way to a prolonged upward movement. Today, a new candlestick formed, sitting right on the 200 EMA line.
I have highlighted 3 significant patterns which are converging. These patterns increase the probability of such upward movement, leading me to believe in a potential bullish movement:
1- Downtrend Breakout
2- Gap Up or Rising Window
3- 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Breakout
To understand the technical patterns I am discussing, it is necessary to identify two indicators within the chart. These indicators are the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), which is the red line following the price, and the Downtrend Line, which is the purple line connected to the recent highs. I have drawn a red circle to point out where the signals converged.
1- The Downtrend was acting as resistance for over 7 months, from December 2021 until the 10th of August. From then, the Downtrend line will act as a support for the potential upcoming upward movement.
2- The Gap Up in price happened between the market close on the 9th of August to the market open on the10th of August. It brought the price up on a powerful movement, ignoring the downtrend resistance line and sitting on top of it, transforming it into a support line.
3- Major investors and hedge funds use the 200 EMA as a bullish/bearish indicator and a strong resistance/support level. The last candlestick (12th of August) closed above the 200EMA line, which did not happen for over 4 months.
To conclude, the convergence of the 200 EMA plus the down-trend breakouts along with the rising window form an interesting signal that suggests the downtrend might run out of steam.
Happy Investrading!
Triangle Pattern Breakout in 1 DTF//IGL>The good triangle pattern with strong break-out can be seen in the following chart.
>The pattern took 4 supports at the bottom and % resistances at the top!
>Todays close is strong both 1 DTF & 1 WTF.
>In day chart there is a strong support from the 20&50 Day EMA's.
>In weekly chart it has just crossed the 20 Day EMA and heading towards 50 EMA.
>Stop-Loss is fine under the green bullish candle and wait for the Volume's built-up and take the positions accordingly.
BEAR one last push?hi, I see sell opportunity at the top area of wave 4, which is 1817. |
profit target will be wave 5 area at 1637-62, and that price will provide great buy opportunity.
trade well,
Alex
Look at the CHART and the TREND in 1 WTF//HDFC**This is NIFTY HEAVY WEIGHT as you all know and Fundamentally sound also!
Apart that:
>The stock is in side ways trend since 2021 despite good results reported.
>The S&R zone's are clearly respected.
>Let the LEVEL TREND LINE break and then take the positions.
>SL is kept below the EMA's and Target is the Upper Trend Line.
#stable Trade!
DXYHi all,
DXY is in parabolic trend and cash is king.
9 WEMA holding like a hero so no many reason to be bearish until now.
However a bearish divergence can slow the parabolic trend.
If DXY slows down we can see the markets pumpin' for short term.
The BTC and crypto can also see a bear market pump.
What do you think?