BTC Update! Bears seeing follow through...Welcome back everyone! Hope everyone enjoyed the Holiday! I know I did with minimal going on in the crypto markets until today.
Last chart I discussed continuing to remain cash since my last profit taking up in $3900's as I did not believe the low at the time of $3775 was enough for consolidation on daily chart and we would see lower.
We bounced around sideways and did break lower but nothing significant and finally today we saw the supports start caving and stop losses trigger. This gave for a nice spike in bear volume and the big red candle with a flush down from mid $3700's to $3600 fairly quickly. We are again flagging out sideways now and will see if this is just a bear flag before dropping another leg down or not. $3567 is the new low to hold and personally would love that to be our higher low on daily. I'm comfortable there playing bullish but thus far we are seeing a weak bounce off which makes me cautious. I'll continue to maintain patience as there is just absolutely no rush for a position at this time personally.
Daily chart has us under EMAs and 4 hour chart has use rejecting from EMAs which previously served as nice support and now have become resistance.
$3437 is the next support level below todays low of $3567, 4 hour RSI is back towards oversold but that can get pretty extreme so would not place much emphasis on it.
We (meaning those playing bullish only) are back to fighting the trend. We were in a nice uptrend on 4 hour with higher lows and higher highs but since then we are back to lower highs and lower lows. It is very risky to take on bullish positions when you are battling the trend so pick spots wisely, recognize those stop levels and stay patient. I last took my profits in $3900's six days ago and have zero issue sitting on cash since then.
Just My 2 Sats!
EMAS
Looking for feedback on an indicator I'm developingI've been working on an indicator to help me out with swing trades and buying the right dips, and knowing when to sit out. I'm new to trading and I find that breakout trading isn't the best strategy, and it actually rarely works when we're in a downtrend as we currently are.
So how to have the confidence to know which dips to buy?
Here's a strategy I'm playing around with and I'd love to get your feedback.
Am I missing anything? Are there other indicators with similar strategies you can point me to? Leave a comment and let me know!
ZIL within an ascending triangle pattern, looking to break out.ZIL/BTC is currently in a shorter time-frame ascending triangle. On the larger time-frame, ZIL is within a Symmetrical triangle it has been forming since mid August. We are currently retesting the 540 level, which is also our .5 fib level, and it is currently acting as resistance (It is also the top to our ascending triangle.) Alongside that, the 200 EMA on the 4-hour is also at that 540 level, and the resistance line from our longer-term Symmetrical triangle is around 543-550, and should most likely act as resistance as well. Lots of obstacles to climb through, but should it break out, it could go on a seriously strong run.
Entry: 525-530 (Under the assumption this current break-out attempt will fail, and we will retest the bottom of the ascending triangle once more.)
Entry: 535-540 (Current levels under the assumption that this break-out attempt will succeed.)
Entry: 545-555 (Buying on break-out, and/or waiting for it to retest this current resistance area as new support following the break-out.)
Shorter-term targets:
Target 1: 575
Target 2: 600
Target 3: 650
SL (Tight): 515-520 (Below the Ascending triangle.)
SL (Loose): 485-490 (Below the recent low of 494, and below our .618 fib support level.)
--This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and come to your own conclusions before buying/investing, as investing in cryptocurrencies comes with high risk and high amounts of volatility.
CASHBET COIN HIGH RISKY HIGH REWARD OVER 100%What do we have with this asset?
-Extreme low hourly volumes.
-Has been dumps since it was listed on bittrex.
-At this time, risky manegement is more important than TA, for you to make your decisions.
-BTC dominance made a double top, which means that it will give space for altcoins to grow for a few days.
-FALLING WEDGE
-But if the BTC dumps, this asset will bleed more.
i.investopedia.com
The World's Simplest Profitable Strategy Tron (TRX)A lesson on the golden cross and the death cross. Very simple strategy on the 1 hour chart. (works on all time frames)
Look on the chart and you'll see we have two ema's. The orange is the 50 ema and the blue line is the 200 ema.
Golden Cross: when the the 50 ema crosses the 200 ema, resulting in the 50 ema being ABOVE the 200 ema.
Death Cross: when the 50 ema crosses the 200 ema, resulting in the 50 ema being BELOW the 200 ema.
During an uptrend the ema's act as support
During a downtrend the ema's act as resistance
So when we see a golden cross, we buy. When we see a death cross we sell. Sounds simple right? Well that's because it is.
To make this more effective we use the RSI to find divergence. Remember that divergence is when the price and indicator are moving in opposite directions.
Bullish divergence: RSI making higher lows, while price is making lower lows
Bearish divergence: RSI making lower highs, while price is making higher highs
If we are in an uptrend and we see bearish divergence then we sell. Vice versa for a downtrend. In my opinion bearish divergence is more reliable than bullish divergence. This strategy will not give you sell buy or sell targets. It simply tells you whether the price is moving up or down.
Does this strategy fail? Yes of course, no strategy is perfect. You will lose money at times. But you will make way more than you lose. It is very simple and when used with RSI it can be very profitable. You will get false breakouts but that's why we have a stop loss. You may get several false breakouts in a row but all you need is a nice uptrend to make huge profits.
First trade on the left would have made you a 40% profit if you used the RSI to find bearish divergence.
The second one 50% using the death cross
And the last 5% using RSI
On the first trade on the left had you waited for the death cross you would have made as low as 3%. This why finding divergence is crucial to being profitable. On the last trade had you waited for the death cross you would have lost money. So use the RSI when trading. Again use the RSI.
Always try and catch the cross early but never ever ever ever anticipate the cross. You only buy when they cross. Not because you think they might cross. Stick to the strategy and nothing else. Be emotionless. You buy when you see a golden cross and you sell when you see bearish divergence or a death cross.
To conclude this strategy is beginner friendly. Very simple and profitable. In my opinion stick to a few coins and that's it. Sure ETC surged after the Coinbase announcement but so what? Move on. Don't go chasing after it. Stick to few coins to actively trade. You can have as many long term coins as you want but stick to few that you actually trade. You'll be more profitable doing that than jumping from coin to coin trying to get every uptrend. Be patient and you will succeed. So if we look at where price is now, there is no reason to be in a trade. 50 ema acting as resistance. Wait for a golden cross.
BITCOIN (#BTC): Daily UpdateToday, We saw huge dropdown occured by bearish Rising Wedge pattern. BTC dropped down, below EMA21 and EMA50 again. It can be seen that these two trend lines are a strong opponents for BTC. We saw some false attempts to break EMAs trend lines, but the true breakthrough still did not happen.
Today's goal is to close above $7550, above EMA trend lines. Then targets at $8K and $9K are still reachable. If BTC fails again, we will have new opportunity to buy some BTC at price around $7150.
I hope you enjoy my charts, please writte your comments, hit that like button or follow me. Thank you!
OMG another leg up sooner than laterOmiseGo is soft touching an ascending trend line, is in the pitchfork mid area, the only thing it needs is to cross above EMAs 10-26-55 and close the candle above them in the daily Chart. It's growth has been a sustainable one so I don't see other reason than a bitcoin price action reason not to have a healthy growth in the short-mid term for OMG. Modest Target should be the average line of the pitchfork in the mid run, that's over 300k sats.
It also needs a lot of more volume and buying pressure to sustain the uptrend, but this is not outta ordinary situation in the actual market panorama.
Can it go lower? yes, everything can turned out different in the next 12 hrs, at 6hrs chart it has support by Ichimoku cloud so the odds it can bounce from that point are good.
ZEC/USD about to take another flight?Hey guys,
Good opportunity to take about 20% of profit on the next weeks...
Fibbo's 23.6% is our resistance at this moment, but if we cross this line we could reach to 38.2% as first target.
Price is crossing the red cloud and also the green cloud is showing up.
Stop loss and risk management always!!
LTC KISSGood afternoon, first and foremost I am not a professional, nor is what I am about to say meant to be financial advice.
Let's look at the daily on LTC . The chart looks intimidating. From my earlier chart I posted that we could hit 150 and boy did we! However, it dropped a lot lower than I thought. I got in a position at 147 average. What I am watching now is the price action and if it drops below 137 and close we will see further selling. I do not think that is a probable but nothing is impossible.
What I am paying extra close attention to is the last candle and hoping that it does not close below the 200 EMA so that means we need to end the day with the candle body piercing that moving average. The next thing to watch is the 100 and 55 EMAs if they cross further sell can occur, but if they just KISS we could see some sideways action, or as I hope, a surge up to the 190-180 range.
For me I have my LTC buys in, so now, I sit and wait for some indication of an uptrend or downtrend.
Emas Berpotensi Melanjutkan Koreksi Perdagangan emas ditutup melemah di harga $ 1349.17/oz pada Sabtu dini hari, ditekan menguatnya Dollar AS setelah pernyataan presiden Donald Trump di Davos yang menginginkan Dollar menguat. Secara teknikal area support kuat pertama yang bisa menahan laju koreksi emas berada di area $ 1344 dan $ 1340, Meskipun Dollar AS sempat menguat tapi tetap belum merubah trend penurunannya, dengan demikian secara teknikal emas berpotensi rebound dan melanjutkan trend bullish dan akan kembali mencoba menembus harga tertingginya kembali, perhatian fundamental masih besar mengarah pada tahun baru imlek dimana biasa terjadi peningkatan untuk harga emas, fundamental yang melemahkan datang dari Dollar AS dengan kebijakan proteksi dari pemerintah AS, ditambah kemungkinan The Fed untuk menaikan tingkat suku bunga pada quartal awal tahun ini, jika hal tersebut terjadi besar kemungkinan emas tidak akan melanjutkan rally panjangnya dan berubah arah trend.
BTC possible next retrace levelsSeeing a possible return to trend line and 4H 50 EMA which coincides with the 38.2-50% areas as well. In a wedge formation and could break either way so increased voaltility is highly likely whatever direction it breaks. If it breaks down toward the trendline it could well push further to the 50%-61.8% area, possibly in a fairly messy and drawn out way. Lets see what BTC futures have in store for the spot price.
GBP/AUD - Dominant Trend Reversal & Fibonacci Synchronicity The GBP/AUD pair has endured a powerful bear market since 2001, however, many correlating indicators are suggesting that we may be close approaching a confirmed pivotal change in the dominant trend.
Our first major indicator was the cross of the 50/200 Exponential Moving Averages which occurred in January of 2014. The last time these indicators crossed was back in the summer of 2003 following a massive monthly head & shoulders pattern in 2001 at 2.95000. This "Death Cross" contributed to the acceleration of the bear market following the H&S topping pattern.
We are currently witnessing an identical inverse scenario taking place as we transition into a powerful bull market. Taking a closer look we can see a 2 year descending triangle reversal pattern that formed from April 2011 - April 2013 with 1.4750 acting as the floor. Following the breakout of this impressive reversal pattern, we can take note of the 50/200 EMA "Golden Cross". Remember, the last cross of these EMA's was back in 2003; a solid 10.5 years ago. We have remained in a bull market ever since the most recent "Golden Cross"
The recent price action has been exceptionally bullish; with this pair currently reflecting a massive bullish channel. This channel developed following a complex ABC pullback pattern that occurred after the "Golden Cross"; re-testing the 200 EMA as new support.
Coming up to speed with last week, we had a massive bullish pinbar form at the key Support/Resistance level of 1.9000. This level acted as major resistance at the end of January 2014 which kicked off the ABC Pullback Pattern. We have now re-tested that 1.9000 level as support with a bullish pinbar that is indicating a new leg higher in this bull market.
Utilizing our Fibonacci Tool, we are able to measure and identify that each new bullish drive off the bottom trend-line of the channel has occurred at the .618 Fibonacci Retracement of the previous up-move. Price then went on to target the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension with 100% accuracy.
Keeping this in mind, the textbook price action of the last weekly pullback that ended with a pinbar reversal candle, point to the high-probability of the next bullish wave targeting the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at 2.07500. What makes this target even more appealing is the fact that the 50% Fibonacci Retracement of the last bearish leg down (measuring from the previous swing high at 2.7000 to the descending triangle lows) lies exactly at the 1.618 weekly extension at 2.07500. If this target is reached, broken, and re-tested as new support, this opens up the .618 Fibonacci retracement @ 2.22500 as Target 3.
Last week's bullish pinbar provides us with the proper technical signal to enter a long position on GBP/AUD with 3 logical upside targets. Target 1 being the previous key resistance at 2.000 which triggered the most recent bearish pullback. Target 2 is our 1.618 weekly Fibonacci extension as outlined above. Target 3 is the .618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous bearish leg.