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GBPAUD 4H chart potential Bull FlagOn this 4H chart for GBPAUD we can notice a strong resistance range. Recently the price broke temporary above it but now it dropped to retest it. In the proces of retesting it, the price started forming a potential Bull flag. Am effective breakout from the pattern can align with a re-bounce from the support range and lead to a strong increase in the price Additional confluences: - 20, 50 and 200 EMAs are aligned to indicated a general up trend - The price has dropped to test the 20 EMA which aligns well with the support range and the chart pattern Additional note: If the price provides an entry for the pattern, initially this can still happen within the support range. If you want to get even more curtainty, you may want to wait for the price to close above the range
Long
by RTED_Investing
8
Bitcoin(BTC): Broken Trend (Drop Incoming)The first day of the week is already showing some surge to test that major $40K zone, which is the last zone that holds the price up as of now. Upon successfully breaking that zone and securing that $40K zone, we are not seeing any other support from there on, which means we are going to move to reclaim the FVG zones. Although the setup looks very good, we always have to wait for further confirmations (which in current state is the breakdown of $40K zone) Swallow Team
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SwallowAcademy
BONK DAILY SHORT ON THE RETRACE, THEN LONG PAST THE ATHTA Technical Analysis Navigating the Waves of Bonk (Meme Coin/Token): A Technical Perspective In the vibrant and volatile landscape of cryptocurrency, Bonk, a notable meme coin/token, exhibits intriguing technical patterns worthy of a trader's keen eye. Presently, Bonk seems to be navigating through a phase of retracement, specifically within the Level 2 bracket. This is a crucial juncture, as it teeters on the precipice of a potential rebound from the pivotal support level at 0.00000494. This support zone is not just a numerical threshold; it represents a psychological battleground for market participants. In alignment with the broader market's synchrony with Bitcoin's movements, Bonk's trajectory is a dance closely choreographed with the crypto kingpin. However, the plot thickens with the presence of dual weekly Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) lying in wait at the lower end of the current impulse wave. These gaps are like hidden eddies in the market's flow, capable of exerting a magnetic pull on the price action. Weighing these technical elements, my hypothesis leans towards a more optimistic scenario. The likelihood of Bonk's price action finding a resilient footing at or near the 0.00000494 support zone appears substantial. Should this occur, it would pave the way for a bullish resurgence, a narrative well-favored by bullish traders and enthusiasts alike. In essence, while the dance with uncertainty continues, the rhythm of the market seems to hum a bullish tune for Bonk, at least in the long term. The current positioning of the price within the 'discount zone' reinforces my analysis that it is traversing a Level 2 zone. Maintaining this structural integrity is key; provided it remains intact, we're likely to witness a robust upward movement, potentially surpassing the previous all-time high (ATH). Fundamentals Point of View Bonk Coin/Token: A Revised Fundamental Analysis Bonk, a meme coin/token predominantly based on the Solana blockchain, has recently garnered significant attention in the cryptocurrency market. Its fundamental characteristics, though whimsical and speculative, have shown a compelling story of growth and market dynamics. The most notable aspect of Bonk's journey is its substantial market performance, particularly towards the end of the previous year. Key developments, such as the introduction of single-sided staking and listings on major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance, have played a crucial role in its price rallies. For instance, the listing on Coinbase led to a remarkable 50% rally in its value, while the Binance listing saw an over 100% surge. Despite these successes, Bonk has not been immune to market volatility. It underwent a significant correction, losing over 70% of its value at one point. However, it has shown resilience and recovery, evidenced by a recent 30% surge in its price. Looking ahead in 2024, the outlook for Bonk is largely bullish. Market predictions suggest potential trading values that could surpass its recent all-time high. This optimism is fueled by the ongoing support from the community, its presence on major exchanges, and the overall market sentiment towards meme coins. From a market dynamics perspective, Bonk's performance is reflective of the broader sentiment in the cryptocurrency market. Its correlation with the movements of major cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin, indicates its sensitivity to overall market trends. The listings on prominent exchanges have boosted its visibility, attracting investor interest and potentially influencing its market momentum. It is important to note, however, that like other meme coins, Bonk's trajectory remains highly speculative and subject to market whims. The inherent volatility of such assets poses risks of sharp corrections and potential market manipulation. While community-driven momentum can lead to significant gains, investors and traders should approach with caution and a measured understanding of the asset's speculative nature. In summary, Bonk's fundamentals point towards a cryptocurrency whose fortunes are closely tied to community sentiment, market trends, and its evolving presence in the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Its recent market performance and bullish outlook for 2024 present both opportunities and challenges, requiring a balanced approach to potential investment decisions
Long
by Market-Pip-Factory
Bitcoin(BTC): Another Rejection At $45,000With the new weekly opening, we see another week (the last one) closing below the strong resistance zone at $45K. Resistance is holding strong, and the new weekly is showing yet further weakness. Sure, ETF news and rumours are putting some uncertainty into traders, but nevertheless, one thing is sure: wealthy people would benefit more from rejecting or postponing the ETF. With that being said, we are still looking for BTC to go into the liquidity grab zones. We personally are still short.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SwallowAcademy
2
Uncertain EURUSD, but These Levels are likely ImportantUncertain EURUSD, but These Levels are likely Important Dear Esteemed Members, I know when I say the EUR can go up or down, doesn't seem to be useful, but I believe the outcome depends on resistance or support break and fundamental factors. As per the latest technical analysis updates, it is widely agreed that the EUR/USD exchange rate is currently experiencing a downtrend. Examination of the four-hour chart reveals that the pair remains below both the 50- and 100-hour exponential moving averages in a downward trajectory. The relative strength index (RSI) is also bearish, dipping below 40, reinforcing the prevailing bearish sentiment. Immediate support is identified at the 1.0920 level (200-hour exponential moving average), followed by the 1.0880 level (lower boundary of the rising regression trend channel) and the 1.0850 level (Fibonacci retracement of the latest rise). Conversely, potential resistance levels for the EUR/USD are at the 1.0970 level (100-hour exponential moving average), the psychological and static level at 1.1000, and the 1.1050 level (midpoint of the rising channel). In addition to technical factors, fundamental influences shape the EUR/USD exchange rate in the coming days. Attention focuses on the upcoming United States December labor market report, encompassing non-farm payroll (NFP) changes, average hourly earnings growth, and the unemployment rate. Market expectations project a 170,000 increase in NFP, a decrease from the 199,000 recorded in November. A higher-than-expected NFP could bolster the US dollar, exerting downward pressure on the EUR/USD exchange rate. Conversely, a lower-than-expected NFP may weaken the US dollar and elevate the EUR/USD exchange rate. Kind Regards, Ely
by Elysian_Mind
Bitcoin(BTC): Shorting Towards $32-34K Price is seen to be getting rejected while waiting on the upper side of the upward path. With price being stuck in-between the trend (blue line) and resistance (red zone), we see a high pressure forming, which as of now is not looking like the best one. With that being said, we are still seeing a nice correctional movement occurring here in the daily timeframe. This week will be an interesting one for sure, with multiple economic news stories coming from the USA, which will manipulate the markets for sure. We are expecting to see some long squeezes this week!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SwallowAcademy
2
DAX - those EMAs last intersected on November 6thHello Traders, Following the New Year, the DAX has tempered its upward momentum. After the first significant correction in a long time, resulting in a 3.4% drop from the all-time high. The price has fallen below the 32 EMA and the 82 EMA on the 4-hour time frame, leaving it sandwiched between the 200 SMA and the remaining pair of EMAs. The last time these two averages crossed was on November 6th, and today they intersect again for the first time since that period. Could this signal a weakening of the trend or even a reversal? Currently, I expect consolidation at these levels as the market seeks acceptance. However, in my opinion, the key will be the 16600 level. If it is positively accepted and the price bounces off from it upwards, I would anticipate a natural continuation of the upward trend. Conversely, if the price breaks through this average at the 16600 level and is accepted from below, a reversal of the trend downwards is likely. In this scenario, I would consider short positions in the range of 15774 to 15352.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by Vezzeris
Bitcoin(BTC): Struggle To Break $45K - Good Moment To DCA!For the last 21 days, the price of BTC has been held back by that major resistance zone at $45K, which is giving us a small clue that the volume of buyers is decreasing, and with every new weekly candle, we see that they find it harder and harder to break that resistance. With the amazing pre-halving pump markets have had so far, we see the dominance of BTC getting back on its feet (with the fact that yesterday's small drop resulted in some major moves on alt coins). We are still seeing a nice breakdown happen to reclaim those major liquidity zones at $34K and $26K as well. Be safe and trade smart; this week will be hard on many traders for sure!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SwallowAcademy
2
TSLA's Fight the Falling Resistance 🧠 Rejection or BreakoutDear Esteemed Members, TSLA is mostly bearish within the resistance of the red triangle. As long as it remains below the trendline, bears can enjoy better risk-reward ratios. Some traders wait out the price's rejection at the falling line to open their short positions. Others wait for a confirmed breakout through the resistance to open a long position. Now, both sides have a significant chance because the pattern is usually bearish, but TSLA reclaimed the EMAs in a convincing manner. I've got a short, but I opened it above the resistance. So, I can close it in profit at the resistance. I wouldn't open a new short until I see the price action around the trendline. The white arrows mark the scenarios I mentioned. I also placed two positions on the chart that one could make depending on TSLA's behavior around the falling level. Disclaimer: It's not an investment advice. My analytics serve only entertainment purposes. Do your research. Historic results don't guarantee future outcomes. Kind regards, Ely
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Elysian_Mind
News Analytics Align with Technicals' Slight Bearish Momentum ☄️Dear Investors, Chart Explanation I believe if Tesla doesn't break out from the bearish triangle, it could downtrend to $225. This is the target price of multiple scenarios. The stock is volatile enough to fall to this price without additional confirmation. However, if the price meets the resistance trendline I marked with red, it can still spiral into the mentioned target zone. The chart shows how this resistance indeed rejected rallies many times over the previous months. I drew red arrows where I believe the resistance rejected the price. If the price breaks up this resistance, bullish scenarios will become more probable and Tesla will prepare for the moon. At the moment, however, the number of bearish scenarios suggests a better risk-reward ratio for shorts with losing the EMAs today. I've got a short myself from $251, and I'd consider increasing this position size if I see another rejection near the resistance. On the other hand, a breakup of the resistance would mean taking profits from these positions and preparing for a long setup. The $225 target aligns with multiple historical gaps that the stock is yet to fulfill. From that level, it can either break down or reverse up. There are possible targets on both sides. So, I think, it's important to monitor news and technicals alike. In this idea, I'd like to give you some news trading insights and how I see the technical indicators. News Trading - Natural Language Processing ☄️ Tesla's production and delivery growth has slowed in recent quarters. The company's production growth slowed to 54% in the fourth quarter of 2022, from 119% in the third quarter. Deliveries also slowed to 936,000 in the fourth quarter, from 1.39 million in the third quarter. This slowdown could be a sign that Tesla is facing production bottlenecks or supply chain disruptions. ☄️ Tesla's gross margin has declined. The company's gross margin was 27.9% in the fourth quarter of 2022, down from 30.6% in the third quarter. This decline could be a sign that Tesla is facing higher costs or that it is discounting its cars more heavily to boost sales. ☄️ Tesla's stock price has been volatile in recent months. The stock price has fallen by more than 40% from its all-time high in November 2021. This volatility could be a sign that investors are uncertain about Tesla's future. ☄️ There are concerns about Tesla's ability to scale production efficiently. The company has ambitious plans to produce 20 million vehicles per year by 2030, but analysts have questioned whether Tesla can achieve this goal without facing significant production bottlenecks. ☄️ Tesla's competitive landscape is becoming more crowded. The electric vehicle market is becoming increasingly crowded, with new entrants from established automakers and startups alike. This could put pressure on Tesla's market share and pricing power. Technical Indicators MACD has been bearish since 29 November as the bottom indicator shows. The bearish momentum isn't too strong, but it's been consistent over the last week. On the RSI, above the MACD indicator, I can see a bullish RSI cross attempt, but this cross failed and became a bearish indication. The volume bars have been somewhat stable over this time, which might not enforce a strong bearish momentum, but it shows a lack of volume necessary for reversal. Disclaimer It's not an investment advice. Do your research. Your funds are your responsibility. This speculation serves only entertainment purposes. Kind regards, Ely
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Elysian_Mind
4
Integrated Analytics 💲 Unveil Dollar TrendsIntegrated Analytics 💲 Unveil Dollar Trends Dear Respected Members, Speculators, and Traders, My AI's advanced pattern recognition detected the green rising channel chart pattern, concealing a potential bearish retracement signaled by the bearish MACD and negative RSI with a bearish cross below. Ensembling predicts a retracement to 103.78, the channel's support. Multiple scenarios may unfold, with DXY rallying to the 104.27 resistance or continuing a bearish trend if the support breaks. News Trading Strategies, aided by AI's Neural Language Processing bots, align with recent reports: Dollar weakens as Fed rate cut view weighs: DXY fell 0.2% to 103.20, anticipating a monthly loss exceeding 3%, attributed to expected Federal Reserve rate cuts. Crack in US dollar strength to spread as economy slows: FX strategists foresee continued dollar weakening amid a slowing US economy, reflecting global concerns (Reuters, Nov 8, 2023). U.S. Dollar Index weakens post 20-year high: A decline of over 8% from its September peak is attributed to factors like a stronger euro and a sluggish US economy (Axios, Dec 9, 2023). These align with sentiment analytics (DSI/DSIE), emphasizing a holistic approach merging AI with news and sentiment tools for enhanced insights. Disclaimer: Not investment advice; analytics for entertainment. Keep speculation separate from investments. Best regards, Ely
TVC:DXYShort
by Elysian_Mind
Factors Contributing to the EUR's Decline Against the USDDear Esteemed TradingView Members, Environment In recent months, the Euro (EUR) has experienced a notable depreciation against the US Dollar (USD), reaching parity for the first time in two decades. This decline can be attributed to a confluence of factors, including: Economic Disparities: The ongoing economic challenges in Europe, particularly the energy crisis and the escalating war in Ukraine, have dampened investor confidence in the region's economic outlook. This has led to increased demand for the USD as a safe haven asset. Monetary Policy Divergence: The European Central Bank (ECB) has been cautious in raising interest rates to combat inflation, in contrast to the US Federal Reserve's more aggressive tightening cycle. This divergence in monetary policies has made the USD more attractive to yield-seeking investors. Technical Breakdown : The EURUSD pair has broken through significant technical support levels, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment. This technical breakdown has accelerated the EUR's downward trajectory. Political Uncertainties: Ongoing political uncertainties in Europe, such as the upcoming Italian elections and the potential for renewed tensions between Russia and the West, have further weighed on the EUR. These factors have collectively contributed to the EUR's recent decline against the USD. While the EUR's depreciation may pose challenges for European exporters, it could also benefit European tourism and make European goods more competitive in international markets. The future direction of the EURUSD pair will depend on the evolving economic landscape and monetary policy decisions in both the eurozone and the United States. Technicals The bottom chart shows strong bullish candle on DXY today. Furthermore, the EUR price was overbought compared to EMAs see the top chart, where price has been highly above all the visible EMAs, and the RSI printed a bearish cross on the middle pane. EUR could fall to at least an EMA20 retest, which is around the upper blue line. Persisting bearishness could find the next support at the bottom blue line. These blue lines are historic supports, which could stop or reverse bearish progress. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Conduct your own research. This publication explains only one aspect of my approach, not my comprehensive strategy. The idea focuses on observations around the price action; reading the indicator descriptions is recommended for understanding of the calculations. Kind regards, Ely
Short
by Elysian_Mind
2
RNDR/USDT - Possible Head & Shoulder Pattern? We've spotted what appears to be a head and shoulders pattern forming, which is generally considered a bearish signal. The right shoulder is currently in formation, and we're closely watching this neckline. If the price breaks down through this neckline convincingly, it could confirm the pattern, suggesting a potential drop towards the major target zone highlighted in yellow. It's key for us to observe the price behavior near this neckline. A bounce from here might delay the bearish forecast, but if we're seeing consistent lower highs forming on the right shoulder, then it shows us some downward movement. We're looking for a solid closure below the neckline to consider any bearish positions seriously. But meanwhile, we shared a few possible setups that can happen on the RNDR coin in the next week or two. Swallow Team
RShort
by SwallowAcademy
📊 Bitcoin's Tight Range: Preparing for a Breakout 📊Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, has been caught in a narrow range lately, oscillating between the SMA 100 and SMA 200 on the charts. This tight consolidation phase has traders and investors on the edge of their seats, anticipating a potential breakout. Let's explore what this could mean for the world's most prominent digital asset. The Narrow Range Dilemma: Bitcoin's price has been tightly bound within the range defined by the SMA 100 (Simple Moving Average over 100 periods) and the SMA 200 (Simple Moving Average over 200 periods). Such consolidation is often a prelude to a significant price move, and traders are keenly monitoring the situation. Awaiting the Breakout: While Bitcoin's price action within this range might feel constricting, it's an integral part of its market cycle. Traders are looking for a breakout, which could potentially set the direction for the cryptocurrency's next big move. Significance of SMAs: The SMA 100 and SMA 200 are key moving averages used to identify trends and potential reversals. Crossovers or price action around these levels can provide essential trading signals. Predicting the Unpredictable: Predicting the direction of the breakout is a challenge. It could be either bullish or bearish. Traders are advised to have a risk management plan in place to protect against unexpected market moves. Trading Strategy: Preparing for Volatility Traders can set price alerts or use technical analysis tools to be alerted when the breakout occurs. Being prepared for sudden market volatility is vital when positioning for a potential breakout. Conclusion: Bitcoin's Quiet Storm Bitcoin's tight range is reminiscent of the calm before a storm. While it's uncertain which direction the market will take, it's crucial for traders and investors to be ready. Whether it's a bullish surge or a bearish dip, Bitcoin's journey continues to captivate the crypto community. As Bitcoin teeters on the brink of a breakout, keep a close eye on your strategies and adapt as needed. The cryptocurrency market is filled with surprises, and staying informed and agile is key to success. 🚀📈🌐 ❗See related ideas below❗ Don't forget to like, share, and leave your thoughts in the comments! 💚🚀💚
by Yaroslav_Krasko
Fetch.ai (FET) Price Dips in September – October's Direction UncThe price of Fetch.ai (FET) saw a decline following its failure to breach the $0.27 resistance zone on September 3rd, initiating a bearish trend. The situation remains precarious, as failure to secure a close above the $0.23-$0.24 Fib resistance range could signal the continuation of the bearish trend, potentially leading to a significant drop. Approaching the Ascending Support Trendline Since its rejection from the $0.27 resistance area on September 3rd, Fetch.ai (FET) has experienced a downward trajectory. However, it’s not all bad news. FET's price has been following an ascending support trendline since June 2022. Recent validations of this trendline occurred on August 17th and 22nd. These instances were marked by long lower wicks, which indicates buying pressure. The pace of increase accelerated after the last validation, propelling the FET price to $0.27 on September 3rd. However, it failed to breach this resistance level, which has persisted since May, resulting in the ongoing downward movement. In order for FET to commence a new bull run, it will need to surpass the 100 Exponential Moving Average. The 100 EMA acts as a mobile support and resistance. Currently, the 100 EMA is above the price, therefore the indicator works as a resistance. Williams %R is another indicator that we should look at. The Williams %R is a momentum oscillator that gauges the market. If the indicator is below -80, it means FET is oversold and expected to bounce back. If it is above -20, it is overbought and expected to fall back again. Currently Williams %R is approaching oversold levels, which coincides well with the ascending support trendline. Looking Ahead: FET is approaching an ascending support line, and the Williams %R is approaching oversold levels, which make a rebound on the table. However, for a rebound to take place, the price needs to break above the 100 EMA first.
by cryptohopper