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SPX Model Trading Plans for MON. 01/09Post-NFP Momentum Building Up...for Now In our trading plans published on Thursday, 12/22, we stated: "Our models reiterate range-bound trading while the index is within the broader 3810-3860 range on a daily close basis". And, our plans published on Friday, 01/06, we stated: "Our models indicate continued choppy trading while the index is within this range". Friday's strong spike up cleared this range on a daily close basis, and this morning's price action is clearly building on top of that. The index is now approaching the resistance band in the range of 3960-4002, and the price action in this range determines the next leg. Positional Trading Models: Our positional trading models are currently flat and indicate staying flat until otherwise indicated. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today. Trading Plans for MON. 01/09: Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 3941, 3962, 3977, or 4002 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3938, 3958, 3974, or 3997 with a 9-point trailing stop. Models indicate no explicit long exits and no explicit short exits for today. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:40 am ET or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #rates #nfp
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
What can A.I. powered trading system do to generate alpha?No wonder trading is hard! I have been watching and learning how to trade the futures for the last couple of years and it’s been a remarkable learning curve for me! The dramatically changing market conditions and extreme volatility can make newbies like me get caught up in emotions and left looking for help. I recently came across a very interesting website that publish their proprietary AI-based trading strategies every morning along with the results these models generated during that trading day. Interestingly, their trading system’s return has been more than double over the last 4 years, while the system’s beta has been ZERO! Does this prove the robustness and fundamental strength of AI-powered trading systems? Would love to know what other traders think. Feel free to comment.
SP:SPX
by Dominique_H_Roark
SPX Model Trading Plans for THU. 12/22Next Support Level - Confirmed - Day 2 In our trading plans published on Monday, 12/19, we stated: "...the index is now testing the next key support level around the 3825-3835 range. Our models are indicating a range-bound trading while the index is trading within the broader 3810-3830 range on a daily close basis. If you are short, you might want to take profits on a break out of this range. If you are itching to go long, you might want to wait until the range is broken out of to the upside". In the trading plans published yesterday, Wed., 12/20, we stated: "That support level is confirmed as held by our models, and if you followed the plans you should be long going into the open today. If not, you might want to wait to go long as our models indicate range-bound trading while the index is below 3866". This morning session's first hour's action has been within the range of 3810-3853, still holding the lower and upper bounds from our earlier trading plans. Our models reiterate range-bound trading while the index is within the broader 3810-3860 range on a daily close basis. Seasonality effects such as Santa Clause rally (anticipation/positioning and unraveling of the same), Year-end-tax-loss selling, January effect etc.) could lead to sudden spikes in both directions. Unless you "must" trade, it might be a good idea to take it easy and sit on the sidelines until the new year, especially while the index is within the above range. Positional Trading Models: Our positional trading models closed out the short from Thursday, 12/15 (opened at 3893.51) with a profit of 78.01 index points and are currently flat. Models indicate staying flat until otherwise indicated. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today. Trading Plans for THU. 12/22: Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 3810, 3818, 3833, or 3862 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3805, 3820, 3835, or 3857 with a 10-point trailing stop.  Models indicate long exits on a break below 3815, and short exits on a break above 3815 or 3840. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:01 am ET or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #rates #nfp #earnings #earningsseason #midterms #elections #cpi #fedpivot #shortsqueeze
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
E-mini Dow Jones ( YM1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: E-mini Dow Jones Futures ( YM1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 34707 Pivot: 34199 Support: 33675 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for YM1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to possibly head up towards the resistance at 34707, where the previous swing high is. Alternative scenario: Price could head back down to retest the pivot at 34199, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Genesiv
SPX Model Trading Plans for FRI. 12/02: NFP FridayFed Pivot Hope Turning Into a Bull Trap Nightmare? After 20 days of meandering around 3950/4000 level, the index rocketed out of the range to a session high of 4093.50 on the FOMC day, 11/30/22. This morning's Non Farm Payrolls data could be suggesting that it could potentially be an "irrational exuberance", and the futures' reaction so far post-NFP points to this proving to be the case. Of course, how the index trades in the regular session and how it closes today will hold further clues to this. Trading Plans for FRI. 12/02: Positional Trading Models: Our positional models went long on 11/29/22 at 3950.89, with a 40-point trailing stop. The long rode the post-FOMC spike up and stayed long for another session, finally hitting the trailing stop yesterday with an exit at 4060.51 - for a gain of 109.62 index points! For today's session, models indicate going long on a break above 4040, with a 35-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4008, with a 36-point trailing stop. Models also indicate instituting a break-even exit once a trade is in profit by 12 points. Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4040, 4022, or 4007 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4018 or 4000 with a 10-point trailing stop.  Models indicate long exits on a break below 4054, and short exits on a break above 3991. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 09:31 am ET or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check our results to see for yourself how our published model trading plans have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)   IMPORTANT RISK DISCLOSURES AND NOTICES - READ CAREFULLY: (i) This article contains personal opinions of the author and is NOT representative of any organization(s) he may be affiliated with. This article is solely intended for informational and educational purposes only. It is NOT any specific advice or recommendation or solicitation to purchase or sell or cause any transaction in any specific investment instruments at any specific price levels, but it is a generic analysis of the instruments mentioned. (ii) Do NOT make your financial investment or trading decisions based on this article; anyone doing so shall do so solely at their own risk. The author will NOT be responsible for any losses or loss of potential gains arising from any investments/trades made based on the opinions, forecasts or other information contained in this article. (iii) Risk Warning: Investing, trading in S&P 500 Index – spot, futures, or options or in any other synthetic form – or its component stocks carries inherent risk of loss. Trading in leveraged instruments such as futures carries much higher risk of significant losses and you may lose more than you invested in them. Carefully consider your individual financial situation and investment objectives before investing in any financial instruments. If you are not a professional trader, consult a professional investment advisor before making your investment decisions. (iv) Past performance: This article may contain references to past performance of hypothetical trades or past forecasts, which should NOT be taken as any representation or promise or guarantee of potential future profits. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. (v) The author makes no representations whatsoever and assumes no responsibility as to the suitability, accuracy, completeness or validity of the information or the forecasts provided. (vi) All opinions expressed herein are subject to change at any time, without any notice to anyone.
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
Bulls and Bears zone for 11-30-2022Market has been trading in a range second half of November which could be that traders are very cautious about this rally. Today, any test of yesterday's RTH session Fibonacci 50% range could provide direction for the day. Level to watch 3968 --- 3966 Reports to watch: US:Chicago PMI 9:45 AM ET US:JOLTS 10:00 AM ET US:Pending Home Sales Index 10:00 AM ET US:EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET US:Jerome Powell Speaks 1:30 PM ET US:Beige Book 2:00 PM ET
SP:SPX
by traderdan59
Will the FED minutes alter the course of SPX?Similarly to QQQ, SPX stays choppy, with market participants being overly bullish despite macroeconomic conditions. Therefore, we remain very cautious and dismiss calls about the stock market's bottom. With that being said, we would like to note that we will pay close attention to FED minutes today, which could potentially alter the current course in SPX. Furthermore, we will observe the resistance level at 4028.84$ and its ability to hold the price rise. Additionally, we will also observe the support level at 3911.79$, which, if broken to the downside, will act as a bearish trigger and support our bearish thesis about the potential top in SPX. Contrarily, the breakout above the resistance will clearly invalidate this thesis. That, however, will have little to no impact on our bearish stance, which is also based on fundamental factors. These factors point to more economic tightening and continually worsening recession. Moreover, as we warned before the earnings season, the corporate performance brought much disappointment in line with the progression into the second stage of the bear market that we outlined during the summer. In our opinion, it is silly to presume that the FED will suddenly stop hiking interest rates just because of the one better-than-expected CPI print. Therefore, we stay committed to our bearish narrative and believe the bear market is far from over. Accordingly, we maintain our price target for SPX at 3 400$. Illustration 1.01 The picture above shows the daily chart of S&P 500 E-mini futures (ES1!). Since the CPI print that sparked the rally, the volume has continued to decline. This development hints at fewer market participants willing to buy the index at elevated prices. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI is neutral as it trends sideways; if it starts to rise, it will be bullish. Stochastic reversed to the upside, which is bullish. MACD attempts to rise further. DM+ and DM- are bullish. Overall, the daily time frame remains bullish. Illustration 1.02 The image above displays the daily chart of S&P 500 E-mini futures (ES1!) and simple support/resistance levels. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI and Stochastic are bullish. MACD points to the upside but stays in the bearish area. DM+ and DM- stay bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Tradersweekly
7