Dog Days of Summer for S&P 500If we perform a fib retracement from the bottom of the 2009 crash to the 4800 top and the bottom of the 2020 crash to the 4800 top. Some of the retracements line up. We have already seen it bounce off the first alignment from just above the 3800 level. The bottom seems to be pointing to around 3200. It probably won't go there right away, as a slight bounce is likely from here to work off the oversold condition followed by the next leg down. If we hit the 3500 level I expect a strong bounce and fake bottom to be put in place. Do not be fooled or use leverage, slowly accumulate positions at these levels.
Emini
Bulls and Bears zone for 05-17-2022It seems that Bulls are very active during ETH session and trading above yesterday's High.
Any test of Yesterday's RTH session High could provide direction for the day.
Level to watch 4075 --- 4073
Reports to watch:
US:Business Inventories
10:00 AM ET
US:Housing Market Index
10:00 AM ET
SPX - SPX is due to drift lowerWe continue to be bearish on SPX. Because of that, we would like to set a new short-term price target for SPX at 4100 USD. We would also like to set a medium-term price target of 4000 USD.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and MACD are bearish. Stochastic oscillates in the bearish area; however, it points to the upside. DM+ and DM- are bearish. ADX reflects a strong downtrend. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. ADX grows which is bearish. All this coincides with the condition observable in QQQ. Overall the weekly time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.01
Similarities in the condition of SPX and QQQ are detailed in the idea above.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Bulls and Bears zone for 05-03-2022After a huge rally yesterday late afternoon, market has been trading around High of yesterday during ETH session.
Any test of ETH session Low could provide direction for the day.
Level to watch 4125 --- 4127
Reports to watch:
US:Factory Orders
10:00 AM ET
US:JOLTS
10:00 AM ET
S&P 500 Still in Downtrend The market touched the bottom of the down channel yesterday and turned around. From here the market will likely bounce, however, the gap above 4k was not closed so expect this to get filled after this countertrend bounce. The weaker the market, the more likely we will see 3600 area before this is over.
Short-term = Expect a countertrend bounce to around the 4400 area.
Medium-term = The trend is definitely down, look to short at key resistance levels.
Long-term = Some stocks are already on sale (DIS, COIN) to name a few. As the market drops, look to build long-term positions in stocks at a discount.
Bulls and Bears zone for 04-28-2022Yesterday both buyers and sellers were very active, and today might be same.
Any test of ETH session High could provide direction for the day.
Level to watch 4260 --- 4258
Reports to watch:
US:Pending Home Sales Index
10:00 AM ET
US: EIA Petroleum Status Report
10:30 AM ET
E-Mini SP 500 Futures Weekly Chart Gann PredictionlevelCME_MINI:ES1! near the convergence of multiple Gann Support Levels 4345, 4335, and 4315 indicating a possible bottom this week from which we can start to move towards Gann Resistance Levels 4403, 4415, and 4460.
CME_MINI:ES1! closing above 4460 this week would indicate continuation of the uptrend towards 4460, 4480, and 4560 Gann Resistance Levels next week.
Good Luck!
Bulls and Bears zone for 04-21-2022After a mixed session yesterday, ETH session is trying to rally.
Any test of ETH session High could provide direction for the day.
Level to watch 4500 --- 4498
Reports to watch:
US:Leading Indicators
10:00 AM ET
US:EIA Natural Gas Report
10:30 AM ET
US:Jerome Powell Speaks
11:00 AM ET
S&P is going towards 20k over next 10 yWhen all the doomers & gloomers wake up from their wet dreams and reality sets in, the bull market will just be ensuing, as per usual projections...
I doubt it much, but if we see another big decline 3400/600 area is imo the UTMOST lowest level this market might reach...
monthly closes below 3400 and the bullish scenario gets invalidated!
Bulls and Bears zone for 04-14-2022ETH session market has been trading sideways after rallying yesterday.
We might see yesterday's Fibonacci 50% level to be tested.
Level to watch 4434 ---- 4432
Reports to watch:
US:Business Inventories
10:00 AM ET
US:Consumer Sentiment
10:00 AM ET
US:EIA Natural Gas Report
10:30 AM ET