Winning Daytraders Understand Trend Trading.Hey guys, most people that get into the markets want to learn how to daytrade. They want to learn how to play the market on a day to day basis and eliminate a lot of the stress.
Smart day traders understand trend trading. At the end of the day if you are trading something like a 15 minute time frame you're aware of how much noise their is in the markets. You need to eliminate the noise and focus on trend. Stop trying to scalp every little move getting in and out and racking up your fees.
What we do is identify some of the largest trends that we can find... the more noise you filter out, the better your odds are at winning. Then we just follow up with good risk management.
Take a look at the ema dots indicator. This takes out the complicated noise that most traders battle back and forth all day long either selling too early or buying too late. You need to stop focusing on trying to capture the exact bottom and the exact top. Just focus on capturing the overall trend transitions.
Every 15 minutes for example on this chart of the ES futures CONTRACTS we will get a set of dots to close a certain color. We take our position when they align and set a take profit, or hold till next transition. Easy. You risk a little to win big, meaning you play good risk management knowing that the next major move is right around the corner. Technically you don't really need to understand support and Resistance but it does help. I personally believe trading the trend is the way to the gold mine.
Emini
Bulls and Bears zone for 07-30-2020After closing at High yesterday, market has sold off and given back all of its gain during overnight session.
For sellers to continue selling, they will have to defend Fibonacci 50% and 61.8% levels. if it gets to that point.
Level to watch 3233 --- 3231
Report to be aware:
US:EIA Natural Gas Report
10:30 AM ET
Bulls and Bears zone for 07-29-2020At the time of writing market is trying to put a rally together, but having difficulty getting over Fibonacci 61.8% level of yesterday's RTH session.
However, based on yesterday's late sell off, sellers are probably active.
Any test of ETH Highs should provide direction.
Level to watch 3223 --- 3221
Reports to be aware:
US:Pending Home Sales Index
10:00 AM ET
US:EIA Petroleum Status Report
10:30 AM ET
US:FOMC Meeting Announcement
2:00 PM ET
US:Fed Chair Press Conference
2:30 PM ET
Bulls and Bears zone for 07-28-2020Market tried to rally during overnight session, however it sold off to test Fibonacci 38.2% level of yesterday's RTH session.
Any test of yesterday's RTH session High should provide direction for the day.
Level to watch 3215 --- 3213
Report to be aware:
US:Consumer Confidence
10:00 AM ET
Bulls and Bears zone for 07-24-2020After yesterday's sell off market could not put together a rally, sellers were in control.
Overnight session, market tried to rally but got rejected at Fibonacci 38.2% level.
Any test of yesterday's Close should provide direction for the day.
Level to watch 3225 --- 3223
Report to be aware:
US:New Home Sales
10:00 AM ET
Bulls and Bears zone for 07-22-2020It seems that yesterday's RTH session High has some strong resistance since it was rejected few times so far.
Any test of yesterday's HOD could set direction for the day.
Level to watch 3247 --- 3245
Reports to be aware:
US:Existing Home Sales
10:00 AM ET
US:EIA Petroleum Status Report
10:30 AM ET
Bulls and Bears zone for 07-16-2020Yesterday Bulls tried to put a rally together, but Bears had another plan.
Overnight session sellers have been in control and pushed prices to yesterday's RTH session Low.
Level to watch 3202 --- 3200
Reports to be aware:
US:Business Inventories
10:00 AM ET
US:Housing Market Index
10:00 AM ET
US:EIA Natural Gas Report
10:30 AM ET
ES Stuck in a Box 7/14/2020This is the ES at the 4 hour view. Banks earnings were today - especially JP Morgan and Wells Fargo.
Why did the ES rally? FOMO bears.
Everyone was expecting bank earnings to be bad. So, if everyone is already bearish , they already have short positions in anticipation of bank earnings .
ES' projected supports were near the VPOC around 3115 or the flag support around 3045. It turns out to be the VPOC support. Bears who FOMOed got their shorts eaten from that bounce.
Shorts were covering like crazy in both financials and tech. Eager bears are constantly hoping for the big tech crash and shorted either too early or too late. They got punished for being too greedy.
ES is stuck in a trading range. Why? The ES will not fall until the NQ or FATMANG ( Facebook , Amazon, Tesla , Microsoft , Apple , Netflix , Google ) stocks fall too. Currently, Tesla , Amazon, and Netflix love their short coverings. At the same time ES would not sustain a rally unless the financial and transportation sectors rally too.
In every economy, businesses need bank accounts and ways to ship/receive products. That's why those two sectors are so important.
The ES and RTY's fates rely heavily on the XLF /FAS and XTN / IYT doing well. Currently, people view big tech as their "safe haven."