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SPX Model Trading Plans for WED. 04/05Exuberant Pumping-up to Settle Back Into Reality? Day 2 In our trading plans published yesterday, Tue. 04/04, we wrote: "With the quarter-end window dressing, and the new month beginning related artificial/seasonal boost to the markets behind us, the reality of the economy, inflation, and the interest rates soon to be driving the markets again. Whether it would be glass-half-full or glass-half-empty camp that leads remains to be seen. Our models indicate initial pressure to the downside.". We re-iterate the same view today, and until we change it. Positional Trading Models: As per our trading plans published yesterday, Tue. 04/04: "Our positional models are indicating early signs of bearishness, and are monitoring for a potential short signal". For today, our positional models indicate going short on a break below 4085 with a hard stop at 4116, and a trailing stop of 30 points. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today. Trading Plans for WED. 04/05: Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4113,  4104, 4068, or 4052 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4110, 4097, 4063, or 4049 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exit on a break below 4147, and explicit short exit on a break above 4094 or 4066. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 10:10am ET or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #fomc, #fed, #newhigh, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #powell, #economy, #interestrates
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
SPX Model Trading Plans for WED. 03/15Look Before You Jump! The banking meltdown seems to be spreading across the globe, and it could potentially be just the tip of the iceberg. When something doesn't feel right, stay away from it. There are going to be plenty of trading/investment opportunity down the road - sitting on the sidelines for a day or two does not harm your financial well being; rather, it could enhance it. With the situation still so fluid, it is advisable to stay on the sidelines unless you are extremely adept at navigating volatile markets. Positional Trading Models: Our positional models are indicating to stay on the sidelines for the day. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today. Trading Plans for WED. 03/15: Aggressive Intraday Models: With all the volatility - reminiscent of the dot com bubble burst and the 2008 GFC eras - in the markets due to the ongoing banking meltdown, it could be wiser to not engage in intraday aggressive trading for today, especially given the static nature of our trading plans. Nevertheless, for those of you who MUST trade (professional trader? addicted trader? whatever may be your reason), models indicate the below trading plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 3872 or 3852 with a 10-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3867, 3860, or 3848 with a 10-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit short exits on a break above 3864. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:45am ET or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #pce
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
ES futures ready to tap 4,000?It was about as much of a risk-on day Tuesday could have been for US markets, with bond yields and indices rising with commodity FX. It allowed the S&P 500 E-mini futures contract to break a 3-day losing streak and form a 3-bar bullish reversal pattern (Morning Star), so perhaps the low for the week is in place? The 15-min chart shows prices hovering just below yesterday's high in a small bull-flag formation, although as this is out of hours trade then it's possible the market may pull back prior to another leg higher. - The bias is bullish above the daily pivot once we get evidence of momentum moving higher - Otherwise look for a low volatility pullback within yesterday's range and evidence of a swing low - Today we have our eyes on the resistance zone around 4,000 which includes the daily R1 pivot, Monday's VPOC and the 4,000 handle
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by CityIndex
SPX approaching resistance. Will there be a pullback?Just like other index futures, S&P E-mini has been overextended on monthly chart for sometime. Key resistance level as marked on the chart is approaching. Don't know if it's top. Any resistance can become support. So observe price action and manage risk. Potential retracement/pullback/correction from current high and how much #ES_F will be back in price and time, a perspective: 3% - 4233 - June 24 - 15 days 5% - 4146 - June 21st - 18 days 10% - 3928 - Mar 29 - 102 days 15% - 3709 - Feb 1st - 158 days 20% - 3491 - Nov 6 - 245 days Know your support levels and have exit plan in place. Trade with right position sizing. Lately, flash crashes are being bought quickly. I think this time correction may start with market turning over slowly. Small red days initially. I might be wrong. Support and resistance levels as marked on the chart.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by trdnvestor
Winning Daytraders Understand Trend Trading.Hey guys, most people that get into the markets want to learn how to daytrade. They want to learn how to play the market on a day to day basis and eliminate a lot of the stress. Smart day traders understand trend trading. At the end of the day if you are trading something like a 15 minute time frame you're aware of how much noise their is in the markets. You need to eliminate the noise and focus on trend. Stop trying to scalp every little move getting in and out and racking up your fees. What we do is identify some of the largest trends that we can find... the more noise you filter out, the better your odds are at winning. Then we just follow up with good risk management. Take a look at the ema dots indicator. This takes out the complicated noise that most traders battle back and forth all day long either selling too early or buying too late. You need to stop focusing on trying to capture the exact bottom and the exact top. Just focus on capturing the overall trend transitions. Every 15 minutes for example on this chart of the ES futures CONTRACTS we will get a set of dots to close a certain color. We take our position when they align and set a take profit, or hold till next transition. Easy. You risk a little to win big, meaning you play good risk management knowing that the next major move is right around the corner. Technically you don't really need to understand support and Resistance but it does help. I personally believe trading the trend is the way to the gold mine.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by UnknownUnicorn2319099
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