📉 S&P500 rising wedge in falling channel: ES1! - Bears roaringCME_MINI:ES1! forming declining megaphone pattern, now it coul be falling channel also as you can see in my chart. There is an evidence of steadely incrasing volatility so its nod good sign for bulls. As you notice small rising wedge evolved in the megaphone pattern. Today i expecting some bulls come back to the game and will touch higher trendline of the rising wedge to the (blue) supply zone to retest and there is higher trendline of declining megaphone pattern. I expecting further downside move from there, so there is nice sweet spot to plan entry to short trades. My next target on ES is 3660
It can be apply to AMEX:SPY
Eminisp500
SP 500 ( Futures ) Looking to sell rallies with 3700 as targetHello,
rising US yields got a good chance to make traders/investors nervous and at the same time to increase market volatility.
We are looking to sell SP500 ( Futures ) on rallies
Selling rallies towards 3895/3935
Stop above 3960
Target 1: 3850
Target 2: 3780
Target 3: 3700
Good luck
Nikkei 225 To Lead Global Equities Higher?The Nikkei 225 continues to show relative strength and has one of the cleanest absolute trends of the global indices I track. It's already breaking out ahead of the US and European indices, which suggests to me we could see them follow it higher in the next day or two. If you're trading the equity indices --- keep your eye on the Nikkei 225 for clues.
Breakout Or Fakeout?The S&P 500 futures are trying to get above the top of their range at 3804. The last hourly candle closed above it and we're seeing relative strength from the Russell 2000, Nikkei 225, and other indices here in the US and around the globe. Testing the waters here if I can get an entry at 3805 and look for upside towards 3855 over the coming hours/days. My stop is below that hourly candle's low, which also corresponds with the VWAP for the session at 3795. Reward/risk is 5:1 and sizing this risk at roughly .30% of the portfolio...so relatively small given two straight days of trading losses.
ES S&P 500 Futures H4: Critical support at 3780 and 3746.25. The Index will need to break and hold above the price channel at 3834.25 to form the next leg up. It will take a lot of strength and determination to make that happen.
There are heaps of room to the downside for a correction.
Resistance: 3834.25, 3868, 3922.25
Support: 3780, 3746.50, 3692, 3658.25, 3604, 3570.25
Since Feb AUDJPY had roughly correlated with S&P Mini'sSince February this year, the AUDJPY and S&P E Mini futures appear to work in Sync.
Actual Correlation is 0.736 and these instruments show the strongest correlation with the S&P over
10Year Yields =0.609
Copper = 0.421
Bitcoin = 0.493
Gold = 0.164
The correction doesn't hold over a long time frame, but is more a marker of a market in recovery mode.
E-mini S&P 500 - wedge breakoutThe upper limit within a wedge pattern has been broken on the E-mini S&P 500 futures chart. It seems that the breakout took place with a significant strength of the bulls. This type of fast upward movement may be labeled as a potential wave 3 and is known from the Elliott wave theory.
Key support seems to be placed at 3221 pts. and possible next resistance could be located at 3414 pts. If the whole five wave structure is about to continue, we could assume that wave four and wave five is about to create in the near future.
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Daniel Kostecki, Chief Analyst Conotoxia Ltd.
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