Nikkei 225 To Lead Global Equities Higher?The Nikkei 225 continues to show relative strength and has one of the cleanest absolute trends of the global indices I track. It's already breaking out ahead of the US and European indices, which suggests to me we could see them follow it higher in the next day or two. If you're trading the equity indices --- keep your eye on the Nikkei 225 for clues.
Eminisp500
Breakout Or Fakeout?The S&P 500 futures are trying to get above the top of their range at 3804. The last hourly candle closed above it and we're seeing relative strength from the Russell 2000, Nikkei 225, and other indices here in the US and around the globe. Testing the waters here if I can get an entry at 3805 and look for upside towards 3855 over the coming hours/days. My stop is below that hourly candle's low, which also corresponds with the VWAP for the session at 3795. Reward/risk is 5:1 and sizing this risk at roughly .30% of the portfolio...so relatively small given two straight days of trading losses.
ES S&P 500 Futures H4: Critical support at 3780 and 3746.25. The Index will need to break and hold above the price channel at 3834.25 to form the next leg up. It will take a lot of strength and determination to make that happen.
There are heaps of room to the downside for a correction.
Resistance: 3834.25, 3868, 3922.25
Support: 3780, 3746.50, 3692, 3658.25, 3604, 3570.25
Since Feb AUDJPY had roughly correlated with S&P Mini'sSince February this year, the AUDJPY and S&P E Mini futures appear to work in Sync.
Actual Correlation is 0.736 and these instruments show the strongest correlation with the S&P over
10Year Yields =0.609
Copper = 0.421
Bitcoin = 0.493
Gold = 0.164
The correction doesn't hold over a long time frame, but is more a marker of a market in recovery mode.
E-mini S&P 500 - wedge breakoutThe upper limit within a wedge pattern has been broken on the E-mini S&P 500 futures chart. It seems that the breakout took place with a significant strength of the bulls. This type of fast upward movement may be labeled as a potential wave 3 and is known from the Elliott wave theory.
Key support seems to be placed at 3221 pts. and possible next resistance could be located at 3414 pts. If the whole five wave structure is about to continue, we could assume that wave four and wave five is about to create in the near future.
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Daniel Kostecki, Chief Analyst Conotoxia Ltd.
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SP500 path and directionHello everyone
We may have a possible breakout in 1 hour time frame
Watch for clear breakout then a retest or clear break
Any question feel free to ask :)
ES intraday price action probabilities for 22 Sep 2020This is my expected (predicted) price action. It states 33% up and 66% down and it's valid only until end of the day.
Let's see how is that going to work.
Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice
Stay healthy, trade safe.
Atilla Yurtseven
S&P E-MINI 500 (SWING) 15MINProbability: 65% for my prediction
We have a Buy Signal ( even if we are in a downtrend)
The Stop loss and Take profit As Mentioned on the Chart
Please Note:
I Close the Trade Manually so , my SL: 3220 and my TP: 3271 and if the green candle cut with force the TP line then i take another position and choose another TP :) Manually !