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Eminisp500

SPX Model Trading Plans for FRI. 01/13Earnings Season Kickoff With yesterday's post-CPI spike in the markets and this morning's early declines after the key bank earnings, the markets are sitting at a key inflection point. While today's action looks like a consolidation and the probing of a major resistance in the 200-DMA, the price action early next week could give us some early clues into the next leg of the markets. In our trading plans published Monday, 01/09, we stated: "The index is now approaching the resistance band in the range of 3960-4002, and the price action in this range determines the next leg". This range is still in effect for today's session. Positional Trading Models: Our positional trading models are currently flat and indicate staying flat until otherwise indicated. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today. Trading Plans for FRI. 01/12: Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4002, 3974, or 3936 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3968 or 3930 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate no explicit long exits, and short exits on a cross above 3917 for today. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 10:31 am ET or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #earnings #earningsseason
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
1
SPX Model Trading Plans for WED. 01/11Choppy, Range-trading Today In our trading plans published yesterday, Monday, 01/09, we stated: "The index is now approaching the resistance band in the range of 3960-4002, and the price action in this range determines the next leg". The index failed nearing the lower end of the resistance band and got repelled from there strongly. With the CPI numbers and Initial Jobless Claims coming out tomorrow, there is really no directional catalyst on the radar for today. Our models indicate choppy trading while the index is between the broader range of 3900-3955 on a daily close basis. Positional Trading Models: Our positional trading models are currently flat and indicate staying flat until otherwise indicated. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today. Trading Plans for WED. 01/11: Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 3946, 3932, 3916, or 3904 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3943 or 3897 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate long exits on a cross below 3901 and short exits on a cross above 3903 for today. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 10:45 am ET or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #rates
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
2
SPX Model Trading Plans for TUE. 01/10Resistance Band Held Yesterday In our trading plans published yesterday, Monday, 01/09, we stated: "The index is now approaching the resistance band in the range of 3960-4002, and the price action in this range determines the next leg". The index failed nearing the lower end of the resistance band and got repelled from there strongly. Our models indicate choppy trading while the index is between the broader range of 3900-3955 on a daily close basis. Positional Trading Models: Our positional trading models are currently flat and indicate staying flat until otherwise indicated. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today. Trading Plans for TUE. 01/10: Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 3932, 3916, or 3903  with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3911 or 3897 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate long exits on a cross below 3902 and short exits on a cross above 3903 for today. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 01:01 pm ET or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #rates #nfp
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
SPX Model Trading Plans for MON. 01/09Post-NFP Momentum Building Up...for Now In our trading plans published on Thursday, 12/22, we stated: "Our models reiterate range-bound trading while the index is within the broader 3810-3860 range on a daily close basis". And, our plans published on Friday, 01/06, we stated: "Our models indicate continued choppy trading while the index is within this range". Friday's strong spike up cleared this range on a daily close basis, and this morning's price action is clearly building on top of that. The index is now approaching the resistance band in the range of 3960-4002, and the price action in this range determines the next leg. Positional Trading Models: Our positional trading models are currently flat and indicate staying flat until otherwise indicated. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today. Trading Plans for MON. 01/09: Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 3941, 3962, 3977, or 4002 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3938, 3958, 3974, or 3997 with a 9-point trailing stop. Models indicate no explicit long exits and no explicit short exits for today. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:40 am ET or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #rates #nfp
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
SPX Model Trading Plans for THU. 12/22Next Support Level - Confirmed - Day 2 In our trading plans published on Monday, 12/19, we stated: "...the index is now testing the next key support level around the 3825-3835 range. Our models are indicating a range-bound trading while the index is trading within the broader 3810-3830 range on a daily close basis. If you are short, you might want to take profits on a break out of this range. If you are itching to go long, you might want to wait until the range is broken out of to the upside". In the trading plans published yesterday, Wed., 12/20, we stated: "That support level is confirmed as held by our models, and if you followed the plans you should be long going into the open today. If not, you might want to wait to go long as our models indicate range-bound trading while the index is below 3866". This morning session's first hour's action has been within the range of 3810-3853, still holding the lower and upper bounds from our earlier trading plans. Our models reiterate range-bound trading while the index is within the broader 3810-3860 range on a daily close basis. Seasonality effects such as Santa Clause rally (anticipation/positioning and unraveling of the same), Year-end-tax-loss selling, January effect etc.) could lead to sudden spikes in both directions. Unless you "must" trade, it might be a good idea to take it easy and sit on the sidelines until the new year, especially while the index is within the above range. Positional Trading Models: Our positional trading models closed out the short from Thursday, 12/15 (opened at 3893.51) with a profit of 78.01 index points and are currently flat. Models indicate staying flat until otherwise indicated. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today. Trading Plans for THU. 12/22: Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 3810, 3818, 3833, or 3862 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3805, 3820, 3835, or 3857 with a 10-point trailing stop.  Models indicate long exits on a break below 3815, and short exits on a break above 3815 or 3840. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:01 am ET or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #rates #nfp #earnings #earningsseason #midterms #elections #cpi #fedpivot #shortsqueeze
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
Will the FED minutes alter the course of SPX?Similarly to QQQ, SPX stays choppy, with market participants being overly bullish despite macroeconomic conditions. Therefore, we remain very cautious and dismiss calls about the stock market's bottom. With that being said, we would like to note that we will pay close attention to FED minutes today, which could potentially alter the current course in SPX. Furthermore, we will observe the resistance level at 4028.84$ and its ability to hold the price rise. Additionally, we will also observe the support level at 3911.79$, which, if broken to the downside, will act as a bearish trigger and support our bearish thesis about the potential top in SPX. Contrarily, the breakout above the resistance will clearly invalidate this thesis. That, however, will have little to no impact on our bearish stance, which is also based on fundamental factors. These factors point to more economic tightening and continually worsening recession. Moreover, as we warned before the earnings season, the corporate performance brought much disappointment in line with the progression into the second stage of the bear market that we outlined during the summer. In our opinion, it is silly to presume that the FED will suddenly stop hiking interest rates just because of the one better-than-expected CPI print. Therefore, we stay committed to our bearish narrative and believe the bear market is far from over. Accordingly, we maintain our price target for SPX at 3 400$. Illustration 1.01 The picture above shows the daily chart of S&P 500 E-mini futures (ES1!). Since the CPI print that sparked the rally, the volume has continued to decline. This development hints at fewer market participants willing to buy the index at elevated prices. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI is neutral as it trends sideways; if it starts to rise, it will be bullish. Stochastic reversed to the upside, which is bullish. MACD attempts to rise further. DM+ and DM- are bullish. Overall, the daily time frame remains bullish. Illustration 1.02 The image above displays the daily chart of S&P 500 E-mini futures (ES1!) and simple support/resistance levels. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI and Stochastic are bullish. MACD points to the upside but stays in the bearish area. DM+ and DM- stay bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Tradersweekly
7
SP500 e-mini futures, Targeting A Test of 4128Technical & Trade View SP500 e-mini futures, continuous front month contract Trade View Bias: Bullish Above Bearish below 3857/46 Technicals Primary support is 3857/46, watch for bullish reversal patterns here Primary upside objective 4128 Next pattern confirmation, acceptance above 4000 Failure below 3846 opens 3750 20 Day VWAP bullish, 5 Day VWAP bearish Institutional Insights Analysts at Goldman Sachs note ‘ As of the close on Thursday, November 17th, the desk’s theoretical, model-based assumption estimates a net$1 billion of US equities to buy from US pensions given the moves in equities and bonds over the month.How does this stack up vs history?This ranks in the 6th percentile amongst all buy and sell estimates in absolute dollar value over the past three years and in the 4th percentile going back to Jan 2000.This ranks in the 69th percentile amongst all estimates on a net basis(-$70bn to +$150bn scale) over the past three years and in the 62nd percentile going back to Jan 2000.Monthly portfolio performance:US equity underperformed fixed-income by-0.32% in the month of November:S&P total-return +2.07%,10yr total-return +2.39%’ ‘S&P Gamma: Goldman Sachs Futures Strats model dealers long +$1.9bn gamma around current spot heading into options expiry, with gamma peaking at >$4bn in a +3% spot move. This is the longest gamma positioning the desk has seen in our model since August of this year.Post This morning's expiry, the desk estimates dealer gamma positioning will be greatly reduced and even more so following 4pm expiry’
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Tickmill
SPX - Warning signs in the futures marketDespite our insistence on SPX moving to 3 500$ and 3 400$, it remains choppy between 3 700$ and 4 000$. With that in mind, we still have not changed our view and stay bearish on the index. We believe the market has not bottomed out yet, and there is much more downside in the future. Our thesis is based on the fact that the FED will continue to tighten monetary conditions, which will further weaken the U.S. economy. In addition to that, we are noticing sings of exhaustion in the futures market. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the trend in volume for the past few trading sessions. The recent decline with the price going up is bearish; therefore, we are very cautious. Technical analysis - daily time frame MACD is bullish; we will pay close attention to whether it can hold above 0 points; if not, it will be very bearish. RSI and Stochastic are bullish. DM+ and DM- are bullish as well. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI and MACD are neutral. Stochastic is slightly bullish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is neutral. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPXShort
by Tradersweekly
30
S&P 500 E-mini Futures, Short StrategyHere's a possible short strategy based on S&P 500 E-mini Futures daily chart. Based on previous price movements I would enter a short position. Await first for confirmation, then enter a position. Keep your stop loss somewhere above the upper channel. Target 1 - $3690 Target 2 - $3590 Target 3 - $3500 ------------------ I keep it simple and clean! Likes, comments, and follows are dearly appreciated. Let me know what you think and which ones you would like me to analyze next. Trade safely! ------------------
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Droz_TA
ES weekly forecast - Beginning of TST journey Hello everyone! This October I begin my TopStepTrader Micro combine! TradingView is my documentation system so Like and Follow my journey! ES has maintained its down trending posture and lending way to lower prices but currently exists in a somewhat balanced state between technical levels 3700 and 3500. This area could prove to be difficult, so I’m not particularly excited about the week ahead - SHORT TRADES ONLY given the context of the downtrend! 1 - Breakdown of 3600 with a pullback to retest before moving lower to 3500 2 - Straight down - If ES moves below 3500 with conviction, we could see lower prices in a hurry. I’ll be looking for sharp bounces to short in this scenario/. 3 - Bullish move to 3700 and consolidation to begin accepting higher price Last week gave us a decent short opportunity Wednesday. Be on the lookout for others in the middle of this week, although it’s unlikely they are as technically ‘juicy’. Waiting on TradingViews BlackFriday deals to optimize charting. Stay tuned! KingCharlesTrader - 10 years as ES swing trader by night. Web Developer by day.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by GrayTrader01
1