Opportunity with USDJPYDo you remember the September 14 analysis?
See D1 chart!
Now look at the current situation. It seems that the upward movement is over and a new decline will follow. A lower peak than the previous one, as well as a breach of the support zone will fully confirm this scenario.
Current entries are possible, but more risky and we will wait before entering into a trade.
In case of a breakthrough, we expect the price to reach 104.44 and 104.03
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Ending Diagonal
Bitcoin: Looking forward to these next couple of months!Morning Traders,
Locally, bitcoin seems to be in the process of completing wave 2 of 3 before the next leg up to $13.16k.
Bitcoin regained and sucessfully retested major weekly support above $10.2k.
I suspect fireworks if we can just get a HTF close above $11655 (monthly resistance) and print a HH above $12k.
Looking for B of a larger corrective cycle to complete at $15.5-16k.
My macro count:
Another decline for Eur/NzdHello Traders
Another possible decline is coming for this pair. I've identified a Harmonic pattern (don't know which one ) but also as an Elliott wave analysis this can be wave B an EXPANDED FLAT wave A and B minor degree are completed and wave C minor degree is an ending diagonal or wedge pattern and it should end between 1.78 and 1.80
Gold Bull vs Bear : New all time High After making new all time high gold has gone into correction face. The pattern made by correction wave are hard to identify until they are competed and about to end. We can expect an ending diagonal in c wave of abc correction of 4th wave. Since 2nd wave was simple abc correction hence complex is expected in 4th wave before making new all time high.
Breakthrough and rising!After seeing the lowest values from 2015 and a rare increase since yesterday, today we expect the increase to continue.
Here are some of the reasons for this expectation:
1. We have a break in the downward trendline.
2. On the daily chart we have several reversal candles.
3. The price fails to make clear lower bottoms.
4. Weekly repulsion.
Like and comment how far will USDCHF go?
EW Analysis: BNBBTC Remains Bearish: Wedge Pattern Formation?Hello traders!
Today we will talk about BNBBTC and its price action from Elliott Wave perspective.
BNBBTC is clearly bearish, but it's obvious that is slowing down. However, we still see room for more weakness, especially because of the recent three-wave intraday corrective recovey only. So, it's ideally unfolding a bigger ending diagonal (wedge pattern) into wave C that can send the price even down to important November 2018 and 0.0012 support level.
The main reason why we think so is because BNB(Binance) is currently not so strong and we also believe that BTC dominance will come back soon, so all these evidences suggest that BNBBTC may stay under bearish pressure. Count would be invalidated only in case of a rise back above 0.0023 level.
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Breakthrough at AUDUSDAfter the long upward trend we see a weakening in the strength of AUDUSD. Over the past week we have seen several attempts to continue the movement, but soon after that, the price was coming back.
Today we have a breakthrough of support and we expect that the correction can continue at least to 0.7077.
This would allow new buyers to join there and give strength to the movement we have seen so far.
Given the possible correction here, we expect interesting movements in the crosses with AUD with EUR and GBP.
We already have one active position, and we will be looking for a second one today!
KOSPI Composite index (KOSPI) - Bears is about to take over KOSPI Composite index (KOSPI) is in perfect impulse cycle in 4 hr time frame made from the bottom made in Corona Pandemic. The fifth wave is in ending diagonal structure, which should probably result in sharp decline. So stay bearish with stops above 2240 from current level as 2nd wave of A in ABC zigzag cycle. This is the perfect set up as world market also in choppy zone or bearish territory. The target zone of pattern will be below previous 4th wave of impulse cycle, means around 2000-2050 level.
Great set up that every Elliottician love to trade.
SPX Ending Diagonal Almost CompleteIt certainly looks like the rise since June 15th lows on the SPX is shaping up like a classic Ending Diagonal.
I have put the wave counts as best I can fit them.
Today's rise on the surface didn't "look" complete to me and I put good odds of pop up tomorrow above the upper trendline - what Elliot called a "throw-over" and which I usually just call an "overshoot" which classically traps new bulls in - before reversing quickly - either the same day or within 1-2 trading days at most.
IF however prices rise above this trendline and continue the movement impulsively and close the week above it - then this ending diagonal count gets seriously called into question - but so far price has been respecting it including the upper trendline resistance.
We need to see a break of the lower trendline to have a confirmation the ending diagonal is complete and the bearish trend to the downside has begun.
It is to be noted that classically ending diagonals retrace to at least the beginning of the move - which in this case would be a move down to 2965.
Cheers!
Cyrus
SPX CASH INDEX FORMING ENDING DIAGONAL FINAL HIGHUpdate on my last post on SPX futures but this time on the cash.
My opinion that an ending DIagonal final wave C (in the Bear Market Rally since March lows) is being formed has not changed.
Ending diagonals can be tricky creatures and we often see short-term sharp overshoots of the top trendline in the final 5th subwave.
The above count is the worst-case scenario I see for the bears.
We should end this ending diagonal anytime in the next 1-3 trading days so the final subwaves I have shown rising above are not necessary but I believe based on the latest price action a very real possibility to give the "right look" to the ending diagonal.
Link to my longer-term Elliotwave counts on the S&P 500 futures is below.
Cheers!
Cyrus
Will it turn EURUSD?Last week we expected EURUSD to rise, but we were looking for the strength of the euro in EURGBP.
We are now seeing a gradual depletion of the downward movement, which we see as a correction and expect a reversal.
In order for the entry to be confirmed, it is good to see higher bottoms and higher peaks.
All entries before that are risky, because there may be once again lower values.
Be careful!
Resistance levels:
1,1240
1,1281
1,1346
What do you think? Do you have EURUSD trade?
EUR/USD trend analysisHello Traders
It looks like EUR/USD trend is about to reverse. From my point of view i see an ending diagonal pattern still forming for wave C of a zigzag correction (ABC).
i'm looking for price to find support at .50 Fibonacci level before reverse.
As always i will be looking for a long entry after price breaks above wave 4 of ending diagonal (wave C)
Happy trading.
USD/JPY Trade AlertHello traders,
Today i'm updating USD/JPY . do you recognize a pattern?
i do, it's an ending diagonal indicating a trend reversal is near by
always look for more confirmations before enter the market and this is One, Another one can be oversold RSI and Stochastic or Bullish candlestick formations
Happy Trading