CRUDE OIL (WTI): Classic Bullish Setup
I think that WTI Crude Oil has a potential to continue rising.
The market was consolidating for a while within a wide intraday horizontal range.
Its resistance breakout is a strong bullish signal.
Next resistance - 0.7315
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Energy Commodities
USOIL WTI Crude OilWTI Crude Oil (USOIL) has successfully broken above the descending trend-line, signalling a potential trend reversal. After the breakout, the price has retraced back to retest the trend-line support, confirming its strength as a new support level.
Key Technical Observations:
✅ Trend-line Breakout & Retest – The price has broken the downward trend-line and is now finding support around $70.800, indicating a shift in momentum.
The price is currently trading above the 21-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), which further confirms the bullish momentum and potential for an upward move.
✅ Targets for the Upside:
Target 2: $71.900 (First resistance level)
Target 2: $72.600 (second resistance level)
Target 2: $73.500 (Major resistance level)
✅ Support Level: $70.800 – Holding above this level strengthens the bullish outlook.
WTI OIL potential rejection leading to the Channel's bottom.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern on the 1D time-frame with the price on a Bearish Leg since its January 15 Higher High.
The price is right now being rejected on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and based on the last two main bearish sequences since July 2024, a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) max rejection is quite possible here to continue the Bearish Leg.
Our Target is the bottom of the Channel Up at $69.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
WTI Prices Recover Above $72WTI crude oil has rebounded to the $72.50 zone over the past four trading sessions, primarily after a recent drone attack by Ukrainian forces that damaged a key pipeline in southern Russia. The estimated damage could reduce oil exports from this region by up to 30% for at least two months. This new unexpected supply disruption has supported short-term demand for crude oil.
Additionally, ongoing trade war concerns have boosted demand for crude as an inflation hedge, reinforcing short-term bullish sentiment.
The Range Remains Stable
For now, WTI continues to trade within a well-defined range between:
$78 resistance (upper boundary)
$66 support (lower boundary)
Currently, the price is hovering near the middle of this neutral range, showing no clear directional trend. As long as price movements remain within this area, a clear breakout may take time to develop.
Neutrality Prevails:
RSI Indicator:
The RSI line maintains an upward slope, but price action remains neutral around the 50 level, the indicator’s equilibrium point.
This suggests a balance between buyers and sellers over the past 14 periods.
TRIX Indicator:
The TRIX line is currently reaching the 0 neutral level, reinforcing that the exponential moving average momentum remains neutral.
Both indicators confirm that the market remains in a consolidation phase, requiring stronger movements to establish a clearer trend.
Key Levels to Watch:
$78 – Major Resistance: Upper boundary of the current range. A breakout to this level could revive bullish momentum, similar to the buying pressure seen in early December.
$66 – Key Support: Lower boundary of the sideways channel. A drop near this level could strengthen bearish sentiment, reinforcing the downward trend observed in January.
$72 – Current Resistance & Critical Level : Midpoint of the neutral range that aligns with 50% Fibonacci retracement along with 50 & 100-period simple moving averages. This strengthens its importance as a key level.
If price continues oscillating around this zone, the sideways range could persist in the coming sessions.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
USOIL: Heavy trading plan is comingOPEC's production cut plan is about to be implemented, oil prices are about to rise sharply again, and geopolitical uncertainty has once again accelerated the growth of oil prices.
Technical support still exists. 72.4-72 is a reasonable trading range. As a short-term retracement point, this position has a strong support strength. The next round of USOIL is expected to exceed 73, or even reach 75.
Based on the above, the following operation suggestions are given for reference:
USOIL:
BUY 72.4
BUY 72
TP 73.12
TP 73.68
TP 74.48
SL 71.7
USOIL (WTI) - New uptrend? Based on the technical analysis of West Texas Oil (WTI) on the 4-hour timeframe, we're monitoring a potential bullish setup. If the price successfully breaks above the upper blue box resistance zone around 74.000, we'll maintain patience and wait for a healthy retracement. Once we observe clear confirmation signals during this pullback, such as bullish candlestick patterns or strong momentum indicators, we can look to enter long positions. The anticipated target would be the previous resistance level marked by the red horizontal line at approximately 80.800.
WTI Crude oversold bounce The WTI Crude (US Light Crude) price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 7300. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 7300 level could target the downside support at 7100 followed by 6955 and 6870 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 7290 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 7360 resistance followed by 7455 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USOIL Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 7,215.2.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 6,999.3 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USOIL - one n single support, holds or not??#USOIL - after a perfect ride in yesterday now market is at his one of the most expensive supporting area that is 71.70 around.
keep close that area and only only stay in buying above that.
and keep in mind that below 71.70 we will go for CUT N REVERSE on confirmation.
stay sharp
good luck
trade wisely
Levels to consider for Crude oil Futures CL1!On this video i discuss what I think is the next long/short to consider and illustrate how not to get caught up in the noise of low probability setups .
Currently we are trading inside of a range between the POC and the VAH .
I look back on previous highs in the chart and how we reacted at those levels and what I potentially see looking forward . My bias overall is expecting more downside but I dont marry that one bias and simply look at the PA from both sides with a focus on having a plan in the event of a move up or Down .
Natural Gas Shows Bullish PatternVANTAGE:NG Natural gas looks to be turning bullish after a projected five-wave impulse from the lows, followed by an ABC correction. It gave us a nice bullish setup formation by Elliott Wave theory, so more upside is in view, especially if breaks back above 4.0 bullish confirmation level, just watch out for short-term intraday pullbacks.
WTI - Will oil return to the upward trajectory?!WTI oil is located between EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its medium-term descending channel. In case of a downward correction towards the support area, the next opportunity to buy oil with a reward at a reasonable risk will be provided to us. A valid break of the drawn downtrend line will pave the way for oil to reach the drawn areas.
Goldman Sachs has stated that even if hostilities in Ukraine cease and sanctions are eased, Russia’s oil exports are unlikely to see a significant increase. The bank believes that Russia’s crude oil production will remain capped at 9 million barrels per day, not primarily due to sanctions, but rather because of the country’s commitments under the OPEC+ agreement.
OPEC+, which is responsible for nearly half of the world’s oil production, has decided to delay its planned production increase, which was originally scheduled between April and July. Meanwhile, Trump has announced that additional negotiations with Russia are set to take place in an effort to bring an end to the war in Ukraine—an event that could impact the outlook of global energy markets.
Russia remains one of the key oil suppliers worldwide and plays a significant role in price fluctuations. Goldman Sachs predicts that the price of Brent crude will rise to $79 per barrel by the end of this month, while it is currently trading at around $76 per barrel.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that the United States has, in some ways, helped Vladimir Putin break out of his isolation. He emphasized that Trump’s team must gain a better understanding of Ukraine’s actual situation and made it clear that he has no intention of “selling” his country. Zelensky also highlighted the strength and resilience of the Ukrainian military and added that Trump’s envoy should ask ordinary Ukrainians how they perceive him following his recent statements.
Meanwhile, Vladimir Putin announced that the rapid reconstruction of the Caspian Pipeline is not feasible. He explained that Western-made equipment used in the Caspian Pipeline Consortium has sustained severe damage due to recent attacks.
Putin emphasized that the restoration of this pipeline would not be completed swiftly, as critical components rely on Western technology and have been significantly impaired.
The pipeline, which transports Kazakh oil to global markets, has experienced a 30-40% reduction in oil flow following a drone attack on one of its pumping stations in southern Russia. This reduction equates to approximately 380,000 barrels per day (bpd). This development was not entirely unexpected, as Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak had previously stated that repairs to the pipeline could take several months.
WTI OIL - USOUSDShort-term outlook:
Downward trend: Right now, there are signs that oil prices could drop, mainly due to weaker global demand and potential overproduction of oil. Citi predicts that without deeper OPEC+ production cuts, prices could fall to $60 per barrel by the end of 2025.
Upward trend: However, OPEC+ might take action to reduce production if prices continue to fall, aiming to keep prices higher, as they’ve done in the past. Also, geopolitical factors could cause temporary price spikes.
Bottom line: There's no strong signal that prices will rise consistently in the short term, but a rebound is possible if geopolitical events or OPEC+ decisions push the market up. However, the trend seems more likely to be downward for the next few weeks.
USOIL Reversal in Motion? Key Levels You Can’t Ignore!Market Structure Breakdown:
🔸 Daily Timeframe:
• We initially identified a double-bottom formation, signaling a bullish push to grab liquidity above previous highs.
• However, buyers failed to sustain momentum, leading to a structural shift.
🔸 H4 Timeframe:
• Strong impulse move downward, breaking key structure.
• Formed a lower high, indicating seller control.
🔸 H1 Timeframe:
• Entry confirmation: Lower high + structure break + retest.
• Current Position: Short trade floating +142 pips in profit.
• Stops secured in profit = No risk on the trade.
🎯 Next Targets & Key Levels:
✅ Target 1: Sweep 7040 low.
✅ Target 2: Potential drop to 7026 if momentum continues.
⏳ Crucial Confirmation Needed:
• If today’s bearish candle closes above average, it will confirm a true lower high and increase chances of breaking consolidation to move lower.
🛠 Trade Management:
• Profits taken at: +30 pips, +60 pips, +100 pips.
• Current floating: +142 pips.
• Overall target: +212 pips (1:5 / 1:6 RR).
• If we break consolidation, we’ll trail TP and maximize gains.
This trade is a textbook example of a failed bullish push leading to a structural breakdown. With stops locked in profit, we’re letting the trade play out risk-free, while looking for further downside expansion.
If you’re tracking USOIL, keep an eye on these key levels and watch how price reacts! 🚀📊
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower as Walmart’s earnings report raised concerns about slowing consumer demand. Today marks the weekly close, and since the weekly chart has not yet confirmed a buy signal, any downward movement in the MACD could increase the likelihood of further declines.
On the daily chart, the 10-day moving average is acting as support, aligning with the upper boundary of the February range. The MACD remains in a buy signal, but market flows are mixed, suggesting that choppy price action with alternating bullish and bearish candles could persist.
Until a strong breakout candle decisively clears previous highs, it is safer to treat the current market as range-bound. While the bullish bias remains, traders should monitor whether the daily MACD generates a sell signal, which could shift momentum in favor of sellers.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is declining sharply, indicating that buying pressure is weak. However, since the signal line is still above the zero line, a rebound attempt could emerge between 21,800 and 21,900. If the gap between the MACD and the signal line continues to widen, traders should avoid chasing long positions, even if a short-term bounce occurs.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher, finding support near the $71 level. A buy signal has appeared on the daily chart, though it is not yet confirmed. The MACD and signal line have formed a golden cross, but today’s daily close will likely determine whether the buy signal holds.
If the buy signal remains valid, oil could be forming a double-bottom pattern, confirming a base before moving higher. However, given weekend geopolitical risks, holding positions over the weekend (overweekend exposure) should be approached with caution.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has pulled back toward the signal line before resuming an upward move, forming a wave 3 buying pattern. Since further upside momentum is possible, traders should focus on buying dips rather than chasing breakouts.
Gold
Gold closed higher after breaking above its previous high. On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are closely aligned, meaning that if gold prints a bearish candle and breaks below the 10-day moving average, a bearish crossover (death cross) is likely.
Since the MACD and signal line are still at elevated levels above the zero line, any selloff is likely to be met with buying interest, keeping the market range-bound. However, if gold breaks below the lower boundary of the current range, a sharp sell-off could occur, making stop-loss management crucial for long positions.
On the 240-minute chart, gold has briefly broken above a triple-top formation before pulling back, forming a whipsaw pattern. This suggests that a further drop is likely.
If the MACD on the 240-minute chart crosses below the signal line, it could mark the start of a trend reversal, making this a key technical level to watch.
Overall, gold remains in a range-bound environment, but selling at highs is currently more favorable. If buying at support, stop-loss management is essential.
As we close out the weekly session, traders should focus on risk management and ensure safe trading strategies. Take the weekend to rest, recharge, and maintain a healthy balance between trading and personal life. Wishing you a successful trading day and a great weekend!
If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
WTI Oil H1 | Falling to 61.8% Fibonacci pullback supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 72.29 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 71.55 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 73.34 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gas Prices Catch Fire: 25-Month High Reached Amid Winter's FuryNatural gas futures have reached a 25-month high, marking a significant price increase.
This surge is attributed to two primary factors:
1. Cold Weather: Unusually cold temperatures in key regions have increased demand for natural gas, as it is a primary source of heating.
2. Supply Disruptions: Issues in natural gas production or distribution have tightened supply, further driving up prices.
◉ Technical Observations
● After breaking out of the Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern, the price soared to $4.350.
● Subsequently, the price faced a significant pullback to around the $3.30 mark.
● However, the price rebounded from this point and is now at a 25-month high, with expectations for continued growth.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher within its range, finding support at the 5-day moving average. While the daily buy signal remains intact, the market showed some corrective movement following yesterday’s doji candle, with selling pressure continuing on the lower time frames.
As the index approaches previous highs, profit-taking is occurring, leading to a temporary consolidation phase. Market flows remain mixed, which could make it difficult for the Nasdaq to break through resistance decisively. However, as long as the index continues to hold the 5-day MA, the potential for a continued rally remains.
On the 240-minute chart, the sell signal remains active, and the market is consolidating within a range. Since the MACD and signal line remain above the zero line, further upside attempts are likely.
For now, a range-trading strategy—buying near support and selling near resistance—remains the most effective approach.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher, breaking above the $72 level. On the daily chart, the MACD has not yet confirmed a bullish crossover, making it too early to fully confirm an uptrend.
Although oil has formed a double-bottom pattern, market flows remain mixed, and since the MACD and signal line are converging near the zero level, a strong breakout or breakdown could occur soon. Given that the weekly MACD remains in an uptrend, buying dips remains the preferred strategy.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD and signal line have both moved above the zero line, confirming strong buying momentum. If oil breaks above the neckline at $73, a strong bullish move could follow. However, if the market fails to hold above $73, it could settle into a range-bound structure.
For now, buying on dips remains the most favorable strategy, but traders should be cautious, as today’s crude oil inventory report could introduce significant volatility.
Gold
Gold failed to break above its previous high, closing lower. The market remains in a range-bound structure, with the MACD initially turning upward but now shifting back toward the signal line.
If the MACD forms a bearish crossover, gold is likely to remain in a consolidation phase, and the next key question will be whether gold finds support at the 20-day moving average or moves even lower to test previous breakout levels.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is pulling back toward the signal line, showing signs of weakening momentum. Additionally, the market appears to be forming a triple-top (head-and-shoulders) pattern, meaning that if the neckline breaks, a further decline could follow.
Given these conditions, the best approach is to trade within the current range, favoring selling near highs while only considering long positions at key support levels.
Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and have a successful trading day! 🚀
If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
Natural Gas Price Hits Highest Level Since January 2023Natural Gas Price Hits Highest Level Since January 2023
The XNG/USD chart today shows that natural gas prices have surpassed the December 2024 peak, breaking through the key psychological level of $4.000/MMBtu. Since early February, prices have surged by over 20%.
Why Is Natural Gas Price Rising?
According to The Wall Street Journal, the bullish sentiment is driven by:
→ Weather models confirming forecasts of a significant cold spell.
→ LNG exports remaining at record highs.
Additionally, US gas exports may increase further after President Trump lifted the pause imposed by the Biden administration on new LNG export projects. Bloomberg reports that Trump’s administration is close to approving its first LNG export project.
Technical Analysis of XNG/USD
The price movements are forming an upward channel (marked in blue) on the chart:
→ Prices are currently near the upper boundary of this channel.
→ The RSI indicator is in the overbought zone.
→ The price briefly exceeded the $4.000/MMBtu psychological level.
→ Buyers may look to secure profits after the recent sharp gains.
Given these factors, traders may anticipate a potential pullback, which—if it occurs—could bring natural gas prices back towards the channel’s median level.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.