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OIL: THE CHART THAT COULD TIP THE WORLDWTI Crude just bounced hard off the $65 channel support, tagging resistance at $76 — and what happens next isn’t just about price. It’s about power. Zoom into this chart: We're sitting at a directional pivot with two possible outcomes: 1️⃣ If this was a truncated 5th wave, the structure is complete. Any further war escalation could be the catalyst for oil to break resistance — dragging down risk assets, including CRYPTOCAP:BTC and equities. 2️⃣ If wave 5 isn’t done, we’ll likely see one more sharp leg down before oil launches. Either way, this is a high-stakes Elliott Wave setup with global macro consequences. Chart with FIB Levels: You'll see the wave I’ve marked (3) is messy, and on lower timeframes, that may hint at a truncated move worth watching. Why this matters: Over 20% of global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint controlled by Iran. If conflict escalates, that line gets squeezed… and oil price explodes. Price to watch: $76 resistance. If oil breaks, the markets will react fast. If it fails, we might get one more correction and maybe some relief from the sideways pain we’ve seen across risk assets. Remember the COVID Crash? Oil literally went below zero in April 2020. That wasn't just a chart anomaly, it was a global demand collapse. Traders were paying to get rid of oil because there was nowhere to store it. That moment marked a generational low, and what followed was a powerful multi-year 5 wave up. Now look where we are: That same COVID low helped form the base of the current Elliott Wave structure. The fact we’re back testing levels that once sparked global panic is no coincidence. If you’ve been here before, you’ll see the signs. The charts always leave traces. And if this is the end of wave 5, it could be the start of a whole new macro move. TLDR: Stop trading headlines. Trade the structure. This chart is telling us everything.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE
by LisaNEdwards
USOIL: Next Week's Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsSupply Shortage Risks Escalating Middle East tensions pressure Iran's crude supply: Israeli airstrikes have hit key facilities, and potential conflict escalation may disrupt oil production capacity and transportation through the Strait of Hormuz (where 20% of global oil shipments pass). Although OPEC+ has proposed output increases, doubts over implementation fuel concerns about supply gaps, supporting oil prices. Peak Demand Season Support Summer triggers peak travel seasons in Europe and the U.S., surging demand for gasoline, jet fuel, etc. Despite global economic slowdown, rebounding seasonal consumption—combined with supply-side uncertainties—exacerbates market fears of supply-demand imbalance, underpinning prices. Panic Sentiment Drive Middle East tensions spark panic buying of crude oil futures, amplifying short-term price volatility. As long as conflicts remain unresolved, emotional factors will sustain upward momentum for oil prices. USOIL buy@71-72 TP:75~76 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_02
WTI Oil D1 | Potential bounce off a pullback supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 73.17 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 70.50 which is a level that lies underneath a a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 78.07 which is a a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:USOILLong
by Tradu
1
USOIL Will Go Up From Support! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 73.374. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 78.914 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
1
Israel VS Iran War: Oil Spike!Tensions between Israel and Iran have escalated dramatically, with both nations engaging in direct military strikes. Israel launched Operation Rising Lion, targeting Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, missile factories, and military personnel. In response, Iran retaliated with missile attacks on Israel, hitting Tel Aviv and wounding civilians The conflict stems from long-standing hostilities, particularly over Iran’s nuclear program, which Israel views as an existential threat. The situation has drawn international attention, with the United States distancing itself from Israel’s actions while maintaining strategic interests in the region. The escalation has raised concerns about a wider regional war, with analysts warning of unintended consequences and further retaliation. The global markets have also reacted, with oil prices surging amid uncertainty.
AMEX:XOPLong
by Trading-Capital
USOIL || Geopolitical Spike Hits Major Resistance - Watch $77.77🛢️ 📅 June 13, 2025 👤 By: MJTRADING 🔍 🧭 Fundamental Context – Risk Premium on the Rise: Crude oil surged sharply today following reports of Israeli airstrikes on Iranian territory — a move that reawakens fears of broader Middle East escalation. Iran plays a crucial role in OPEC and controls the strategic Strait of Hormuz , through which ~20% of global oil passes. While Iran has not officially responded yet, markets are pricing in the potential for: * Military retaliation * Disruption of oil exports or maritime routes * Heightened volatility across global risk assets ======================================================= 📉 📊 Technical Structure – Tag of Key Resistance at $77.7: Price exploded upward, piercing the descending channel that's been intact since mid-2022. Today's daily wick tagged the $77.70 level, a major horizontal resistance and channel top. This zone has repeatedly acted as a pivot in both bullish and bearish phases. Volume confirmed the move – highest daily volume in months, suggesting institutional reaction. 💡 Trading Outlook: 🔼 Scenario A – Breakout & Close Above $77.7 = Bull Continuation If tomorrow closes firmly above $77.70: Target 1: $88.88 supply zone Target 2: $90.00 psychological resistance Setup: Conservative entries on retest of $75–77 area with tight invalidation 🔽 Scenario B – Failed Breakout → Fade Back Inside Channel If this was a headline-driven spike with no follow-through, bears may re-enter strongly A close below $75 could confirm bull trap Support zone to watch: $66.66 (mid-channel, EMA confluence) ⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor: Iran’s response (military, diplomatic, strategic) US/NATO reaction to potential escalation Strait of Hormuz disruption OPEC commentary or Saudi-led output adjustment Market sentiment unwind (profit-taking from overbought spike) 💬 Markets love emotion, but traders survive with structure. This is not the time to be reckless — size down, be responsive, and respect both breakouts and fakeouts. 📎 #CrudeOil #Geopolitics #OilSpike #WTI #MiddleEastTensions #Iran #IranIsrael #TechnicalAnalysis #MJTRADING
FX:USOILLong
by MJElahifx
2
Israel Strikes Iran. Oil and Gold Prices SurgeIsrael Strikes Iran. Oil and Gold Prices Surge According to media reports, Israel launched a large-scale overnight strike on Iranian territory, targeting dozens of military and strategic facilities linked to the country’s nuclear programme and missile capabilities. Israeli officials justified the action by citing an existential threat from Tehran, which, according to their intelligence, is accelerating its development of nuclear weapons and expanding its arsenal of ballistic missiles. In response, Iran has vowed severe retaliation, stating that the United States and Israel will “pay a heavy price” for the attack. US President Donald Trump has urgently convened a meeting to assess the situation. Commodities Market Reaction In the wake of these developments, gold — the primary safe-haven asset — surged sharply. The XAU/USD price broke above its May high, rising past $3,440. However, the all-time high near $3,498 remains intact for now. Oil prices also spiked due to fears of supply disruption. The military conflict threatens shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial chokepoint through which one-fifth of the world’s oil supply passes. Traders quickly priced in the risk of war, anticipating a supply shortage driven by large-scale instability in the Middle East. Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart Brent crude oil price has risen to the upper boundary of a large-scale descending channel (shown in red), which is defined by lower highs from 2024–2025. As anticipated, this upper boundary acted as resistance, with the price forming a peak above $76 before reversing downward (as illustrated by the black arrow). From a technical standpoint, following such a sharp rally, Brent is vulnerable to a corrective move. In this scenario, a pullback into the orange zone is possible, where support may be found at: → The psychologically important $70 level; → The 50% Fibonacci retracement level; → The former resistance of the purple descending trendline, now turned support. Nevertheless, given the scale of the geopolitical threat, it is unlikely that market sentiment will allow Brent to decline significantly in the near term. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
1
Israel creates a risk-off environmentThe current geopolitical tensions continue to escalate and this is creating a risk-off environment, forcing investors to worry. Let's dig in. MARKETSCOM:OIL TVC:USOIL Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:OIL
by Marketscom
California Resources Corporation (CRC) – Stock Analysis and ForeCalifornia Resources Corporation, a key player in crude oil production and carbon management, has recently experienced a notable uptick in investor interest. This momentum appears to be supported by macroeconomic tailwinds, including renewed trade tensions between the United States and other major economies. Historically, geopolitical uncertainty often leads to increased energy demand and price volatility, both of which tend to benefit domestic oil producers like CRC. From a fundamental standpoint, investor sentiment toward CRC has grown increasingly positive. The company’s strategic positioning in California's energy transition—particularly its focus on carbon capture and storage (CCS)—is beginning to resonate more with institutional investors looking to align portfolios with sustainable yet profitable energy operations. If these supportive fundamentals continue, there is potential for the stock to reach $56 in the coming months, assuming no major changes to current market dynamics or geopolitical influences. Technical Outlook: Entry Point: $44.68 Stop Loss: $42.73 Take Profit 1: $50.84 Take Profit 2: $55.88 As always, trade with care, apply proper risk management, and ensure your positions align with your overall investment strategy. If you find this helpful, kindly follow me, subscribe, like, comment and share.
NYSE:CRCLong
by ForexClinik
2
Crude Oil - Two Scenarios and about Brain PowerPrice retests the L-MLH. VI. - Price breaks upward, target is the centerline VII. - Price reverses again, then the target is the 1/4 line, with a subsequent extended target at the red centerline, and possibly even lower at the white dashed warning line. On a personal note: I was once again told that the price didn’t do what I had projected. ...yeah, really, that’s how it is §8-) After over 30 years in the markets and hundreds of coaching sessions, I’m still amazed that people think you can predict price movements as if with a magic crystal ball. The fact that this belief still persists (even though they don’t understand even the absolute basics of trading) deeply concerns me at the core of my trading soul. Because this growing irrationality clearly indicates that far too little is being done in terms of education – or humanity might simply go extinct in the next 100 years due to rapidly declining intelligence! ...maybe I should just create a chart and apply a few median lines/forks? Happy trading to all of you and I pray for those with lesser brain power.
NYMEX:CL1!
by Tr8dingN3rd
Chasing Oil Spikes? How Geopolitics Can Wreck SetupsOil prices surged over 12% in Asia on Middle East headlines, sparking a surge of volatility across safe-haven currencies and stock market futures during thin trade. It felt like a good time to provide food for thought to newer traders looking to chase these moves, highlight the mockery geopolitics can make of technical analysis with recent examples, and provide a filter for when the waters may be safer to reenter. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
NYMEX:CL1!
by CityIndex
Iran tensions rise: a setup brewing for gold and oil Geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran might fuel safe-haven demand for gold. A break above $3,403 might open the door for a test of the May high at $3,437. However, price action over the last two sessions potentially indicates that buyers are reluctant to drive spot prices above $3,400. At the same time, analysts are suggesting that oil could climb toward $120 if Israel takes military action against Iran. “I don’t want to say it’s imminent, but it looks like something that could very well happen,” President Trump said during a White House event. Meanwhile, cooler-than-expected US CPI and PPI prints have potentially strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates by September, with a second cut possibly following before year-end.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
4
Next Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe continued escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remains the core driver propelling oil prices higher. With U.S.-Iran relations at a critical juncture and the Ukrainian attack on the Crimean Bridge exacerbating the Russia-Ukraine conflict, markets are increasingly concerned about potential disruptions to Black Sea crude exports. As a key channel for 2% of global crude oil supplies, risks to Black Sea exports directly threaten supply chain security, triggering a surge in short-term market risk aversion and driving oil prices sustainably higher. Since crude oil broke through the $64.8 resistance level with a solid candlestick last week, we have maintained a consistent bullish stance. After two weeks of consolidative oscillations, prices finally broke free from the trading range, fully demonstrating the dominance of bullish momentum. When oil prices pulled back to the $71.5–$72.0 range last Friday, we once again emphasized the short-term long strategy, which was subsequently followed by a sharp rally catalyzed by news developments. With the current trend clearly defined, we advise trading in line with the momentum: short-term long positions can be initiated above $71.0 at the start of the week. USOIL buy@71-72 tp:75-78 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
TVC:USOILLong
by EvanField
Oil Price Rally Stalls at $77.72, Just Below 2025 HighFenzoFx—Oil prices resumed their bullish trend, accelerating after geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The rally paused at $77.72, just below the 2025 high. RSI 14 indicates an overbought market, while volume accumulation at $73.7 suggests possible sell orders. A consolidation phase is likely before further gains. If oil pulls back, key demand zones at $64.00 and $66.00 offer bullish opportunities, with a potential move toward the 2025 high at $80.59.
CFI:WTIShort
by FenzoFxBroker
USOIL:Go long USOIL:Crude oil rose sharply under the tension in the Middle East, the early repeatedly suggested that the continuous low shock after the upward breakthrough, the time of storage force is long enough, especially the watershed 64.8 break after the rising space has been opened, the trading idea is still to step back and do long. Trading Strategy: BUY@66.9-67.2 TP: 68.6-69 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
TVC:USOILLong
by Boooob_
WTI(20250613)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 7 was 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, the highest since the week of October 5, 2024. The monthly rate of the core PPI in the United States in May was 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.30%. Traders once again fully priced in the Fed's two interest rate cuts this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 66.96 Support and resistance levels: 69.10 68.30 67.78 66.13 65.61 64.81 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 67.78, consider buying in, and the first target price is 68.30 If the price breaks through 66.96, consider selling in, and the first target price is 66.13
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by NuggetsWarriors