Energy Commodities
USOIL Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USOIL below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 69.29
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 70.28
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL 71.07 +2.57% SHORT IDEA MULTI-TF ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at USOIL from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
USOIL DAILY TF
* Last week saw a bearish close with the weekly FVG holding & beautifully rejecting, looking for a retest of this PD ARRAY before continuation down.
* The sentiment is still strongly bearish for OIL from HIGHER TF perspective.
* The weekly & daily TF show we are still trading in a range on a bearish trend towards that ERL.
* The picture is clearer with strong bearish moves from the daily, looking for some retracement.
* some volume imbalance left behind on lower TF might confirm this move.
* possibly to be filled before we take that ERL.
USOIL 4H
As we head lower we see some bearish potential for some retracement.
* With the week to opening Bearish (PO3) could see bearish move into the VI.
* sentiment the same on the hourly tf.
* This rally with the bulls & strong momentum to the down side could see some reversal.
looking for some signs of this on todays price action.
* LETS SEE HOW THE MARKET DISHES
🤷♂️😉🐻🐮
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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* ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
WTI_OIL_4Hhello
Analysis and trading on West Texas oil in the medium-term time frame and analysis is based on Elliott waves.
After completing 5 falling waves, the market can enter an upward correction wave, which is currently complete wave A and enter a short fall towards the range of 68.80, and again by maintaining this number, we will enter another ascending wave. We will move towards the number 74.0 which is the final target.
USOIL - Key Levels for Bullish Stabilization or Bearish ReversalTechnical Outlook
The price may stabilize within the bullish zone upon a 4-hour candle close above the pivot line at 68.53, targeting 70.49 initially, followed by 71.78.
Bullish Scenario: While trading above 68.53, the price is likely to move toward 70.49 as the first bullish target, with 71.78 as the next level.
Bearish Scenario: A reversal and stabilization below 68.53 would open a move toward 67.03, with further downside potential to 65.85.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 68.53
Support Levels: 70.50, 71.78, 72.75
Resistance Levels: 67.03, 68.85, 63.51
Trend Outlook:
Bullish while the price remains above 68.53
PREVIOUS IDEA:
USOIL BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
USOIL downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 71.19 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the USOIL pair.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
WTI Oil H4 | Resistance overheadWTI oil (USOIL) is trading close to a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 71.05 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 72.50 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 68.61 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
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BRIEFING Week #44: Ready For a Wild Ride ?Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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#202444 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
wti crude oil: Neutral between 68 - 72. Market is in balance inside this range and for now no side has clearly better arguments for a bigger impulse. Market formed another nested triangle inside the big one. Which means buyers and sellers are in balance.
Quote from last week:
comment: Bulls actually managed to hold it above 68 and the trend line but failed to close the bear gap completely. This leaves us in nowhere land between 70-72 and a proper triangle. Play that until it’s clearly broken. No more deeper analysis needed.
comment : The trading range expanded some but not much. On the weekly chart the September and October lows do seem to be respected and holding but since bulls fail to trade above 72.33, we are forming more nested triangles inside the big one on the monthly chart. For now the range is 65 - 72.33 until broken.
current market cycle: trading range (nested triangles on multiple tf)
key levels : 65 - 72.33
bull case: Bulls need a daily close above 72.7 for a chance of retesting north of 75. Again. There is a very good chance last weeks low 66.72 can hold for now. Bulls made 3 higher highs the past 3 trading days but look at the bars. They scream weakness and the close below 70 was bearish as well. Bulls do not have many arguments here.
Invalidation is below 65.
bear case: Bears keeping this below 70 is much stronger than I expected this for the past 3 weeks. As long as they are not letting the bulls get consecutive bull bars above the daily 20ema, the bears remain in control. Yet I do think sideways is more likely than a break below 65. Last weeks price action was disappointing for both sides, which is why I continue to be neutral on this.
Invalidation is above 72.3.
outlook last week:
short term: Neutral 68-70 but leaning bearish near 71. Not the best spot to trade currently.
→ Last Sunday we traded 71.78 and now we are at 69.49. Good outlook.
short term: Neutral again. Clear range and bearish pattern with limited downside. Scalp and don’t overstay your welcome in positions.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-20: No idea where this wants to go in the remaining 2 months of this year so I am neutral until we have a better pattern. The big triangle on the weekly chart is alive and until that changes, no more updates.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Nothing
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Natural Gas still coiling! breakdown or breakout?Hello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USOIL: Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Welcome to our daily USOL prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 70.221
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Natural Gas Goldmine: Are You Ready to Take the Red Pill?Unlocking the Natural Gas Goldmine: Are You Ready to Take the Red Pill?
In the ever-shifting sands of the financial markets, the truth often lies buried beneath layers of noise and confusion. Today, we delve into the Commitment of Traders (COT) data, a powerful tool that reveals a compelling opportunity in the natural gas market. What if I told you that the signs are aligning for a potential rally? But heed this warning: This does not mean to blindly dive into long positions. Instead, we stand poised, awaiting the moment of a confirmed trend change on the daily timeframe—a moment that transforms potential into profit.
The Market Signals: A Gathering Storm
The data speaks volumes. Commercial traders, the real players in this game, are currently positioned at a major extreme in long holdings—the highest they’ve been in over three years. This is not mere coincidence; it’s a clear indication that something significant is brewing beneath the surface.
As we analyze the net open interest, we observe a phenomenon I like to call the “Bubble Up.” This surge occurs when Commercials outpace Large Speculators, and such dynamics often foreshadow market turning points. The whispers of a shift in power are growing louder, and it’s time to listen closely.
Furthermore, we cannot overlook the increasing open interest during this multi-week decline. But we must ask ourselves: Who is driving this increase? The answer is clear—commercial traders are loading up on long positions. This is a bullish sign, indicating confidence in a market reversal.
The Premium Charge: An Ominous Signal of Change
Adding another layer to our bullish thesis is the current premium charge in the market. We observe that the front months, extending out to April, are trading at a premium compared to later delivery months. This indicates a strong demand for immediate delivery—a sign that the market expects an uptick in prices.
But let us not forget the supplementary indicators that further bolster our long stance: the Price Oscillator Indicator Value (POIV), %R, and the Ultimate Oscillator are all aligning in favor of the bulls. They whisper of impending change, urging us to prepare.
The Seasonal Anomaly: A Moment of Reflection
Yet, as we pursue this truth, we encounter an obstacle. The traditional seasonal patterns suggest a decline until February, but the extreme positioning of commercial long traders casts doubt on this warning. Sometimes, the path to enlightenment requires us to look beyond conventional wisdom.
In this moment, we find ourselves at a crossroads. The insights we’ve gathered are akin to a revelation, a glimpse into the potential future of natural gas.
The Choice is Yours
Will you take the red pill and see how deep the rabbit hole goes? Embrace the knowledge, or remain in the shadows. The markets are waiting, and so is your potential.
Welcome to your awakening.
MY TV COMPETITION WTICOUSD LONG IDEA 01/11/2024Direction: Long
SL: 66.862
Indicators:
1. MA (20,50,100,200)
2. Trendline - Algo
3. Support and Resistance
4. Fib Level
5. I also use MT5 - Tradingcentral tools
Technical:
1. MA 20 Yellow is below the MA 100 and 200 (Purple and Red) but looking for it to reverse and go up and above the 50,100, and 200.
2. Green Trendline was broken recently.
3. Price bounced off from a support zone.
4. FIB level at 0.382.
5. Tradingcentral tool signaling Rise on Time frames 15m,1h,and 4h but it is bearish and signaling DECLINE on daily time frame at the moment.
Fundamental and economic:
1. Geopolitical tension is adding some volatility to OIL prices.
2. I use Edgefinder tool which shows me a score of -3 "bearish" on USOIL but I think this trade idea is for short term and more of a "I predict that this might go to xyz based on the technical and fundamental insights".
3. We are in Q4 and usually there is alot of volatility mostly bearish but I'm going against it since we have US elections coming up.
OIL: Three days breakout long on the marketHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range ✅
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day
3 Days Long Breakout ✅
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: that's my primary thesis, let's analyse the current market condition.
- Monday opened with a huge gap breaking through the previous low of week, establishing as well the high low of the new week (opening range).
- Tuesday, it almost consolidated the full day, not really interesting in terms of trading activity.
- Wednesday, the market performed the first breakout of the week, breaking the HOW, triggering long traders in the market and closing out of balance (an interesting signal)
- Thursday closed again out of balance, long traders are potentially driving this move.
- Today, Friday, the market has good chances to go reaching and targeting the closing price of last Friday, why ? because traders shorting the beginning of the week are still in profit and stops are placed above that level. After PMI 10am, if the market will setup for a buy low opportunity around the current level (yesterday HOD or London low), I will be willing to take this trade.
Short: at the moment not really into this scenario, but however, the market could retest the current high of day, failing for a reversal, day 3 longs in the market it can reverse for major move, but I repeat, the current setup is potentially long!
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
USOILUSOIL price is near the resistance zone 71.48-71.92. If the price cannot break through the 71.92 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Slowly starting to scale in on OILThe fundamental outlook for oil is looking bullish. Despite seasonality favoring lower crude oil prices towards the end of the year, the conflicts in the Middle East are pushing prices higher.
Technically, the downward move that has been in place since the beginning of July could now experience a correction. Therefore, I’ll begin slowly scaling into oil at the 61.8% retracement level, keeping in mind that prices could drop further before the end of the year.
According to seasonality, we could see the high in oil prices around May 2025.
Let’s see how it plays out.
WTI CRUDE OIL Final Resistance test before $77.50WTI Crude Oil hit today the 7 day Falling Resistance. A break above it will be bullish as that has been the case on 2 similar patterns previously.
We are ahead of a Golden Cross (1h), which on the 2 previous patterns, has confirmed the uptrend.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the Falling Resistance breaks.
Targets:
1. 77.50 (Resistance 1).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is printing a pattern similar to the September run.
Please like, follow and comment!!
USOIL Will Move Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 69.00.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 65.47.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 67 (Wave "3").Dear colleagues, I believe that at the moment we have a great opportunity to find an entry into a short position that will bring us many pips.
The fact is that the wave “2” of the middle order is completed, which means that the wave “3” of the higher order continues the downward movement in the wave “3” of the middle order.
I expect the price to rise a bit more to the 78 level, then I expect the price to drop to the 67 level. It will not be a quick drop, but we will be able to go short several times.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!