Get started

Energy Commodities

#202522 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: 3 weeks inside a tight range but market keeps getting rejected under the weekly 20ema and it’s consecutive bear bars now. Below 59.8 I favor the bears for more downside. current market cycle: monthly time frame is a broad bear channel - weekly tf is a bear wedge - daily is a trading range key levels: 55 - 64 bull case: Bulls need a daily close above 64 to retest the bear trend line of this big bear wedge from the January high 78.1. That’s the whole story for now. Market oscillates around 61 without any momentum, so buy low, sell high until it stops working. Invalidation is below 59.8. bear case: Bears need a daily close below 59.8 for more downside but market has been pretty much in balance for 3 weeks around 61. Problem for the bulls is, that we closed lower again and the tails above the weekly bars are much bigger than the ones below bars. So bears are slightly favored but only very slightly. Invalidation is above 64.4 short term: Neutral. Playing the range until it stops working but mostly only small scalps. Market is likely waiting for an end to the tariff madness which might not come. medium-long term - Update from 2025-05-25: Need a clear break of the trading range 54 - 64 before we can come up with new targets. Bear trend (wedge) is valid until the trend line breaks.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
USOIL Expected Growth! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for USOIL is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 60.68 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 61.41 My Stop Loss - 60.25 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILLong
by AnabelSignals
2
WTI CRUDE OIL: Repeated rejections on the 1D MA50.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.483, MACD = -0.530, ADX = 16.270) as it is trading sideways for the past 2 weeks, unable however to cross above the 1D MA50, which along with the LH trendline, keep the trend bearish. Sell and aim for thr S1 level (TP = 56.00). Emerging Bearish Cross also on the 1D MACD. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
What to expect from WTI oil in the near term?We are currently not doing anything with WTI oil, but monitoring it very closely. Let's dig in! TVC:USOIL MARKETSCOM:OIL Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:OIL
by Marketscom
SPY, SPX, IWM, Natural Gas, NVDA, XYZ, AI - Analysis- Markets sold off into the NVDA rally this morning. - Small afternoon rally turned indices back green - Major pre market high levels up ahead likely allow us to push higher in coming days. - NVDA should retest its premarket high levels. - Profits secured on AI calls! - Structurally indices are still bullish and remain above key levels. - Yields see nasty reversal lower and look to be going down. - Natural Gas trying to lure investors with a bottoming tail - but i think its false hope.
NYSE:AI
by Trading-Capital
USOIL:First go short, then go long USOIL: There are still signs of a pullback on an hourly basis after oil prices climbed to near 63 after OPEC+ said there would be no immediate changes to current production policies. So the trading strategy :SELL@62.5-62.8 TP@61.6-61.3 After stepping back to the point can not break a wave of rebound, the target can look at 63 again ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here →→→ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" →→→
TVC:USOILShort
by Boooob_
Potential bullish rise?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 61.68 1st Support: 60.72 1st Resistance: 63.49 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by ICmarkets
1
WTI OIL Rejection on 1D MA50 aims at $56.50.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a 13-month Channel Down pattern and is currently under heavy pressure by multiple Resistance levels. The immediate one is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has its most recent rejection last Wednesday (May 21) and as you can see, the price has failed to break above it, even though it's been trading directly below it. As long as the 1D MA50 holds, we expect a test of the lower Support Zone at $56.50, similar to the September - December 2024 Support Zone, which was tested continuously after several 1D MA50 rejections. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:WTIShort
by TradingShot
WTI Crude Oil Testing Make-or-Break Support ZoneWTI crude is grinding into a pivotal horizontal support near 6,020 after another sharp rejection near the 50-day SMA: Support at Risk: Price is pressing into the horizontal support zone formed by May’s lows (~6,020). A clean break below would shift momentum back decisively to the downside. Bearish Structure: Price remains well below both the 50- and 200-day SMAs, which are angled downward—consistent with a medium-term downtrend. Momentum Fading: MACD is negative and turning lower again, while RSI is stuck near 45 and showing no bullish divergence. Next Support: If support fails, next downside level is likely around the YTD low near 5,400. As it stands, bears remain in control unless bulls can defend this floor and drive a breakout back above the 50-day SMA. -MW
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
CL Futures Outlook May 27, 2025 Compression Near Structure ZonesToday, CL is trading just above a key mid-structure zone, continuing its sideways movement between defined supply and demand levels. 🔹 Current Technical Picture: Price remains inside a compression range Resistance at the top red zone where price was rejected yesterday Mid green zone acting as current structure support Lower green zone marked by last week's strong buyer reaction Volume profile is neutral, showing no aggressive buyer or seller dominance at the moment. A failed breakout attempt above the descending channel in the previous session keeps this structure coiled and reactive. 🔍 My Outlook: If price retests the middle zone with strong volume + bullish reaction, it could offer a continuation toward resistance. If price climbs into the red zone and rejects with weakness, there’s potential for a move back toward the middle zone. A sharp drop into the lower green zone with strong buyer confirmation would create a high-reward reversal opportunity. No trades are taken blindly. I only act when price shows clear intent at key levels. Today is a reactive environment — not one for forced setups. 📉 Analysis based on volume structure, order flow, and key S/R zones. ⚠️ This post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading futures involves risk.
NYMEX:CL1!
by prolivetrader
2
Oil Prices Up as Trump Delays EU Tariffs (Temporary Relief?) The global oil market, a sensitive barometer of economic health and geopolitical stability, registered a slight uptick in prices following the news that the Trump administration would extend the deadline for imposing new tariffs on a range of European Union goods. This minor rally, however, comes against a backdrop of a broader downtrend that has characterized the oil markets since mid-January. The persistent downward pressure has been largely attributed to the chilling effect of existing and threatened tariffs, not just between the US and the EU, but on a global scale, which have cast a long shadow over the outlook for global energy demand. To understand the significance of this deadline extension and its nuanced impact on oil prices, it's crucial to first appreciate the environment in which it occurred. For several months, the dominant narrative surrounding oil has been one of demand-side anxiety. President Trump's "America First" trade policy, which has seen the imposition of sweeping tariffs on goods from various countries, most notably China, and the persistent threat of more to come against allies like the European Union, has injected a significant dose of uncertainty into the global economic system. Tariffs, at their core, are taxes on imported goods. Their imposition typically leads to a cascade of negative economic consequences. Businesses that rely on imported components face higher input costs, which can either be absorbed, thereby reducing profit margins, or passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices. Higher consumer prices can dampen spending, a key driver of economic growth. Furthermore, the uncertainty created by an unpredictable trade policy environment often leads businesses to postpone investment decisions and hiring, further stagnating economic activity. This economic slowdown, or even the fear of it, directly translates into weaker demand for oil. Manufacturing activity, a significant consumer of energy, tends to decline. Global shipping and freight, which rely heavily on bunker fuel and diesel, slow down as trade volumes shrink. Consumer demand for gasoline and jet fuel can also wane if economic hardship leads to reduced travel and leisure activities. The retaliatory measures often taken by targeted nations – imposing their own tariffs on US goods – only serve to exacerbate this negative feedback loop, creating a tit-for-tat escalation that further erodes business confidence and global trade flows. It is this overarching concern about a tariff-induced global economic slowdown that has been weighing heavily on oil prices since the middle of January. Market participants, from large institutional investors to commodity traders, have been pricing in the potential for significantly reduced oil consumption in the months and years ahead if these trade disputes were to escalate or become entrenched. Every new tariff announcement or threat has typically sent ripples of concern through the market, often pushing oil prices lower. Against this gloomy backdrop, the news of an extension to the tariff deadline on EU goods, while not a resolution, acts as a momentary pause button on further immediate escalation. It offers a temporary reprieve, a brief window where the worst-case scenario of new, damaging tariffs being instantly applied is averted. This is likely why oil prices "edged higher." The market's reaction can be interpreted in several ways. Firstly, it reflects a slight easing of immediate downside risk to the European economy. The EU is a massive economic bloc and a significant consumer of oil. The imposition of new US tariffs on key European goods, such as automobiles or luxury products, would undoubtedly have a detrimental impact on European industries, potentially tipping already fragile economies closer to recession. An extension of the deadline pushes this immediate threat further down the road, offering a sliver of hope that a negotiated solution might yet be found, or at least that the economic pain is deferred. This deferral, however slight, can lead to a marginal upward revision of short-term oil demand expectations from the region. Secondly, the extension can be seen as a signal, however faint, that dialogue and negotiation are still possible. In the fraught world of international trade diplomacy, any indication that parties are willing to continue talking rather than immediately resorting to punitive measures can be interpreted positively by markets. It reduces, fractionally, the "uncertainty premium" that has been built into asset prices, including oil. However, it is crucial to temper any optimism. The fact that oil only "edged higher" rather than surged indicates the market's deep-seated caution. An extension is not a cancellation. The underlying threat of tariffs remains very much on the table. The fundamental disagreements that led to the tariff threats in the first place have not been resolved. Therefore, while the immediate pressure point has been alleviated, the chronic condition of trade uncertainty persists. The oil market is acutely aware that this extension could simply be a tactical move, buying time for political reasons without altering the fundamental trajectory of trade policy. If, at the end of the extended period, no agreement is reached and tariffs are indeed imposed, the negative impact on oil demand expectations would likely resurface with renewed force. The market is therefore likely to adopt a "wait and see" approach, with traders hesitant to make significant bullish bets based solely on a deadline postponement. Furthermore, the US-EU trade dynamic is just one piece of a larger global puzzle. The ongoing trade tensions with China, for instance, continue to be a major drag on global growth projections and, by extension, oil demand. Progress, or lack thereof, on that front often has a more substantial impact on oil prices than developments in the US-EU relationship, given the sheer scale of US-China trade and China's role as the world's largest oil importer. The slight rise in oil prices also needs to be seen in the context of other market-moving factors. Supply-side dynamics, such as OPEC+ production decisions, geopolitical events in major oil-producing regions like the Middle East, and fluctuations in US shale output, constantly interact with demand-side sentiment. A deadline extension on EU tariffs might provide a small boost, but it can be easily overshadowed by a surprise inventory build, an unexpected increase in OPEC production, or signs of weakening economic data from other major economies. In conclusion, the decision by the Trump administration to extend the tariff deadline on EU goods offered a moment of temporary relief to an oil market that has been under duress from trade war anxieties. This relief manifested as a marginal increase in oil prices, reflecting a slight reduction in immediate perceived risk to global economic activity and oil demand, particularly from Europe. However, this should not be mistaken for a fundamental shift in market sentiment or a resolution to the underlying trade disputes. The threat of tariffs remains, and the broader concerns about a global economic slowdown fueled by protectionist policies continue to loom large. The oil market's cautious reaction underscores the prevailing uncertainty, suggesting that while this extension provides a brief breathing space, the path ahead for oil prices will continue to be heavily influenced by the unpredictable currents of international trade policy.
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln