Crude Oil- Bull Flag formation Trade PlanNYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:MCL1!
Big Picture:
Let the price action and market auction be your guide
What has the market done?
The market has consolidated and pushed higher. There is an excess high at 67.87 from July 14th RTH. Market pushed lower, leaving behind excess with single prints above this showcasing strong area of resistance.
What is it trying to do?
The market is accepting prices in this range and building value. It has been in price discovery mode with a multi-distribution profile since June 24th.
How good of a job is it doing?
The market is currently forming a bull flag formation and attempting to push higher on the hourly time-frame.
What is more likely to happen from here?
Key Levels:
Neutral Zone 1: 67.16-67
Neutral Zone 2 : 66.45-66.30
Yearly Open: 66.34
Neutral zone 3 : 65.23-65.03
2025- Mid Range : 64.14
Scenario 1: False break, pull back and push higher
In this scenario, we expect prices to attempt to break bull flag formation, fail, however, neutral zone 3, acts as support for buyers to step back in to push prices towards yearly open and neutral zone 2.
Scenario 2: Break but fail to sustain push higher
In this scenario, we expect prices to break out of bull flag formation, however, fail around the 66 zone. Price reverts lower towards neutral zone 3 to further consolidate.
Energy Commodities
Crude Oil Buying Alert: Strategic Entry Point IdentifiedThere are two charts of Crude Oil on the 4-hour timeframe.
In the first chart, Crude Oil is sustaining near its lower point (LOP), with a support range of 5540-5580.
A-VWAP is also providing support to Crude Oil around the 5580 level.
The Pivot Point is also supporting Crude Oil around the 5580-5620 level.
If this level is sustain then we may see higher prices in Crude Oil.
Thank you !!
Crude oil-----sell near 67.50, target 65.00-63.00Crude oil market analysis:
Crude oil has started a new contract. The new contract is still not moving much at present, and the contract spread is not much. The daily line has begun to decline. Today's idea is to sell at a rebound of 67.50. The suppression position is 67.50 and 69.00, and the support is around 64.00. If this position is broken, there will be a greater room for decline.
Fundamental analysis:
There is no major news in the recent fundamentals. The situation in the Middle East is still relatively stable. There is no new rest on tariffs, and the impact on the market is limited.
Operational suggestions:
Crude oil-----sell near 67.50, target 65.00-63.00
LONG ON USOIL OIL has just completed a sweep of sell side liquidity, leaving behind lots of BUY side liquidity.
DXY is falling on top of economic news stating trump will possibly fire Jerome Powell.
All this with OPEC increase oil production.
I expect oil to make a $5-$10 move throughout the rest of the week.
That's 500-1000 pips!
Natural Gas Price Drops by 7%Natural Gas Price Drops by 7%
As the XNG/USD chart shows today, natural gas is trading around $3.333/MMBtu, although yesterday morning the price was approximately 7% higher.
According to Reuters, the decline in gas prices is driven by:
→ Record-high production levels. LSEG reported that average gas output in the Lower 48 rose to 107.2 billion cubic feet per day so far in July, surpassing the previous monthly record of 106.4 billion cubic feet per day set in June.
→ Favourable weather forecasts. Although the peak of summer heat is still anticipated, forecasts indicate that temperatures over the next two weeks may be lower than previously expected.
As a result, today’s XNG/USD chart appears bearish.
Technical Analysis of the XNG/USD Chart
The chart indicates that since mid-May, natural gas prices have been fluctuating within a descending channel (marked in red), with July’s peak (E) highlighting the upper boundary of the pattern.
A key resistance area is now represented by a bearish gap, formed between:
→ the former support level at $3.525;
→ the $3.470 level – which, as the arrow suggests, is already showing signs of acting as resistance.
Under these conditions, it is reasonable to assume that the price may continue forming a downward market structure A-B-C-D-E, consisting of lower highs and lows, potentially moving towards the channel’s median – which approximately corresponds to July’s low (around the $3.200 level).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USOIL BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 65.32
Target Level: 68.59
Stop Loss: 63.13
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 8h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Natural Gas Crisis: Profits were made!Nat Gas plunged to a 1-week low Monday on the outlook for cooler US temperatures.
A report came out that Nat gas has heat peak demand which is scaring investors.
Nat GAs equities got demolished which could indicate that this breakdown is real.
We got rejected off the daily 50 MA & Knifed through the 200 Daily MA.
Some clear technical breakdowns are now in affect.
We banked on EQT put options that ran over 400%. This trade was called out free on our channel. You tube Short.
Crude oil------sell near 68.80, target 66.00-62.00Crude oil market analysis:
Recent crude oil is actually very easy to operate. Sell when it rebounds to a high position. Don't worry about the position. In addition, the daily K-line has also begun to decline, and it is difficult to form a large rebound. The new daily moving average begins to sort. If there is no fundamental support in the future, crude oil has a lot of room to fall, and it will fall below 58 in the future. Sell it when it rebounds to around 68.80 today.
Fundamental analysis:
Today is a holiday in Tokyo, Japan. In addition, there is no major data this week. We focus on the fundamentals. Trump's tariffs are still a focus.
Operational suggestions:
Crude oil------sell near 68.80, target 66.00-62.00
USOIL Will Go Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 67.303.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 71.215.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USOIL Under Technical Pressure: 1D Timeframe Breakdown Hey Guys,
The 66.584 level currently stands as the strongest support zone for USOIL. If this level breaks with a candle close, the next major target could drop to 55.666.
This setup is based on the 1-day timeframe. I highly recommend keeping a close watch on that key level.
Every like from you is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these insights. Thanks so much to everyone who’s showing support!
U.S. NATURAL GAS - BEARISH WEDGE WORKED OUT. WHAT'S NEXT?U.S. NATURAL GAS - BEARISH WEDGE WORKED OUT. WHAT'S NEXT?
Today, the market opened 2.66% below its closing price on Friday. The current price has already fallen on 4.8% since the closing on Friday, and it is now above the 3.400 support level. I expect further decline, however, with a possible rebound from the current level and pullback towards the SMA50, with a final target of 3.000.
USOIL H4 bullish upward ⚠️ Disrupted Analysis – WTI Crude Oil (4H Chart)
🔻 Bearish Pressure Re-Entering
Despite a temporary candle breakout, the price failed to sustain above the breakout trendline.
The recent price action inside the orange circle shows lower highs and rejection wicks, indicating bullish weakness.
📉 Potential Breakdown Risk
If the price fails to hold above 66.00, there's a high probability of it breaking below the support area around 64.80–65.00, leading to:
Increased bearish momentum
Retesting lower demand zones, possibly around 63.50–64.00
❌ Resistance Area Still Valid
The Resistance area at 68.00–69.00 remains unchallenged.
The "Target" shown is optimistic under current momentum.
Without strong volume and bullish candles, that target remains unlikely in the near term.
🔁 Disruption Summary
The bullish breakout is likely a false breakout.
Market may be forming a bull trap.
Watch for a clean break below 65.00 for confirmation of a bearish reversal.
Crude Oil -DAILY- 21.07.2025Oil prices were steady after their first weekly decline this month, as attention shifted to U.S. trade negotiations and the European Union’s push to tighten restrictions on Russian energy exports. The EU is preparing new sanctions, including a lower price cap on Russian crude, limits on fuel refined from Russian oil, banking restrictions, and bans targeting an Indian refinery and Chinese firms. Despite western sanctions, Russian oil continues flowing to China and India. Meanwhile, diesel margins in Europe remain strong, signaling tight supply.
On the technical side, the price of crude oil has failed to break below the major technical support area, which consists of the 50-day simple moving average and the 50% of the weekly Fibonacci retracement level. The Stochastic oscillator has been in the neutral level since last week hinting that there is potential for the price to move to either direction in the near short term. On the other hand, the Bollinger bands have contracted rather massively showing that volatility has dried up therefore, the recent sideways movement might extend in the upcoming sessions.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
Bullish bounce?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 65.64
1st Support: 60.22
1st Resistance: 71.20
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Disclaimer:
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WTI(20250721)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Waller refused to comment on whether he would dissent at the July meeting, saying that the private sector was not performing as well as people thought, and said that if the president asked him to be the chairman of the Federal Reserve, he would agree.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
66.42
Support and resistance levels
68.00
67.41
67.02
65.81
65.43
64.84
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 66.42, consider buying, and the first target price is 67.02
If the price breaks through 65.81, consider selling, and the first target price is 65.43
Brent UKOil - Neutral Slightly Bearish • Daily: Price is sitting above long-term trendline support, but momentum is waning.
• 4H: Structure looks indecisive with constant failures near 71.00.
• 1H: Recent break of the upward channel. Now retesting that zone from below.
⚠️ Watch For:
• Retest of 69.60–70.00 as resistance.
• Break and close below 69.20 could signal deeper downside.
• If it holds above 70.20 again, bullish bias resumes.
NATGAS REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅NATGAS is going up now
And the price made a bullish
Rebound from the horizontal
Support level around 3.50$
So we are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$USOIL: Will we see breakout or breakdown from this wedge? I have been watching the Commodity markets recently keenly to get direction or for market indications. AMEX:GLD , Copper and TVC:USOIL are the big 3 which determines the direction of commodity markets and hence the inflation. Inflation dictates direction of TVC:US10Y , TVC:DXY and hence the Equity markets. So, what are commodity markets telling us? With AMEX:GLD and OANDA:XCUUSD at ATH what does this mean for TVC:USOIL : TVC:USOIL Is in a bearish pattern and no sign of concrete bullish reversal on the commodity. Recently it has shown some signs of strength but still below its 0.5 Fib retracement level which is at 68 and we have time and again said that 0.318 Fib level at 80 $ might prove to be an upper resistance which will be difficult to breakout.
In the recent months whenever TVC:USOIL tries to break out of the 60 RSI sellers came back and pushed the prices down. Currently with RSI at 50 we might have some room for upside. Oil bulls can have a 20% upside in the RSI taking it to 60 which has historically proved to be a resistance. And a 20% upside in price is also possible with price hitting our 0.318 resistance level of 80%. Above that there is limited upside for $USOIL. The downward slopping wedge shown below indicates a breakout might be imminent which might take TVC:USOIL to 80 $ which is our highest target in this range bound market.
In contrast the bull run in other important commodities like AMEX:GLD and COPPER might have some legs as they are showing strength by breaking above the previous ATH. It is always a good idea to buy strength and ATH.
Verdict: TVC:USOIL remains range bound with 55 $ on lower bound and 80 on the upper bound. Commodity bulls can look at AMEX:GLD and OANDA:XCUUSD for better returns.
USOIL: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
USOIL
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy USOIL
Entry - 66.40
Stop - 65.95
Take - 67.48
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USOIL Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 66.40
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 65.78
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 67.32
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK