Get started

Energy Commodities

WTI crude about to resume lower?WTI formed a large bearish engulfing candle on its daily chart yesterday near the key $65 resistance level. Was that an indication that prices have ended their corrective bounce? Time will tell, but today's oil prices have bounced back. With the trade uncertainty in the background, demand concerns remain high. So, I wouldn't be surprised if prices were to resume lower from here. The trend is clearly bearish with the moving averages all pointing lower, not to mention the lower highs and lower lows. If the selling resumes, watch for possible bounces at the next key round handles like $62, $61 and $60. But there is always the possibility of a sweep below this month's earlier lows if macro concerns intensify. Meanwhile, the bullish idea is off the table for me for now until we see some progress in US-China trade talks at least, or if prices show a major bullish reversal signal. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
Crude oil---sell near 64.00, target 63.00-62.00Crude oil market analysis: Recently, crude oil has been running up. Yesterday, the daily line had a technical retracement under the pressure of 65.00. Today, we are still bearish. Let's continue to sell when it rebounds. There is still a lot of room for crude oil to fall. Today's crude oil rebounded near 64.00 and sold. If it breaks below 60.00, it will open up a new space for a big drop. The recent data and fundamentals of crude oil are suppressing it. Buy today and expect a big rebound. Operational suggestions: Crude oil---sell near 64.00, target 63.00-62.00
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by Toml1314
WTI OIL Oversold rebound at the bottom of 7-month Channel Down.WTI Oil (USOIL) hit last week the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 7-month Channel Down while its 1D RSI turned oversold (<30.00), the lowest it's been since March 2020 and the COVID crash. Naturally, the price rebounded but still hasn't even tested the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which indicates that it remains a strong medium-term buy opportunity. With the previous Lower Low almost reaching the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, we expect to see at least $72.50 in the medium-term. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:WTILong
by TradingShot
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialYesterday's strategic analysis noted that U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports limited crude oil's upside, though short-term rebounds occurred. Combined with the U.S. plan to zero out Iranian energy exports, short-term news-driven oil price gains primarily reflect supply disruptions and sentiment repair rather than fundamental improvements. While U.S.-Iran sanctions and OPEC quota adjustments may trigger periodic tensions, intensified global trade concerns and institutional downward revisions to demand forecasts will cap the upside potential of oil price rebounds. USOIL sell:64.5-65 tp:63-62 I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_12
USOIL Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the USOIL next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 63.68 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 61.56 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILShort
by AnabelSignals
1
USOIL Will Move Higher! Long! Take a look at our analysis for USOIL. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 63.114. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 68.050 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
1
Habibi, the Price is Right at 70-79$Habibi, the Price is Right Post Content (with emojis version of title at the top): 🤝🛢️ Habibi, the Price is Right at 70–79$ 💸🎯 The Call That Never Happened (But Might Have) 📞 I was just updating my crude oil chart when suddenly… my phone rang. No caller ID. I answered. And somehow— I was patched into a live call between: 🍊🦅 Trump and 🌴👑 the King of Saudi Arabia. They mistook me for a translator. So naturally, I stayed on the line. Here’s how the oil market actually got settled... 🍊🦅 Trump: “Hello? Who is this? I have the best phone security. The Chinese can’t hack it. Nobody can.” 🌴👑 King: “Donald, ya’ani... it’s me!” 🍊🦅 Trump: “Me who? I know the most people, you sound like an immigrant, do you have a visa?” 🌴👑 King: “Your King of Saudi Arabia, habibi! Your favorite oil guy! I can afford all the Visas and Mastercards!” 🍊🦅 Trump: “My King! My favorite King, my guy, what a Tremendous timing. Oil prices are way too high. I need cheap oil to start my tariff wars again! ” 🌴👑 King: “Habibi, we said $88! We need to fund flying taxis and desert ski slopes. The Line isn’t building itself, ya’ani.” 🍊🦅 Trump: “But I gave you the PGA Tour! LIV Golf is huge ! You’re welcome.” 🌴👑 King: “ Mashallah , yes... but we paid this Tiger Woods $800 million just to say no. Wallah , that’s expensive rejection, Donald.” 🍊🦅 Trump: “That’s nothing my King. Peanuts. Melania’s token did better than that. Peanuts my King, peanuts for the camels. What about $76?” 🌴👑 King: “Cristiano Ronaldo costs $200M a year! And he wants an oasis with seven pools! And now we want Messi from Miami and Ronaldinho. Mashallah! ” 🍊🦅 Trump: “I need lower gas prices my King or I can’t revive the economy! And you made Messi cry in the World Cup, my King — not my fault. You kicked his ass, not my fault..I need to check on his visa if he is legally in my great country (again) or i will send him to El Salvador and you can get him cheap from there” 🌴👑 King: “Inshallah. But we’re also building a ski slope in the desert. With real snow. We need $88.88 oil Donald! 88$ minimum” 💙🧠 FXPROFESSOR: “Uh... sorry to interrupt... I don’t know how I got on this call... but I think I can help. I understand charts.” 🍊🦅 Trump: “Who is that?!I know the voice, who is that?” 💙🧠 FXPROFESSOR: “I’m the FXPROFESSOR. And I might have a solution for you. It’s called… The Compromise Zone. ” 🌴👑 King: “Ya’ani… go on.” 💙🧠 FXPROFESSOR: “$70–79. That’s where the technicals align. Trump gets a few more months below that, help him with low oil for inflation until he can deal with Powell, then you two take it sideways in that range 70-79$ and you get stability for The Line, the AI and all the great things the Kingdom is working on.” 🍊🦅 Trump: “I know the Professor! I follow him on TradingView. Genius. Huge brain. One of the best brains. I bought Ethereum at 4400$ because of him and I'm down 60% but it's ok..peanuts, great guy the Professor, great guy” 🌴👑 King: “Inshallah. But we still have losses. Ya’ani... Donald, how do we cover them? And how did this guy get on our call habibi” 🍊🦅 Trump: “Easy King, it's easy! We launch a Great meme coin together, me and you, the greatest token in the world. We call it — $KINGOFARABIA —meme token, we Pump it on Solana. We'll pump it like you pump Oil. Gonna be Great, we will Cover the gap my King.” 🌴👑 King: “We tried blockchain before. Royal IT guy lost the wallet. Had to… correct the situation. Plus i also invested on Ethereum Donald, Solana is for the kids and the stuff” 🍊🦅 Trump: “Let's find a solution my King and i will do this for you: I’ll send Jerome Powell. A gift. Let him run your rates. Take him for free (please take him)” 🌴👑 King: “Jerome is good for my country, he is so cold he will make the temeratures drop 2 degrees, ok we take him but One more thing Donald… I want Taylor Swift at my nephew’s wedding? And please she comes dressed properly and act respectfully” 🍊🦅 Trump: “Done. Nobody says no to me. Except from the Feds, the Europeans, the Japanese, Canada and the penguins i taxed by accident. But that's ok, we make America Great again. I will send you the new Trump memorabilia collection, the best MAGA t-shirt for you my King. It's still made in China but it's soon to be made here at home, soon. ” 🌴👑 King: “Wait Donald! I just remembered.. Also... we want UFC in Riyadh, for ever! Big events. I want Dana White to agree and i want a podcast with Josh Rogans.” 🍊🦅 Trump: “I’ll talk to Joe Rogan, great guy Joe. I’ll call Dana. Maybe Khabib makes a comeback. I know fighters. Strong fighters. Big ratings. They love me. They love you too my King” 📉 And that’s how oil found balance between memes, monarchs, and macro. 📊 Chart Insights – USOIL 12h ❌ $93 = clear rejection 🟦 Compromise Zone: $70–79 🟢 $88 = Saudi’s macro target 🔻 $70 = Trump’s inflation floor 🔄 Consolidation expected unless OPEC or Powell shift the game 💬 What do you think? Are we just memeing the macro? Or is this really how the oil market works in 2025? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙🧠 Disclaimer: This is a fictional satire written for entertainment and educational purposes. Any resemblance to real negotiations is purely… coincidental. The chart is real, though — and so is the technical compromise. Special Salam and much love to my friends in Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦 — the most wonderful people I’ve met in the world.The image is not of the new King but that's ok, great image.It's great! ❤️
TVC:USOILLong
by FX_Professor
9
Crude Oil Stabilizes Above Key Fibonacci LevelFenzoFx—Crude Oil is consolidating after testing $63.9 resistance, trading near $62.23, supported by the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. While the bullish trend persists above the 50-period simple moving average, the Stochastic Oscillator shows an oversold condition, hinting at a rebound. A bullish wave may target $64.00 if Oil holds above $62.00. However, if it dips below this level, momentum could extend down to $60.77, near the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. >>> No Deposit Bonus >>> %100 Deposit Bonus >>> Forex Analysis Contest All at FenzoFx Decentralized Forex Broker
TVC:USOILLong
by FenzoFxBroker
OIL – Bearish Setup at FVG + Golden Pocket ConfluenceThis 4H chart of Crude Oil Futures highlights a clean bearish setup forming as price approaches a confluence zone of imbalance and premium pricing. After a sharp downward move, the current rally appears to be a retracement into areas of interest for potential distribution. --- 1. Context & Market Structure: - The market experienced a significant bearish move, breaking multiple support levels with conviction. - Price is currently retracing upward, creating the possibility of a lower high in line with bearish market structure. - The ongoing move looks corrective, setting up a potential return to the dominant trend. --- 2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) & Key Supply Zones: - Two FVGs are identified on the chart — both marked as areas where price moved too quickly, leaving inefficiencies behind. - The lower FVG overlaps with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci golden pocket zone, providing a strong confluence for potential rejection. - The upper FVG aligns with the 0.786 level, representing deeper premium pricing and added confluence for distribution. --- 3. Fibonacci Confluence Zones: - 0.618–0.65 zone: Coincides with the lower FVG — this is the first area to watch for rejection. - 0.786 level: Aligns with the upper FVG, making it an extended zone for bearish entries if price pushes higher. - These Fibonacci levels serve as key retracement zones within the context of bearish continuation. --- 4. Anticipated Move: - The red arrow illustrates the projected path: price reaching into the FVG and golden pocket confluence, then rejecting to the downside. - The inefficiencies above act as supply zones where institutional selling may occur. - The lower purple level (0.28) is a potential magnet for price if the retracement completes and bearish momentum resumes. --- 5. Trade Idea Narrative: - This is a classic bearish setup where price retraces into premium and inefficiency zones during a downtrend. - The ideal reaction would involve a shift in lower timeframe structure once the price hits the golden pocket + FVG zone. - Patience and confirmation are key — watching for rejection patterns or breakdowns within the FVG before commitment. --- Summary: Crude Oil is retracing after a sharp drop and is approaching a high-probability reversal zone, where a Fair Value Gap overlaps with the golden pocket. This setup provides a strong narrative for potential bearish continuation, supported by structure, imbalance, and Fibonacci confluence.
MARKETSCOM:OILShort
by Louigi_24
35
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 62.01 which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 58.60 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 65.63 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:USOILLong
by Tradu
RB - US Gasoline Futures to Decline due to Lower ConsumptionNYMEX: RBOB Gasoline Futures ( NYMEX:RB1! ) WTI crude oil futures declined 13.4% since the beginning of the year. It dropped as much as $20 from the mid-January peak of $80 a barrel, before recovering to $64 last week. In my commentary on February 11th, “Reversal of US Energy Policy Could Push Crude Oil Lower”, I described the main reasons behind the oil market correction: • US oil production will rise, benefiting from the new energy policy by President Trump as “Drill Baby Drill” • OPEC+ to increase crude oil production, ending its voluntary production cuts • Threats of Tariffs could curtail global oil demand First, on March 31st, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (“EIA”) reported that U.S. field production of crude oil reached 13.146 million barrels per day (mb/pd), up 592 mb/pd or +4.7% from the year-ago level. This is the highest January production level since 1920! Second, on April 3rd, the OPEC+ members met and decided to end the voluntary production cuts, gradually bringing back 2.2 mb/pd additional supply to the oil market. Third, Reciprocal Tariff has brought the container shipping industry to its knees. MSC, Maersk, CMA CGM, and Hapag-Lloyd, which ferry goods for retail giants like Walmart, Target, and Home Depot, have seen sharp declines in booking. The tariff uncertainty caused many importers to cancel their orders. This could cause major consequences. According to Statista, about 71% of the items sold on Amazon were sourced from China. The procurement for Christmas-season products has already begun. Without a US-China trade deal, US consumers could expect fewer gift options at higher prices. Inflation could rebound sooner, as merchants deplete their inventory and face a supply shortage. This could hurt gasoline demand. On the one hand, higher shopping costs cut into consumer spending budget; on the other, fewer deals at retailers discourage shoppers from taking a trip. On April 18th, American Automotive Association (“AAA”) reported that national average price for regular gas was $3.182 per gallon, down 14% from the year-ago level. On April 19th, RBOB gasoline futures quoted $2.0839 per gallon, up 1.8% year-to-date. This contrasts sharply with the down trends in the spot market and the oil futures market. The April EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook (“STEO”) report states that U.S. retail price for regular gasoline averages $3.10 per gallon in its forecast for this summer (April–September), about 20 cents less than the previous forecast in March. The lower price forecast mostly reflects the expectation of lower crude oil prices. If realized, the forecast gasoline price would be the lowest inflation adjusted summer average price since 2020. In my opinion, gasoline prices could stay relatively high during the peak summer driving season. After that, Gas prices could turn significantly lower through the end of the year. Commitment of Traders shows bearish sentiment The CFTC Commitments of Traders report shows that on April 15th, total Open Interest (OI) for NYMEX RBOB Futures is 418,277 contracts. “Managed Money” (i.e., hedge funds) own 52,114 in Long, 36,615 in Short and 47,628 in Spreading positions. • While they maintain a long-short ratio of 1.4:1, hedge funds have reduced long positions by 5,198 (-9%) while increasing short positions by 6,021 (+14%). • This indicates that “Smart Money” is becoming less bullish on gasoline. Trade Setup with RBOB Futures If a trader shares a similar view, he could express his opinion by shorting the NYMEX RBOB Gasoline Futures ( CSE:RB ). RB contracts have a notional value of 42,000 gallons of gasoline oil. With Friday settlement price of $2.0149, each September contract (RBU5) has a notional value of $84,626. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $5,840. Hypothetically, a trader shorts September RB contract and RBOB prices drop to $1.90. A short futures position would gain $4,826 (= (2.0149 – 1.90) x $42000). Using the initial margin as a cost base, a theoretical return would be +82.6% (= 4826 / 5840). The risk of shorting gasoline futures is rising oil and gas prices. Investors could lose part of or all their initial margin. A trader could set a stop loss while establishing his short position. In the above example, the trader could set stop-loss at $2.10 when entering the short order at $2.0149. If gasoline price continues to rise, the maximum loss would be $3,574 ( = (2.10 – 2.0149) *42000). Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NYMEX:RB1!Short
by JimHuangChicago
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialDriven by the U.S. sanctions on Iran's oil exports, crude oil rebounded in the short term. OPEC has received updated compensation production reduction plans from eight countries (reducing daily oil production by 305,000 barrels until June 2026), coupled with the U.S. intention to reduce Iran's energy exports to zero. The recent oil price rally is primarily driven by short-term news, reflecting supply disruptions and sentiment repair rather than fundamental improvements. Although U.S.-Iran sanctions and OPEC quota adjustments may trigger periodic tensions, escalating global trade concerns and institutional downward revisions to demand forecasts will limit the upside of oil price rebounds. USOIL buy@62-63 tp：64-65 I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_12
Weekly Market Forecast WTI CRUDE OIL: Bearish! Wait For SellsThis forecast is for the week of April 21 - 25th. Oil has made a classic bearish impulse down, then a corrective retracement. The natural expectation is another impulse down. The fact that price pulled back into a W -FVG allows for this bearish expectation. Wait for a bearish break of market structure to confirm a valid sell setup... and trade accordingly. No confirmation, not trade! Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by RT_Money
2