61.69% Probability for Bullish USOIL TP!Key Fundamentals Supporting a Bullish Outlook:
- OPEC+ Production Cuts: OPEC+ has implemented production cuts to stabilize oil prices, which can lead to a tighter supply and potentially higher prices for crude oil.
- Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing geopolitical issues, particularly in oil-producing regions, can disrupt supply chains, leading to increased prices as markets react to potential shortages.
- Economic Recovery Signals: As global economies continue to recover from the pandemic, demand for oil is expected to rise, further supporting bullish sentiment in the market.
By combining a bullish bias with a probabilistic approach to trading, I aim to position myself advantageously in the market while managing risks effectively.
Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below!
2W:
2H:
Energy Commodities
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
USOIL Will Explode! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on USOIL and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 68.57 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 69.75
Safe Stop Loss - 67.83
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Crude Oil upside Target 71.70Crude oil is presenting a promising buying opportunity as it approaches a crucial support level at $66. This level has demonstrated significant resilience, making it an ideal point for traders looking to enter the market. Our target for this trade is set at $71.70, which aligns with key resistance levels that could be tested as the market moves upward.
In addition, our proprietary indicator has signaled a buying opportunity on the daily chart, further validating our bullish stance. The geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add another layer of urgency, as such instability often drives oil prices higher due to supply concerns.
As we navigate through these market dynamics, now is an opportune time to consider adding crude oil to your portfolio. Keep an eye on price action around the $66 support, and be prepared for potential upward momentum towards our target of $71.70.
Buying at Current Label
Stoploss - 66
First Target 70
Second Target 71
Third Target 71.70
USOIL: Move Down Expected! Sell!
Welcome to our daily USOIL prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 67.88
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
USOil liquidity sweep expected below 60.00 level**Monthly Chart (Bearish)**
USOil August 2024 monthly candle closed bearish. Sept monthly candle is also closing lower and suggesting a move lower to at least test 61.00 to 60.00 levels.
**Weekly Chart (Bearish)**
Last week's candle closed bearish indicating a continuation of the bearish move at least to take the liquidity below 64.00 level.
**Daily Chart (Bearish)**
Crude Oil (US Oil) looks bearish after testing 72.00 level for the second time last week which created a double top on the daily chart at the test of the liquidity pool before moving lower. This week, we will be looking at a slight fullback at least to 69.00 before resuming the move lower to target the 64.00 level and then below the 62.00 level.
BRENT CRUDE OIL may drop in price by as much as -65%Today we would like to share my opinion on the possible price of Brent Crude Oil in the coming years, analyzing the chart on a monthly timeframe
The war in Ukraine is not just a war between the two countries, it is a geopolitical problem that will affect all world economies.
The world's economies have not yet recovered from the Covid-19, and here is another blow.
Expensive energy will stop buying due to the excessive cost of production of "everything", the purchasing power of the population falls. Declining demand for oil will bring down the price.
The fall in the price of Brent oil -25% in the coming months in the area of $78-80 per barrel will be just the beginning.
But looking at the schedule, is striking the price zone of $36-46 to be a strong mirror level and this is -65% of the current price
Maybe this is a fair price for oil, from where a total restart of the world economy can take place by purchasing cheap energy resources.
Perhaps this is symbolic, but for the first time on the historical price chart of Brent, the zone of $36-46 was established as important when there were powerful geopolitical world changes: 1979-1980 - the Islamic Revolution and 1990-1991 - the collapse of the USSR
Bitcoin Next Stop 68K!Traders,
In this video:
00:00 - Housekeeping. Thank you all for the polling responses. Greatly appreciated and helps determine site direction tremendously. Quite a few site changes have already been implemented. I will discuss these as well as added new features, services, and what my new indicator system is showing us.
00:08 - The weekly technical analysis and price trajectory for the next few weeks
Light Crude Oil Futures: Mid East Tensions Fuel Price Surge!Light Crude Oil Futures (CL): NYMEX:CL1!
As mentioned in our morning briefing, oil is currently extremely interesting, partly due to increasing tensions in the Middle East and the destruction of oil reserves there as well as in Russia. Consequently, oil prices have surged significantly. We are currently at a level of $85, but we still consider it quite likely that the Wave Y and the overarching Wave II have not yet concluded. We expect a three-part movement towards Y, with this Y anticipated to be in the range between 127.2% and 161.8% of a Wave C. This would place it between $63.2 and $57.4, nearly forming a double bottom with Wave ((b)) at $63.64. We would invalidate this scenario and consider a bullish outlook if we surpass the $90 mark in Crude Oil Futures. Should the price fall from here, we would then expect a five-wave structure downwards. However, caution is advised with oil due to the significant political and geopolitical influences on its price. The upcoming elections at the end of the year are particularly noteworthy, as a lower gasoline price in America is hugely important for electoral success, ensuring wins. With rising oil prices and the depletion of reserves, with hardly any reserves left in America, it will likely be necessary to purchase a large amount of oil. Considering the current economic stance of America, this task appears challenging. There is only one option if the goal is to lower oil prices for repurchasing. Even a $20 difference is substantial when buying as much oil as a country the size of America needs. Therefore, we still expect prices to fall further before we see a reversal.
Crude Oil (CL1!): Waiting for the perfect entry after declineWe have continued to see crude oil prices fall lower and lower since we first analyzed it five months ago. The recent price decline is largely attributed to a worsening demand outlook. According to Commerzbank, the post-pandemic normalisation of demand growth in China has sharply deteriorated. Between April and July, oil demand was even lower than the previous year, and data released last weekend offers little hope for improvement in Chinese crude oil processing for August.
Additionally, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has revised its forecast for global oil demand down to 900,000 barrels per day, with China accounting for just 20% of that growth. What was once a driver of demand is now seen as a drag on the market. The IEA projects that oil demand in China will rise by 260,000 barrels per day by 2025.
With the continued struggles of global oil demand on one side and Middle East tensions on the other, it makes sense to set a limit order on crude oil as we closely watch how well NYMEX:CL1! respects the key levels on the chart. We're still targeting the $63.23-$57 range for a potential buy-in as we continue to monitor the market for an ideal entry point.
USOIL Will Go Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 67.55.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 71.74 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Potential to Drop Lower
WTI Crude Oil broke and closed below a key daily horizontal support.
The broken structure and a falling trend line compose a contracting
supply zone now.
With a high probability, the price will drop from that zone all the way down
to 66.3 level - the closest historic support.
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Market Analysis: Oil Price Dips FurtherMarket Analysis: Oil Price Dips Further
Crude oil is showing bearish signs and might decline below $66.80.
Important Takeaways for Oil Price Analysis Today
- Crude oil prices failed to clear the $72.20 region and started a fresh decline.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $68.10 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price struggled to clear the $72.20 resistance zone against the US Dollar. The price started a fresh decline below the $70.00 support.
The price even dipped below the $68.00 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. The bulls are now active near the $66.80 level. A low was formed at $66.82 and the price is now consolidating losses. If there is a fresh increase, it could face resistance near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $72.19 swing high to the $66.82 low.
There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $68.10. The first major resistance is near the $69.50 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $72.19 swing high to the $66.82 low.
Any more gains might send the price toward the $70.90 level. Any more gains might call for a test of $72.20. Conversely, the price might continue to move down and revisit the $66.80 support. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is $66.00.
If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $65.00. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $62.50 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Bearish drop?USOUSD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 69.06
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 71.26
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 65.90
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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[COAL] This what happened last time when we had weekly EMA crossThis is weekly ICEEUR:NCF1! chart. The EMA is crossing & MACD is flirting with the base line, trying to enter bull zone. If simply looking at history, last time we had this setup was in 2021. Look at how similar the EMA & MACD setup back then & see what happens next.
Bullish for COAL & coal miners.
WTI Oil H1 | Bearish downtrend to resume?WTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 68.28 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 68.90 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 66.21 which is a swing-low support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Brent crude oil looks into the abyss: first $36 then $27 Brent oil is in the giant range of $16 and $150
The price is in the decline within the red large leg 2 down.
It consists of 2 white smaller legs.
Leg ii is in the progress after a small consolidation (blue).
The first downward target is at the bottom of red large leg 1 at $36
The next target is located at the equal distance of red large leg 1 in second leg at $27
Saudi Arabia gave up oil target of $100 to increase output.
Cooling Chinese economy is also a bearish factor.
WTI USOIL Buying Opportunity HYELLO FRIENDS as i can see us oil is trading in uptrend channel and now testing a strong support zone its a great opportunity to buy us oil till design TP today crude oil inventories can boost this trade idea its just an idea share Ur thoughts with us it helps many other traders
Natural Gas Price Hits 3-Month HighNatural Gas Price Hits 3-Month High
According to today's XNG/USD chart, the price of natural gas:
→ has risen by approximately 30% since the beginning of September;
→ is currently around the 2.95 level – the last time the price was at this level was at the end of June this year.
Bullish sentiment is supported by:
→ forecasts of a warmer autumn, which is increasing demand for natural gas to power air conditioning systems;
→ concerns related to Hurricane Helen in the US Gulf of Mexico. According to the EIA, 5% of total US dry natural gas production comes from the Gulf of Mexico, and 51% of the total capacity of US natural gas processing plants is located along the US Gulf Coast.
Technical analysis of the XNG/USD chart shows that in September, the price has been moving within an ascending channel (marked in blue).
It is noticeable that from the 20th onwards, demand forces have intensified, leading to the following:
→ the price broke through the 2.64 resistance level;
→ the price moved to the upper half of the ascending channel, after which its median line began to show signs of support;
→ the RSI indicator reached overbought territory.
Currently, there are no signs on the XNG/USD chart of bears attempting to seize control, while the bulls may be "gathering strength" for a possible attempt to break through the psychological level of 3.00. If this happens and is successful, it could pave the way towards the yearly high in the 3.20 region.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.