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Energy Commodities

WTI CRUDE OIL: Best buy opportunity in more than a year.WTI Crude Oil is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.459, MACD = -2.670, ADX = 29.899) and coupled with the the price breaching inside the S1 Zone, the market is giving the best long term buy opportunity in more than 1 year. The S1 Zone is in place since March 15th 2023. Additionally, the 1D RSI has made a Double Bottom (DB), which has a 100% success record out of 3 times since March 2023. Every rebound to the LH trendline (pattern is a long Descending Triangle) approached the 0.786 Fibonacci level. Our TP = 78.00. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
USOIL: Quick Buy Opportunity After Weekly Support BreakUSOIL has broken through a significant weekly green line support, presenting a potential buy opportunity for a quick retest of the previously broken zone. Watch for price action around this area to gauge the strength of any potential bounce or continuation. Interested in how this setup unfolds? Drop a comment and follow for more trade ideas and updates! Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly!
FX:USOILLong
by Remora_traders
USOIL / TRADING ABOVE SUPPORT LEVEL - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The First Scenario , The support level at 65.35 acts as a critical threshold; as long as prices remain above it, buyers dominate, pushing the price towards 68.74 and then 69.98. This rise reflects increased confidence in an uptrend. For the trend to be fully confirmed, prices must stabilize above 69.98, signaling sustained momentum, which could lead to a further increase to 71.59. The Second Scenario , if the price breaks below 65.35 and stabilizes, it indicates a shift in market sentiment, with sellers gaining control and potentially driving the price down to 63.35, followed by 62.65 This technical analysis underscores the importance of price levels in predicting future market movements and investor behavior. UPWARD TARGET : 68.74 , 69.98 , 71.59 . DOWNWARD TARGET : 63.35 , 62.65 .
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bearish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 68.80 which is an overlap resistance. Stop loss is at 71.65 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 65.24 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM
7
Is oil signalling a recession? Oil has really started to free fall. The death cross on the daily chart has occurred. this is where the 50 MA intersects with the 200 MA in a downtrend. This often implies more downside to the medium and long term but is often a great short term long signal. Usually when you get this signal the market makers bounce the stock or commodity a bit before taking it lower. We are hitting a massive multi year trend line going back to 2022 that should act as some support. XLE looks ready for 1 more down leg before a swing tradable low is in. Energy does have a tendency to fall precipitously so understanding oil can keep falling if investors fear the worst or a recession.
AMEX:XLE
by Trading-Capital
5
2024-09-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Oil - Bears in full control and the 4h ema is king. Bulls are also making money buying new lows, so we have some two sided trading, despite the bear strength. comment: 4h 20ema. Add that to your wti crude oil chart and trade it. Market is respecting it and there are amazing trades to be made. How long will it continue? No one knows but markets tend to do what they have been doing. Intertia. The bear channel is also looking good for now. Where could be the next bigger support for the bulls? 64.46 was my bigger target for the bears and they already reached it. The 2023-12 low is at 63.21 and the next support below would be 60. For now I think shorts are not favored near the lower bear trend line and I would only look for shorts near the 4h ema. Can you long this? You can but stop would probably be 64.7ish because 65 could easily get tested. current market cycle: bear trend key levels: 63 - 71 bull case: Bulls are content with scalping long at new lows. They are quick to exit once bigger bears come around and that’s why the selling ist mostly done via quick spikes (roughly 1h in length). Since we are at the lows of the bear channel, r:r favors the bulls for 67 or 68. Invalidation is below 64.7. bear case: Bears are in obviously in control. The selling is orderly with pull backs and we are in a decent channel down. Also true is that bears take profits at new lows, hence the pullbacks to the 4h ema. 63 to 67 was an area where the market produced a lot of tails below the bars in December and January. I doubt bears can continue this strong through that price area. Invalidation is above 68.8. short term: Bullish for retest of the upper bear channel and 4h ema. SL is 64.7. medium-long term: Will update after this week. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Once again, a short near the 4h ema.
NYMEX:MCL1!Long
by priceactiontds
USOIL / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS USOIL is currently trading above the turning level of 67.09 and remains above the support trendline, indicating upward momentum. There are two potential scenarios: The First Scenario , USOIL's trading above 67.09 and staying above the support trendline signals strong buying interest, which suggests upward pressure. The target of 69.98 is a logical resistance level, followed by 71.59, which marks the next significant zone. Stabilization above 71.59 and 72.20 would confirm the strength of the uptrend, as breaking these levels would show that demand is outpacing supply, leading to further price gains. The Second Scenario , If USOIL fails to maintain the 67.09 level and closes below it on a 1-hour or 4-hour chart, it indicates bearish momentum. This would increase the likelihood of a decline toward 65.35 and 63.67, the next significant support levels. A break below 65.35 could trigger a stronger downtrend as it would suggest sellers are gaining control, particularly if the price falls below the descending channel, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. KEY LEVELS : Turning Level : 67.09. Resistance Levels : 69.98 , 71.59. Support Levels : 65.35 , 63.67.
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
"USOIL is going downward"The weakening labor market has reduced risk appetite in the markets, triggering a drop in crude oil prices toward the 67.50 level. Additionally, OPEC+'s crude oil production in August decreased by 300,000 barrels due to declines in Libya and Kazakhstan. However, ongoing supply concerns continue to pressure the commodity. Technically, if the 67.50 support level is broken, further declines toward 65.55 and 63.55 are possible. On the upside, if the 70.0 resistance is surpassed, buying momentum could accelerate toward the 72.60 and 74.50 resistance levels.
TVC:USOIL
by primequotes
USOIL Is Going Up! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 68.519. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 72.583. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
1
WTI OIL giving a buy signal under this condition.Last week we saw how WTI Oil (USOIL) turned bearish long-term following the 1W Death Cross and the breaking below the 16-month Higher Lows trend-line. Even on the 1D time-frame we got a Death Cross formation with the price seemingly reaching the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of a newly formed Channel Down. As a result we may have a short-term buy signal but only if today's 1D candle closes in green, which together with yesterday will make it a series of green days. As you can see on the chart, every time the 1D RSI posted a Bullish Divergence (rising while Oil was falling), it posted successive 1D green candles to confirm a rebound. So the key now is to form again a streak (even 2) of green days. If not, the buy potential is invalidated. If successful though, we will target 78.00 (top of the Channel Down, +16.55% rise as the previous Bullish Leg). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOIL
by TradingShot
Durian prices fall on concerns over Tropical Storm FrancineUSOIL: Oil prices in today's session have appeared a reversal candlestick pattern on the H4 frame. The $68 area is also a good support area for Oil prices, so you can consider buying USOIL around this price area. The short-term target can be expected to return to the $71 area. Oil charges persisted to fall on Wednesday on worries that a typhoon anticipated to hit Louisiana on Wednesday will disrupt manufacturing and refining alongside the U.S. Gulf Coast. In the United States, oil and fueloline manufacturers alongside the Gulf Coast have all started evacuating team of workers and proscribing drilling operations in education for Tropical Storm Francine because it movements throughout the Gulf of Mexico. The U.S. National Hurricane Center forecasts Francine will give a boost to right into a typhoon on Tuesday earlier than hitting the Louisiana coast. The Gulf Coast bills for approximately 50% of the country`s refining capacity, in step with the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). "Prices are seeing a moderate recovery... at the caution of a typhoon that would threaten the U.S. Gulf Coast, however the broader dialogue stays centered on call for and what OPEC+ can do," stated John Evans, an analyst at PVM. OPEC+ consists of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies together with Russia. In OPEC member Libya, the country's National Oil Corporation has declared pressure majeure on a few crude oil cargoes being loaded from the port of Es Sider, as oil output is confined via way of means of a political dispute over the significant financial institution and oil revenues. The OPEC+ organization of oil manufacturers has agreed to put off a deliberate 180,000 bpd manufacturing boom in October for 2 months in reaction to the pointy drop in crude charges. Analysts stated investor optimism approximately a gentle touchdown state of affairs for americaA economy, wherein inflation is contained with out a recession or sharp upward push in unemployment, additionally helped aid crude charges. The US authorities is scheduled to launch a key inflation document later this week. "A recession withinside the US isn't inevitable, however the Federal Reserve wishes to begin reducing hobby costs speedy and aggressively to keep away from it," stated James Knightley, leader worldwide economist at ING.
TVC:USOILShort
by TheLeader_WOLF
USOIL / TRADING BELOW SUPPLY ZONE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Prices are currently on a downward trajectory, trading below the identified supply zone at approximately 70.04 and 69.21. The market is now approaching the support level at 67.27. There is a possibility of a brief retest of the supply zone before the price continues its decline towards the next support levels, which are around 66.87 and 65.58. Conversely, if the price manages to break above the resistance level at 70.04, this would suggest a potential upward movement. In this case, the next target would be the resistance level at 71.54. For a confirmed upward trend, the price would need to break and maintain stability above 71.54. Achieving this could lead to further gains, with the next resistance target being around 74.03. KEY LEVELS : Supply Zone: 70.04 , 69.21 . Resistance Levels : 71.54 , 74.03 . Support Levels : 67.27 , 66.87, 65.58 .
TVC:USOILShort
by ArinaKarayi
WTI continues to be under pressure, notable data this weekTVC:USOIL remains under pressure, after data showed weaker-than-expected US employment data in August, which was mixed with support from OPEC+ oil producers delaying supply increases. US government data showed job growth in August was lower than expected, but the unemployment rate fell to 4.2%, suggesting the Federal Reserve may not need to cut interest rates very significant this month. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics said nonfarm payroll employment increased by 142,000 in August, less than expected to increase by 160,000. (July's increase was revised down to 89,000, the smallest increase since December 2020). As for the geopolitical situation, as the Israeli army battles Hamas-led rebels in the Palestinian Gaza Strip, medics said on Saturday that Israel's military assault on Gaza has killed at least at least 61 people in 48 hours. The warring parties continue to blame each other for the failure of mediators including Qatar, Egypt and the US to broker a ceasefire. The United States is preparing to present a new proposal, but the prospects for a breakthrough appear slim as the differences between the two sides remain wide. In general, there are still no notable new points regarding the geopolitical situation, so it will have less impact on the market than before. This week will release OPEC's monthly crude oil market report, EIA's monthly short-term energy outlook report and IEA's monthly crude oil market report, which are the focus of the US oil market. this week and the market will pay special attention to them. On the daily chart, TVC:USOIL still in a downtrend with technical conditions leaning towards the possibility of a price decrease. First, the long-term technical trend of WTI crude oil will be noticed by the price channel and the 21-day moving average (EMA21). Although WTI crude oil stopped falling after reaching the 1% trend-following Fibonacci extension that readers noticed in the previous issue, this is not a trending support so once WTI crude oil Breaking below the 66.96USD price point of the 1% Fibonacci will condition the price to continue falling. The next target level of WTI crude oil will be noticed at 64.55 – 63.66USD. As long as WTI crude oil remains in the price channel and below the EMA21, it still has a main bearish trend with notable technical levels listed below. Support: 66.96 – 64.55 – 63.66USD Resistance: 68.84 – 69.77USD
TVC:USOILShort
by Xayah_trading
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bearish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 70.30 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 72.56 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 67.14 which is a swing-low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM
#202437 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr wti crude oil: Very strong breakout below previous support around 70 and market is on it’s way to test the 2024 low 64.46. Oil has not traded below 63 for more than a year. Bulls are in pain but some pullback is expected next week. Quote from last week: comment: Not much changed. On the weekly it looks more bearish than it is. Until one side get’s a daily close above or below previous lows/highs, market continues to contract and the breakout is near. Weekly ema is flat as can be. Either scalp to both sides or wait for the breakout. Bears want to get below 70 and bulls want 78 and higher. Odds favor the bulls around 72 to trade back up to at least 76. comment: Bears did surprise me big time on Monday where they closed below the August low but the bigger surprise was the follow through on Tuesday where they closed below 70. That was the lowest close for 8 months and bears just sold it relentlessly on every small rip. We are now 4% away from the January low and given the strong selling on much higher volume, we will likely test below 65$ next week. All pullbacks last week were mostly sideways and every time market got near or touched the 4h 20ema, it sold off big time. Any pullback the bulls get, bears will probably continue and try to keep 70 resistance. Selling 67.67 is probably not a good idea so I what for Monday and if we can get near the 4h ema again and there I’d look for weakness. current market cycle: bear trend key levels: 60-72 bull case: Bulls are really trying if you look at the 1h chart but every rip bigger than 100 ticks is sold heavily by huge bear bars. Right now at 67.67 I don’t think we are at a bigger support level where bulls want to fight this. Could happen on Monday but I think many more bulls wait for 65 to be hit before longing this. First objective for the bulls is to make the market go sideways and then get a 4h bar close above the ema. Anything above 71 would surprise me. Invalidation is below 67. bear case: Bears broke strongly below very big previous support and trying to test the 2024 at 64.46. They are in total control of the market until bulls can close a bull bar above the 4h ema. So we have a clear target with 65 or even 64.46 and a clear invalidation level of the max bearishness with the 4h ema. Invalidation is above 70.32 outlook last week: short term : Bullish above 75, bearish below 73. Bulls want 77 and bears want 72 or lower. → Last Sunday we traded 73.55 and now we are at 67.67. Clear levels given, hope you took shorts below 73. short term: Full bear mode but a pullback is expected. Good r:r shorts are to be found around 69-70. Above 70.32 we will see a more complex pullback and I’d be out of shorts and wait. medium-long term: Bears broke below multi month support and want a retest of 64.46 or lower. Right now the selling is a bit too steep to be sustainable. When we get a more complex pullback and form a decent channel, I will write a longer update here. Can this bear trend be the start of a bigger where we see Oil below 50$ again? I have absolutely no idea but the current daily chart can not not lead to that conclusion. current swing trade : None chart update: Added currently valid bear trend lines
NYMEX:MCL1!Short
by priceactiontds