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USOIL Bullish Breakout: Wedge Pattern Analysis on H4On the H4 timeframe, USOIL has breakout above a wedge pattern, signaling a potential shift toward bullish momentum. The breakout is visually projected using an orange-colored box, highlighting the zone where the price successfully moved above the wedge's upper boundary. This breakout indicates an increase in buying pressure, suggesting that the price may trend higher in the near term. The next key resistance levels to watch are 71.3 and 72.2, which align with significant historical price zones and are set as profit targets. Caution is advised, as a reversal that pushes the price back into the wedge would invalidate this bullish outlook. It is advisable to place a stop-loss just below the wedge’s upper boundary. Disclaimer: This analysis is part of a trading plan and does not constitute trading advice. Technical analysis is probabilistic in nature and does not guarantee profitability. Always implement proper risk management in every trading decision.
TVC:USOILLong
by DNP-FX
2024-12-11 - priceactiontds - daily update - wti crude oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr wti crude oil futures - Neutral. Having a hard time being bullish inside trading ranges and unexpected moves higher. Volume is utter trash and yet market broke above last weeks high and the bear trend line. Bulls want 71 next but I would not be surprised if we go down to 68 or even 67 again. comment: Daily chart shows the trading range which is still contracting but the very small break above last weeks high is a start for the bulls. Buying at previous resistance inside a trading range is always a bad trade. I’d rather wait if bulls come around big time on a pullback and see if it has strong momentum and can break above 70.5. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 67 - 71 bull case: Bulls made a small higher high and now want 71 next. The rally is not particularly strong and the volume is also atrocious. I don’t have many arguments for the bulls here. Invalidation is below 66.27 bear case: Bulls have not printed more than 2 consecutive bull bars for almost 2 months now. Bears see that, previous resistance 70.5 from last week and still a bear trend line close enough. They have much more reasons to sell this, than bulls have for buying it. Invalidation is above 70.6. short term: Neutral. I wait for one side to gain momentum again but my bar for the bulls is higher than for the bears. I don’t have an opinion on where this goes next. For me it’s 50/50 if we go down to at least 69 or higher to 71. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-10 : Unless an event comes up, this will very likely close around 70 for the year. current swing trade : Nope trade of the day: Tough. Long was obviously right but there were so many trend lines that could have been resistance, it was much more reasonable to not take the longs than to hope for a breakout above multiple trend lines.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
TradeCityPro | WTI Analysis Fundamental and Technical Insights👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let’s step away from the crypto space and analyze West Texas Intermediate (WTI) from both technical and fundamental perspectives. 🌍 Fundamental Overview Supply Dynamics: U.S. shale oil production and OPEC+ decisions are key drivers. Escalating tensions in the Middle East, such as the Israel-Gaza conflict or Iran-related sanctions, pose significant risks to global oil supply. Demand Trends : Economic growth and seasonal fluctuations influence demand, but the rise of renewables signals a gradual reduction in reliance on crude oil. Geopolitical Factors : The Middle East, a hub for major oil producers, heavily impacts markets. Regional conflicts often lead to price spikes due to supply concerns. Macroeconomic Trends : A stronger U.S. dollar and rising interest rates suppress oil demand, while inflationary pressures support higher prices. Recent instability in the Middle East has heightened market volatility, underlining WTI's sensitivity to geopolitical events. 🕒 4-Hour Time Frame In the 4-hour timeframe, WTI has been trending downward, nearing a key daily support level at 66.938, which has held multiple times and may attract buyers, shifting momentum. 📈 Long Position Trigger wait for the 4-hour trendline breakout and trigger confirmations, such as RSI exceeding 73.48. The current 4-hour candle breaking the trendline could signal entry. 📉 Short Position Trigger if the candle is rejected and turns red with strong bearish momentum or breaks below 66.938, it could trigger a sell opportunity in the market. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by tradecitypro
6
OIL: Three days breakout traders long in the market Hello traders and hope you are doing good! Today I would like to analyse deeply this market, trying to understand the logic behind my thesis. Do not forget to support and comment my idea, nothing change to you, but is really supportive to me. Overall, OIL looks like potentially going to complete a two weeks dump and pump template, and especially today with CPI and OIL major red news on calendar, it can be pretty interesting, but let's go deeper. The last week, since Wednesday the market drastically dumped down, breaking on Friday the low of week and closing the day/week in breakout, with short traders in the market. Now, typically, depending on the behaviour of price, the market can keep going breaking lower or reversing if volume is trapped down low, as it happened in this specific scenario. I would say then, that the low of week can be locked and it may start the reversal process, going to stop short traders from Wednesday. Monday, in the new week, the market placed a higher high (because it broke the Friday high of day), closing the day as first green day, which is a strong signal of market reversal. Tuesday, volume was trapped almost all the day below Monday closing price, and a dump and pump session setup pushed the price even higher! Wednesday, today, market kept breaking higher, potentially higher time frames long traders are driving this move. Let's discuss about the thesis, as you may already know, I do not predict the market, but I just show what it can be (as per my criteria) the highest probability setup, setting for the day. The long thesis, which is my current and main view, targeting the previous HOW, could be really interesting if the price will dump down into the low placed in London session, consolidating till 10:30am OIL news release for a buy low long trade setup, which I will be really willing to take. However, the market can consolidate up high into the current HOD/HOW, for a short scalp back into any higher level long, for example low of London or yesterday closing price, but I will be updating this analysis every hour from the beginning of NY session 8am NYT. Remember, I do not predict any movement but I only trade setup! See you later every one and let me know if you need any clarification!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDELong
by GianniPichichero
1
Brent - Will stability return to the region?!Brent oil is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H time frame and is moving in its downward channel. We will look for oil buying positions on the midline of the ascending channel. In case of a valid failure of this channel, we can witness the continuation of the upward trend. On the other hand, within the supply zone, we can make short-term sales with appropriate risk reward. China has announced plans to implement a “relatively accommodative” monetary policy. This announcement, accompanied by promises of support for more “active” fiscal policies, signals Beijing’s intention to further ease economic conditions. The news drew significant market attention, resulting in a 6% rise in the value of Chinese investment funds on U.S. stock exchanges. Similarly, the Australian dollar gained notable strength in currency markets, and commodity prices saw an uptick. Meanwhile, according to Bloomberg sources, Chinese drone manufacturers have recently imposed restrictions on exporting key components used in drone production to the United States and Europe. This move strongly suggests that Beijing is unwilling to exert pressure on Moscow to end the war. On another front, Donald Trump, the U.S. President-elect, announced after meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky over the weekend that he is making serious efforts to end the war.Writing on his social media platform, Truth Social, Trump stated, “A ceasefire must be declared immediately, and negotiations must begin.” He added, “I know the President of Russia well. Now is the time for him to act. China can help. The world is watching!” Simultaneously, the Biden administration, with Trump’s backing, is working to secure a ceasefire agreement and the release of hostages in Gaza before Trump’s inauguration on January 20. The negotiations have resumed swiftly and discreetly, with close coordination between Biden’s and Trump’s teams. Steve Witkoff, Trump’s newly appointed envoy to the Middle East, is playing a pivotal role in these talks. Trump has demanded the release of hostages before his inauguration, warning that otherwise, “hell will break loose in the Middle East.” Biden administration officials have welcomed Trump’s support and are striving to ensure a smooth transition between the two administrations. Adam Boehler has been appointed as the lead official for hostage affairs and is expected to play an active role in Gaza negotiations. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs anticipates that OPEC+ production will remain data-dependent. The bank expects OPEC+ to increase production for four consecutive months starting in July, coinciding with strong summer demand. Additionally, Goldman Sachs predicts that India’s oil demand will grow by 0.3 million barrels per day next year. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) in its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), U.S. crude oil production is forecast to reach 13.24 million barrels per day this year and 13.52 million barrels per day next year. The EIA has also revised its 2024 price forecasts for Brent and WTI crude oil downward, projecting $76.51 per barrel for Brent and $80.49 per barrel for WTI. These figures are lower than last month’s forecasts of $77 and $80.95 per barrel, respectively. U.S. crude oil inventories rose by 0.499 million barrels in the week ending December 6, 2024, following a 1.232 million barrel increase the previous week. According to the API Weekly Statistical Bulletin, this marks the fifth increase in eight weeks, defying market expectations of a 1.3 million barrel draw.
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by Ali_PSND
US OIL Trade Log WTI Crude Oil 1H Short Setup Trade Idea: - Bearish wedge forming with price stalling in the 1H FVG (premium zone). - Confluence: - Bearish Divergences: CVD and RSI confirm weakening momentum. - Macroeconomics: Fundamentals lean bearish; CPI results pose a potential risk. - Risk-Reward: Tight stop above the FVG. Targeting a 1:2.55 RRR down to liquidity grab zones below $68. Quick Take: This setup aligns technical weakness with fundamental caution. Stay nimble with CPI in play—adapt if the macro picture shifts. Target lower liquidity pockets if rejection confirms!
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by Fondera
4
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CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Thief_Trader
2
USOIL BULL Triangle The oil chart is showcasing a large triangle pattern within a smaller triangle, and the breakout of the smaller triangle to the upside strongly suggests that the larger triangle will also be broken. This breakout signals the potential to target significantly higher levels. Additionally, the bottom has been tested approximately four times, with the last test clearing out all liquidity. Now, the chart appears to be gearing up for a major upward move after a prolonged accumulation phase. As for my perspective, I’m betting on oil’s rise rather than its decline, even though the current triangle formation is typically a bearish (descending) triangle. The second entry opportunity will present itself after the larger triangle is broken and confirmed through a retest. Note: I don't care about the count if it right or not don't comment on that please
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by hakimbo989
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 68.47 which is an overlap support. Stop loss is at 67.59 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support. Take profit is at 69.66 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
Turbulent Times Ahead for Natural Gas MarketNatural gas prices began the week with a gap-up, driven by forecasts of colder weather increasing demand, but have since faced strong selling pressure, making traders cautious. ◉ Technical Analysis ● A bullish turnaround seems imminent for Natural Gas prices, highlighted by the appearance of an Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern on the daily chart. ● After breaking out, the price momentarily reached the $3.290 resistance level before retreating and revisiting the breakout point. ● The price is now attempting to breach the resistance zone again, with expectations of exceeding the level soon. ● However, a drop below $2.800 could trigger a further correction. ◉ Overall Outlook Natural gas prices are poised for a volatile week as traders weigh colder weather expectations against bearish technical signals. Thursday's inventory data will be crucial in determining the next price move.
OANDA:NATGASUSD
by NaranjCapital
WTI Oil H4 | Falling to multi-swing-low supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 66.90 which is a multi-swing-low support. Stop loss is at 66.23 which is a level that lies underneath the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level. Take profit is at 68.51 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
Bearish drop?WTI/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 68.74 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retraecment. Stop loss: 70.41 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 67.09 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
Oil prices rebound on expectations of Chinese economic stimulus Oil prices rebounded as Chinese authorities demonstrated their strong will to stimulate the economy. Chinese authorities announced that they will continue to respond to the economy with a more active fiscal policy, focusing on expanding domestic demand and stimulating consumption. Meanwhile, Aramco announced it would cut its OSP for Asian refineries to 90 cents lower per barrel. This is the lowest since Jan 2021, when global demand was weak due to the pandemic. USOIL briefly broke below the support at 67.60 but rebounded, compensating some of the decline. However, the price stays within the downward channel, maintaining bearish momentum. If USOIL breaks below 67.60 again and the channel’s lower bound, the price may fall further to 64.80. Conversely, if USOIL breaches above EMA78 and the channel’s upper bound, the price could gain upward momentum toward the 70.00 threshold.
TVC:USOIL
by inkicho_exness
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Support & Resistance Analysis Here is my latest structure analysis and important supports and resistances on WTI Oil on a daily. Horizontal Structures Support 1: 65.2 - 66.9 area Resistance 1: 67.7 - 62.2 area Resistance 2: 69.9 - 70.5 area Resistance 3: 71.2 - 71.5 area Resistance 4: 72.2 - 72.9 area Vertical Structures Vertical Resistance 1: Falling trend line Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FX:USOILShort
by VasilyTrader
2
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Faces Continued StrugglesMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Faces Continued Struggles Crude oil is showing bearish signs and might decline below $66.80. Important Takeaways for Oil Price Analysis Today - Crude oil prices failed to clear the $70.00 region and started a fresh decline. - There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $67.50 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen. Oil Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price struggled to clear the $70.00 resistance zone against the US Dollar. The price started a fresh decline below the $68.80 support. The price even dipped below the $67.80 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. The bulls are now active near the $66.80 level. A low was formed at $66.78 and the price is now consolidating losses. If there is a fresh increase, it could face resistance near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $70.10 swing high to the $66.78 low. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $67.50. The first major resistance is near the $67.80 level, above which the price could rise and test the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $70.10 swing high to the $66.78 low at $68.80. Any more gains might send the price toward the $69.60 level. Conversely, the price might continue to move down and revisit the $66.80 support. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is $66.00. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $63.50. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $61.20 support zone. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by FXOpen
WTI recovered slightly, the outlook tilted to the downsideWTI TVC:USOIL increased slightly in the Asian trading session on Monday (December 9), trading around 67.50 USD/barrel. Oil prices fell sharply last Friday, closing near their lowest level, mainly due to expected declines in global demand. However, expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December increased following the release of US nonfarm data. According to CME Group's FedWatch, federal funds rate futures trading points to the possibility of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve. point in December was nearly 90%, which will provide some support for oil prices. Currently, uncertainty about the geopolitical situation increased again at the weekend, making the medium-term recovery of oil prices still not optimistic. In the short term, crude oil traders need to continue to observe whether the pressure brought about by the geopolitical situation on the supply side will support oil prices to continue to recover. Essentially, this week will continue to focus on changes in inventory data and whether demand-side pressures ease. This week, the financial market in general and the crude oil and WTI crude oil trading market in particular will focus on US CPI data. On the daily chart, WTI TVC:USOIL although it recovered slightly in the opening Asian trading session today (December 9), it still has all the technical factors supporting bearish expectations. With the long-term trend being noticed by the price channel followed by the short-term price channel, it has both a long-term and short-term trend of decreasing prices. On the other hand, WTI crude oil is also under main pressure from EMA21 along with the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. In the short term, if WTI crude oil is sold below 65.28USD, there will be a prospect for a new downtrend to open, and the technical point of 68.34USD is the closest resistance currently. The relative strength index also maintained price activity below the 50 level, which should be considered a negative signal for WTI crude oil technically. During the day, the technical outlook for WTI crude oil on the daily chart leans bearish with notable points listed below. Support: 66.44 – 65.28USD Resistance: 68.34 – 69.51USD
TVC:USOILShort
by Xayah_trading