Energy Commodities
Oil giving us a HINTMarkets keep hitting ATHs, gold doesn't stop hunting for higher highs, and oil underperforms.
Anytime price reacts to a historic zone it either sells off or rallies, and then reverses to confirm if the reaction in price was indeed true/false.
In this example oil sold off brining us to point 'A' and is now at point 'B' which is the pullback phase also know as a continuation/pause to the overall trend. This happened during the times of 2019 and a larger pattern that lasted from 2011 - 2014. Each time this pattern played out in the oil markets negative outcomes occurred in the rest of markets.
To add more confluence to this TA I'm analyzing the MACD distribution patterns (the same way I analyze price action), the agreement and disagreement between the two, and how price action reacts around the EMA lvls.
We probably have about a year or less to earn more gains trading crypto and stocks till the market goes bust.
What will happen to Apple stock? Is there a correction ahead?
If the price closes below the orange price zone ($223), it seems that we should wait for the correction of Apple stock.
Two red dotted lines are drawn as resistance.
Our first expectation is the price of $210 and it is possible that we will see a correction to $201.
what is your opinion?
USOIL ( BREAKOUT DESCINDIN CHANNEL ) (4H)USOIL
Tendency, the price is under down ward pressure , until trade below 74.22 .
Upward zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to breaking the turning level at 74.22 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 77.06 , then breaking resistance level (1) it indicates to reach of a resistance level (2) at 78.89 .
Downward zone: Provided until the prices trade below the turning level, it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 71.55 , then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 69.30 , the breaking this level reach a next level at 67.93
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 74.22, before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 77.06 , 78.89.
SUPPORT LEVEL : 71.55 , 69.30 , 67.93 .
Crude oil is expected to fluctuate.Technical analysis of crude oil
Daily resistance 78.2, support below 72.7
Four-hour resistance 77.5, support below 76
Operation suggestions for crude oil: Crude oil fluctuated and rose throughout the day yesterday, and finally reached the 78.2 mark, which was in line with expectations
From the current trend, today's lower support focuses on the key support level of 77.2-76.1 formed by the hourly line yesterday, and the upper pressure should first pay attention to the vicinity of 78.2-78.4. Intraday operations can be carried out around this range, adopting a strategy of selling high and buying low.
SELL:78.2near SL:78.50
SELL:78.4near SL:78.70
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
WTI OIL Strong cyclical support zone can push it to $110.WTI Oil (USOIL) is having a strong correction, along with the majority of the markets due to the fears of an economic slowdown. In times like these, it is always productive to zoom out and look at the long-term perspective, preferably a multi-year one.
On the current analysis we look at the 1M time-frame, which offers useful insight on Oil's Cycles. As you can see, the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1M MA100 (green trend-line) form a formidable Support Zone that hasn't seen a monthly candle closing below it since March 2021.
In cyclical terms it appears that the market is around a state similar to the consolidations of July 2009 - September 2010 and April 2002 - September 2003 (green arcs). They both offered a minimum rise of +65% to +70% following a Bullish Cross formation on the 1M MACD.
As a result, we are ignoring the short term weakness in the market and turn buyers long-term, targeting $110.00 (+65%).
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Bullish US OIL Trade IdeaUS Oil has bounced back from support with high-volume candles, nearly testing the support level. The price is expected to start moving in a bullish direction. Target profit prices are marked on the chart, and with the stop loss at the designated level, we anticipate a favorable risk-reward ratio for this trade.
Updates will be provided daily.
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area 72.631 (Wave 3).Dear colleagues, I am still hoping for a downward movement, it's just that I have revised the wave formation because the price has gone quite high.
At the moment, I believe that the price is now completing the movement in the senior wave "2". After reaching the resistance area of 84.00 - 85.00, I expect the beginning of the big wave "3"!
Therefore, I suggest to take what happened as an opportunity to enter a short position in the most profitable way!
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Oil (CL) Should Continue Lower to Build an Impulsive StructureShort Term Elliott Wave View in Oil (CL) suggests that cycle from 4.12.2024 high is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 4.12.2024 high, wave (1) ended at 72.48 and rally in wave (2) ended at 84.55. The commodity has turned lower in wave (3) with internal subdivision as another impulse in lesser degree. Down from wave (2), wave (i) ended at 83.07 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 83.45. Oil then extended lower in wave (iii) towards 81.25 and wave (iv) ended at 82.16. Final leg wave (v) ended at 80.81 which completed wave ((i)) in higher degree. Wave ((ii)) unfolded in an expanded flat structure where wave (a) ended at 83.74. Wave (b) lower ended at 80.22, and rally in wave (c) ended at 83.82 which completed wave ((ii)).
Oil has turned lower in wave ((iii)) ended at 76.40 low. The market built an expanded flat correction as wave ((iv)) finishing at 78.60 high and turned lower again. CL broke below wave ((iii)) to end wave ((v)) of 1 at 74.59 low and also we ended wave 1 of (3). Up from wave 1, the market bounce in a zig zag correction ending wave 2 at 78.88 high and starting wave 3 of (3) to the downside. After 5 swings lower, wave ((i)) of 3 completed at 71.67 low and currently we are calling 3 swings higher to end wave ((ii)) pullback before resuming lower. Therefore, we expect further downside to complete wave ((iii)) of 3. Near term, as far as pivot at 78.88 high stays intact, expect rallies to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
Could price reverse from here?WTI oil is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 75.42
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 76.92
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 72.78
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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USOIL Is Approaching A Decent Support AreaHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USOIL for a buying opportunity around 69 zone, USOIL is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 69 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AbuDhabi TAQA to target 4.4 after crossing resistanceDaily chart, the stock (TAQA) crossed a rising small channel (GREEN area), and is still trading inside a bigger channel, and is most likely to cross the resistance (at around 3.70)
After crossing resistance (BLUE) line, the target will be 4.40
Technical indicators RSI and MACD are positive.
The Leap - D3The Leap competition is live and so is Pinchpips.
Focusing on the behemoth of OANDA:WTICOUSD and $OANDA:XAUUSD.
Not typical markets but testing swing zones on the instruments to check efficacy on a daily TF.
SZ are set for OANDA:WTICOUSD but price action determines entry
Currently ranked 2716.
www.tradingview.com
USOIL SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are going long on the USOIL with the target of 78.81 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal.
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Crude Oil (XTIUSD) Make or Break LevelAs per my analysis WTI Crude Oil is at make or break level. 72.47 is now a trend live of 3 month candle low, if it breaks then we can expect for more downside up to 68.40. If price sustained and take support from 72.47 the we can see upside move to 82.08.
Note: This is my personal analysis, only to learn stock/commodity market behavior. Kindly do your analysis/ research to take any trade. Thanks & Regards.
Saudi wants production cuts, America doesn'tAlthough everyone is cutting down production, even SHELL, we are seeing the narrative of higher prices for longer. OPEC wants to cut beginning October 2024 until 25.
This might be for a multitude of reasons, which makes it quite unclear what the goal is. After falling demand and easing in production, my narrative is that we might see prices fall instead of rise, even though we are trying to limit supply, I think markets are going to want to lower prices as energy scarcity becomes vulnerable and volatility will rise. Geopolitical risks has not eased.
US SPR is lower than a quarter of its peak in 2021. My bet of dropping prices lies on that. As well as Trump having 70% chance of coming into office, I expect a welcoming gift from MBS giving us discounts on gas!
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
8.3.2024 Oil Weekend Pre Market AnalysisIt's the weekend. I like to go out to my larger charts and clean off the entire chart and start analyzing the instrument for next weeks trading.
We know that price is going to move up or down from where it currently is located, so we just need to make up a game plan to trade it..
Looking out at the 4 hour, 1 hour, and 15 minute charts for our trend and target analysis. Then dialing it down to the 3 minute or 15 minute to look for an entry!
Caterpillar 344 After earnings ? Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) has once again demonstrated its robust market presence, with its stock price soaring past $344 following the release of its latest earnings report. The industrial giant reported impressive financial results for Q1 2024, with total revenue reaching $15.8 billion and a basic earnings per share (EPS) of $5.601. This performance not only exceeded analysts’ expectations but also highlighted Caterpillar’s resilience and strategic growth in a challenging economic environment.
The company’s strong earnings were driven by increased demand across its construction, resource, and energy & transportation segments. Caterpillar’s ability to navigate supply chain disruptions and leverage its global footprint has been pivotal in achieving these results. The market responded positively, pushing the stock to new heights and reinforcing investor confidence in the company’s long-term prospects.
As Caterpillar continues to innovate and expand its product offerings, the future looks promising for this industry leader. Investors and market watchers will be keenly observing how Caterpillar capitalizes on its current momentum to drive further growth and shareholder value.
USOIL The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 74.11
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 75.64
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK