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Scholz and Macron: Europe, arms for Ukraine Recently, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and French President Emmanuel Macron reiterated their commitment to providing military aid to Ukraine. This decision comes at a crucial time, with the conflict continuing to profoundly affect the global economy and geopolitics. ### Implications for the war and Europe Scholz and Macron's choice to continue with military supplies underscores Europe's determination to support Ukraine against Russian aggression. However, this stance could escalate tensions with Moscow, which has already expressed its displeasure. The war in Ukraine has already had a significant impact on the European economy, with energy prices rising and supply chains disrupted. Continuing to supply weapons could prolong the conflict, but could also strengthen Europe's position as a key player in defending democratic values. ### Impact on Forex The news has significant implications for the Forex market. Several currency pairs could be significantly affected: - **EUR/USD**: The euro could come under pressure due to economic uncertainties and Europe's exposure to the conflict. On the other hand, the US dollar could strengthen due to its safe-haven status. - **USD/RUB**: The Russian ruble could see further depreciation due to geopolitical tensions and potential new Western sanctions against Russia. - **EUR/GBP**: The euro-sterling relationship could be affected, with the euro under pressure and the pound showing relative stability, as the UK is less directly exposed to the conflict. - **USD/CHF**: The Swiss franc, traditionally considered a safe-haven asset, could also strengthen against the US dollar in the event of further escalations. - **AUD/USD and CAD/USD**: Commodity currencies such as the Australian and Canadian dollars could see increased volatility, as natural resource markets remain affected by the conflict. ### Conclusion Scholz and Macron’s decision to continue supplying weapons to Kiev is a strong signal of European solidarity, but it brings with it significant challenges. Forex investors should carefully monitor the listed currency pairs and geopolitical developments, as volatility could offer opportunities, but also risks.
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
GOLD READY TO SURGE? USD WEAKNESS SIGNALS A BIG MOVE!📌 Market Overview The US Dollar (USD) has been weakening for the past three months, signaling significant shifts in global financial markets. The latest CPI report came in weaker than expected, putting additional short-term pressure on the USD. However, long-term projections suggest a possible recovery. Meanwhile, Gold continues to gain momentum, benefiting from USD weakness on both fundamental and technical fronts. As per our previous analysis, the bullish trend remains intact, and we will continue looking for BUY opportunities at key support levels while monitoring resistance zones near all-time highs (ATH). 📊 CPI Impact on USD & GOLD – What’s Next? 🔹 Short-term USD Weakness, But Potential Recovery? The lower-than-expected CPI report has increased bearish pressure on the USD. However, in the long run, the USD may find stability and enter a recovery phase. For now, USD weakness continues to support Gold’s upside potential, bringing it closer to key resistance zones. 🔸 Gold’s Strength – Will It Hit New All-Time Highs? With USD weakening and market uncertainty rising, Gold remains a preferred safe-haven asset for investors. Our primary strategy remains BUY on dips, anticipating further upside. Tonight’s Producer Price Index (PPI) report could be a major catalyst for USD and Gold volatility. 📉 Key Technical Levels for GOLD 🔹 Major Resistance Levels: 2,945 - 2,956 - 2,972 - 2,988 🔻 Major Support Levels: 2,931 - 2,922 - 2,914 - 2,906 - 2,898 🎯 Trading Plan for Today 🟢 BUY ZONE: 2,922 - 2,920 📍 SL: 2,916 🎯 TP: 2,926 - 2,930 - 2,935 - 2,940 - 2,950 🔴 SELL ZONE: 2,955 - 2,957 📍 SL: 2,961 🎯 TP: 2,950 - 2,946 - 2,942 - 2,938 - 2,930 ⚡ PPI Report Tonight – Market Volatility Alert! 📌 The US Producer Price Index (PPI) report is set to release today, a key indicator of inflation at the production level. 📌 If PPI data is weaker than expected, USD could face further pressure, pushing Gold higher. 📌 On the other hand, stronger PPI figures could help the USD recover, leading to potential Gold corrections. 📢 Are you ready for high volatility? Stick to your TP/SL to keep your capital safe! 🚀🔥 💬 Will Gold hit a new all-time high, or is a USD recovery imminent? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Breaks Out – Is a Major Rally Ahead or Just a False Alarm?🌟 Gold Surges 1% as USD Weakens Amid Growing Recession Fears 💰 Market Overview Gold continues to be a safe-haven asset, benefiting from heightened market uncertainty. However, any positive developments in the ongoing negotiations between Russia and Ukraine could lower risk premiums, potentially affecting gold’s upward momentum. 🌍 The trade policies imposed by former US President Donald Trump on key global trading partners previously caused major volatility in the global markets, fueling concerns about economic growth. 📊 Key Economic Data on the Horizon The focus now shifts to the upcoming US inflation reports: 📅 CPI (Consumer Price Index) and PPI (Producer Price Index) are due for release on March 12 and 13. 📌 According to a Reuters poll, the CPI for February is expected to rise by 0.3%. These crucial data releases could have a significant impact on gold’s movement, making it vital for investors to remain vigilant. 📈 Technical Analysis & Trade Setup ✅ Gold has broken out of a parallel downward channel around the $2898 - $2900 range, showing a strong breakout and forming a continuation pattern (CP), surging 15-20 points afterward. 📌 The break of the bearish structure yesterday followed by the sharp rally suggests that gold still has strong buying momentum, underpinned by fundamentals favourable for both USD and gold. 📊 Key Support and Resistance Levels 📍 Major Resistance Levels: $2927 - $2944 - $2954 📍 Major Support Levels: $2899 - $2884 - $2873 📌 Trading Zones 🟢 BUY ZONE: $2884 - $2882 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): $2878 🎯 Take Profit (TP): $2888 - $2892 - $2896 - $2900 - $2906 - $2910 🔴 SELL ZONE: $2943 - $2945 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): $2949 🎯 Take Profit (TP): $2940 - $2936 - $2932 - $2928 - $2922 📢 Final Thoughts 🕵️‍♂️ Tonight, the crucial CPI report will be released, and it could have a significant effect on gold’s direction this week. At the moment, gold’s movement seems erratic on lower timeframes, swinging between highs and lows as the market transitions from Winter-Spring to Summer-Fall. 📌 Traders should remain cautious, waiting for a clearer trend to emerge before making more aggressive moves. Stick to your TP/SL levels to protect your capital. Best of luck and trade safely! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK – MORE DOWNSIDE BEFORE A MAJOR MOVE?🔥 GOLD BREAKS SUPPORT – IS A FURTHER DROP COMING? 🔥 📌 Market Overview As expected in our previous analysis, Gold has broken below its key range, confirming a bearish momentum. The current price action suggests another potential drop toward the 285X zone, before any major rebound. For now, the focus remains on SELL setups as long as this breakdown holds. 👉 Market sentiment remains cautious as investors take profits and reduce risk exposure ahead of crucial U.S. inflation data. 📊 FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS DRIVING GOLD 💡 Trump’s Tariff Policies & Market Uncertainty U.S. President Donald Trump introduced a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico & Canada on March 4th, along with additional tariffs on Chinese goods. Just two days later, he partially reversed his decision, suspending tariffs on Mexican imports and select Canadian products for one month. This inconsistency in policy is adding uncertainty to the markets, reinforcing Gold as a safe-haven asset. 💡 Investors Awaiting U.S. Inflation Data Traders are holding back from taking aggressive positions before the release of key U.S. inflation figures. Higher-than-expected inflation would strengthen the USD, pushing Gold lower. Weaker inflation data could trigger renewed bullish momentum in Gold, potentially driving it toward new all-time highs. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – KEY LEVELS TO WATCH 🔹 Major Resistance Levels: 2,905 - 2,912 - 2,919 - 2,927 🔻 Major Support Levels: 2,866 - 2,858 - 2,845 - 2,825 🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY 🔵 BUY ZONE: 2,846 - 2,844 📍 SL: 2,840 🎯 TP: 2,850 - 2,854 - 2,858 - 2,862 - 2,866 🔴 SELL ZONE: 2,825 - 2,827 📍 SL: 2,830 🎯 TP: 2,820 - 2,816 - 2,812 - 2,808 - 2,800 ⚡️ CONCLUSION 📌 Gold remains in a downtrend after breaking key support – watch for further downside before a potential bounce. 📌 Investors remain cautious ahead of inflation data, while Trump’s trade policies add more volatility to the markets. 📌 Stick to TP/SL strategies to manage risk and protect your capital! 📢 Do you think Gold will drop further before a rebound? Share your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD RALLIES STRONGLY – WILL THE BULLS MAINTAIN CONTROL?💠 GOLD ANALYSIS – 03/05/2025 📌 Market Overview Gold continues its strong upward trajectory, holding firm above key resistance levels. Following the release of ADP Nonfarm employment data, the market responded with increased demand, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. 🔥 Macroeconomic Factors at Play The U.S. dollar (USD) has weakened due to ongoing tariff uncertainties and mixed economic data from the U.S. While there was a short-lived recovery in the dollar late last week, the overall sentiment suggests further strength in gold. Given this outlook, buying opportunities remain attractive as the price action aligns with technical confirmations. 💡 Strategic Focus for Today During the Asian and European trading sessions, traders should closely monitor resistance levels to assess potential early BUY entries. If gold reaches the 2928 - 2926 zone, this could present an ideal setup for short-term SELL scalping, similar to yesterday’s move, which yielded a 150-pip profit. 🔹 Key Support & Resistance Levels 🔺 Resistance Levels: 2928 - 2942 - 2954 🔻 Support Levels: 2904 - 2894 - 2886 - 2874 🎯 Trading Plan for Today 🟢 BUY ZONE: Entry: 2886 - 2884 Stop Loss (SL): 2880 Take Profit (TP): 2890 - 2894 - 2898 - 2905 🔴 SELL SCALP: Entry: 2942 - 2944 Stop Loss (SL): 2948 Take Profit (TP): 2938 - 2934 - 2930 - 2925 - 2920 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 2954 - 2956 Stop Loss (SL): 2960 Take Profit (TP): 2950 - 2946 - 2942 - 2938 - 2934 - 2930 📌 Key Considerations & Risk Management ✔ Risk Control: Strictly adhere to Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels to protect capital. ✔ Market Behavior: Prices may consolidate before tomorrow’s Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) data release, requiring patience and a disciplined approach. ✔ Confirmation Before Execution: Avoid premature entries—wait for clear signals to maximize trade efficiency. 📢 Will gold continue its bullish momentum or face a pullback? Drop your insights below! 🚀🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GBPUSD - An Opportunity To Meet Magic 33I don't normally pay much attention to the forex markets, but a friend on Twitter went into a cable short last month, had some immediate success, and then more or less got stopped out when she went rippy rip to start July. After looking at it 6 times, I think that my friend's bias that the pound is bearish is legit, but that it's too soon to get short. The reason is, if you look at cable on the monthly, it ran out the COVID lows and has clearly been in a confirmed reversal for months. Now, I don't believe in supply and demand zones. If you ask me, certain high price areas are where "supply" is as evidenced by distribution and certain low price areas are where "demand" is as evidenced by accumulation. Hence, on cable, the 1.31 to 1.35 range is where the real "supply" zone is and it's the soonest place you're very likely to find genuine bearish reversals. And the Petrodollar has been in a very strangely not-bearish position all year, which I outlined here when the propaganda machine tried telling us that Wagner Group was about to decapitate Vladimir Putin. DXY - The US Petrdollar And The "Prigozhin Coup" In Russia On the above note, if you crack in the phrase "China-Taiwan War Rhetoric" into the Brave search engine (Google Duck Bing only propaganda), you can find an article that points out that international propaganda outlets have suddenly started pushing heavily narratives about a war between China and Taiwan being close to breaking out. What's really going on is that the Chinese Communist Party is about to fall, and since China is 5,000 years old, the largest country, and abundant in natural resources and skilled labour, everyone is circling the wagons, trying to figure out how to get control of China. But Xi Jinping may just dump the CCP overnight instead, seizing the initiative in the chess match. If that were to really happen, Xi would weaponize the 24-year-long persecution of Falun Gong by the Jiang Zemin faction, which much of the world's governments and corporations have been complicit in as they've courted the toads in Shanghai (Babylon) all these years. So the situation is very geothermal. Very tectonic. Very dangerous. Things can happen any day, and they may happen any day. When that day comes, bond yields up, DXY up, gold down, equities down. VIX 80. Limit down. Big gap limit down. If you want to get long on risk assets right now, you need to be hedged long volatility So, back to cable: If we zoom in on the weekly, we find ourselves quite the obvious spectacle: Inside the most obvious "supply" zone is a weekly gap, that just so happens to sit at the Masonic 1.33. If you want to have yourself a lol, then Google "Rishi Sunak 33" and click the images tab and look at what the state messagers ran for headline photos when he was appointed Prime Minister. So, cable made a new high and that should be bullish. How can we go short, right? This is actually sound logic, because if you go short over old highs you can get gapped and ran on and then liquidated, because the forex market makers are absolute lunatics and like to do this kind of thing. But here's a super notable divergence between Cable and the DXY: Since lines are just lines, just look at the blips that compose the farthest right portion. Notice that cable made a higher high but DXY actually made a higher low? This indicates that DXY is likely about to pump, or at least that Cable making a higher high is really a stop raid. Moreover, look at the maximum "FAFO" that's emerged last week, which started in June, between the "Risk Free Rate" 10Y yield (ZN1 10Y TBond futures, an inverse representation of the yield) and the DXY. Going back to 2022, this has never happened before: Something is up for sure. And so the call for this is simple. Although there's no reversal pattern emerging yet on the cable hourly: If we see one appear on Sunday, or especially Monday London or New York session, it's equitable to find a short to take out the mid June pivot. You've got a potential 300+ pips on a raid back towards the June lows to set up a run to 1.33, which will net a potential 900+ pips if you do it right. If you feel the idea is suspect, well, just take a look at ES SPX Futures, which just did really the same thing and will probably take the low this week: I think the markets are set to decline heavily this year, which means risk off, USD up, something that I outline here: SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' But I also think that we're about a month too early. Well. Do give it your best.
Long
by LordWrymouth
2
What Now With GBPUSD ?- Key points: 1- The fall statement came in the context of weak economic growth, high inflation rates and high interest rates. The Office of the Balance Sheet projected that the UK would be in recession from the third quarter which would last for just over a year until the third quarter of 2023, with GDP falling 2.1% during that time. 2- Retail sales volumes are estimated to have increased 0.6% in October 2022 after a 1.5% decline in September (revised from a 1.4% decline) which was affected by the additional state funeral bank holiday. 3- On November 3, the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) announced that it had raised interest rates for the eighth consecutive meeting. Rates were raised 0.75 percentage points to 3.0%, the largest increase since "Black Wednesday" in 1992. - Technical Analysis: Diving into the technical part, we can see that there's a bearish structure starting from level 1.18700 approx. on the daily timeframe. In addition to that, considering 50&200 MA's starting from 1 hour timeframe is taking a downtrend path, which means things will take time on the daily until things payoff a bit and go bearish. Now speaking of oscillators, even from the daily and down they're all taking the downtrend path. Same with MACD, starting from 4H, and getting to the peak on daily before breaking down. Now channels, donchian, supertrend; were kind of reaching the peak on the daily while as on smaller ones they already broke down. Now, as a nutshell, all these meetings the EoB and the UK did during the last week, due to their importance and the reports they gave in which everyone was waiting for to know what's next, was very necessary to the currency as well for traders to know what path the GBP will take for the next days or even weeks. Now for those who are asking what's the next checkpoint if it went bearish? Well, on smaller timeframes, like the 1H and 2H, there is a major orderblock on a level of 1.17670 approx. In which the price would go for a reversal, or break down more. And to do so, economical events must play it's major role. It depends on interest rates and inflation, as well as the CPI, stuff like these...
Short
by JawadShoukeir
1
Bitcoin holds above $40k after Fed hikeBitcoin (BTC) held above the $40,000 level on Thursday amid a broader uptick in global equities as the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) hiked rates by 0.25% as expected. Fed chair Jerome Powell signaled the U.S. economy was “very strong” and could handle monetary tightening, causing a jump in equities. Meanwhile, the Bank of England will also holds its policy meeting on Thursday and is expected to raise interest rates to their pre-Covid levels. U.S. futures shed 0.51% in European hours while brent crude jumped 4% to near $100. Europe’s Stoxx 600 rose 0.22%, while Asian markets added a second day of gains with Hong Kong’s Hang Sang index rising 7% and Japan’s Nikkei 225 increasing 3.46%.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by chalgfetelec
GBPCAD: Why Buy????? Go On - Shooter_ForexHi, my name is Shooter_Forex . - Pay attention to add GBPCAD. - Zone D1 a bullish signal appears nice price at hard support ( 1.72000 ). - Here, you need to follow more because you need to see The market broke the top (at H1, H4) and if you return, a new bullish signal can BUY up. *** Note areas in order: Demand zone D1, Demand D1 + Demand H4, Demand D1 + Demand H4 + Round Number 1.72000 (Signal = reversal candlestick patterns) I use the following methods: 1. Price Action 2. Supply Demand Zone 3. Risk management: Investment capital ( 4% / deal )
Long
by Shooter_Forex
1