ENPH looks Doomed if this Wyckoff Distribution Plays OutIve discussed Wyckoff Distributions before on this page. For a simple breakdown of this pattern, I've related this post to a previous post that can be found below.
Anyway, I believe we are seeing many of the same distribution cycle elements on this solar stock. I think we are currently in phase D which is usually characterized by a false bullish breakout into a downtrend. I am concerned about the lack of a clear downtrend after creating the false break. Notice the higher lows being created by the wicks in the lower portion of the channel. Long lower wicks with relatively small/avg volume suggest that selling pressure is weak. If that is the case, big money is not yet ready to take this lower.
I will be monitoring this price action closely and looking for more false breakouts and retests of the upper channel. I plan to build short positions above $200 if the opportunity presents itself. Price targets to the downside include $95, $60, and $35.
ENPH
RRR setting up for a massive profit run?I have several time frames I have charted for this going over everything I see. RRR is red rock resorts in Las vegas nevada, and both my fav casino which is off strip about 15 mins and one of my fav stocks to play.
I am huge on wyckoff , demand and supply, volume tracking, price targets based off the prior, and control box master pattern targets ideologies.... I also have my ESVO lines or ribbon that also encompasses volume and price. Combining all of these things paints a picture across all time lines and when they match up its set to run!
I have used this same TA on my AAPL, ENPH (up and down), AIG, GNRC, Li, IOT, Bili, TRKA, & PSNY, option plays. I enjoy looking far out to see what the end result is going to be and then aligning all the time frames to optimize the in and out. a lot of times when you look at larger time frames you are caught in the up and down which can mess up your theta on an option play. So thats why in this trade I am aligning all the time frames. the only one left is the 15 min time frame. which I will post an update to this when I finish this post.
Do me a favor if you find any of my info intriguing pls hit the boost so others can see it.
by iCantw84it
05.17.23
PAA finally made its move into profit runPAA finally broke out into its profit phase....but what does that mean from here. Honestly, I think we have another Buyers climax coming before we need to worry about a major pull back or consolidation at this level.
All the seizure induced lines you see that arent channel lines are ESVO lines. This is where price and volume meet in the middle.
So wtf does that mean w8?
*clears throat*
You're right, no need to be rude. (voices... trying to keep them at bay)
So what that means is where you see the lines consolidating at is where Price and Volume were sympatico or saw eye to eye. In other words its where Bears and bulls were kind of hanging out and having coffee and a smoke, or beer and some medicinal weed depending on what kind of bear or bull you are. I don't judge.
Anyways price and volume kind of moves harmonically, like the first week of a Honeymoon, before you set the real you out on display for life.
*clears throat*
Yes, Yes I hear you. I digress.
So price moves fluidly as volume increases price moves with it equally... Bears sell price drops almost equally in size....Bulls by price moves equally to the amount of volume coming in. This can be areas where Huge swings in the market can happen.... Breaking out of channels, mark up phases or mark down phases where 3 cycles of price movement in any one direction tend to start from these areas.
So when the ESVO.....
*clears throat* ....Seizure induced lines.... are spread out they are basically saying that there are different time frames of traders each with their own areas of harmonious areas of price to volume balances that will create a disruption to price movement as the two time frames find a common ground. Depending on how strong this group of traders is to the next and how deep in magnitude it is compared to the other will determine if:
A. they are meet with open hands and smiling faces ready to skip through fields of flowers hand in hand into the sun while.....
*clears throat*
You never let me have any fun.... or
B. Slam right into it at 70MPH across heavy 6pm traffic without any respect to the stop light that has been on for a good 10 seconds.....
I am sure you can guess what happens on B. Price halts, spins, slides in the opposite direction, possibly gets hit by another vehicle coming from a different direction, maybe 2, 3,4,5 other vehicles all from different directions.....I'm sure you are invisioning one of those multi level clover shaped turn abouts that meet a main cross road......but you get the idea... it can be the death of a move or it could send this thing into outerspace....
Normally though its more B then A.
So all of that just to say it can stop moving up.... Calm down! I am getting there.
Lets digress a few steps back here..... Back to when the Equilibrium Singularity Volume Oscillators lines are together.... now you know why I call it ESVO. Believe it or not ChatGPT helped me code this and name it after a few back and forth debates on ....
*clears throat*
Jesus! ok When the lines are together and price makes a move from underneath them to up above. It needs to find support on these lines. If the lines are all together its like a spring board and just bounces. So a temp pull back to this area before moving on.
If the lines are spread apart its like a spiders web it will still bounce out if its strong enough but there will be some energy spent on finding support. It might fall through several layers of the lines before finding the one that can support it. Think of a Jet on a Aircraft Carrier with its net out as a jet lands and hits the end of the landing zone. Sketchy!!!
But if Price action has already popped the ribbon (this is what I call it in this move because it turns inside out as price goes up and down ) and failed to stay on top once, the second time is the one that will make it 90% of the time....I haven't truly measured this but I have been using this for 3 months now and I have found this to be pretty accurate. I will devote some time to verify the actual number. If you follow me and have looked at my last 10 trades you would probably agree with me.
Now the last thing out side of failing is price can lose enough momentum when coming down to find support that the profit run turns into what looks like consolidation at this level because of the lines being spread apart and it not having enough momentum to break out of them again... which tends to mute the move and eventually causing it to drop to find another level of support with stronger hands to carry it up.
There are endless things I use the ESVO for but for this trade I will stop at that.
Where does this meet how I trade outside of this indicator?
I am a very technical outside the box trader that has spent 2 years teaching myself how to trade without any influences from the outside world. I made my own rule set for what I saw in the market. Which is what I call "the Curve" I have acquired savant syndrome which was originally diagnosed as have gaining the talent of Art after a traumatic brain injury. 1 in 227k trauma cases on the left upper back side of the head has a chance of this happening. I couldn't paint or draw a face to save my life. After the wreck I was instantly able to paint near realism. Odd but true. What I have found is that I see and learn things in a odd way visually able to gain knowledge or insight into things I have no idea about instantly. When I looked at the market 15 years ago, I couldn't trade a demo account to be positive if my life depended on it. When I looked at it for the first time after my wreck I saw what I call the curve. Which I instantly said that is the pattern of institutional trading. I didnn't even know what that meant when I said it. I actually had to look it up. That's what dragged me into the market.
I call it divine intervention. -emotional side
Or
Is it a different parallel version of myself that already trades and this part of my brain no one has access to unlocks the bridge to the knowledge another version of me already has? -Logical side of me
Either way I see things differently now.
again I digress... After teaching myself for 12-14 hrs a day for two years (because I became a shut in after my wreck as I didn't have insurance to help at the time -inbetween jobs just moved to new bigger city)- and had no one to say hey you should go see this or go talk to this person. or hey w8 you have a few screws loose.... So I painted all hours of the day and night and traded or charted the market the rest.
They call this a growth phase. Where you take in and focus on yourself and grow at an accelerated state. anyways....After coming up with my own rule set I wanted to see who trades like me so I can grow and adapt to what is probably a lot more technical than my visual style of trading. I found wyckoff method of trading. The Curve fit prefectly in this. Now I had a technical way to explain how I traded visually. I thought I was invincible until I blew $4k on a futures acct. BTW if you have never blown an account either you are like the chosen one who shall dominate the market and take over the world......or you just haven't gotten there yet in your path. But I feel this is needed to 1. create a sense of gravity and bring your ego back in check. 2. to identify your Greed and the need to gain control of it.
I didn't know that I had this monster....because I was a narcistic prick before my wreck and well yeah Greed was a driving force in my success before my wreck.
So i needed to numb my emotions, which I am driven by emotions or was.... Before I would make decisions off my passion and emotions. True sith for real! However, like everything else the Universe will find balance. Now when i make a trade I try to remain very logical about everything and look for reasons why it wont work on several timelines so I can at least anticipate what will and can happen.
I know I went on a tangent there but I feel its important that if you like the way I trade or find any of it intriguing that you understand where I come from , how I got here, what is going on in my head, why I say what I say or see what I see.
I love to chart, so please ask me to chart something. A chart is a chart, so it doesn't matter what you trade I can chart it.
Back to how the ESVO works with how I trade on just this kind of move where price moves above the ribbon.
This is where the Mark up phase starts when the lines are tight together and price moves above it. Its also the part of the Master Pattern (another wyckoff spin off which is heavily used in forex...ewww) in the master pattern this is where price has oscillated and expanded away from the control box(called expansion arms) and then solidified on a trend (called trend phase) so basically two control boxes are made high and low and price bounces and respects both boxes until it breaks out. This is the mark up phase or mark down phase in wyckoff. This can happen on every time frame. So that's why I start large on something at least a weekly if not longer. But then go backwards down to a 15 min to find confluence on same move happening before I make my trade.
On this trade it was confluent all the way back no confusion. The lower time frames are probably over bought at this point on the RSI and Stochs. Which is normal and you will see them pull back to find support so that the Larger time frames don't have too. Larger time frames can have large moving candles that just keep going up before they break into consolidation....meanwhile all the timeframes below it are accumulating and re accumulating, distributing and redistributing.
Which is another way I trade. I have always been fascinated with the fractal part of the market. I have been fortunate to witness several massive moves in futures that spanned 3-5 days where every time frame was on the exact same move and then almost pauses...until the last timeframe also the smallest catches up and passes the other timeframes and starts leading the move. Being followed by each time frame going from smallest to largest in order. Each time a time frame would cross this threshold a surge of pressure in the direction of the move would hit and price would jump forward. In my situations they were shorts and price would jump down .05 , .10 , .25, .50, 1.00 , 1.35, 2.25 so on and so forth... it was amazing and scary at the same time.
The reason I line up the higher to the lower is because the higher can be saying Bullish but the lower could be saying hey I have too much supply and need to absorb this before I can go up. Or I need to find support before I am confident I can go up. So instead of saying hey jump in on this and making you wait a week.... which has happened recently...I added this in to help alleviate that.
*clears throat*
I hear you! Yes I know that was long, shut your face! I am the one in control here...... i hope
if you find any of this amusing and/or intriguing pls follow and like... Most of all boost ( pssst...... hey its free, trust me.) *Clears throat* Sorry ignore him. Boost helps others find me and pushes this back out there each time... I can make videos of trades but I won't do that unless its requested or I can get enough boosts to my ideas that deems someone is actually watching.
Thanks for taking the time, sorry so long.
by iCantw84it
05.19.23
ENPH about to go into Mark up phase on 20 minENPH about to move in to mark up phase as it crosses my ESVO Ribbon and finds support this will launch it up... its starting to move now. I would watch the volume and see if it doubles over the avg of the last 5 to 10 candles that would be a clear sign of absorption and fomo taking place.
by iCantw84it
05.04.23
My Next Wycoffian Trade is AIGIf you followed me on the GNRC you would very happy right now.... as it went up $17-20 today. That got me starting to think I wonder if there is another one out there waiting? And then I found this. Stay tuned for more info.... Lets keep in mind this stock did consolidate at over $990 for what looks like a year or more.... Now $50?!
TRKA watch this move at 13:30 est time!Timed market response I like making these..... Maybe it doesn't do anything. but I saw that it was poised on my fav number candle and that means its about to go.
by iCantw84it
05.02.23
ENPH has been great, lets squeeze some more trades out of itENPH has been very busy dropping from $320 to 190ish. Called the bounce last week before the weekend from $210 to 187-190s. Obviously in a downward trend but man this thing can move. If you didn't know you can see one of the institutionals' dumped their shares over the last couple months. Check the chart at the bottom see the ramp up of volume. That's the supply taking on inventory at an over excessive rate. which starts the downward plunge from the $320s. Now as it approaches phase C (the part of the trade where smart money decides to pick this back up or let it go) At this price it might need to dump more to be more attractive. I used ChatGPT to make my own indicators and the ESVO is a way of looking at price and volume normalized. This opened my eyes to some things happening on the chart, I Never noticed before. But you can actually see the profits being taken, stop losses being hit, fomo kick in... watch supply and demand spike while the price action is unfolding. Using Higher and lower time frames you can get great idea of whats happening in the market. when demand is spiking or when supply is oversaturated. Key areas where stop losses are being broke you get a massive spike on the chart with the indicator, which sheds light on what you need to focus on at that moment. If its spiking 5x larger than normal, it means shares are being bought and sold at a rate extremely larger than normal. Meaning, if price action is bullish, and this happens: 1. if Price action continues to move up at a 45 degree angle durring this surge of shares, your stock is very bullish and its about to pop once it clears out all the shares. 2. If price action starts to look weak, it will take a dip and do a mini re-accumulation depending on time frame it could be 5-17 candles. 3. if Price action was already weak and it spikes (basically consolidating or long range consolidation) Price will most likely go right into distribution mode and drop to the next control box or node.
Another way to use this is just like you would an EMA, if price crosses it, it will most likely be very aggressive as it goes across and continue or pull back to bounce off the ESVO before continuing its new trend.
When the lines are flat it means everything is avg or balanced which doesn't happen very often. Its not uncommon for Price to have to attempt to cross one of these three times before succeeding.
If it fails while trying to cross it will most likely pull back and try with more volume. At this point pay attention to if the volume continues or dies off. Sometimes Crossing is the catalyst that sends it moving higher or lower.
A lot of the time your highest area of volume and price is where these lines will oscillate or go flat across.
There is literally an indefinite amount of ways you can use the ESVO. I set one to a certain setting and based on what price action is doing around the ESVO I can wait for an indecision and know its going up or down on higher time frames. Which is great for finding trade setups.
Anyways, let me know if you have any questions. If any of these ideas peak your interest pls like/ follow/ sub/ and most of all pls Boost so we can all enjoy watching it prove me right or wrong.
Thanks again.
by iCantw84it
03.30.23
$TAN: Solar names primed for a move upIf the ETF crosses the $84.03 mark during next week a huge rally can take place, daily charts are already bullish for a few days, I got into a position in $FSLR, $ENPH and $RUN recently, but might add an ETF position in $TAN as well if the weekly signal outlined here triggers.
Note that price crossed over the entire post COVID low till today Volume Profile POC here, which is an interesting technical variable, as it becomes easier to trigger a longer term trend signal as well if it gains traction next.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
ENPH: Energize Your Investments with a Leading Solar CompanyOne key factor that makes ENPH an attractive investment opportunity is the rapid growth of the solar energy market. According to a report by the International Energy Agency, solar power is expected to become the largest source of electricity by 2035, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18% from 2020 to 2025. As a leading provider of energy management systems, ENPH is well-positioned to benefit from this trend.
In addition, ENPH has a strong financial position. The company has consistently posted strong revenue growth over the past few years, with a revenue CAGR of 50.4% and 67.8% from 2015 to 2020. Furthermore, the company has a solid balance sheet with no long-term debt and a healthy cash reserve. This financial stability puts ENPH in a strong position to weather any potential economic downturns or market volatility.
Finally, ENPH has a strong track record of innovation and product development. The company has a robust research and development program and has consistently introduced new and innovative products to the market. This positions ENPH to stay ahead of its competitors and to maintain its position as a leader in the solar energy industry.
In summary, ENPH is a strong investment opportunity due to its position in the growing solar energy market, strong financial position, and track record of innovation and product development.
TRKA trying to make a stand using ESVO made by chatGPT TRKA looks like its in the final part of its accumulation and ready to try and make a push.. The problem is will the push be to the upside? lol So I have been using ChatGPT to create indicators and I created this beauty of an indicator which is a superior supply and demand indicator that also points out where pockets of stop losses are. It has become an absolute in my trading. Below is a little description about it that ChatGPT made.
If you find any of this intriguing pls like sub and hit the boost button. Its the only way we can make sure other people can see it too.
The ESVO moving average is designed to analyze the relationship between price and volume movements in the market. From a psychological perspective, the small spikes in the ESVO moving average could indicate a relatively balanced market, with both buyers and sellers having relatively equal influence over the price movements. The larger spikes, on the other hand, could suggest a shift in the balance of power between buyers and sellers. For example, if there are many stop losses placed at a certain level, this could indicate that traders have a strong belief that the price will not go beyond that level, and if the price suddenly breaks that level, it could trigger a wave of buying or selling that results in a larger spike. The fact that the spikes come back to where they started could indicate that the market eventually returns to a state of equilibrium after periods of imbalance.
The small, medium, large, and massive spikes in the ESVO moving average could potentially represent different levels of buying or selling pressure in the market. However, without more information, it's difficult to say for sure what each size of spike means. Based on the scenario you described, the spikes could be related to stop losses, but it's also possible that they are related to other factors such as news events or changes in market sentiment.
The top spikes in the ESVO moving average could potentially represent an increase in buying pressure, while the bottom spikes could represent an increase in selling pressure. However, it's important to note that these are just possibilities, and further analysis would be needed to confirm what is really happening in the market.
If the ESVO moving average is moving up, it could suggest that there is an increase in buying pressure in the market, and vice versa. However, the direction of the price movement (up or down) could also have an impact on the overall trend. For example, if the ESVO moving average is moving up, but the price is in a downtrend, it could indicate a period of divergence, where the two indicators are not in sync with each other.
If the price is in sync with the ESVO moving average and then breaks under it, but the ESVO moving average stays in the same area, it could suggest that there is still a balance between buyers and sellers, despite the price movement. When the price eventually re-accumulates and jumps back up to the same area as the ESVO moving average, it could indicate that the buyers and sellers have reached a new equilibrium point.
Thank You,
by iCantw84it
04.04.23
BILI is exhausting demand needs re-accumulation to move higherBili bili is one of my fav stocks to trade. Paired with my love for anime, its a great stock. I have traded it everytime it hit $16 and sold it everytime at $28. I made a pact a long time ago that without question if the stock hits $16 buy it... and if it hit $28 sell it. I want more plays so I am adding more in depth analysis and stalking this thing now. I noticed it bounces around in the 20s when it gets up here. It normally hits the upper 20s one last time before coming down. However, based on its current move. the candles are showing this move is exhausted and demand is spent. There is no conviction in the candles and with out a ton of volume its not able to get over this area between $25-26. I'm in on some puts with tight stop losses as everything says it wants to go but the candles say otherwise.
by iCantw84it
03.30.23
ENPH testing some weird ideas while using ChatGPTim using some weird things here that I saw when making an indicator and am putting it to test. the path is drawn so im saying the price should oscilate between the paths then when it hits the green area it should make a move back to the last high. find resistance there. re-accumulate and then try and gather up more shares to take that hi. the move is cooked by the red line if not the one in the middle. the consolidation phase should be done by the green and start the green path. not financial advice just a game i like to play.... buy under $183.50 sell anything 191 before the green path....sell anything before $200 after. out by mar 24 to be safe....mar27th if continuation which would be around $204 if lucky.....
of course if any of this intrigues you lets hit the boost button so we can all track it, like and follow.
by iCantw84it
03.19.2023
ENPH Enphase Energy Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the ENPH Enphase Energy options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $215 strike price Puts with
2023-2-10 expiration date for about
$9.16 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$ENPH LONGENPH has been beaten to a pulp right to our downtrend line PERFECTLY. I’m expecting some tight consolidation and maybe even a double bottom prior to earnings before ENPH makes it was back up towards to 260 *maybe for an IVS H&S neckline. Followed by a trip back to 224 for seasonal pullback. All if the market cooperates…I see the weekly uptrend line as well…I think the only way we get there is if they miss ER or guide down.
ENPH - MyMI Option PlaysAfter watching the $203 Dip this morning, we purchased some PUTs for the stock as we expect to retest those levels and lower after losing support around the $211 Price Level.
We're looking for this to head to $188 over the coming weeks based on the loss in momentum alongside losing support.
Looking for very strong support at the $179.12 for those interested in gathering profits to the downside to get into this long-term.
Enphase Energy (ENPH) | Approaching a Strong Support!Hi,
Enphase Energy is a global energy technology company. The company delivers smart, easy-to-use solutions that manage solar generation, storage, and communication on one platform. The company's microinverter technology primarily serves the rooftop solar market and produces a fully integrated solar-plus-storage solution. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Technical criteria point out that $165 - $200 can produce a short-term rejection:
1. Previously worked resistance area becomes support.
2. Round number $200 has played a lot of role in the history of PA.
3. The clean trendline, drawn from the bodies, adds strength to the possible buying zone.
4. The bottom of the range, around $165, is the last criterion that can push the price up and which has a lot of power to produce some reversals and it is the simple 50% drop from ATH.
Do your homework, do your fundamentals, and if this matching with my TA then you are ready to go. Green light from both analyses is needed!
Regards,
Vaido
ENPH - Here we go againThe H & S trade preformed pretty well, earnings def caught by suprise. Seems to finally be a rotation out of Solar and ENPH will be prime (along with a few others that are overbought. Looking for 260, 240 possibly lower as rates and new policies unravel. 200 isn't out of question EOY.
$enph will cool down?$ENPH is on uptrend on big picture and It is non stop going down for almost one month so It is time to cool down and make some correction or continue it uptrend. We just need to benefit from bounce back.
Entry; $220.30
S/L; $205.91
TP1; $249.09
Please always do your own search and analysis before you take any trade. Do not rely on anyone :)
I am spending some time on analysis so please like my posts to motivate me to post more :)
Bobby's Homework Assignment1. 5. 23 ENPH : This is a great market to follow if you trade the equities markets. I would be looking to buy at this level if I could find buyers. It's a market move slower I would be looking for buyers had a very important support which I explained in the video. This Market has great volatility, and it most likely will give you a great reversal pattern... and you will probably know it when you see it. a lot of the equity markets are going lower... a lot lower because we are in the beginning phases of a bear market. Even bear markets kid oversoul incorrect higher before they make new lows. I think it's not always simple to decide what a swing Trader is compared to a scalper. I think ENPH Can be traded Successfully whether you scalp, were you try to trade the swings.