Where is Enphase Stock Moving Next?Enphase Energy NASDAQ:ENPH is following a similar pattern as it did in October 2020. Where it was coming off a rapid runup, slight consolidation, and then a sell-off just a few days before earnings.
Do you think the Solar/Energy stock will start to consolidate until earnings in a few days?
Or are the inflationary pressures just too much of a headwind?
ENPH
Bullish- Long PlayAfter consolidating in a long regression trend for quite some time, SEDG is holding within a triangle while forming an inverse head and shoulders, (orange- neckline). SEDG has earnings on 8/3' along with ENPH. Looking for a run up to ER. Both previous price targets hit (see previous chart), undoubtably a long-term play, should provide multiple good entries. Bullish
PT1- $274.79
PT2- $283.67
PT3- $290+
Looks like SEDG has finally bottomed after quite a long, and in my opinion a much-needed pullback. SEDG recently was upgraded by Goldman Sachs, will be looking for long entries as there appears to be a Cup and Handle forming as well, bullish .
PT1- 260.77$
PT2- $270+
(Boxes are RSI based Supply/Demand zones)
Where is Enphase Energy Moving Next?Enphase Energy NASDAQ:ENPH is coming off an excellent month of June 2021, up over 30% and 82% YTD. Now, we sit about 30-days from earnings with the street estimating an EPS of $0.42.
Is there another period of time where ENPH faced a similar situation and chart pattern? Yes, from mid-September 2020, until mid-October 2020, ENPH ran up over 63% and reached its peaks about 30-days before earnings.
Looking back at the chart could help us understand where ENPH might be heading during July 2021.
Solar and energy storage stocks have been heating up as governments push climate agendas including possible tax credits for each stage of the solar manufacturing supply chain, tax credits for homeowners to install solar power, and other possible incentives and initiatives.
Another company that has benefitted from the current environment is Generac Holdings NYSE:GNRC . They also had an amazing month of June 2021, up over 26% and 84% YTD. Sure, with GNRC the weather plays a role as they sell many generators, but they are also ramping up on their energy storage solutions just like ENPH.
ENPH has a premium micro-inverter product and a growing energy storage business. This has given many analysts reason to place a buy rating on ENPH.
Now looking back at the chart. Comparing the two time periods, then and now, you can see that after the runup in 2020, ENPH consolidated up until earnings were released, and for about 7-days thereafter. Then, there was a spike in volume setting off a bull run that finished the year of 2020 and pushed the stock even higher into 2021. This rally set a new all-time high on January 7th, then another all-time high of $229 on February 10th (right when earnings were released).
Next, we had the great tech rotation sending any stock related to technology lower over the next 90-days. ENPH hit its low of $108 on May 11th. Since reaching the May 11th low, ENPH has climbed 73%, just another 18% and ENPH will be hitting a new ATH.
Now, here's what you came for. Where is ENPH moving next? Well, if history can be our guide, and yes, history doesn't repeat, history rhymes, then we should expect ENPH to start consolidating with a mix of green and red days until earnings. One thing on the chart that is different this time around is lower volume. Now after earnings are released it's anyone's guess. A beat on earnings could push ENPH to new all-time highs and a miss could give long-term investors a great entry point on a stock currently trading at a premium.
Now I will hand it off to you. Where do you think Enphase Energy is moving next?
Solar Energy descending-triangle BreakoutSolar energy ETF is currently breaking out of a descending triangle.
There are multiple resistance levels to take into account. However, a measured move from the current break of the triangle, is taking us to $113 approximately, which is my mid-term target.
MACD has been uptrending while the price has been downtrending, the divergence is bullish signal for this breakout to hold.
The MACD histogram has also been positive for the divergence period.
Volume still needs to improve.
Bullish on ENPH(This is not financial advice)
Hey guys quick energy play on Enphase here. Energy was the biggest winner of this week as I expected and ENPH is one of the biggest companies in this area. ENPH did have a nice run up this week running up over 4% gain from week open to week close but I still see good room for growth. ENPH came out of bullish triangle and is now using old resistance as new support. With the Fib Retracement we have our next price target at 176 completing our W pattern that has been forming as well. If the energy sector continues to boost it could easily push past this as well but otherwise you could just take your profits earlier. This trade will allow for at least a 8% gain and in my opinion even more. All of these things combined with the RSI the EMA's and all other things allow me to be pretty bullish on ENPH.
If you agree or disagree with his idea be sure to let me know in the comments and like and follow.
Thanks!
- Vlaire
ENPH - Look Out BelowLT support on W and M timeframe
PE ~= stock price (170 on 2/23)
Such a high flyer, it needs to come down to reality
From COVID low to ATH, 0.618 fib matches with LT trend (coincidence?).
Currently bouncing off of 26 W EMA, but I expect it to head towards 100, and I may look to buy <120
TAN Don't BurnWe're taking profits in the Solar ETF ticker TAN following a rapid run from an Extreme Turn BUY on Dec 16. Aggressive traders might look at initiating a tactical short on the Extreme Turn SELL signal that triggered our exit. The two largest components of TAN are SEDG and ENPH that both have charts that not surprisingly look the same as TAN and are both into areas of resistance.
The Extreme Turn hybrid indicator identifies potential turning points that can lead to quick countertrend moves.
TAN: Huge topI think we are seeing a massive top in many stocks, solar looks specially vulnerable and it's one of the sectors I'm short of.
If it doesn't break over today's high going forward chances are it is dropping all the way back down...We would need a Biden victory, or a tax law change for this to come to pass though (oil dropping would also help, or subsidies going away).
Oil itself flashed a long term short signal this week, so I like this idea a lot here.
Best of luck,
Ivan Labrie.
TAN long ideaIt looks like TAN the solar ETF is ready to break to new highs. Very bullish. The solar sector has been very lucrative lately. IF TAN breaks above the horizontal red line indicated by the previous high it should find traction. The price is currently above all the supporting averages. Volume is building.
ENPHASE (ENPH): This Chart is Absurdly Bullish✨ New charts every day ✨
Like, Comment & Follow to help the community grow 🎉🎉
---
Enphase (ENPH) has been an absolute beast, not just in terms of its chart, but in terms of other factors like earnings. After another quarter of strong earnings, the premium the market is willing to pay for this microinverter maker makes sense. Despite some risk due to a potential slowdown in the months ahead for the industry, we think there is still room to play the uptrend. As such, all we are looking for here is enough of a pullback in price to give us a long entry.
Resource: seekingalpha.com + www.fool.com + www.greentechmedia.com
---
1. Fractal Trend has been showing an uptrend (Aqua bar color) on the 4 hour timeframe for almost 2 years now. There has rarely been a bad entry since then.
2. With this strategy, we are looking for long setups in an uptrend and as such want to enter long on retests of bullish order blocks plotted by Orderblock Mapping (Aqua) and/or bullish S/R levels plotted by Directional Bias (Aqua).
3. We are currently assuming the uptrend will continue, and as such are looking for a pullback to the nearest relevant support level to enter long. S1 looks like it will give us a great entry if ENPH can pullback enough to let us in.
4. This trade only has two relevant exit conditions. Either we close at our target, or we close if our stoploss is hit.
5. If for whatever reason S1 doesn't hold, we have mapped out a few other key levels to watch in the future. S2 is a good candidate for support on a deeper pullback due to the orderblock and S/R flip. S3 is the last support before the price inefficacy gap below. And S4 is a major support range that represents a final hope for Enphase bulls if S3 can't hold.
6. Lower levels aside, the idea here is simple, we are taking a stock that is in a strong uptrend, looking for a solid entry in that uptrend, and then aiming for an exit that offers a solid risk to reward ratio.
Good luck with this one gang!
review3.17.20
GOLD SILVER DXY COPPER ENPH OIL: I think it's important to know why the dollars going higher, and gold is going higher. when markets have very large corrections lower this forces commercial funds and other traders to sell the good and the bad to meet margin requirements. In 2007 or eight when the market took a nosedive gold went lower and the dollar went lower. The reason for this is that large funds will sell their goal position, and countries will sell their gold position to meet margin requirements or other requirements that are transacted in the dollar. So you may want to buy gold when the markets correcting from a high in the markets moving catastrophically lower, but you may be perplexed why the gold is going lower when everything appears to be so unstable. I misstated the description that you could hear from the fund manager of Brent Johnson of Santiago fund.
if oil is in a bear flag and makes a new low, I would be looking for a buying tail to get long. I think silver will reverse and go higher and that this is a capitulation move even though it has not impressively moved off the recent bottom. I believe the price of silver is near or below the production cost for many of the silver mines, it is ridiculously low, and gold retested at 382 and bounced off of that and looks like it might be heading higher to me. When in doubt, stay out... but you can follow the market anyway. Copper traded the pattern beautifully and came to the support; I think of Copper is one of those markets you don't have to trade frequently which means you don't have to spend all day looking at it. I think ENPH is going to move higher from here.
$ENPH Enhase Energy - Semiconductor Strength (First Stock Idea)$ENPH continues to be on a tear in recent trading sessions, helped both by technical and macro factors.
On the macro front, the headline risk of a trade war has finally receded as the US and China signed their trade deal in January 2020. This has helped to roll back some dark clouds as it relates to global trade flows, especially for geopolitically sensitive products such as semiconductors.
On the technical front, both the RSI and price level for $ENPH continue to be moving higher, within the Rising Channel, which bodes well for this stock. The final "Cherry on Top" from a technical perspective, is the fact that prices appear to have broke higher out of a "Bear Flag" pattern, which is a good sign that prices have more room to run.
If these factors hold, we could see prices reach $35.11 ("Orange Weekly resistance Line") in the next coming days and weeks. However, if these bullish factors run out of steam, traders should be prepared to see prices fall back down to $27.70 level.