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Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Could this be 2024’s comeback?Could we be witnessing one of the most remarkable comebacks of the year? NASDAQ:SMCI surged an incredible 123% in just eight trading days, turning our position back into profit—a scenario that seemed unlikely not long ago. This highlights how patience in trading often pays off. The key reclaim of the Point of Control (POC) at $26.59 is a pivotal development. It’s crucial that NASDAQ:SMCI remains above this level as the week ends, which could also mark a significant monthly close. On the technical side, NASDAQ:SMCI was oversold on the 3D timeframe for the first time since March 2020, which may partly explain the rapid recovery and increased buying pressure. Fundamentally, last week marked the stock’s best five-day stretch on record following the appointment of BDO as its new independent auditor. This move, combined with a submitted compliance plan to Nasdaq, aims to address the delayed filing of its annual 10-K and quarterly 10-Q forms—previously threatening delisting. If NASDAQ:SMCI successfully files these reports, investor confidence could soar, potentially driving the stock much higher. However, failure to meet these requirements could result in a sharp sell-off. While we could have added at the bottom, patience remains critical as the situation evolves. ✅
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Target (TGT): A Buying Opportunity in the GapAfter three months of waiting and planning this setup on NYSE:TGT , we are finally buying shares following the recent drop into the desired breakout gap. Before this move, the stock hovered around the Point of Control (POC), making a breakout in either direction inevitable. This decline now provides a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio, setting us up to aim for the all-time highs once again. If the level of wave (4) is breached, we will need to reassess our bullish outlook and consider a potential deeper correction. However, the setup remains promising as the 78.6% and 88.2% Fibonacci retracements align perfectly with the lower edge of the gap. Historically, NYSE:TGT ’s oversold RSI since 2019 has led to a minimum 50% pump in four out of six cases, further solidifying our bullish view. The next critical level to watch is $180—reclaiming this resistance will be crucial for continued upward movement. Until then, we will stay patient and monitor the situation. ✅
NYSE:TGTLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
QUALCOMM (QCOM): Diversified Growth Amid DowntrendQualcomm ( NASDAQ:QCOM ) presents an intriguing setup as we believe the wave I and a larger cycle might have concluded. Following its peak, NASDAQ:QCOM has dropped nearly 30%, retracing back to the range high. To finalize wave (A), we expect an additional leg down to complete the intra 5-wave structure. The likely target lies between $143 and $133, a range that aligns well with the Point of Control (POC) from March 2020 to now. This adds confluence to its significance as a potential support zone. Despite the technical setup, we caution that the risk for a long position remains high. A more favorable entry could arise once NASDAQ:QCOM reclaims the range, validating the start of a potential bullish wave. For the current quarter, Qualcomm projects revenues between $10.5 billion and $11.3 billion, with automotive sales anticipated to rise 50% year over year. CEO Cristiano Amon’s strategy to diversify Qualcomm beyond smartphones into chips for PCs, cars, and industrial machines underscores the company’s adaptability. The next financial results release is scheduled for January 29, 2025, offering further insights into Qualcomm’s trajectory. The $143-$133 range is a key zone for potential support, bolstered by its alignment with the POC. A decisive break below this zone could invalidate the bullish outlook, while a breakout above the range high may provide an opportunity to long this stock with lower risk. The completion of wave (A) would ideally coincide with a structural turnaround. We are closely monitoring NASDAQ:QCOM for any signs of a reversal. Should the stock confirm a reclaim of the range, we may consider initiating a long position with a more precise stop-loss strategy. Until then, patience and vigilance are essential.
NASDAQ:QCOM
by freeguy_by_wmc
Shopify (SHOP): Preparing for a Long-Term Entry at $49.62Considering Shopify, the situation is unfolding as we anticipated. We expected the beginning of 2024 to potentially mark the peak for Shopify with the completion of Wave (1), indicating a Wave 2 correction. This correction is likely to find support between the 63.8% and 78.6% retracement levels. Currently, the pattern is showing lower lows and lower highs, suggesting that further price declines may occur, potentially closing existing gaps. Our strategy is still developing, but we plan to place a long-term entry at $49.62 with a stop-loss at $31.
NYSE:SHOPLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Shopify (SHOP): Continuing Sell-Off!Shopify (SHOP): NYSE:SHOP We've reintegrated Shopify into our portfolio after a lengthy period without analysis, believing we've witnessed the conclusion of a Wave 5, thereby completing this cycle (1). Consequently, we are now in Wave (2), anticipated to be a three-part correction downwards. Our target retracement ranges between 50% and 78.6%, equating to $57.60 and $38.24, respectively. The subordinate Wave 4 at $45.50 represents a critical level for Shopify, potentially marking a turning point. As long as we don't surpass the Wave 5 peak of $85.50, we don't foresee an upward continuation. Should we form Wave A, an Expanded Flat exceeding Wave 5 but not surpassing 138%, might be observed. If this threshold is breached, our current scenario would need revision, possibly interpreting the subordinate Wave 4 at $45.50 as our Wave (2), indicating we're in Wave (3). Unless this scenario unfolds, we maintain the view that we're in a downtrend, awaiting a significant Wave 2 correction. However, falling below 78.6% would likely lead to a sharp decline towards $23.64.
NYSE:SHOPLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Buying US100 "NASDAQ "Buying the CAPITALCOM:US100 Is a good idea for a re-entry Indicator for Bitcoin, Gold and Silver. This is what am noticing. It's difficult for me to stick To recommendations of Bitcoin Because majority of the audience Respond well to stock option trades Found on retail brokers. Nothing wrong with stock options Just make sure you don't buy More than 5x leverage. Because you will lose money From the volatility This price follows the 🚀 Rocket Booster Using the following reasons: 📈The price is above the 50 MA 📈The price is above the 200 MA 📈The price is moving in a gap up trend Well in this case the price has hit a correction. Buying a correction or reversal can be scary and most beginners won't do it. The problem with buy or sell signals is the hush volatility. But if you master risk management then you good. Buying corrections is good as well but it requires patience As for me with my aggressive nature I buy both on volatility and corrections. The key is to take profit in both if you are an investor then you can hold for longer periods. Trade safe. Remember to 🚀 Rocket Boost this post to learn more. Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky you will lose money wether you like it or not please Learn About Risk Management And Profit Taking Strategies.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by lubosi
Silver (XAGUSD): Anticipating a correction after new local highsTwo out of our three Silver positions remain active, with Silver reaching a remarkable high near $35. Today, we decided to fully close our second position, locking in substantial gains. The first position, initiated at $26.30, will remain open with a stop loss placed slightly below $26, aligning with the high-timeframe support and wave 1 level. Given current analysis, a correction in Silver may be on the horizon after reaching the minimum target for wave 3. With increased Treasury yields and some profit-taking, Silver could face resistance in climbing further, especially considering the upward trend in yields. While we cannot predict the exact speed of this potential downturn, if it unfolds as expected, we’ll look to re-enter with Silver certificates around the $30 to $28.30 range. The ideal correction would see a pullback toward the volume range high and a subsequent bounce within the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone, which we’ll confirm once wave ((a)) is established. Stay patient and focused, as volatility is expected to rise with the upcoming presidential elections.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by freeguy_by_wmc
Bitcoin (BTC): Rally Fueled by Election SpeculationBitcoin’s recent momentum seems unstoppable, and if it continues at this pace, we could see it challenge the All-Time High soon. Is the rally driven by election speculation? Quite possibly. Former President Donald Trump's growing lead over Vice President Kamala Harris is creating buzz, with decentralized prediction markets like Polymarket reflecting a widening gap between the two candidates. Trump's odds surged 13 points ahead of Harris by October 15. While Larry Fink may downplay the election's impact on the market, we disagree, as we anticipated Trump's increasing odds would begin influencing market sentiment. The recent surge in Bitcoin ETF inflows supports this view. With $550 million in inflows yesterday alone, the spike suggests that institutional investors, rather than retail, are fueling this rally. Institutional adoption continues to grow steadily, benefiting our spot BTC positions, which are printing gains once more. Ignoring a brief dip below the trend channel, Bitcoin has consistently respected it, aligning well with the support zone. Currently, BTC is trading slightly above the trend channel, facing resistance from an order block. While this resistance may hold for a while, we anticipate it will eventually break. However, a slight dip before that would present a valuable buying opportunity, which we aim to capitalize on. Zooming in on the VWAP chart, BTC has reclaimed the 2024 Q1 VAH but is now trading within a 12-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). A pullback here would be ideal for positioning ourselves for the next leg up. With multiple levels aligning, we have two entry points prepared, and a flexible stop-loss strategy to manage the trades in real time.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Crude Oil (CL1!): Why We’re Still Expecting Lower LowsAt the end of last week, we fine-tuned our Crude Oil outlook, and we are still expecting lower lows to take out the sell-side liquidity below. Our limit order at $63.23 remains valid, even after last week’s pump, which was driven primarily by rising tensions and the ongoing war in the Middle East. Oil gained 13% over five sessions following Iran’s attack, as traders feared Israel’s response might target Iran’s oil infrastructure, potentially cutting into the country’s 1.7 million barrels per day of exports. There are also concerns that a broader war in the oil-rich Persian Gulf could threaten nearly a third of global oil output. However, the geopolitical risk premium may be fading due to Israel’s delayed response. The geopolitical risk premium has an unclear and unpredictable expiration. When that moment comes and is not supported by real, fundamental factors—such as a substantial supply shortage due to the conflict—the upward movement in oil prices will not be sustainable. The longer this takes, the more the price increase will slow and potentially reverse, which is exactly what we are starting to see in the chart. While Crude Oil respected the 61.8% Fibonacci level almost perfectly, it found stronger resistance at the POC just above that level. Given the bearish RSI divergence, we continue to expect Oil to move lower, provided the conflict in the Middle East does not escalate further.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by freeguy_by_wmc
Uber (UBER): Missed the Rally? Here comes new opportunitiesIt's been a while since we last looked at Uber, and the stock has moved perfectly since then. Uber reacted exactly as expected to our desired area, but unfortunately, we didn’t buy any shares at the time. If you did, congratulations – this position is now up 60.8%! Shares of rideshare companies Uber Technologies and Lyft surged on Friday, following Tesla's underwhelming Robotaxi reveal. Uber has shifted its focus away from developing autonomous vehicles and is instead concentrating on expanding its marketplace for riders and drivers. This shift has created a robust network effect, making it increasingly difficult for competitors to match Uber's scale, according to a recent report by Business Insider. Uber’s asset-light business model, which doesn't involve owning or maintaining vehicles, has been financially successful, generating $1.7 billion in free cash flow in the second quarter. Now, Uber has reached a new all-time high, and if we look back at the chart, it's easy to see a clear and powerful pattern. After entering our desired area, Uber made a sharp V-shaped correction, followed by a key level retest. In a short period, NYSE:UBER turned bullish, marking a complete turnaround. We will be closely watching Uber Technologies' upcoming earnings report, scheduled for October 31, 2024. After this event, we’ll update our chart and look for possible new opportunities.
NYSE:UBERLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
15
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Time to buy in after a -70% drop!Since our first analysis a while ago, we've been inching closer and closer to our target area on $SMCI. Since then, we've seen a price drop of 40%, which is far from irrelevant, with the stock retracing nearly 70% from its peak. We're witnessing a clear and recurring pattern here—what we call the "staircase to hell." Each push to a level has been met with rejection, which is exactly why we see a buying opportunity forming. We are now making our first bid here as a market entry. This is intended to be a swing trade that we plan to carry into 2025, with a target of reaching previous highs again. Therefore, we're not worried about getting a "perfect" entry within 1-2% but instead setting a DCA bid a bit lower for an optimal position if NASDAQ:SMCI comes down further. Below the market entry, there's an important Fibonacci cluster that combines the 200% target of Wave C, the 78.6% retracement of Wave (2), and a target for Wave ((v)), all aligning well. With these multiple levels coinciding, there's a strong possibility we will see the price reach this zone. If so, we’ll place another bid to buy more shares. If NASDAQ:SMCI manages to flip the first resistance, we expect it to move up quickly. As we always say, patience is the key to successful swing trading—don’t let greed or fear cloud your decisions 🤝.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by freeguy_by_wmc
10
KO (Coca-Cola): Ready to Bid on the PullbackIn our last analysis on Coca-Cola, we discussed waiting for the right opportunity to bid on $KO. We believe that opportunity has just presented itself. The stock has seen a solid surge over the past month, which is impressive for a defensive stock like Coca-Cola. The price has now tapped the trendline we mentioned previously, suggesting a possible chance to long the intra wave ((iv)). The RSI is currently heavily overbought, which further aligns with our expectation of a pullback, and Coca-Cola has also respected the 161.8% Fibonacci level quite well so far. Our plan involves making two entries for this setup. First, we aim to bid at the 38.2% level within the support zone, and if the price continues downward, we will place a second bid at the golden pocket level around $61.24. This two-step entry strategy will allow us to use Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) to lower our average entry price. Ideally, before reaching our target entry zones, we would like to see some kind of a three-wave corrective structure develop in NYSE:KO , which would further confirm our entry strategy. We will continue to monitor and provide updates as we approach the levels of interest.
NYSE:KOLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Crude Oil (CL1!): Waiting for the perfect entry after declineWe have continued to see crude oil prices fall lower and lower since we first analyzed it five months ago. The recent price decline is largely attributed to a worsening demand outlook. According to Commerzbank, the post-pandemic normalisation of demand growth in China has sharply deteriorated. Between April and July, oil demand was even lower than the previous year, and data released last weekend offers little hope for improvement in Chinese crude oil processing for August. Additionally, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has revised its forecast for global oil demand down to 900,000 barrels per day, with China accounting for just 20% of that growth. What was once a driver of demand is now seen as a drag on the market. The IEA projects that oil demand in China will rise by 260,000 barrels per day by 2025. With the continued struggles of global oil demand on one side and Middle East tensions on the other, it makes sense to set a limit order on crude oil as we closely watch how well NYMEX:CL1! respects the key levels on the chart. We're still targeting the $63.23-$57 range for a potential buy-in as we continue to monitor the market for an ideal entry point.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by freeguy_by_wmc
4
Apple (AAPL): After the Gap Close, What’s Next?In our last analysis, we perfectly predicted the top for Apple at $233, and since then, the stock has been declining due to multiple factors. Apple dropped nearly 3%, driven by concerns over weaker-than-expected demand for the latest iPhone model during its first weekend, according to a securities analyst at TF International in Hong Kong. China’s performance continues to drag on Apple’s financials this year, particularly in the first quarter when sales dropped by 24%. Full-year sales from China are expected to reach $60 billion, down from $72.6 billion in 2023, which accounted for a significant portion of Apple’s $383.3 billion overall revenue. For now, we maintain a bearish outlook for Apple after the stock completed a gap close and was rejected at the 88.6% Fibonacci level. However, we are still eyeing an entry point and getting closer to it. We’re now placing a limit order to catch a potential dip. Our primary target is a possible double bottom around $196. While the price could dip even lower, we are playing this with a wider stop-loss and may use a DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) approach, as multiple entry points could emerge. Let’s see how the next few days or weeks unfold!
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
2
NIO (NIO): 55% Increase but Bearish Trends Still LoomA while back, we analyzed NIO, and recently, we’ve seen a considerable 55% increase in the stock price. However, despite this rise, nothing truly convinces us that this bearish trend has ended or that a sustainable upward movement is underway. The critical factor here is that none of the key levels that need to be breached for a trend reversal have been crossed. Specifically, we’re looking at the current Wave ((iv)) level around $6.04. If this level isn’t breached, it’s likely that we could see further declines, possibly dipping into the $2.99 range—or even lower, potentially as far as $1. It may seem dramatic, but considering NIO has already dropped up to 62% since January, repeating such a decline isn’t out of the question. In conclusion, the market remains quite weak, and we’re still cautious about the possibility of more significant setbacks. Always remember, it’s okay to stay on the sidelines and not invest in everything that catches your eye. 🤝
NYSE:NIOLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
29
AUDCHF / TECHNICAL ANALYSIS / FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS ~ PROPFIRMThis is my analysis for audchf, the graph shows fundamental analysis and technical analysis. This entry mentioned here is open with sell top in my propfirm account *Fundingpips* 100k. Everything is clear, I didn't detail the fundamental analysis, I just put it as a final observation, as the fundamental analysis is done with a set of information and rate cuts. Feel free to comment, this is just my entry, it doesn't mean I'm 100% right, sometimes the market isn't right.
Short
by bruno_ovelheiro
Shopify (SHOP): Is It Just the Beginning?Shopify has been one of our best entries this year, and we remain very bullish on it. From a technical analysis perspective, it's hard to make a bearish case for this stock. We've even seen a change of structure after catching the bottom on SHOP. We've already taken some profits off the table and moved our stop loss to break even for the initial trade. We're now expecting this surge to continue, and as a result, we're planning to place another limit order on Shopify, aiming to buy more if the price moves into the $59.38-$54.59 area. We prefer to enter manually to avoid getting triggered by any sudden news events. If our analysis is correct and this is indeed Wave 2, we could see a really nice rally in the near future on Shopify, potentially breaking the $90 mark and moving even higher. Let's see what Shopify has in store for us next.
NYSE:SHOPLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
3
The SAFEST Entry Technique - 18 Period Moving Average MethodA great deal of viewers have contacted me asking how I "time" the market. In other words, once I've identified a market as "set up" (via COT strategy or Valuation Strategy), how do I get into a trade. This video is the first in a series that will outline the entry techniques that I use. 18 PERIOD MOVING AVERAGE ENTRY METHOD: By far, this method is the safest change of trend confirmation that you will find. There are other entry techniques that will get you into the market sooner, sure. But those other entry techniques come with greater risk, and could be called "bottom picking" to some degree. The 18 Period MA Entry Method is simple. STEP 1: Plot the 18 period SMA on your chart based on the closing price. STEP 2: For LONGS , you need to see two full range candles form ABOVE the MA. From there, mark out the highest high of those 2 candles. When price trades up into that high, the trend has officially changed to bullish. For SHORTS , you need to see to full range candles form BELOW the MA. From there, mark out the lowest low of those 2 candles. When price trades down into that low, the trend has officially changed to bearish. CAVEAT: We do not count inside bars (bars that form within the range of the previous candle). If you see inside bars, skip them and continue your 2 bar count. STEP 3: Enter at market when high/low is breached. Risk management is something I will review in another video, but generally, I add/subtract 120%-150% of the 3 bar ATR. CLARIFICATION: To be clear, this entry technique should not be traded blindly. You need to have a REASON to take the trade (for example, COT strategy suggests a market is setup for a trade, or the Valuation/Ducks in a Barrel setup suggests a market is setup for a trade). CREDIT: I credit Larry Williams, Tom DeMark, Brian Schad & Jake Bernstein for their influence in these ideas. If you have any questions about this entry technique, feel free to shoot me a message. Good Luck & Good Trading.
Education
by Tradius_Trades
2
Apple (AAPL): Swing Entry on the HorizonLast time, we narrowly missed the entry on Apple by just a few dollars, and after that miss, the stock no longer presented a compelling opportunity, so we decided to wait. However, after observing from the sidelines for a few months, it seems that another chance to secure a profitable swing entry might be approaching. To increase our confidence in this potential opportunity and secure a better entry point, we need to closely monitor further movements from this tech giant. The current price action strongly suggests that a flat pattern might be forming following the recent drop. If this flat pattern does materialize, it could manifest as either a regular flat or an expanded flat, and this will be crucial in determining our entry target zone. At this stage, the area between $200 and $180 seems the most probable and attractive for a potential entry. Given the broader market trends and Apple’s recent performance, this zone could offer a favorable risk-reward ratio. We’ll be watching for any developments that confirm this pattern and provide a clearer signal for entry. Stay tuned for further updates as we refine our strategy and prepare for a possible move on Apple.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Snowflake (SNOW): Potential Bullish Flip on the Horizon?In our last analysis on Snowflake, we were focused around the MOAT level, which was lost after the analysis. However, we respected the HVN edge low quite well, and since then, we haven't seen any significant new lows. If Snowflake can hold its current level and avoid retesting lower zones, we could potentially see a flip in the market structure toward a bullish trend. If this scenario plays out, we’ll be actively looking for long setups for SNOW. We'll keep you informed on whether this bullish scenario materializes or if lower prices prevail.
NYSE:SNOW
by freeguy_by_wmc