EURO set for a fall so time for short entryThe Euro is getting pressured by the rally into the USD which we expect to see continue. There are a lot of buyers that are lined up to get squeezed back out of the action so a lot of fuel for the move lower. Expect that price will hold below the 1.1793 zone so happy to short on a push below 1.1766. See how this plays out...if he action goes to plan then we expect to see a good squeeze down to 1.1620.
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Entrysignal
DAX sitting at support as bears lick their lipsThe DAX recently broke down below a key daily bid zone (support) and is now sitting right on another around 11960. With the numbers of covid cases on the rise in Europe and further restrictions to come, sentiment is turning very negative for the economy. We are now watching for a big move down and will be looking for a lower high to work from. Either a retest up towards 12309 and then short or a break then retest of 11960.
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USDJPY set to breakdown and take out recent buyersThe USDJPY is set to repeat the previous price action so we are again looking for a lower high that will put the squeeze on recent buyers. The momentum is starting to fade and sellers jumping into the action so just waiting for the entry setup.
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RVI TUTORIAL OIL EXAMPLE 5/5 WINNERSSo I am going to breakdown an indicator that I have featured alot in my trades, so if we look at the crude oil chart here, we can see that in total we have 5 notable crosses of the rvi indicator, 3 bearish trades and 2 bullish trades for a total of 510 pips, 5 winners out of 5. Now the magic of the indicator is that it is both an entry signal and an exit signal, enter on cross exit on cross to maintain maximum pips. Personally i find relative vigor index very useful when used in conjunction with good trading ideas and good structure analysis.
GRMN 1D BIG THREE SUBCHART INDICATOR LONG TRADEBig Three SubChart Indicator turned Green after the Day Candle Closed for an Entry Signal.
Big Three SubChart Indicator shows a Long Entry Signal when the SubChart Bar turned Green after the Day Candle Closed.
Entered Long Trade at Daily Candle Close.
Close Trade when Bar changes to Yellow or Red.
AUDJPY 1H EMA STRATEGYExponential Moving Average Strategy
(Trading Rules – Sell Trade)
Our exponential moving average strategy is comprised of two elements. The first degree to capture a new trend is to use two exponential moving averages as an entry filter.
By using one moving average with a longer period and one with a shorter period, we automate the strategy. This removes any form of subjectivity from our trading process.
Step #1: Plot on your chart the 20 and 50 EMA
The first step is to properly set up our charts with the right moving averages. We can identify the EMA crossover at the later stage. The exponential moving average strategy uses the 20 and 50 periods EMA.
Most standard trading platforms come with default moving average indicators. It should not be a problem to locate the EMA either on your MT4 platform or Tradingview.
Step #2: Wait for the EMA crossover and for the price to trade below the 20 and 50 EMA.
The second rule of this moving average strategy is the need for the price to trade below both 20 and 50 EMA. Secondly, we need to wait for the EMA crossover, which will add weight to the bearish case.
We refer to the EMA crossover for a buy trade when the 20-EMA crosses below the 50-EMA.
By looking at the EMA crossover, we create an automatic buy and sell signals.
Since the market is prone to false breakouts, we need more evidence than a simple EMA crossover. At this stage, we don’t know if the bearish sentiment is strong enough to push the price further after we sell to make a profit.
To avoid the false breakout, we added a new confluence to support our view. This brings us to the next step of the strategy.
Step #3: Wait for the zone between 20 and 50 EMA to be tested once when selling (and at least twice when buying,) then look for selling opportunities.
The conviction behind this moving average strategy relies on multiple factors. After the EMA crossover happened, we need to exercise more patience. We will wait for 1 successive and successful retests of the zone between the 20 and 50 EMA.
The successful retests of the zone between 20 and 50 EMA give the market enough time to develop a trend.
Never forget that no price is too high to buy in trading. And no price is too low to sell.
Note* When we refer to the “zone between 20 and 50EMA,” we actually don’t mean that the price needs to trade in the space between the two moving averages.
We just wanted to cover the whole price spectrum between the two EMAs. This is because the price will only briefly touch the shorter moving average (20-EMA). But this is still a successful retest.
Now, we still need to define where exactly we are going to sell. This brings us to the next step of the strategy.
Step #4: Sell at the market when we retest the zone between 20 and 50 EMA for the third time.
If the price successfully retests the zone between 20 and 50 EMA for the third time, we go ahead and sell at the market price. We now have enough evidence that the bearish momentum is strong to continue pushing this market lower.
Now, we still need to define where to place our protective stop loss and where to take profits. This brings us to the next step of the strategy.
Step #5: Place the protective Stop Los 20 pips above the 50 EMA
After the EMA crossover happened, and after we had two successive retests, we know the trend is down. As long as we trade below both exponential moving averages the trend remains intact.
In this regard, we place our protective stop loss 20 pips above the 50 EMA. We added a buffer of 20 pips because we understand we’re not living in a perfect world. The market is prone to do false breakouts.
The last part of our EMA strategy is the exit strategy. It is based again on the exponential moving average.
Step #6: Take Profit once we break and close above the 50-EMA
In this particular case, we don't use the same exit technique as our entry technique, which was based on the EMA crossover.
If we waited for the EMA crossover to happen on the other side, we would have given back some of the potential profits. We need to consider the fact that the exponential moving averages are a lagging indicator.
The exponential moving average formula used to plot our EMAs allow us to still take profits right at the time the market is about to reverse.
Because the market goes down much faster, we sell on the 1st retest of the zone between 20 and 50. For a Buy trade we wait for 2 retests of the zone. After the EMA crossover happened.
How to Trade With Exponential Moving Average Strategy.
The exponential moving average is the oldest form of technical analysis. It is one of the most popular trading indicators used by thousands of traders. In this step-by-step guide, you’ll learn a simple exponential moving average strategy. Use what you learn to turn your trading around and become a successful, long-term trader! A moving average can be a very effective indicator. Many traders use exponential moving averages, an effective type of moving average indicator, to trade in a variety of markets.
An exponential moving average strategy, or EMA strategy, is used to identify the predominant trend in the market. It can also provide the support and resistance level to execute your trade.
The Exponential Moving Average EMA Strategy is a universal trading strategy that works in all markets. This includes stocks, indices, Forex, currencies, and the crypto-currencies market, like the virtual currency Bitcoin. If the exponential moving average strategy works on any type of market, they work for any time frame. In simple terms, you can trade with it on your preferred chart. Also, read the hidden secrets of moving average.
Let’s first examine what a moving average is and the exponential moving average formula. After, we will dive into some of the key rules of the exponential moving average strategy.
Exponential Moving Average Formula and Exponential Moving Average Explained.
The exponential moving average is a line on the price chart that uses a mathematical formula to smooth out the price action. It shows the average price over a certain period of time. The EMA formula puts more weight on the recent price. This means it’s more reliable because it reacts faster to the latest changes in price data.
An exponential moving average tries to reduce confusion and noise of everyday price action. Second, the moving average smooths the price and reveals the trend. It even sometimes reveals patterns that you can't see. The average is also more reliable and accurate in forecasting future changes in the market price.
There are 3 steps for the exponential moving average formula and calculating the EMA. The formula uses a simple moving average SMA as the starting point for the EMA value. To calculate the SMA, take the sum of the number of time periods and divide by 20.
We need a multiplier that makes the moving average put more focus on the most recent price.
The moving average formula brings all these values together. They make up the moving average.
The exponential moving average formula below is for a 20-day EMA:
Initial SMA = 20-period sum / 20
Multiplier = (2 / (Time periods + 1) ) = (2 / (20 + 1) ) = 0.0952(9.52%)
EMA = {Close - EMA(previous day)} x multiplier + EMA(previous day).
The general rule is that if the price trades above the moving average, we’re in an uptrend. As long as we stay above the exponential moving average, we should expect higher prices. Conversely, if we’re trading below, we’re in a downtrend. As long as we trade below the moving average, we should expect lower prices.
The AUDCAD is coming under pressure looking for new lowsThe AUDCAD is struggling at the 0.9542 zone as sellers keep price down. Price has already failed at the 0.9572 level and now is set to pressure buyers for a move lower. Watching for a move down through 0.9516 and then a lower high for a sell entry setup.
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NEOUSDT |25% Long | when is the Time ??| 1DIn 1D view of BINANCE:NEOUSDT chart we have a strong support level which pushes the price above this are. Therefore we need to watch the chart for a signal for entry and that signal is our resistance level. If the price moved above this area we can put our long.
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USDJPY Forex Pair AnalysisUSDJPY is under pressure and set to break down through 105.400 as long as price holds below the 105.600 zone. We are watching for a break down through the level and then a retest and hold as sellers take control for a squeeze on recent buyers. Price failed to break up through the 105.750 zone so we expect to see a run lower soon. If price pushes back up to test 105.700 again then the setup may be off the cards.
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Bitcoin is under pressure and set to move lowerBTCUSD is holding a lower high and set to squeeze out recent buyers for a move lower. If the 10900 high holds then we expect to see pressure down and a move below 10606 towards the 10195 level. The action looks similar to the move down off 11150.
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The Pound is coming under pressure and setting for a break lowerThe GBPUSD is under pressure and may cave in if the Dollar rallies. We are watching now for a break down through 1.2820 off a lower high after previous washouts of resistance and trapping of buyers. If the momentum down continues we are happy to jump in short on a shoulder entry setup. Watching now for a retest and hold for the 1.2850 zone.
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Gold needs to find support and soonSpot Gold has been hurt by a run higher into the USD and buyers will need to hold some support soon. We are watching the 1868 zone to see if buyers react and start a squeeze on sellers for a run up. The latest trend is down and momentum may be enough to push price even lower which would open up a move down to 1794. We expect to see a reaction around 1868 although only time will tell whether a higher low will stick for a buying opportunity and for recent sellers to be squeezed back out of the action.
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Ethereum is in a prime position for a run higherEthereum is building a base for a run higher and is in a prime position for continuation. Momentum off the highs has stalled but we expect to see buyers support the 315 zone for a run up. Price still has some work to do and only the brave are buying now so watching for a retest below 355 and higher lows to hold for the expansion move higher.
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Does the bounce today on the ASX mean the bulls are backThe ASX was hit hard yesterday only for the bulls to come back today and ramp prices back up....it is just like the selloff yesterday was a mistake...or the bulls took the day off.
On the flip side, is the spike down yesterday a sign of some volatility to come. Price is now at an important level where we may see either a run back to 6200 or a lower high hold.
Both the bulls and bears have a good argument....bears, the economy is struggling, inflation easing, unemployment rate spiked etc....for the bulls...ahh....momentum.
As long as the US continue to drive to new highs, expect the ASX to hold in the new range....but if the cracks start to appear in the US, a break of 5886 will be on the cards.
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Gold bulls are starting to get active again gunning for new highGold recently pushed up through 1957 out of contraction so we are eagerly awaiting for the coming expansionary phase to test or break the 2070 zone. Bulls and Gold bugs are licking their lips in anticipation and watching the retest closely. We expect that price will need a deeper move back below 1957 to clean out some more buyers before the move up can get underway. Watching for the higher low for the entry long.
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