Equinor (EQNR) | Technically a Great Opporunity!Hi,
Long story short, technically the price of EQNR has started to approach an interesting price level. A lot of criteria are matching and from my point of view, those who have waiting for an opportunity to jump in then you can slowly start building your position. Obviously, after you have done your homework about fundamentals - this, what I share here, is basically pure technical. If you find something interesting from fundamentals as well then you have two green lights from both analyses and you are ready to go!
Criteria inside the marked box, starting from the highest
1. Equal waves from the top
2. Previous yearly highs starting to act as support levels (highs from 2006, 2008, 2014, 2019)
3. Fibo golden ratio 62%
4. 50% drop from the all-time high.
5. The round number 200 NOK
Hopefully, it will work as good as previous Equinor ideas:
1)
2)
Good luck,
Vaido
EQNR
Equinor (EQNR) Roadmap 2023Equinor is showing clear signs of Elliott Wave structure from it's ATH.
Tracking this as wave 4 still in progress, and will be looking for a correction of this downtrend upon completion of the fifth wave.
All in all, a simple roadmap on what to expect for the rest of the year.
ECB playing it cool; hope it won't have to drop it like it's hotINVESTMENT CONTEXT
According to the minutes of the latest Federal Open Market Committee meeting held in early May, policymakers remarked the need to keep raising the Fed's interest rate, noting that "a restrictive stance of policy may well become appropriate depending on the evolving economic outlook and the risks to the outlook"
Russia heavily cut interest rates for the second time since the beginning of the war in Ukraine, bringing it from 14% to 11% as annual inflation cooled from 17.8% in April to 17.5% as of May
Thematic investment management giant Fidelity sees increased recession risk as volatility is set to persist
After the collapse of LUNA, Terra project has voted to preserve the community and launch of a new blockchain, LUNA 2.0
PROFZERO'S TAKE
While markets ambiguously read the minutes from FOMC meeting in May, ProfZero sees a rather coherent stance by policymakers, who won't refrain from exacerbating the already tightening monetary policy in order to tamp down inflation. What stood as a surprise to ProfZero was instead Ursula von der Leyen tone at Davos, where the EU Commission President said the EU won't be rushed into withdrawing monetary stimulus, and that supply-fueled inflation should not cause investor "panic". ProfZero concurs inflation in EU is largely imported; yet it fails to agree with Madame von der Leyen - the EU is caught between ailing growth, sticky inflation (flat around 7.5%) and threatened by massive debt loads (Italy above all). A tangle monetary policy alone may hardly undo all on its own
Crude oil bull run is persisting deep into Q2, thus likely translating into yet another bumper quarter for energy majors. With Brent crude firmly above USD 100/boe and European natural gas (TTF) futures above 80 points after years below 20, ProfZero expects more good news for investors in the segment, especially in the form of greater dividend stability and buyback plans. Yet, as now several energy stocks trade at all-time highs (Cheniere, LNG; Chevron, CVX; Equinor, EQNR), ProfZero cautions against potential steep reversals should catalysts form to put a lid on prices - the ramp up in U.S. shale gas production should already alarm industry players, while on the opposite side it would play as a highly welcomed agent of deflation for economies at large
When one of the world's most respected macroeconomists shares his views, ProfZero stands, and listens. Olivier Blanchard warned about swelling inflation as early as February 2021; now the former MIT Professor and Chief Economist at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) sees a "0.9 probability" the economy will return to a low-interest rates scenario, overcoming the tendency for markets to "focus on the present and extrapolate it forever". ProfZero has long been advocating in favor of keeping "cool heads" and focusing on underlying value fundamentals. Professor Blanchard would be proud to know
ProfZero is really puzzled about the dynamics of semiconductor industry. One of the key commodities of the future has been in chronic undersupply for over a year. Yet, sector equities fail to impress, despite the apparent surge in pricing power. NVIDIA's (NVDA) beat on top and bottom line (USD 8.29bn revenue vs. 8.10 forecast; USD 1.36 EPS vs. 1.29) sent the stock sliding 7% in the after market, plunging it down 50% since the November 2021 peak. ProfZero well remembers how beaten energy stocks were during the pandemic, before roaring back in 2022. Is the same narrative brewing the semiconductor space?
EQUINOR (EQNR) | Technically a Good Investment OpportunityHi,
Equinor ASA (Norway) , an energy company (lately renewable electricity also), explores for, produces, transports, refines and markets petroleum and petroleum-derived products, and other forms of energy in Norway and internationally.
Break above the downwards trendline, break above the strong horizontal price zone.
Break confirmed and we can enter around 140-153 NOK.
Good luck,
Vaido
EQUINOR (EQNR)Hi,
Strong support around 115 - 130.
Technical criteria:
1) Historically the third strong rejection from the round number 100
2) Rejection from the Fibonacci retracement level 62%
3) Historically strong support area
4) 50% drop from the recent top acting as a support
5) The trendline
Regards,
Vaido
EQUINOR (EQNR) | Important Signs For Further Growth!Hi,
Equinor ASA , an energy company, explores for, produces, transports, refines and markets petroleum and petroleum-derived products, and other forms of energy in Norway and internationally.
Fundamental pros:
1. Trading below its fair value.
2. Good PE and PEG ratio.
3. Earnings are forecasted to grow.
4. A lot of insider buying.
Technical pros:
The correction, which started at the end of 2018, has started to show some positive signs for further growth.
1. The price has made a breakout from the down-trendline aka counter-trendline. Counter-trendlines breakouts are a pretty powerful tool to follow, especially when we have a really strong starting platform as Equinor has it at the moment.
2. Actually, the price made a breakout a couple of weeks ago and it has already retest it and again, it got a rejection upwards - the trendline which worked previously as resistance becomes support.
3. The trendline starts to work as support and there are also Weekly EMA 200 and Monthly EMA 50 which also should act as support levels.
So, we have a pretty solid support level under the current price which is very good considering the breakthrough the counter-trendline.
To show that mentioned "strong starting platform", we have to dig into the Monthly timeframe:
The price got a pretty amazing rejection from a super-strong price level, it stays between ~150-160. A lot of criteria matched almost perfectly (strong support, AB=CD, Channel projection, Fibonacci golden ratio, EMA) and the rejection formed the strongest candlestick pattern ever lived (massive hype :D) - Monthly timeframe "Morning Star" has formed around the strong area!
It depends on your investment horizon but the good entry should stay between the current price, 173, to 160 (in case it makes a tiny correction) but as said previously - luckily we have strong support just below the current price. The first target is around the psychological number 200 which should offer us about 17-20 percent profit.
Do your own research and if this matching with mine then you are ready to go!
Please, take a second and support my effort by hitting the "LIKE" button, it is my only FEE from You!
Best regards,
Vaido
OBX / Equinor Spread Trading StrategyBased on the example explained in the Tradingview Wiki for Spread Charts (www.tradingview.com).
Pairs trading involves trading two separate instruments simultaneously in order to execute a single trade.
Pairs trading is a popular way to alleviate some of the risk of trading. The idea is that you find two highly correlated symbols (or two very lowly correlated symbols) and enter a position in both symbols. If the pair is highly correlated, they should move in the same direction.
Typically, an opportunity presents itself when the pair ratio breaks through a threshold that is a certain number of standard deviations away from their average standard deviation.
You would then, go long in the symbol that is under-performing and short in the symbol that is over-performing.
When the pair moves back towards its average deviation, you would then close out both positions.
Many technical analysts use the Bollinger Bands indicator to spot pairs trading opportunities. In example, Bollinger Bands are set to be 2.2 Standard Deviations away from the average.
It is important to note a number things in regards to pairs trading:
A pairs trade is designed to be market neutral. This means that because of the positions that you take in two separate instruments, the direction of the market will not effect the position. The trade is designed to profit from the relationship between the two instruments, not the direction of the market itself.
Correlation moves along a scale of -1 to 1 with 1 meaning the instruments are perfectly correlated. Keep in mind that pairs trades can also work with pairs that are extremely negatively correlated (close to -1). When setting up a pairs trade with negatively correlated instruments, you would want to enter the positions when the two contracts are closer together than usual with the anticipation that they will move apart in opposite directions. In this case, you would enter positions in the same direction for both instead of going long in one and short in the other.
Another important piece of the puzzle is position size. The whole idea is to be market neutral. Therefore, you would not simply enter the same number of shares or contracts for each instrument. You would want to create the same actual dollar value in both positions. If you strictly use an equal number of shares on both sides and the dollar value of the two instruments are wildly different, then the side with the higher dollar value will have way too much weight in the trade.
The key to pairs trading is the correlation between the two instruments. One thing that many traders fail to realize is that the correlation between instruments is ever changing. Even during the course of a trade, their correlation can change. This is why correlation is important to always monitor when in a pairs trade. The trader should be prepared to exit any trades which have drastic changes and correlation.