EQT
Natural Gas back at Covid lows!The widow maker continues to bleed lower and squeeze longs.
This is the exact opposite of a short squeeze. We're going through a long squeeze.
This commodity is at extreme low levels. Covid low levels when the GDP was contracting.
I believe an epic bounce will arise, but this has a history of extreme price action.
Natural Gas resource stocks are making bullish reversals, usually a good sign of a near bottom.
Vale or Yale? Brics or Books EPS winning streak, Dividends Paid
Business Summary
Vale S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells iron ore and iron ore pellets for use as raw materials in steelmaking in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through Ferrous Minerals and Base Metals segments
$BOIL #NG Buy the dipI've been bullish and trading natural gas (BOIL EQT RRC) for a while now and recently sold on the last pump to 2.6
I'm reloading now, as I'm looking at a few things technically I like
-Price appears to have found support on a flattening 20DMA , and will next watch to see if we start trending up
- The low in May was higher than April , and almost forming a rounded base if we can sustain higher than May's low , it will be a good sign
- Strong support at 2 putting in a triple bottom now - even if we go lower, in the longer term as long as we stay above 2 , your entry of say 2.15 won't really matter when we're at 5 !
- EQT and RRC are both flagging and keeping their gains so far, looking for more upside , which of course depends on NG but is providing bullish confluence .
Natural Gas & Energy UpdateNatural Gas is on watch for a technical Breakout
We got a bullish daily close on Natural gas today.
Its the first time Nat gas has had 2 daily closes above the 50 day moving average since it started the nasty downtrend.
EQT Natural Gas Domestic Player will Top Soon$50-52 in a week or two would be ideal
this is over-cooked and the macro-tailwinds can rapidly become headwind
anti-ESG sentiment is at all time highs
People are now conditioned to believe in a Fossil-Fuel Super Cycle, to protect them against failing Tech investments from 2021
EQT - Upward Above Middle LineEQT has broken above its dominant downtrend in red and above the middle line of this triangle structure formed
It is looking for a bull continuation pattern towards the top of the triangle structure
I have drawn this with multiple bars patterns
Bullish on this Weekly timeframe
EQT Flare-Off Top Somebody tell Toby Rice Sell Them SharesWhat Is Tragedy of the Commons?
The tragedy of the commons is an economics problem in which every individual has an incentive to consume a resource, but at the expense of every other individual—with no way to exclude anyone from consuming. Initially it was formulated by asking what would happen if every shepherd, acting in their own self-interest, allowed their flock to graze on the common field. If everybody does act in their apparent own best interest, it results in harmful over-consumption (all the grass is eaten, to the detriment of everyone)
Popular support for alternative energy has been very high for years. But it harms corporate profits.
The top is near for the fossil fuel energy mini-cycle, demand destruction will be the narrative this summer
Natural Gas - surges +12% to YTD highsNatural Gas surges +12% - lifting producers' shares to YTD highs
Range Resources $RRC & other natural gas producers ripped to 52-week highs today as U.S. front-month natural gas soared to its largest one-day gain since Sept a year ago - closing at +12% to $5.898/MMBtu
Today's settlement is the 2nd highest this year after the front-month contract hit $6.312 on 10/05/21
52-week highs today - $CHK +9.1%, $RRC +6.3%, $AR +5.7%
Scoring big gains - $CRK +9%, $SWN +7.4%, $CTRA +5.9%, $EQT +5.2%
#LongLNG
Natural Gas --- ( 2 0 2 1 ) Swing TradeAlas! I am free to post what I want thanks to the help of everyone's contribution thumbs.
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The Natural Gas setup for 2021 is not only fundamentally bullish, it's a technical trader's gassy dream.
Welcome to the G a s i n o.
Macro View
From a macro view we can see that prices are now at the bottom of a historically supportive range. The previous deviations that dipped below this range were due to the bearish sentiment as production was trending up. This is no longer the case. Sentiment has now flipped cautiously bullish as supply/demand balance is expected to remain tight.
Bullish Indicators
First, we can see the weekly MACD is decisively bullish and above the zero line. This confirms momentum is going to likely remain bullish longer term.
Secondly, looking at the Commitment of Traders (COT) report on the indicator below the MACD, we see that Asset Managers and Speculators are more interested in long positions than usual. Should be plenty more next year.
Thirdly, prices are maintaining above the 50 week EMA.
Not to mention the inverse head and shoulders that is under construction. You heard it here first.
The Trade Setup
Now, if we overlay two important contracts for Summer(orange) and Winter(blue), we can start extrapolating potential targets. Current prices for either one are at the bottom of the range. This is what large speculators are looking at. This is where I am going to start accumulating starting with Summer. In addition, I am also buying dips of EQT as producers will benefit from stronger prices over the next couple years.
Looking at the August 2021 contract, prices have broken out of the down trend.
Today, in anticipation of a large swing trade next year, I opened a starting long position on the mini contract (QGQ2021) @ $2.78
I welcome dips and estimate a sell target somewhere well north of $3.00
TBD
Trading is risky, don't do it.
Long EQT and
QGQ2021 +1 @ 2.78
EQT: potential longer term major gainer.EQT is a major producer of natural gas. I think there is a good change natural gas has finally bottomed. This chart looks very promising to me. I have taken a small long position today. Will add if we get break up out of the bullish looking flag on the daily and more if it breaks up out of the long term down channel.
Have a good week. Process and trade your way.
Other natural gas producers to consider are AR and RRC.