LINKUSD- Scalping-Day trading- NO SWINGI'll be closing it by day’s end. I prefer not to hold any positions with U.S. elections on the horizon. This feels like the calm before another storm.
Setup details:
Risk-Reward Ratio: 3R
Risk Capital: 3%
Take Profit: Partial profits at the first target; once hit, I'll move the stop-loss to breakeven (BE).
Equalhighs
Bitcoin - The dump before the massive pump !!!By now a lot of traders and investors are very nervous about Bitcoin's next move, and justifiably, I don't think many people saw this particular setup coming, although it is normal for Bitcoin to have such volatility.
However, In the above chart, we see a particular situation which could present itself with various moves and targets. This is combined with a possible Black Swan event (meaning large scale military conflict) or even significant loss of confidence in the petro dollar, due to external influence such as BRICS and the mere fact that the USA is printing more $$$ into their way into oblivion and hyper-inflation. Why does it matter if the USD takes a hit? Unfortunately at this current point in time, Bitcoin seems to be +80% correlated with the S&P500.
Thus, we are at a critical point in the market where, based on previous price action (chart history) and some issues that have affected and/or will affect the market, we now have 5x Potential targets as follows:
Target #1 = Daily FVG+OB: Range between $57,736.05 to $59,535.00
Target #2 = Daily Gap: Range between $45,288.65 to $46,800.00
Target #3 = Daily Gap: Range between $44,396.50 to $45,242.12
Target #4 = Daily FVG+OB: Range between $43,399.98 to $44,331.10
Target #5 = Daily FVG+OB: Range between $40,300.24 to 41,394.34
Target #1 is where the current price is centered inside a DAILY FVG + OB. This would be the optimal reversal point, however going by my Level count, we are still in Level 2 which means an inevitable drop again to a lower price point, either within the Lower FVG+OB range between $52,088.00 to $54,476.47 or to one of the lower targets #2 through to 5. My guess is there will be another dump, either due to some financial issue or possible military action in the Middle East or Ukraine. I labelled this as Possibility #1 in the chart above.
Target #2 is where price action could come down to one of the Daily Gaps and then reverse. I see this as a low probability move, especially due to the fact that Bitcoin has an irritating habit of retracing back to 98% of it's previous high.
Target #3, again, could come down to one of the Daily Gaps and then reverse.
Target #4, is a high probability reversal point where due to the Daily FVG + OB being where most of the liquidity would be held, seems the most logical target before a solid reversal. I have labelled this as Possibility #2.
Target #5, is a high probability reversal point due to the Daily FVG+OB as well as it being at the 98% retracement point that Bitcoin seems to so often follow. I have labelled this as Possibility #3.
Therefore at this point in time, due to the many issues currently under the microscope together with potential conflict escalation in the Middle East and/or Ukraine, and the level count showing a level 2, I see it highly probable that the current boxed reversal zone will be invalidated and we will achieve a much lower reversal point more than likely between Possibility #2 and Possibility #3.
Note that I am still very bullish on this, even though the DAILY EMA shows BEARISH trend, it is only temporary as the WEEKLY EMA is still very much BULLISH !
I shall update when price action reveals more useful information.
Turbo preparing for more upwards move but there will be pain!Turbo's price action is currently in what looks like a level 1 move, however this could be invalidated if the equal DAILY lows are taken out by a liquidity sweep.
However that should be short lived as there is significant resistance in the form of an FVG and Gap in the 'Discount' zone, below the 0.50 Fibo, as we are still in a Bullish Trend with current DAILY and WEEKLY EMA in a bullish cross.
The painful areas could be anywhere between the Gaps (0.004970 ~ 0.0040016) or even as low as (0.0034710 ~ 0.0029715). However in my opinion price action won't breach the 0.004000 value, unless with a fast wick to the down side before reversing.
The bullish targets are the Equal Highs (where liquidity is lurking) as well as the previous High where additional liquidity is lurking in the form of bearish stops on the futures markets.
All in all, based on my analysis, is that Turbo will continue to surge forward, at least to a target of anywhere between 0.01 to 0.10 cents, even possibly higher, based on market sentiment and interest in this token, which I must add is based in Real Art with a very interesting background story of how it was created, with the assistance of both a strong community and Chat GPT AI.
Why You Should Avoid Trading Standard Patterns: Deeper AnalysisTrading based on technical analysis is a popular way for traders to identify market opportunities. One of the most common methods of technical analysis is the use of chart patterns. These patterns are recognizable formations created by price movements on a chart.
Traders use these patterns to identify potential areas of support and resistance, as well as trend reversals. However, there are several reasons why you should avoid trading standard patterns:
1. Widespread Awareness and Anticipation:
Standard patterns are well-known and widely anticipated by market participants. This means that they are already priced in, making trading them a low-probability strategy.
2. Potential for False Signals:
The formation of a pattern on a chart does not guarantee the expected outcome. In fact, standard patterns can often lead to false breakouts and failed trades.
3. Difficulty in Trading Effectively:
Trading standard patterns effectively requires a high level of skill and experience. Without a deep understanding of market structure and price behavior, traders can easily fall victim to false signals and whipsaws.
Advantages of Trading Liquidity Patterns:
Liquidity patterns offer a more effective and reliable alternative to standard patterns. These patterns are based on the concept of market liquidity, which refers to the ease with which an asset can be bought or sold without impacting its price. By identifying areas of high and low liquidity, traders can gain an edge in the market.
In-depth Analysis of Popular Patterns:
1. Double Bottom:
The classic double bottom pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that forms when the price of an asset makes two consecutive lows at the same level, followed by a rally.
However, the standard double bottom pattern has a significant drawback: it leaves liquidity below the lows, which can lead to false breakouts and failed trades.
A more effective way to trade this pattern is to look for a lower low. This occurs when the price makes a new low below the previous two lows. This indicates that the market is absorbing all the sell liquidity and is ready to move higher.
2. Triangle:
A triangle is a consolidation pattern that forms when the price of an asset ranges between two converging trendlines.
Traders often look for breakout trades in triangles, but this can be risky.
False breakouts are a common occurrence in triangle patterns.
This is because market makers often manipulate the price to induce traders to break out of the pattern, only to reverse the price and trap them in losing trades.
A more effective way to trade triangles is to look for liquidity grabs. This occurs when the price moves outside of the triangle, only to quickly return back inside. This indicates that market makers are taking liquidity from the market and are preparing to move the price in the opposite direction.
Practical Tips for Trading Liquidity Patterns:
Always trade with the trend. Liquidity patterns are most effective when they are traded in the direction of the overall trend.
Use stop-loss orders to protect your downside. This will help to limit your losses if the trade does not go your way.
Be patient and wait for the right setup. Don't force trades and only take those that meet your criteria.
Additional Considerations:
Market context: It is important to consider the overall market context when trading liquidity patterns. For example, patterns are more likely to be successful in trending markets than in range-bound markets.
Risk management : Always use sound risk management principles when trading, regardless of the pattern you are using. This includes using stop-loss orders and position sizing appropriately.
False signals: It is important to be aware of the potential for false signals when trading liquidity patterns. Not all patterns will lead to successful trades, and it is important to be prepared for losses.
BNB: Manipulative Moves in TriangleBNB has become the focal point of attention lately, caught within the confines of a significant triangle. What makes this setup intriguing is the consistent formation of equal lows at the bottom, an enticing prospect for market makers. These stable lows create an ideal opportunity for market makers to trigger stop losses hidden beneath these levels and propel the price higher.
The Art of Manipulative Moves:
Cryptocurrency markets are rife with manipulation, and BNB is no exception. Its current state, stuck within a giant triangle, provides an ideal playground for manipulative actions. Market makers can exploit this pattern by creating false impressions, triggering stop losses, and generating volatile price movements.
Exploiting the Imbalances:
Moreover, on the weekly chart, there are lingering open imbalances waiting to be addressed. Market manipulators might seize this opportunity to rectify these imbalances, a move that could potentially fuel further upward momentum.
Trading Strategy:
Caution and Vigilance: In an environment marked by manipulation, caution and vigilance are your best allies. Stay alert to sudden price movements and be prepared for unexpected volatility.
Solidify Your Strategy: Reinforce your trading strategy, incorporating robust risk management practices and stop-loss orders to protect your positions.
Stay Informed: Keep a keen eye on the market and stay informed about news and events that could influence BNB's price.
Conclusion:
BNB's current situation within the giant triangle is a testament to the complexities of the crypto market. While patterns and setups offer valuable insights, it's crucial to acknowledge the presence of manipulative forces. As a trader, your ability to adapt, remain vigilant, and navigate these manipulative maneuvers will be your strongest asset.
Remember, in the crypto world, knowledge is power. Stay informed, trade wisely, and may your journey in this dynamic market be filled with success.
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EUR/USD Short - July 17 '23We are currently on a very high premium zone on EUR/USD. Formed lots of liquiidty with equal highs as well. Price liquidated higher forming a bearish engulfing candle on the H1 timeframe. Now price is closing the bearish engulfing candle imbalance and shifted market structure as well. Price above the NY opening price. Targeting a very nice zone of imbalance below. Lots of zones to rebalance below. Aggressive reversal trade, good luck traders!
BTCUSDT LIQUIDITY STRUCTUREBTCUSDT price has been experiencing upward movement toward the previous SELL IMBALANCE & LIQUIDITY VOID created by previous sharp SELL OFF , so it is wise to consider SELL around these levels
Also price is reaching the BUY SIDE LIQUIDITY above previous EQUAL HIGHS at 32500
there are still strong UNMITIGATED SUPPLY LEVELS on the way and it is smart to consider SELL POSITION to the target of UNMITIGATED DEMANDS and FVG's around 24k$ to 20k$
If market want to become BULLISH it must clear the SELL SIDE LIQUIDITY first , which this HAS NOT HAPPENED yet , so I'm waiting for SELL ENTRY above previous EQUAL HIGHS to the target of DEMANDS from previous upward move that they pull the price down like GRAVIGY
CRVUSDT Daily S/R| Psfp| .618 Fibonacci| Equal Highs Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – CRVUSDT – trading in a consolidation with a clear set of equal highs that are likely to get taken,
Points to consider,
- Price action impulsive
- Daily S/R Support
- .618 Fibaoncci Support
- Equal Highs Objective
CRVUSDT’s immidie price action is trading in a consolidation that will breaking in the coming days.
A breaking down needs to hold at the current area of confluence, that is with, the Daily S/R, Psfp, and the .618 Fibaoncci, allowing for a bullish bias.
The immediate objective is the Equal Highs, exveeding this level will lead to a larger rise
Overall, in my opinion, CRVUSDT is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps,
Thank you for following my work
And remember!
“You create your own game in your mind based on your beliefs, intents, perception and rules.”
― Mark Douglas
EURUSD isn't turning yetAs most people are looking for eurusd to make a turn back down we keep seeing it rally up not knowing when it will stop but i have an idea of where and thats what i'm gonna share with you today,
as you can see on the chart looking at it on the daily we have equal highs wich are attracting price to that supply zone, maybe once they are out we'll be able to start taking sells again, hopefully soon to continue with a bear year for eurusd, i might make another post on macroeconomy and fundamental analisis just to explain why eurusd will be going down this year.
USDCHF: Supply Trap 🚀Don't underestimate the dollar strength, although we are trading at a key supply level, take note of the price delivery and equal high liquidity to the left.
We could either push up aggressively from here or see a lure trap before hunting liquidity.
Either way, my bias is set on buys.
🚀Thanks for your BOOSTS and support🚀
💬Send your comments and questions below, I'll be glad to talk to you💬
$NVDA - Seasonal Tendencies burning out - March will be The TimeI'm not one to pick what stocks are going to do, But knowing that Smart Money will work on every Market, I believe this is the best-case scenario. Price seemed to have hit a low around 208., then make a short term high near 240, and them come right back down before it moved higher than that 240 high breaking market structure. And it has not created a lower low. This tells me that we should be on a pivot in price that should start taking us to higher prices. Yes, we'll still get pullbacks, but I don't believe we're going to be getting lower.
In Smart Money, there is basically 3 stages to the market cycle. 1. Manipulation (to scare you into selling) 2. Consolidation (To Keep you guessing if the market will ever come back so you sell more) 3. Distribution. (Now that retail; was dumb to sell all of their assets, the deep pockets have bought everything up cheap. I believe we were going through manipulation at mid-November early December - and I believe the consolidation is beginning to where we may see the price maybe a run and come down, run come down, run come down, you get the point. Look at this chart for example.
This is primarily a long consolidation period on NVDA betweeen August 2020 and July 2021. So I know it may seem discouraging right now with the Nasdaq stocks not doing too well. I saw hang tight, this happens. We've been through worse. If anything it's a good time to learn how to scalp Crypto and Forex.
Also if we hit the erntry I have marked three take profit areas, because you always want o take home something for every trade because it could turn against you.l
Good Luck and Good Trading.
NASDAQ:NVDA
BCBA:NVDA
NVDA
MOEX:NVDA-RM
MIL:NVDA
SIX:NVDA