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TRICK OR TREAT - CORRECTION PLAYBOOKHello! I hope many of you have been prepared for a pull in the indexes. The whole move lower right now is fueled by the fact that nobody owns protection into November, which is crazy considering there are elections coming, and now suddenly all the fund managers and retail crowd are slowly starting to realize it. The correction is very much needed to let some air out of the overblown equities market. I am expecting a pull below /ES 3200 level , which is then going to be followed by a multi-day squeeze to punish some stubborn bears getting involved. After that, catching the short ain't gonna be easy and there will be all kinds of games being played by different market participants. But at the end I am expecting us to bottom near the /ES 3000 level . Good luck! Tonis
Editors' picks
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by neilzo
10
BUY INTEL (INTC) on any dip towards the $48 support areaBy looking at the daily chart, we can see the strong bullish rally that took the price from the March 23rd lows of around $44 to the June highs at $64, for an outstanding 45% increase in just couple of months. However, the stock didn’t stay there for long as a combination of a high profit taking interest and some further selling pressure took the price down again at the end of July to the $47-48 strong horizontal support zone. Since then, we have seen a volatile and choppy sideways price action between $48-52 levels. The stock is currently sitting at the $54 mark after an attempt to make an upward break out of the above-mentioned range. However, we see multiple different and also strong resistances that are currently threatening the current bullish move. We can find the 100 DMA lying at the $54 mark and the strong horizontal resistance at $56. Today’s price action on the daily chart shows a bearish rejection candlestick, which in turn confirms the strength of the above-mentioned resistances and indicates that there might be further selling pressure ahead. This up move was anticipated as the stock built a meaningful support base around the $48 mark throughout the last couple months. However, we believe that the stock market in the US currently holds a lot of intrinsic risks - COVID-19, the upcoming presidential elections, the economic recovery etc. - which would probably mean that we could be in for a continued sideways and choppy price action in the coming months. At any rate, we our analysis shows that the uneven capital allocation across the different market sectors will continue to support the tech sector as well as the stocks in it. The large institutional investors will start looking for places to reinvest the tremendous profits that they have generated from the likes of ZOOM, TESLA, NETFLIX, Shopify etc. throughout the last 3-6 months, which will lead them to stocks like INTC! We are bullish on the INTC’s stock and believe that any profit-taking corrections would give us a great opportunity to buy the stock at a good discount. This, in turn would give us a chance to maximize our profits to the upside, once the stock resumes its uptrend movement. Furthermore, some of the technical indicators that we are monitoring closely (50 DMA, 100 DMA, Bollinger Bands, RSI etc.) are currently showing exhaustion of the recent up move and are signaling that a potential return-move to the $48-52 range might occur very soon. This will be the right time to jump on the bullish Intel train, that will take you up to the $60 mark in the coming weeks and months. Our long-term target levels are $61 and $66 respectively. Sincerely, DowExperts
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by DowExperts
6
High Net Worth Strategies - What is High Net Worth Investing?What is High Net Worth Investing? In order to understand what high net worth investing is, you need to understand what a high net worth individual (HNWI) is. A high net worth individual, as the name suggests, is a wealthy individual with at least $1 million in liquid financial assets. In the financial industry, the high net worth status is based on how a bank wishes to classify its clients. There are two characteristics that classify you as a high net worth individual: Having considerable liquid assets. Having many investable assets. As wealth accumulation increased and more and more people have become HNWI, a new class of wealthy people has been created, namely the ultra-high net worth individuals. An ultra-high net worth individual (UHNWI) is someone with at least $30 million in liquid assets. Now that you understand what it means to be an HNWI or UHNWI, let’s learn some high net worth investing strategies used by HNWI. How Do High Net Worth Investors Invest? Imagine if you could use the same investment principles as the high net worth individuals. The high net worth investors have a large amount of capital available for investing. So, how do high net worth families invest their capital? The traditional asset allocation model for high net investors is 60/40: 60% equities 40% Fixed Income (bonds) This asset allocation model provides a diversified and more balanced source of income. While it is a rule of thumb, it is still very useful. Equities will pay investors dividends, while bonds will pay investor interest. This can be considered a form of passive investing. These types of investing strategies for the high net worth investor will also benefit from stock price appreciation. At the same time, bonds offer stability and income predictability. The traditional asset allocation model of 60/40 served investors very well in the 80s and 90s, during a time when interest rates were much higher. Today, bond yields are at the all-time record low, so the traditional asset allocation model won’t work that well in the current environment. So, it’s necessary to adopt different high net worth strategies. And, that’s exactly what we’re going to discuss below: Investing Strategies for High Net Worth Investor. The high net worth investors are the type of people who know what to do if someone gives them $1 million. Ask yourself this question: If you were to inherit today $1 million, would you spend the money? Or, would you invest the $1 million? If you’re not going to spend the money, then where should you invest $1 million right now? Well, the first step is to search for the best brokers for fixed income trading for high net worth and start from there. You should also diversify your investments and seek opportunities that have enhanced return potential and favorable tax treatment. Currently, many traders are realizing the old asset allocation model is changing. Instead of using the broken 60/40 asset allocation model, traders are becoming a bit more creative and are currently experimenting with new approaches. With the new approach, the high net worth individuals are able to diversify their investment beyond the standard stocks and bond model. Here is an investing strategy for the high net worth investor that includes attractive alternatives. See below: High Net worth Strategies #1: Asset Allocation Strategies Asset allocation is the process of deciding how much of each asset class (equities, bonds, real estate and cash) you should hold in your portfolio. There is no optimal asset allocation model as it all falls back on the money managers’ ability to seize attractive risk-adjusted return opportunities. For example, a typical high net worth asset allocation model looks something like this: 50% equities 10% infrastructure 10% private equity 10% real estate 10% hedge funds 10% fixed income The time horizon of this type of asset allocation model is much bigger. This type of investment is typically held for years. Nowadays, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is widely used to quantify the correlation between risk and the expected return. As the Harvard Business Review explains, CAPM sees risk and return as being decided by a portfolio exposure to market beta. Check out HERE what is Beta in trading. By combining the US stocks and global stocks into a portfolio, this will improve the risk and return relative to each of the stock selection. Compared to stocks, bonds are less risky, but they have lower expected returns. However, most stock model portfolios work well if they include growth stocks, which bring us to the next investing strategies for the high net worth investor. High Net worth Strategies #2: Growth Stocks Buying and holding growth stocks is a form of passive investing favored by the high net worth individuals. For example, if an investor has invested in Amazon stock back in 2015, the investor would have increased the investment by more than 700% by mid-2020. Growth stocks may or may not offer dividends (the certainly offer fewer dividends than blue-chip stocks), but they remain attractive because they produce returns through share price appreciation. Growth stocks also come with tax advantages because the investor is not obligated to pay taxes while holding the stock. Additionally, if you hold the stock for more than one year, your gains are taxed as long-term capital gains. The long-term capital gains are taxed at a lower rate than the short-term capital gains. We’re going to outline additional strategies for establishing asset allocation. See below: More Investing Strategies for High Net worth Investor. If you want to achieve to optimize asset allocation and minimize risk, you need to look into the different approaches that high net worth individuals use. We’re going to summarize for you five of the most common asset allocation strategies used by HNWI: 1 - Strategic asset allocation adheres to a proportional combination of assets based on expected rates of return. For example, if stocks historically returned 15% per year and bonds have returned only 5%, you would put more weight on stocks. 2 - Constant-weighing asset allocation strategy – with this approach you constantly adjust your portfolio. For example, if stocks would drop in value, you would buy more at a cheaper price. 3 - Tactical asset allocation – helps HNWI to take advantage of exceptional short-term investment opportunities. This is a type of active trading strategy. 4 - Dynamic asset allocation – this is another type of active trading strategy that helps you adjust your portfolio as markets rise and fall. For example, if the stock market is showing weakness or the economy is entering a recession, you sell stocks in anticipation of a drop in the stock price. 5 - Insured asset allocation – this approach is more suitable for the risk-averse investor because it seeks to protect the portfolio value by not allowing it to drop below a certain threshold. That pretty much sums up how the wealthy stay wealthy and can become even wealthier. The bottom line is that asset allocation is not an exact science and it all depends on your financial goals and experience. What you can do as a small investor is to diversify your portfolio. While you might not have the money to buy real estate and a good amount of stocks, you can seek alternative investments. For example, you can trade stocks, ETFs, currencies and another part of your money to be allocated to cryptocurrencies. Let’s now see how the ultra-rich invest their money. Are ultra-high net worth strategies different from high net worth strategies? Generally, they are similar, but there are still a few important details to pay attention to. See below: Ultra-High Net Worth Investment Strategies. A new breed of investors evolved among high net worth individuals and these are the ultra-high net worth investors. As explained above, UHWIs are defined as having investable assets of at least $30 million. So, where do the ultra-rich invest their money? According to the Wealth Report Attitudes Survey 2020 (see figure below) the UHNWI asset allocation model is more diversified. The Wealth Report revealed that the average UHNWI investment portfolio was invested in each asset class as follows: 27% in real estate. 23% in equities. 17% in bonds and fixed income. 11% in cash (currencies). 8% in private equity. 5% in collectibles (including art, antiques, and other expensive items). 3% in gold and precious metals. 1% in cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin and altcoins). We can note that there is an increased interest in investing in the long-term, which is the case for real estate investments. Additionally, you can see that 11% of the wealth is held in cash, which means UHNWIs are active in the forex market as well. Currency trading for high net worth individuals is again done over the long term. Now, how the average investor can invest like a billionaire? Ray Dalio an American hedge fund manager said: “It’s more difficult to succeed in the markets than it’s to succeed in the Olympics” For more trading quotes, please see Top Trading Quotes of all Time. While everyone is saying it’s difficult to succeed in the markets, it’s not impossible. And, trading like a billionaire is a different ball game altogether. If you want to replicate the ultra-high net worth investment strategies and be a billionaire someday, these are the 10 things you should be doing: 1. Invest only in what you know. 2. Understand the difference between price versus value. When the price is well below the stock value than it’s the best time to buy a stock. 3. Identify cheap investments (e.g. high net worth cryptocurrency trading). 4. Invest in durable time tested businesses. 5. Research the team management team behind a company. 6. “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful” from Warren Buffett wisdom. 7. Develop a long-term mindset. 8. Invest in Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway stock, which has outperformed the S&P 500 for decades. 9. Invest in overseas stocks. 10. Diversification. These investing principles can help you invest your $10,000 like an ultra-high net worth investor. Final Words – High Net Worth Strategies In summary, when you’re a high net worth investor managing your wealth can be a challenge. The HNWI don’t invest like the average investor, they use ultra-high net worth investment strategies to accumulate more wealth. The investing strategies for the high net worth investor that have produced the most profits are the ones that are sufficiently diversified. Diversification is key to how wealthy people preserve their wealth and accumulate more wealth. You can too invest like a wealthy person if you start using the principles outlined through this high net worth strategies guide. Thank you for reading!
NASDAQ:EQRREducation
by Tradingstrategyguides
June 7 Market Update | Technical, Fundamental, NewsDescription: An analysis for the week ahead. Points of Interest: ATH; Gap Above; Gaps and VPOCs Below; Absence Of Stronger Sellers. Technical: Risk-on sentiment in all major indices. Despite the Nasdaq-100 surpassing it’s all-time high, its moves have become more muted, signaling a rotation from the bigger technology- and innovation-driven companies to energy, transportation, financials, small caps, and so on. Monday came after an end-of-week flush and a close at the highs. Monday’s overnight action was supported with buyers lifting into the open. Tuesday’s open seemed exhausted, with some heavy offers developing at and above $3075. Later, the S&P 500 traded down to $3050, an area of resting liquidity, before closing higher. Wednesday’s session squeezed higher into $3111, came down to some resting bids at $3090, and then buyers closed the range, again. Friday opened on a massive gap, exacerbated by the May jobs report. The session ended up balancing at and around the $3200 strike. Putting everything together, the picture points to further upside, but it’s obvious that cracks are beginning to form as indicated by the mechanical, short-term momentum-driven activity going on. As long as value shifts higher and liquidations fail to generate any follow through, then the bullish narrative remains. Scroll to bottom of document for non-profile charts. Key Events: NFIB Small Business Optimism; JOLTS Survey; Wholesale Trade; CPI; PPI; Initial Claims; Import Prices; University of Michigan Sentiment Survey; FOMC Meeting. Fundamental: Absent a second wave and geopolitical turmoil, momentum will push markets higher. bloom.bg Despite government measures, COVID-19 is wreaking havoc on Latin America. bit.ly Canada adds 290,000 jobs as restrictions on business are loosened. reut.rs The U.S. economy added jobs in May with the jobless rate falling to 13.3%. reut.rs The Senate loosened the rules small businesses must follow when applying for PPP. bit.ly The personal care, restaurant, entertainment, and leisure industries are recovering. bit.ly Non-white communities realize un-equal recovery, worsened by low liquidity and savings. wapo.st YouTube’s growth paints a bullish picture for Google parent Alphabet. bit.ly NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:GOOG Corporate bond yield spreads reflect expectations of a business cycle upturn. bit.ly Easing of capital outflows from ASEAN markets reduced liquidity pressures. bit.ly China’s manufacturing returned to trend, but the consumer sector is still lagging. bloom.bg Repression, or forced lending to the government at low rates, may be bullish. bloom.bg By the end of 2020, earnings will be higher than they were in 2019. bloom.bg Valuation methods pin fair value for the S&P 500 Index between $2,200 and $2,800. bit.ly Low rates rationalize the outperformance of growth companies. bit.ly Fed’s balance sheet expansion may slow down inflation. bit.ly Expensive stocks have not reached levels seen during the tech bubble. bloom.bg Eurozone corona-bonds would help euro-denominated assets outperform. bloom.bg OPEC+ agrees to one-month extension of output cuts. reut.rs Ford is evaluating the need for office space. reut.rs NYSE:F Remote work to spark a housing boom in the suburbs and smaller cities. on.wsj.com Amazon plans summer sale for June 22 to jumpstart sales after demand hit. cnb.cx NASDAQ:AMZN ‘Nuclear Option’: U.S. could cut Beijing from the dollar payment system. bit.ly Sentiment: 34.6% Bullish, 26.6% Neutral, 38.9% Bearish as of 5/31/2020. bit.ly Gamma Exposure: (Trending Higher) 4, 239, 083, 647 as of 6/6/2020. bit.ly Dark Pool Index: (Trending Higher) 45.2% as of 6/6/2020. bit.ly Product Analysis: S&P 500 (ES): AMEX:SPY TVC:SPX AMEX:SPXL Nasdaq 100 (NQ): NASDAQ:QQQ TVC:NDX NASDAQ:TQQQ Russell 2000 (RTY): AMEX:IWM TVC:RUT Dow Jones (YM): AMEX:DIA TVC:DJI Gold (GC): AMEX:GLD Crude Oil (CL): AMEX:USO AMEX:DBO AMEX:USL Natural Gas (NG): AMEX:UNG Treasury Bonds (ZB): NASDAQ:TLT Disclaimer: This is a page where I look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. If questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to comment. I think everyone can improve, especially me. In no way should this post be construed as investment advice.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Physik
Trade idea #BTK long on a break of the 5450 levelBiotechnology belongs to the sectors of the stock market which were rather moderately affected by the Coronacrisis. In fact, in the second half of april the NYSE ARCA Biotechnology Index even managed to surpass its pre-corona levels to attack its previous high at about 5.420. However the advance of the preceding days was too strong to get beyond that level and in line with the total market the index got rejeceted at that resistance level. Looking now at the weekly chart a multi-month range between 3850 and 5450 can be seen which followed a previous advance of the index. Trend trader would now expect the index to pass the upper boundary of that range but we have to patiently wait if that will happen or if the index will continue to trade within that range. For a long breakout trade the following trading strategies are possible: a/ set a buy stop order > 5.550 (upper boundary at 5.450 + 2% ) b/ go long on a daily close > 5.450 c/ go long on a weekly close > 5.450 (unless price gets too far away from the 5450 handle) d/ after a successfull breakout wait for a consolidation back to the 5450 level to look for a Long entry Which strategy you use depends of course on your trading style. Also a combination of the 4 strategies could make sense, i.e. 33% for a/, 17% for b/, 17% for c/ and 33% for d/. Stop loss should be the last swing low. If the index won't take out last week's low this would be 4.950, otherwise the stop must be adjusted. A first target for 50% of the position could be set at the round figure of 7.000. I will update on the trade idea. See you.
NYSE:BTKLong
by DrChristophCanne
Equity markets set for further downside? - THREADEquity markets preparing for the next wave of selling. There are a few signs that equity markets could be on the verge of a fresh move to the downside. Here are a few charts to explain. 1. Equity/Bond Ratio The ratio between equities bonds has rallied into a significant resistance zone and is showing signs of rolling over, this suggests the bullish momentum has stalled and we could be about to see a shift out of riskier assets (equities) and into safer havens (bonds). Read below for more...
XETR:EXSAShort
by Investamate
4
NASDAQ; Is this the Top or is the Sky the Limit?✨ We provide charts every day ✨ Like and Follow to help us grow family! 🎉 --- Can we run an economy on Netflix and Video games? This NASDAQ Mini futures (NQ1!) chart says, "maybe." Let's take a look at the trend and some levels to see if NASDAQ is about to get rejected at resistance or re-test the all-time-high. --- 1. Fractal Trend is showing an uptrend (Green background color) for NQ1 on the 4 hour chart. With our approach, we want to take long positions when Fractal Trend signals an uptrend AND then Breakaway Scalper signals a long entry in the uptrend by showing a Green bar color. We only trade with the trend. 2. Right now we are seeing R1 acts as resistance again. It has seen a number of reactions off it since the downtrend in March, and thus we are looking at it as resistance here. 3. If we get a break above R1 and S/R flip to find support on it, then the bearish order blocks at R2 & R3 represent the last major resistance levels before the return to the all-time-high for the NASDAQ! 4. If R1 does continue to act as resistance and hold price down, then S1 and S2 or the next logical places to look for support. We will reassess the chart upon reactions to those levels. Good luck family!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by AlphaBotSystem
1
SPY ScenariosNot Financial Advice. Looks like a few scenarios could play out here, rally to new highs or continue the downtrend. I don't see people talking about that massive bullish engulfing on the weekly?? I see a lot of news and retail is extremely bearish talking about recession and depression. This is dumb money and to me it makes me extremely bullish short term. Perhaps if sentiment changes in the bull trap that could develop then I would switch back to bearish. Want to see a drawn out bull trap of like a 6 month rally to top of megaphone wedge and rejection to new lows would be perfect to fuck over retail. They re-enter the positions they jumped out of at the lows at the range highs then rinse and repeat. People saying the Federal Reserve is out of ammo are on crack. The USD is the reserve currency of the world today like it was yesterday, rates are at zero but still not negative, and now the FED is going to buy ETFs. To me this could launch another leg in the markets to new highs. Eventually this Ponzi will unravel. Maybe in the mid 2020's when the boomers are pulling more out of the market than millennials can put in with their 401k's. Or maybe millennials put their 401k allocations to gold and bitcoin and thus the capital flows to equities ends up really shrinking to the point where the FED can't keep up without buying majority share of equities? will be an interesting decade. Looking at most stocks like Boeing, LMT, Tesla, and others, I wouldn't want to buy these stocks here. Why? I want to buy a massive crash or just look at accumulating cheap commodities which are already down massively. The equities market could take years to unravel like the Nikkei. I think Commodities see greater returns over the next ten years vs equities, but that is my thinking and shouldn't be viewed as financial advice. Interested to hear others thoughts... Peace out and God Bless.
AMEX:SPYLong
by mattgetsbarreled
INFRATEL ::: LONGInstrument: INFRATEL Time frame: 3 hours indicators: Stochastics: bearish PSAR: bearish My analysis: CMP: 152.75 Expecting INFRATEL to gap down / sink to 145 - 143.70 on Monday. Once it starts retracing back upwards would like to buy above 143.70 to 145 keeping the SL below the low of the day for target 153.75 RISK DISCLOSURE: Technical analysis of FOREX and INDIAN MARKETS. We are not SEBI REGISTERED ANALYSTS The views expressed here are for our record purposes only. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing. We are in no way responsible for your profits/losses what so ever.
ILong
by ajithchand-bhandaari
CUMMINSIND GAP DOWN AND BOUNCEInstrument: CUMMINSIND Time frame: 4 hours indicators: Stochastics: bearish PSAR: bearish My analysis: Expecting CUMMINSIND to gap down / sink to 371 - 354 on Monday. Once it starts retracing back upwards would like to buy above 366 to 371 keeping the so below the low of the day for targets 379 - 386. RISK DISCLOSURE: Technical analysis of FOREX and INDIAN MARKETS. We are not SEBI REGISTERED ANALYSTS The views expressed here are for our record purposes only. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing. We are in no way responsible for your profits/losses what so ever.
NSE:CUMMINSIND
by ajithchand-bhandaari
WABAG ::: BULLISHinstrument: WABAG Time frame: Week CMP: 112.70 Buy above: 112.50 SL: 106. Target 01: 151.70 Target 02: 178 My View DAY TIME FRAME Even though WABAG is now moving in sideways for 3 consecutive days and Stochastics giving bearish sentiment PSAR is still bullish. My view WEEK TIME FRAME: Both Stochastics and PSAR are bullish it has just come out of the rangebound scenario. So expecting it to become bullish. RISK DISCLOSURE: Technical analysis of FOREX and INDIAN MARKETS. We are not SEBI REGISTERED ANALYSTS The views expressed here are for our record purposes only. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing. We are in no way responsible for your profits/losses what so ever.
NSE:WABAGLong
by ajithchand-bhandaari