Equity
Stocks Finding Support, Testing Higher Levels!!Stocks have found good support at 4632, confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. we have gotten a good lift from this level and are currently testing higher levels. Currently, we are testing 4695, where a red triangle on the KRI seems to be indicating some resistance. If we can see momentum come through at open, we could easily test highs again at 4729. If we reject 4695, we could be set to range a bit between 4649 and 4695. The Kovach OBV is relatively flat, but appears to be picking up slightly.
Breakout Soon for Stocks??Stocks have leveled off, trading pretty flat yesterday. Volatility has consolidated quite a bit, suggesting that a breakout either way is near. The Kovach OBV has completely flattened with this ranging. We are finding support at 4649 and 4632, two levels we called out yesterday. Beware of the vacuum zone below to 4580. If we are able to catch a bid towards open, the next target is 4693, then we will be in a position to make a run for highs at 4729 after that.
SPX500 - Dip Buying OpportunityS&P500 - We have seen a sharp sell off since the third drive into these highs, due to the lack of fundamentals for this, I assume this is profit taking. Diving down onto lower timeframe to see if we have more upside or downside for stocks.
15 Minute - We have seen a lack of fundamentals this week which has caused some choppiness, which we can see here on the S&P. Smartest way to approach equities is buying the dips, in terms of probability this is the way to trade them. Breaking out of this trendline, now retesting, you can enter longs here or if you want to be patient, wait for a break of our zone.
Two Risk Factors for Stocks and how to Trade themStocks have retraced sharply from highs. We have been warning of a retracement for the past three days or so. Hopefully, no one got caught in a FOMO trade at highs. As anticipated, we saw support from 4632, one of the exact targets we identified for support during the retracement. A green triangle on this level is confirming support, but if it does not hold, there is a vacuum zone down to 4580. Evergrande has officially defaulted, so this could dampen any hopes of another rally. Also, inflation fears appear to be picking up, so we will need to see how these two factors play on the risk sentiment as the day progresses. If we are able to catch a bid, 4693 and 4729 will be the next targets.
Long term Gold mining stock accumulation planSo on Gold stocks we are definitely gonna profit from inflation. But there are several factors which influence the amount of time and price range we can accumulate over.
1 short term scenario we bounce now
2 mid range we go down to 15$
3 longer term shit because fed pulls of a rate hike = 5$ entry when we reach the lowest depression.
Lets see what goes down.
US30 major monthly divergence - bearish for many months!CURRENCYCOM:US30
start scaling in for sure short 1/5 size whole position with risk management cushion to scale in more, optimising overall basket.
look for 4H timeframe to add later, after 4H timeframe reaches 30 on RSI once and hits first RSI resistance or Ichimoku cloud resistance.
Stocks Retrace from HighsStocks have retraced from highs just below our target at 4729. We have been warning you that a retracement was becoming increasingly more likely for several days now. We are finding strong support just above our level at 4649, and several green triangles on the KRI confirm this. After that we will see support from a nearby level at 4632, then we have a vacuum zone down to 4580. The Kovach OBV is still relatively strong, but has tapered with the retracement.
Stocks Flat After New HighsStocks have topped out just under our next profit target at 4729. We are seeing several red triangles on the KRI, suggesting that they are finally meeting resistance. The S&P 500 appears to be consolidating between 4693, and 4729. The consolidation is healthy, as we have been rallying since October, and were starting to look hyperbolic. We do appear to be seeing a bear wedge with a lower bound at 4693, and if we break lower, we have a vacuum zone down to 4649. The Kovach OBV has dipped sharply with the consolidation, so watch for more momentum to come through before we can expect another breakout.
MPC Trending Higher Towards 75Trend Analysis
The main view of this trade idea is on the 2-Hour Chart. The stock MPC appears to have broken out from a symmetrical triangle setup, with the resistance line making lower highs of 65.30 and 60.50 and the support line making higher lows of 50 and 53.30. The stock broke 2 levels of resistance, one at the resistance trend line of the symmetrical triangle and the other at a horizontal resistance level of 65.30. Expectations are for MPC to continue higher and test the 75 price level. If the pattern fails, MPC can decline back below the 65.30 resistance.
From a longer term perspective MPC is trending higher, with support observed around the 64.72 price level.
Technical Indicators
The technical indicators corroborate the bullish trending nature of MPC. The stock is trading above its short (50-MA), medium (100-MA) and long (200-MA) fractal moving averages. The RSI is above 50 and the KST just recently had a positive crossover.
Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 64.70 and a target of 75. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 1.75.
Disclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes.
Stocks Make New Highs!! 🤑🤑Stocks have made new highs, yet again. We solidly pierced through the 4700 handle, reaching 4719, just 10 points shy of our profit target at 4729, before retracing slightly. We found support at 4693, confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. At the time of this writing, we are hovering just above this level, maintaining 4700 exactly. The Kovach OBV is solidly bullish, and we are starting to encroach into overbought territory, so the probability of a technical retracement is increasing. If so, we expect support at 4693, then 4649. If momentum continues, then 4729 is our next profit target.
Stocks Make New Highs Ahead of Non Farm PayrollsStocks have broken out, making new highs yet again. We have reached our profit target at 4693. The next target is 4729. We should face some resistance at current levels, so anticipate stocks to range a bit in a sideways correction, if not retrace to lower levels at 4649 or 4632. There is a vacuum zone below those levels to 4580. The Kovach OBV is still very strong, and is starting to look a bit overbought, so a retracement is becoming increasingly more likely. Non farm payrolls data comes out today, so this could be a strong driver for stocks either way.
Stocks Make New Highs!! Again!! 📈🤑🥳Stocks got a big push from the FOMC minutes yesterday. We have smashed through our profit target at 4649, to make new highs yet again. We appear to be pausing around 4664, and forming a very narrow range here. We feel that stocks are overdue for a technical retracement, so be wary of FOMO-ing into a long position at highs. The levels 4649 and 4632 should provide support, but if not, there is a vacuum zone down to 4580. Our next target is 4693. The Kovach OBV is still very strong, which suggests we are becoming overbought.
Stocks Pause Below All Time HighsStocks are hugging the upper bound of the range discussed yesterday. This coincides with all time highs at 4633. The level we have identified nearby is 4629. The Kovach OBV is still very strong, but appears to have tapered. If momentum persists, we can anticipate another breakout soon, and 4649 is our next target, set by Fibonacci Extension levels. There is a vacuum zone below to the next level of support at 4580. After that, we can expect further support at 4564, 4545, and 4521. We are due for a technical correction. While it may not happen today, those last three levels could be ideas to buy back when we eventually see a correction.
Stocks Range Below HighsAs anticipated, stocks are ranging at highs. We are currently just below our next target of 4632. If we are able to breakout, then the next target after that is 4649. If ranging continues, then expect the action to be confined between 4580 and 4632. The Kovach OBV is still quite strong, but has tapered recently with the pause in stocks. We could be due for a correction soon. If so, 4564, 4545, and 4521 should provide further support.
Stocks Make New Highs!! What's Next??Stocks make new highs, despite persistent issues in the supply chain, transportation industry and protests over the vaccine mandates. The S&P 500 has broken out of the 4500's and seems to have secured the 4600's for now. We came within 5 points of our target at 4632, with the current high at 4627. We are seeing a red triangle on the KRI at this level suggesting we will face resistance here. Watch for continued momentum at open to carry the trend established in the Asia-Pacific session this morning. If it does not, we should range in the value area between 4580 and 4627. The Kovach OBV is still very strong, so the trend is likely to remain bullish.
Stocks Range Near HighsStocks have paused their rally, establishing value near all time highs. This is a clear sideways correction to a strong bull Elliott Wave impulse that we saw starting in mid October. From here, we can expect the S&P to range until further momentum comes through. If we correct further, expect support at 4545, 4521, or 4504. If we break out, there is a vacuum zone above to our next profit target of 4632.
Stocks Pause RallyStocks have paused their rally as we suggested yesterday. We have found support just above 4545, as confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. The Kovach OBV is still strong, but has curved over recently to reflect the pause. We will anticipate further support at 4521 and 4504. If we can muster the momentum for a continued rally, we will need to break 4580 before we can consider our next profit target at 4632