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Es!1

SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video for 3-17: GAP PotentialAs we start moving into the Excess Phase Peak pattern consolidation phase, I believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt a moderate rally for about 3-5+ days, then roll into a deep selling mode after March 21-24. I don't believe we have reached a bottom - yet. I do see a lot of people talking about "the bottom is in" and I urge all of you to THINK. What do you believe will be the basis of US and GLOBAL economic growth starting RIGHT NOW? Can you name one thing that will be the driver of economic expansion and activity? I can't either. Thus, I suggest traders prepare for more sideways consolidation range trading over the next 60+ days as hedge assets and currencies attempt to balance risks. BTCUSD, Gold, Silver should all be fairly quiet this week. I'm not expecting any huge price moves this week. I expect the SPY/QQQ & BTCUSD to move a bit higher while Gold and Silver melt upward a bit further. Then, after March 21, I expect bigger volatility and a broad rotation in the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin where Gold/Silver will start a bigger move higher. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
Weekly Market Analysis - 16th March 2025 (DXY, NZD, ES, BTC)This is weekly market analysis of a few pairs (DXY, NZD, ES, BTC). I haven't done one of these in a while, but here it is! I would have done more pairs but the video was already 30 minutes long and I went into more teaching rather than pure analysis. I hope you found it insightful to your own trading, because what I teach is the truth of the market regardless of whatever specific strategy you use for trading. Anything can make money in the markets, but of course, risk management and discipline rule all. - R2F Trading
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Road_2_Funded
A look at the ES1!What's up traders, Havent posted in a while. Heres my take and outlook for next week, using the MES1! (SP500) Current Outlook Technical Look: Momentum Bearish -323.25 (looks weak) MACD Bearish, possibly inflecting RSI 36.72, off lows and crossing MA (oversold) 200D SMA at 5775.75 (Below the 50 Day) 50D SMA at 5967.43 (Above the 200 Day) Trending towards a Death Cross Price Action Bullish Engulfing Candle on the March 14 bounce. Price successfully crossed the 5600 Psychological Level We bounced at ~5500 Experiencing resistance in the 5640-5620 Range (expected) Sentiment Canada showed promise as heading towards a (take your best guess at the details) resolution to the tariff fight with the united states. Tariffs remain a major drag on the stock market pricing. Government shut down at time of this post, is apparently narrowly avoided. Gold Set a new high. Outlook for Next Week Economic Reports Monday - Retail Sales 830AM Tuesday - Building Permits, Housing Starts 830AM Wednesday - Fed Int Rate Decision 2PM, JPOW Speech 230PM Thursday - Existing home sales 10AM Notable Earnings Reports Micron Nike Fed Ex General Mills Carinval Cruise NIO Tencent I viewed the Firday bounce as a sort of 'relief rally'. My belief is that we could go higher on the back of it. The market has majorly 'oversold' by the numbers - and the probability of a bounce became increasingly likely. Upside resistance to remain mercurial on the rapidly changing sentiment narrative. A possible outcome: retest the underside of the 200DMA. I do not expect a notable price recovery towards ATH's until the tariff effects are known, which means: I expect higher than normal volatility for several months Earnings projections (in the coming earnings season) will shed the required light on reality. I have been adding long term holds - such as: GDX DAX META GOOG AMZN BABA UNH C CRWD IBIT NVO CMG INDA AVGO I remain ~90% cash at ~3.7% yield. Resistance possibly at: 5672 August 2024 Resistance, September 2024 Support 5724 July 2024 Resistance and later Support 5775 (200 Day SMA)
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by WillNixTrading
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-14-25: Temp BottomToday's Cycle Pattern is a Temporary Bottom pattern. I suspect the markets may attempt to move a bit lower in early trading before attempting to find a new base/support level. Yesterday's low may prove to be very important depending on what the markets do today. Initially, I thought yesterday's low was the Temporary Bottom pattern (one day early). But, I do believe the markets will continue to be volatile in early trading today and may move downward to retest lows before trying to move higher - setting up the Temporary Bottom pattern. Gold and Silver will likely continue to melt upward unless there is some big news that disrupts the US Dollar's downward slide. I see Gold trying to rally above $3200 very quickly over the next 15+ days. Bitcoin is still consolidating and is currently in a short upward price phase (much like the SPY/QQQ). In fact, the SPY/QQQ and Bitcoin are all in an EPP consolidation phase. So, that means even though we may see a volatile type of price move over the next 15-30+ days, price is ultimately trapped in a consolidated price range and will/should attempt to break downward into the Ultimate Low. Therefore, if we get a moderate pullback/rally phase over the next 5+ trading days, be aware that the rally upward will end near March 21-24 and turn downward very sharply before the end of March (based on my research). You have lots of opportunity if this base sets up for a moderate rally in the SPY/QQQ, but play it cautiously as I don't believe we'll see new ATHs anytime soon. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
5
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update for 3-13-25What a crazy day. The markets certainly decided to burn the longs almost all day. I got a few messages from traders who continued trying to pick bottoms in this downtrend. FYI, that can be very dangerous. If you are a short-term trader and are trying to pick a base/bottom all day today - you have to have a limit in terms of how much you are willing to risk within a single day. I've seen dozens of traders blow up their accounts in a big, trending market. Please learn from your actions. Develop a STOP POINT related to your trading decisions. There is no reason to continue to try to execute "bounce" trades when the markets are trending as strongly as they are today. This video should help you understand what I see as the potential over the next 5+ days. We are still trying to hold above critical support near the 50% retracement level on the SPY. Everything depends on what happens in DC and how the markets perceive risks. Gold/Silver rallied very strong today. This is FEAR related to risks. If the US government enters a shutdown, Gold and Silver could skyrocket much higher. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
ES futures trade setup 13/03/'25Hello, In today's trade analysis, I will review potential setups for this trading day. Since the overall trend is bearish, I favor short positions over long positions. I have identified two important zones on the 4H timeframe that align well with the 1H timeframe. 4H supply zone: 5,643 - 5,630 4H demand zone: 5,577 - 5,558 We've seen both false breakouts and breakdowns in recent days, indicating choppy market conditions. My plan is to either go short in the upper 4H supply zone or short a breakdown of the 4H demand zone. For the latter, I'll wait for the candle to close below the zone and set my entry on a retest.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by YungZkittlez
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 3-13-25 - Fear Settling InWith the US government only about 39 hours away from a complete SHUT DOWN, I want to warn everyone that metals are doing exactly what they are supposed to do - hedge risks. While the SPY/QQQ are continuing to melt downard. I created this video to show you the Fibonacci Trigger levels on the 60 min SPY chart, which I believe are very important. Pause the video when I show you the proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system and pay attention to the fact that any upward price trend must rally above 563.85 in order to qualify as a new Bullish price trend. That means we need to see a very solid price reversal from recent lows or an intermediate pullback (to the upside) which will set a new lower Bullish Fibonacci trigger level. Overall, the SPY/QQQ are in a MELT DOWN mode and I expect this to last into early next week unless the US government reaches some agreement to extend funding. This is not the time to try to load up on Longs/Calls. The US and global markets are very likely to MELT DOWNWARD over the next 2 to 5+ days if the US government does SHUT DOWN. FYI. Gold and Silver may EXPLODE HIGHER. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
3
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-13-25: Carryover PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets may attempt to continue to find support and move into a sideways pullback (upward) price channel. I believe the markets have reached an exhaustion point that will move the SPY/QQQ slightly upward over the next 5 to 10+ days - reaching a peak near the 3-21 to 3-24 Bottoming pattern. This bottoming pattern near March 21-24 suggests the markets will move aggressively downward near that time to identify deeper support. I believe metals will continue to move higher as risks and fear drive assets into safe havens. Bitcoin should continue to slide a bit higher while moving through the consolidation phase. Watch today's video to learn more about what I do and how I help traders find the best opportunities. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-12-25 : Rally111 PatternToday's Rally pattern in Carryover mode may prompt a powerful base/bottom move in the SPY/QQQ. In today's video, I explain in great detail how I read these charts and why the Excess Phase Peak (EPP) patterns are so important. We are moving into the Consolidation Phase of the EPP patterns for the SPY/QQQ. We are already into the Consolidation Phase of an EPP pattern for Bitcoin Gold and Silver are a bit mixed. Yet Silver has already broken above the upper EPP Peak, rallying into a new EPP Peak level. Meanwhile, Gold is still struggling to find momentum for a bullish breakout. While I don't believe the US markets are poised for a big downward price move, today's video shows you what may be likely 4 to 12+ months into the future. So, pay attention to today's video. It clearly illustrates how to use the EPP patterns with Fibonacci and shows you what I believe could happen over the next 6 to 12+ months. If the SPY/I continues to try to rally higher today, it will be interesting. This means we have potentially found our consolidation base and are now moving into a very volatile sideways consolidation phase. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
Bearish & Boring? Maybe. Profitable? Definitely.Bearish & Boring? Maybe. Profitable? Definitely. | SPX Market Analysis 12 Mar 2025 You know that feeling when you wake up and wonder if you’re stuck in a time loop? Yeah, me too. For what feels like the hundredth time, I’m reporting that the bear move is grinding lower. The difference? The profits keep stacking up—so I’m not complaining. Yesterday’s rally was supposedly triggered by Canada pausing tariffs, but let’s be real—this market is looking for any excuse to bounce. Yet, the overall trend remains the same: a slow, stair-stepping drop. Based on this drop-pause-drop rhythm, I suspect we’re entering the next pause before another leg down. My bear boots are full, my trade allocations are set, and I’m waiting for two tranches to exit profitably before considering any new plays. Until SPX clears 5850, the bullish setups stay on the shelf. This is the good kind of waiting—the kind where the market moves for me instead of me chasing it. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: If it feels like Groundhog Day, you’re not alone. The bearish grind continues, slowly pushing lower, delivering small but steady wins. Unlike a panic-driven crash, this move is unfolding in slow motion, keeping traders on edge, wondering if a rally is lurking around the corner. 📌 A Market Looking for an Excuse to Bounce Yesterday’s rally attempt was supposedly fueled by news that Canadian tariffs were being paused, but let’s be honest—this market is desperate for any reason to move higher. The reality? The larger bearish structure remains intact. Every bounce so far has been short-lived. The market keeps following a drop-pause-drop pattern. We’re likely entering the next "pause" phase before another move down. 📌 My Trading Approach—Locked, Loaded, and Waiting Right now, my bear boots are full, meaning I’m not adding new positions until my current tranches exit profitably. Two tranches are set to exit with profits by the end of the week. If we push lower or continue sideways, I’ll take my exits and reassess. Until SPX clears 5850, I won’t even think about bullish setups. 📌 What’s Next? The Good Kind of Waiting There’s no need to chase trades or force new entries. I’m simply letting my plan play out. If the market continues its slow-motion decline, I’ll collect my wins, reload selectively, and wait for the next prime setup. For now, I sit back and enjoy the show—because this time, the market is working for me, not against me. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? In 2008, Porsche trapped hedge funds in one of the greatest short squeezes in history, briefly making it the most valuable company in the world—all thanks to a secretive stock manoeuvre. 💡 The Lesson? Markets don’t just move up and down—they can also turn traders inside out. The wrong bet at the wrong time can be devastating… unless, of course, you have a system that keeps you on the right side of the trade. 🚀
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-11-25: BreakAway PatternToday's Breakaway pattern offers a fairly strong potential the SPY/QQQ will attempt to find support today. I know I've been telling everyone the markets should find support and are seeking support for the past 3+ trading days. But, the SPY has recently crossed the 50% Fibonacci pullback level and the QQQ has recently crossed the 61.8% pullback level. These levels will act as moderate support. So, I'm urging traders to patiently wait out the early morning volatility. Today could be incredibly volatile while the markets attempt to hammer out critical support. BTCUSD has moved to consolidation lows and will likely attempt a moderate rally up to consolidation highs. This is another reason I believe the SPY/QQQ are attempting to base/bottom near current lows. Gold and silver have recovered from recent lows very aggressively and are moving into a CRUSH pattern. I believe that the CRUSH pattern will resolve to the upside for metals. At this point, I believe the markets are relatively well exhausted to the downside. But, we must let price be the ultimate dictator of trending and opportunity. Thus, it is essential to let the markets FLUSH OUT this potential base/bottom in early trading today before getting aggressive with any trades. Ultimately, we need to see the markets identify support in this downtrend. If we don't find any support before the end of this week, then we are going to see a very large downward price move that will invalidate many of my expectations, potentially leading to a very large breakdown in US/global markets. Buckle up. The markets are nearing the DO or DIE phase due to how these Excess Phase Peak patterns are playing out. I see support setting up and a base/bottom building. If I'm wrong, we'll see a continued downward price trend. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
6
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-10-25: Gap/BreakawayToday's Gap Breakaway pattern suggests the markets will attempt to gap at the open, then move into a breakaway trending phase. Given the downward price trend currently in place, I believe the markets will gap downward, then possibly attempt to move higher as we pause above the 568 (pre-election) support level. Ultimately, I see the markets entering a brief pause/sideways price trend (maybe 2 to 5 days) before rolling downward again into the April 14 and May 2 base/bottom patterns. I see very little support in the markets right now - other than a potential BOUNCE setup this week and into early next week. I'm not suggesting this bounce will be a very big bullish price reversion. My upper levels are still in the 590 to 600 area for the SPY. But I do believe the markets are likely to try to find support near the 565-575 level. Gold and silver will move into a Harami Pattern today (sideways consolidation). I don't expect much related to a big move in metals today. Bitcoin is still consolidating in a very wide range. I expect the next move for Bitcoin to be a bit higher over the next 3-5+ days, so I believe the SPY/QQQ may trend a bit higher for about 3-5 days. Overall, I suggest traders stay very cautious of volatility this week. Obviously, the trend is still bearish and the current EPP phase setups suggests we are consolidating into a sideways channel before moving downward seeking the Ultimate Low patterns. Therefore, any bounce/pause in price will be very short-lived. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
Validation of a long term top in the SPX continues to playballLast week I posted an update on my SPX cash index analysis...found below. At the end of last week, we see where the price action has been filling in nicely as of Friday. Some key take-a-ways. First, is the price action has breached the area that I am counting as the wave 4 of one lesser degree. This would be an initial clue that the bull market pattern that started back in August of last year is cracking. This would be the area that I am counting as the intermediate wave (4). I am forecasting this recent price action down is the Minor A wave of the beginning of a stair stepped decline that has a high probability of coming back into that area of the August 2024 lows after we retrace higher in a minor B wave, labeled in Red. What's important about price coming back into this area of approximately 5121-4950 is this the area that price could hold and manage a higher high, essentially meaning that my count is off by one degree...and what I am counting as a wave (III) super-cycle top will get pushed out to end of 2025-2026. However, to breach this area even incrementally, would provide much the same clues we're getting now, about price breaching the minor wave 4 of one lesser degree. Below this must hold area, is where my forecast of a super-cycle wave (III) gets confirmation...until then we look for clues of validation...but confirmation does not come until price cane breach this area. To breach this area would reflect in price action that resembles the below.
CBOE:SPX
by maikisch
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-7-24 : Rally PatternAs many of you know, I've been expecting the SPY/QQQ to find support (seeking a base/bottom) for the past 3+ days. The amount of selling has been somewhat extreme. We are currently in a downtrend. So, my expectation of a base/bottom is related to the breakdown of the Excess Phase Peak pattern and the previous support levels (pre-election and recent lows) that suggest price will attempt to hold/base/bottom near recent support. As of yesterday's close, price had broken downward, still within the support range. So, again, I urge caution as I believe price will be very volatile while attempting "hammer out a base/bottom" (if it happens). Overall, my bias is to the downside because of the current trend. Yet, The RALLY pattern today suggests we may see a recovery above 577 on the SPY which may lead to a rally targeting 580+. Gold and Silver are holding up well and should setup a base/bottom today on the Counter-Trend Top/Resistance Pattern. I don't expect Gold and Silver to rally very strong today. I expect more of a melt-up in trend for metals. Bitcoin is still consolidating and moving into a very tight Flag Apex range. As I pointed out in today's video, a shorter-term Flag apex will be reached on Sunday (3-9). I believe Bitcoin will become very volatile over the next 3+ days - attempting to break away from a GETTEX:13K consolidation range. This apex volatility could drive the SPY/QQQ into extreme volatility as well. Unless you are very skilled at targeting short-term price swings - stay very cautious of this volatility as it could end up turning and biting back. It's Friday. I'm planning on watching and only trading when I believe there is a very clear opportunity for profits. I got dinged around (took some lumps yesterday) trying to trade while driving and handling family issues. Lesson learned - don't force it. The markets will settle into a trend next week. So, be prepared to sit and watch if you don't like what you see on the charts today. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-6-25: Breakaway PatternToday's Breakaway pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move away from yesterday's open/close price range. Given the fairly strong downward pre-market trending in the SPY/QQQ, I'm cautiously optimistic we will see a fairly strong MELT-UP in price related to the recent support/rejection levels near 575. I'm urging my followers to be cautious of the first 30-60 minutes of market activity today. Jobs data (or other data) could disrupt price after the open and I believe price will be very volatile in the first 30-60 minutes of trading today. In other words, price may try to SHAKE-OUT early positions with wild volatility before settling into a MELT-UP or MELT-DOWN trend. As I shared in my video, today's BreakAway pattern could break upward or downward. I believe the upward trend potential has about a 60-70% chance of happening IF the 575 level holds as support. If not, then we will probably break downward. The fact that BTCUSD is holding up quite well suggests the SPY/QQQ may actually MELT-UPWARD. Again, we need to see how things play out in early trading today. Gold & Silver are consolidating into a range which may continue over the next 3-4 days. The current bias for Gold and Silver is an uptrend. So, I do believe metals will continue to appreciate throughout this 3-4 day consolidation phase. The only reason I urge traders to stay cautious for the first 30-60 minutes is because of the Jobs data and how the markets may react to news items. You can't kick the markets to go in a certain direction. So, often, it is better to let the morning SHAKE-OUT happen, then wait for more clear trending to setup. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-5-25: Flat-Down PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will move into a sideways type of stalling pattern. Based on yesterday's rejection off the lows, I suspect we may see some continued upward reversion trending, then we'll likely see the SPY move into a stalling pattern near 579. Ultimately, the Flat-Down pattern does not suggest big trending will take place today. Yesterday's price rejection off the lows adds a bit to the overall picture that the SPY may attempt to move away from that lower support level - thus, we may see some upward "melt-up" type of trend today. But, overall, I'm not confident we'll see any big price trends today. I expect the SPY to stay somewhat flat/muted today. Same thing with the QQQ. If we do see any big price move today, it will likely be news-related. Gold and Silver are both sitting near 618 pause levels and continuing to try to push higher. I believe both gold and silver will make an expansion move over the next 5 to 7+ trading days and begin a very solid rally phase. Where gold will attempt to break above $3000 and Silver will attempt to rally above $35. Bitcoin is still struggling in the Consolidation phase. This wide-range consolidation should continue until sometime near March 19-24. Don't expect Bitcoin to do much except consolidate into the flagging sideways price trend for the next week or two. Go get some today. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
7
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-4-25: Top Resistance PatternToday's pattern is a Top Resistance pattern. Usually, these types of patterns reflect a market where price moves higher - attempting to find a peak/resistance level, then rolls downward (confirming that resistance level). Because of yesterday's strong selling after Trump's Tariff comments, I suggest the peak in today's price activity may be set in very early trading. We're going to have to watch the charts to see how price reacts to more news and the continued restructuring of global economies. One thing is obvious: the markets are resettling based on Trump's expectations and tariff comments. I checked out TLT and a few other symbols last night, and it appears the Predator Fed comments I made over the past 12+ months are still holding up very well. Inadvertently, the US has moved into a position of being the 900 lb gorilla of the global markets. Higher Fed rates for longer are putting pressure on global currencies and many global economies. If Trump is able to secure more US manufacturing and a more secure US economy (reducing deficit spending), I can see the next 3+ years being very disruptive for the global markets. Ultimately, though, building a strong US economy and going through this disruption will lead to explosive growth in 2026 and beyond. You may not see it now, but if we are able to organize our government/finances better going forward - start to think about how powerful that could be for the next 15 to 25+ years. Next, thank you for all the great comments. Love it. Gold and Silver are starting to make that recovery rally move after the last 7+ days of selling. This could be a very powerful move to the upside for metals and miners. Bitcoin is still struggling and will likely stay trapped in a sideways range. that range could be $10k to GETTEX:13K in size - so stay cautious of wild volatility in BTCUSD if you are trading it. Again,I want to urge all of you to consider your trading as "taking calculated risks" - not gambling. I talked to a friend just yesterday, and he told me how I changed his life by helping him to stop the gambling-style of trading he was doing. Once you realize that trading is not about those HUGE WINS (sure they are nice) - but it is about staying agile, getting in and out with decent profits, and growing your account efficiently. So, I urge you to step back and consider every new trade you take as "how much am I really risking if things go wrong". When you do that, you'll find you can still take the trade, but you'll teach yourself to manage your capital more efficiently. Ok. Go Get Some! #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
8
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update for 3-3-25 : Absolutely PerfectThis quick little update is for everyone who follows my research. Today was absolutely PERFECT in terms of my expectations and how the SPY moved so far today. A nearly perfect downward price trend targeting the 588 level. Now, we'll see if we get a base and a squeeze higher before the end of trading today. I'm so impressed with my ability to pinpoint these type of opportunities for everyone. Remember, trading is about taking the opportunity to position your assets for gains. Get some. And please share your success stories if you have them. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
16
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-3-25 : Up-Down-UP Pattern CounterToday's pattern, and Up-Down-Up in counter-trend mode, suggests the markets will attempt to move downward after the open and attempt to retrace some (or most) of Friday's gain. I do believe this downward price move is essential for the markets to build a moderate base before attempting to move higher into the march 11-16 topping pattern my research suggests will prompt another breakdown in price. Ultimately, these moves up and down over the past 30+ days are establishing a sideways (mega-phone type) price structure that I warned was likely to happen more than 90+ days ago (back in December 2024). What we are seeing right now is a rolling of price while uncertainty continues to drive capital away from technology, semis and innovation - moving into safety and security. This will continue until July or August 2025, then capital will suddenly shift back into risk-ON in my opinion. By the time everyone thinks the markets are breaking downward (crashing), that is when I think the markets will make a sudden shift toward growth and innovation as the US resumes a growth phase in late 2025 (carrying into 2026). Currently, we are in a minor little "pause/rally" phase after the last bout of selling. This rally will likely end sometime after March 11 - leading to a breakdown in price starting between 3-14 and 3-17. This is a trader's market. Gold/Silver appear to have found a footing and seem to be bouncing. We'll see if Gold/Silver move above critical resistance and continue to rally higher. BTCUSD has rebounded back to support/resistance, but has also moved into a new DUAL Excess Phase Peak pattern that suggests increased price volatility for Bitcoin. I still believe we are moving into a very side-range consolidation pattern for Bitcoin. I suggest staying fairly cautious today and setting up some trades for the pause/rally I expect to carry through this week for the SPY/QQQ. No need to get too greedy on a Monday. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
6
#ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 03.02 - 03.07.25Last Week : Globex opened above VAH of 6054 - 5933 HTF Range and February RTH Cost basis which gave a hold to start the week to push us into the above Edge but more strength didn't come in, instead we ended up holding under 6074 - 60s and closer to Monday RTH open price failed in the Edge giving us a move into lower Value with a close inside it. Holding under Cost Basis meant weakness for longer term buyers and triggered moves lower all week as they needed to get out closer to month end we got. Lower Edge kept giving bounces back into Value which kept building more supply and when MM Month end came on Thursday we were able to take the stops under 5930 to give us continuation to test lower Value under 5870s. To finish the week we found buying inside lower Value and what I think was end of the Week short covering before the weekend which pushed us back into the Edge in the afternoon, all momentum traders had to do was buy it up under the Edge to push price back inside which triggered stops on the way up to give us end of day squeeze back into above VAL where all the supply was. This Week : We are starting a new Month and things can be tricky to start, we are at interesting locations on Weekly, Daily and Hourly charts with quite a few options going into this week so we really have to be open to different scenarios as things are not as clear as they were last 2 weeks going into Month End. On Daily TF we have showed a failure over Daily Edge Top and at the same time have transitioned into a correction mode under it which gave us the move from Daily Edge into Daily VAH at 987 - 67 and flushed the buyers under it through Daily Mean towards Daily VAL at 846 - 28 without tagging it. End of week covering took us back into Daily VAH but left Daily TF in Correction mode under its MAs. On Weekly TF we had a long consolidation in new Weekly balance over 5950s but we never transacted through the whole balance which means no acceptance in it, instead we built up a lot of Supply inside which at the end of the Month gave us this move back into lower Balance with a strong break and close under smaller MA with price closing right at the top/bottom ( depends which way we look at it ) of Weekly Balance. For now this tells us that we could see more weakness going into this new Month, as long as we hold under Weekly Smaller MA which is around 6010s and don't accept back above Daily VAH of 5987 - 67 then that could bring in continued weakness to rotate lower back towards Daily Mean and possibly test Daily VAL and maybe see a push under it. Holding under the Daily Edge of 6073 - 43 implies continued weakness as well and will continue to target lower Daily areas all the way down into its bottom Daily Edge at 5754 - 24 which has Weak Stops and a Gap to fill under which was made during contract roll. Does not mean we will go there right away or go there at all of course BUT there are lots of things stacked up for more downside so far, of course we have to watch each area for continuation through but if there is still more sell volume to come out then we have to watch out looking for much higher prices from here and instead look for balances with weakness and rotations back down. This week could play out as an inside week with weakness towards the bottom of previous week and IF there will be stronger volume then we could see last weeks lows get taken to give us pushes towards Previous Distribution Balance that we have made back in October which would be next big spot to visit. On the Upside IF buying from Friday sticks and we start holding over 5930 - 40s then need to be careful forcing downside as we could build up enough and bring in more buying to push into above Value again, we do have trapped buyers inside it from last week so it would be a spot to be careful at as we could continue to see selling out of that Value on any pushes into it, for more strength inside that Value we would really need to push through VAL and start holding over 5970 - 90s which would signal stability and could have the price balance inside that Value and of course for anything higher we would need to take out February RTH cost basis above VAH because we have most of the buying from last few months trapped over it.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
SPY/QQQ Plan your Trade For 2-28 : Gap Up - LowerToday's pattern suggests the markets will open with a slight GAP UP (higher), then transition into a downward price trend throughout the rest of the day. After yesterday's deep selling, I suspect there may be a bit more of an uptrend in early trading. The 584-585 level on the SPY was hit. That was my original projected downside target for the Feb 21-24 breakdown in price. We've also seen Bitcoin collapse a little over 25%. I believe this deep selling in Bitcoin prompted a "sell-everything" type of breakdown in the SPY/QQQ and other assets (gold/silver). Once this move subsides/bases, I believe we'll see 2-3 days of basing/bottoming, then a reasonably strong reversion rally in the SPY/QQQ as the sell-everything fear settles. This would be a good time to look for initial "anchor" positions in certain assets related to a moderate recovery rally between now and March 11-14 - maybe a bit later. Overall, we are moving solidly into my expanding megaphone pattern and should continue to see increased price volatility. The next phase of the market trends is a moderate recovery rally. Then, as we approach the March 21-24 breakdown phase, we will see more selling. Get ready for a base/bottom setup. Then, we'll see the price move into a recovery phase, and the SPY may target 600 to 604 before topping again. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
2